Small Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Seismic Surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas off Alaska, 50027-50045 [06-7121]
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 164 / Thursday, August 24, 2006 / Notices
of NEPA (40 CFR parts 1500–1508), (3)
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authorize shipment of the above product
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Done in Washington, DC, this 21st day of
August 2006.
Kevin Shea,
Acting Administrator, Animal and Plant
Health Inspection Service.
[FR Doc. E6–14040 Filed 8–23–06; 8:45 am]
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DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Forest Service
Notice of Resource Advisory
Committee, Sundance, WY
Notice of Resource Advisory
Committee, Sundance, Wyoming, USDA
Forest Service, USDA.
ACTION: Notice of meeting.
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: Pursuant to the authorities in
the Federal Advisory Committee Act
(Pub. L. 92–463) and under the Secure
Rural Schools and Community SelfDetermination Act of 2000 (Pub. L. 106–
393) the Black Hills National Forests’
Crook County Resource Advisory
Committee will meet Monday,
September 11th, 2006 in Sundance,
Wyoming for a business meeting. The
meeting is open to the public.
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The
business meeting on September 11 will
begin at 6:30 p.m., at the USFS
Bearlodge Ranger District office, 121
South 21st Street, Sundance, Wyoming.
Agenda topics will include a review of
previously funded projects and
consideration of FY 2007 project
proposals. A public forum will begin at
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Steve Kozel, Bearlodge District Ranger
and Designated Federal Officer at (307)
283–1361.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Dated: August 18, 2006.
Steven J. Kozel,
District Ranger, Bearlodge Ranger District.
[FR Doc. 06–7118 Filed 8–23–06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–11–M
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
[I.D. 020306A]
Small Takes of Marine Mammals
Incidental to Specified Activities;
Seismic Surveys in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas off Alaska
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice of Issuance of an
Incidental Harassment Authorization.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: In accordance with
regulations implementing the Marine
Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) as
amended, notification is hereby given
that an Incidental Harassment
Authorization (IHA) to take small
numbers of marine mammals, by
harassment, incidental to conducting a
marine geophysical program, including
deep seismic surveys, on oil and gas
lease blocks located on Outer
Continental Shelf (OCS) waters in the
mid- and eastern-Beaufort Sea and on
pre-lease areas in the Northern Chukchi
Sea has been issued to Shell Offshore,
Inc. (Shell) and WesternGeco, Inc.
DATES: Effective from July 10, 2006
through December 31, 2006.
ADDRESSES: The application, a list of
references used in this document, and
the IHA are available by writing to P.
Michael Payne, Chief, Permits,
Conservation and Education Division,
Office of Protected Resources, National
Marine Fisheries Service, 1315 EastWest Highway, Silver Spring, MD
20910–3225, or by telephoning one of
the contacts listed here. A copy of the
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50027
application and/or the research
monitoring plan (LGL, 2006) is also
available at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/
pr/permits/incidental.htm#iha.
Documents cited in this document, that
are not available through standard
public (inter-library loan) access, may
be viewed, by appointment, during
regular business hours at this address.
A copy of the Minerals Management
Service’s (MMS) Programmatic
Environmental Assessment (PEA) is
available on-line at: https://
www.mms.gov/alaska/ref/pealbe.htm.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Kenneth Hollingshead or Jolie Harrison,
Office of Protected Resources, NMFS,
(301) 713–2289.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct
the Secretary of Commerce to allow,
upon request, the incidental, but not
intentional, taking of small numbers of
marine mammals by U.S. citizens who
engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified
geographical region if certain findings
are made and either regulations are
issued or, if the taking is limited to
harassment, a notice of a proposed
authorization is provided to the public
for review.
An authorization shall be granted if
NMFS finds that the taking will have a
negligible impact on the species or
stock(s) and will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for
subsistence uses and the permissible
methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring
and reporting of such takings are set
forth. NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible
impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as ’’...an
impact resulting from the specified
activity that cannot be reasonably
expected to, and is not reasonably likely
to, adversely affect the species or stock
through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.’’
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
established an expedited process by
which citizens of the United States can
apply for an authorization to
incidentally take small numbers of
marine mammals by harassment. Except
with respect to certain activities not
pertinent here, the MMPA defines
‘‘harassment’’ as: any act of pursuit,
torment, or annoyance which
(i) has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild
[Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the potential
to disturb a marine mammal or marine
mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including,
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 164 / Thursday, August 24, 2006 / Notices
but not limited to, migration, breathing,
nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[Level B harassment].
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45–
day time limit for NMFS review of an
application followed by a 30–day public
notice and comment period on any
proposed authorizations for the
incidental harassment of marine
mammals. Within 45 days of the close
of the comment period, NMFS must
either issue or deny issuance of the
authorization.
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Summary of Request
On November 16, 2005, NMFS
received two applications from Shell for
the taking, by Level B harassment, of
several species of marine mammals
incidental to conducting a marine
seismic survey program during 2006 in
the mid- and eastern-Beaufort and
northern Chukchi seas. The deep
seismic survey component of the
program will be conducted from
WesternGeco’s vessel the M/V Gilavar.
Detailed specifications on this seismic
survey vessel are provided in Shell’s
application (Seismic Survey, Overview/
Description). These specifications
include: (1) complete descriptions of the
number and lengths of the streamers
which form the airgun and hydrophone
arrays; (2) airgun size and sound
propagation properties; and (3)
additional detailed data on the M/V
Gilavar’s characteristics. In summary,
the M/V Gilavar will tow two source
arrays, comprising three identical
subarrays each, which will be fired
alternately as the ship sails downline in
the survey area. The M/V Gilavar will
tow up to 6 hydrophone streamer cables
up to 5.4 kilometers (km)(3.4 mi) long.
With this configuration each pass of the
Gilavar can record 12 subsurface lines
spanning a swath of up to 360 meters
(m; 1181 ft). The seismic data
acquisition vessel will be supported by
the M/V Alex Gordon, which will serve
to resupply and re-fuel the M/V Gilavar.
The M/V Alex Gordon is also capable of
ice management should that be
required. The M/V Alex Gordon will not
deploy seismic acquisition gear.
Plan for Seismic Operations
It is planned that the M/V Gilavar will
be in the Chukchi Sea in early July to
begin deploying the acquisition
equipment. Seismic acquisition will not
begin before July 15, 2006. The
approximate areas of operations are
shown in Appendix 4 in Shell’s IHA
application. Acquisition will continue
in the Chukchi Sea until ice conditions
permit a transit into the Beaufort Sea
around early August. Seismic
acquisition is planned to continue in the
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Beaufort at one of three 3–D areas until
early October depending on ice
conditions. These 3–D areas are shown
in Appendix 5 in Shell’s application.
For each of the 3–D areas, the M/V
Gilavar will traverse the area multiple
times until data on the area of interest
has been recorded. At the conclusion of
seismic acquisition in the Beaufort Sea,
the M/V Gilavar will return to the
Chukchi Sea and resume recording data
there until all seismic lines are
completed or weather prevents data
collection.
The proposed Beaufort Sea deep
seismic, site clearance, shallow hazard
surveys and geotechnical activities are
proposed to commence in August (if ice
conditions allow) and continue until
weather precludes further seismic work.
In addition to deep seismic surveys,
Shell plans to conduct site clearance
and shallow hazard surveys of potential
exploratory drilling locations within
Shell’s lease areas in the Beaufort Sea.
The M/V Henry Christoffersen will be
conducting the shallow-hazard seismic
survey program in the Beaufort Sea
while the M/V Gilavar conducts the
deep seismic survey. The site clearance
surveys are confined to very small
specific areas within defined lease
blocks. Also, very small and limited
geophysical survey energy sources will
be employed to measure bathymetry,
topography, geo-hazards and other
seabed characteristics. On the M/V
Henry Christoffersen, the following
acoustic instrumentation will be used:
(1) a dual frequency subbottom profiler
(Datasonics CAP6000 Chirp II (2–7kHz
or 8–23kHz)); (2) a medium penetration
subbottom profiler (Datasonics SPR–
1200 Bubble Pulser (400Hz)); (3)a hiresolution multi-channel seismic system
(240cu in (4X60) gun array (0–150 Hz));
(4) a multi-beam bathymetric sonar
(Seabat 8101 (240 kHz)); and (5) a sidescan sonar system (Datasonics SIS–1500
(190kHz - 210 kHz)). The timing is
scheduled to avoid any conflict with the
Beaufort Sea subsistence hunting
conducted by the Alaska Eskimo
Whaling Commission’s (AEWC) villages.
In summary, the proposed Chukchi
deep seismic survey will occur in two
phases. Phase 1 will commence
sometime after July 15, 2006, as sea ice
coverage conditions allow and will
continue through July to early August,
2006. Phase 2 of the Chukchi deep
seismic survey will occur upon
completion of the Beaufort Sea survey
sometime after mid-October and
continue until such time as sea ice and
weather conditions preclude further
work, probably sometime in mid- to
late-November, 2006. Shell plans to run
approximately 5556 km (3452 mi) of
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surveys in the Chukchi Sea and a
similar survey length in the Beaufort
Sea.
Alternatively, if ice conditions
preclude seismic operations in the
Beaufort Sea, Shell proposes to continue
its seismic program in the Chukchi Sea
through mid- to late-November, 2006, or
approximately 5.5 months. This
scenario takes into account that
approximately twice as many seismic
line miles would be completed during
this time in the Chukchi Sea. Under this
scenario approximately 6000 nm (6905
stat mi; 11,112 km) of seismic line miles
could be completed in the Chukchi Sea.
A detailed description of the work
proposed by Shell for 2006 is contained
in the two applications which are
available for review (see ADDRESSES).
Description of Marine 3–D Seismic Data
Acquisition
In the seismic method, reflected
sound energy produces graphic images
of seafloor and sub-seafloor features.
The seismic system consists of sources
and detectors, the positions of which
must be accurately measured at all
times. The sound signal comes from
arrays of towed energy sources. These
energy sources store compressed air
which is released on command from the
towing vessel. The released air forms a
bubble which expands and contracts in
a predictable fashion, emitting sound
waves as it does so. Individual sources
are configured into arrays. These arrays
have an output signal, which is more
desirable than that of a single bubble,
and also serve to focus the sound output
primarily in the downward direction,
which is useful for the seismic method.
This array effect also minimizes the
sound emitted in the horizontal
direction.
The downward propagating sound
travels to the seafloor and into the
geologic strata below the seafloor.
Changes in the acoustic properties
between the various rock layers result in
a portion of the sound being reflected
back toward the surface at each layer.
This reflected energy is received by
detectors called hydrophones, which are
housed within submerged streamer
cables which are towed behind the
seismic vessel. Data from these
hydrophones are recorded to produce
seismic records or profiles. Seismic
profiles often resemble geologic crosssections along the course traveled by the
survey vessel.
Description of WesternGeco’s Air-Gun
Array
Shell will use WesternGeco’s 3147 in3
Bolt-Gun Array for its 3–D seismic
survey operations in the Chukchi and
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Beaufort Seas. WesternGeco’s source
arrays are composed of 3 identically
tuned Bolt-gun sub-arrays operating at
an air pressure of 2,000 psi. In general,
the signature produced by an array
composed of multiple sub-arrays has the
same shape as that produced by a single
sub-array while the overall acoustic
output of the array is determined by the
number of sub-arrays employed.
The gun arrangement for each of the
three 1049–in3 sub-array is detailed in
Shell’s application. As indicated in the
application’s diagram, each sub-array is
composed of six tuning elements; two
2–gun clusters and four single guns. The
standard configuration of a source array
for 3D surveys consists of one or more
1049–in3 sub-arrays. When more than
one sub-array is used, as here, the
strings are lined up parallel to each
other with either 8 m or 10 m (26 or 33
ft) cross-line separation between them.
This separation was chosen so as to
minimize the areal dimensions of the
array in order to approximate point
source radiation characteristics for
frequencies in the nominal seismic
processing band. For the 3147 in3 array
the overall dimensions of the array are
15 m (49 ft) long by 16 m (52.5 ft) wide.
Shell’s application provides
illustrations of the time series and
amplitude spectrum for the far-field
signature and the computed acoustic
emission pattern for the vertical inline
and crossline planes for the 3147 in3
array with guns at a depth of 6 m (20
ft). The signature for this array was first
computed using GSAP, WesternGeco’s
in house signature modeling software.
Subsequent to submitting its
application, Shell contracted with
JASCO to model sound source
characteristics using a different model
than the one used in the application.
The JASCO parabolic equation model is
believed by Shell and NMFS to be
superior in these waters because it
accounts for bathymetry effects, water
properties, and the geoacoustic
properties of seabed layers. The JASCOmodeled radii are based on the worst
case model predictions. For this model,
the proposed 180–dB and 190–dB radii
are 1.5 km (0.9 mi) and 0.5 km (0.3 mi),
respectively. This model will be used by
Shell and NMFS to estimate preliminary
sound level isopleths and radii for rms
sound level thresholds between 120 and
190 dB at six proposed survey locations
for the proposed airgun arrays. In
addition, these modeled radii estimates
will be multiplied by a safety margin of
1.5 to obtain conservative exclusion
radii for marine mammal safety until
empirical sound field verification
measurements are completed within the
first few days of seismic shooting and
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new safety radii are calculated and used
for implementing safety zones.
An explanation for the indicated
sound pressure levels (SPLs) is provided
later in this document (see Impacts to
Marine Mammals).
Characteristics of Airgun Pulses
Discussion of the characteristics of
airgun pulses was provided in several
previous Federal Register documents
(see 69 FR 31792 (June 7, 2004) or 69
FR 34996 (June 23, 2004)) and is not
repeated here. Additional information
can be found in the MMS Final PEA.
Reviewers are encouraged to read these
earlier documents for additional
information.
Site Clearance Surveys
In addition to deep seismic surveys in
the Beaufort Sea, Shell also plans to
conduct site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys of potential exploratory
drilling locations within Shell’s lease
areas as required by MMS regulations.
The site clearance surveys are confined
to very small specific areas within
defined OCS blocks. Shell has
contracted for the M/V Henry
Christoffersen to conduct the site
clearance/shallow hazards surveys, and
geotechnical borings. This survey will
be conducted contemporaneously with
the deep seismic survey program in the
Beaufort Sea. Very small and limited
geophysical survey energy sources will
be employed to measure bathymetry,
topography, geo-hazards and other
seabed characteristics. These include:
(1) a dual frequency subbottom profiler
(Datasonics CAP6000 Chirp II (2–7kHz
or 8–23kHz)); (2) a medium penetration
Subbottom profiler (Datasonics SPR–
1200 Bubble Pulser (400Hz)); (3) a hiresolution multi-channel seismic system
(240cu in (4X60) gun array (0–150 Hz));
(4) a multi-beam bathymetric sonar
(Seabat 8101 (240 kHz)); and (5) a sidescan sonar system (Datasonics SIS–1500
(190kHz - 210 kHz)). The actual
locations of site clearance and shallow
hazard surveys in the U.S. Beaufort Sea
have not been released by Shell for
proprietary reasons. That information
will be supplied to NMFS and MMS
prior to commencement of operations in
the Beaufort Sea. The vessels
conducting the site clearance and
shallow hazard surveys, and
geotechnical borings will also operate in
accordance with the provisions of a
Conflict Avoidance Agreement (CAA),
between the seismic industry, the
AEWC and the Whaling Captains
Associations regarding times and areas
in order to avoid any possible conflict
with the bowhead subsistence whale
hunts by the Kaktovik and Nuiqsut.
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Offshore site clearance surveys use
various geophysical methods and tools
to acquire graphic records of seafloor
and sub-seafloor geologic conditions.
The data acquired and the type of
investigations outlined in this document
are performed routinely for most
exploratory drilling and production
platforms, submarine pipelines, port
facilities, and other offshore projects.
High-resolution geophysical data such
as two- dimensional, high-resolution
multi-channel seismic, medium
penetration seismic, subbottom profiler,
side scan sonar, multibeam bathymetry,
magnetometer and possibly piston core
soil sampling are typical types of data
acquired. These data are interpreted to
define geologic and geotechnical
conditions at the site and to assess the
potential engineering significance of
these conditions. The following section
provides a brief description of those
instruments used for site clearance that
may impact marine mammals.
Information on the data acquisition
methodology planned by Shell can be
found in the Shell application.
Geophysical Tools for Site Clearance
High-Resolution seismic profiling
Reflected sound energy, often called
acoustic or seismic energy, produces
graphic images of seafloor and subseafloor features. These systems
transmit the acoustic energy from
various sources called transducers that
are attached to the hull of the vessel or
towed astern. Part of this energy is
reflected from the seafloor and from
geologic strata below the seafloor. This
reflected energy is received by the
hydrophone or streamer and is recorded
to produce seismic records or profiles.
Seismic profiles often resemble geologic
cross-sections along the course traveled
by the survey vessel.
In most Beaufort Sea site surveys,
Shell will operate several highresolution profiling systems
simultaneously to obtain detailed
records of seafloor and near seafloor
conditions. The survey will include data
acquisition using a shallow penetration
profiler or subbottom profiler (1 - 12.0
kHz, typically 3.5 kHz), medium
penetration system or boomer/sparker/
airgun (400–800 Hz) and a deep
penetrating hi-resolution multi-channel
seismic system (20–300 Hz) not to be
confused with the deep seismic used for
hydrocarbon exploration. These
profiling systems complement each
other since each system achieves
different degrees of resolution and
depths of sub-seafloor penetrations.
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Side Scan Sonar
Unlike seismic profiling systems,
which produce a vertical profile along
the vessel’s path, side scan sonar
systems provide graphic records that
show two-dimensional (map) views of
seafloor topography and of objects on
the seafloor. The sonar images provide
a swath display/record covering an area
on the seafloor up to several hundred
feet on both sides of the survey
trackline. The side scan sonar transmits
very high-frequency acoustic signals
(100 – 410 kHz) and records the
reflected energy from the seafloor.
Signals reflected from the seafloor are
displayed on a continuous record
produce by a two-channel recorder.
Reflected signals normally appear as
dark areas on the record whereas
shadows behind objects appear as light
or white areas. The intensity and
distribution of reflections displayed on
the sonar image depend on the
composition and surface texture of the
reflecting features, on their size, and on
their orientation with respect to the
transducers in the towfish. Line spacing
and display range are designed to
ensure 100 percent coverage of the
proposed survey area in the prime
survey line direction, with additional
tie-lines acquired in an orthogonal
direction.
Side scan sonar data are useful for
mapping areas of boulders, rock
outcrops, and other areas of rough
seafloor, and for determining the
location and trends of seafloor scarps
and ice gouges. These data are also used
to locate shipwrecks, pipelines, and
other objects on the seafloor.
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Multi-beam Bathymetry
Multi-beam bathymetric systems are
either hull mounted or towed astern of
the survey vessel. The system transmits
acoustic signals (200–500 kHz) from
multiple projectors propagating to either
side of the vessel at angles that vary
from vertical to near horizontal. The
locations of the soundings cover a swath
whose width may be equal to many
times the waterdepth. By adjusting the
spacing of the survey tracklines such
that adjacent swaths are overlapping,
Shell obtains depth information for 100
percent of the bottom in the survey area.
The time it takes to receive the signals
as well as signal intensity, position, and
other characteristics for echoes received
across the swath are used to calculate
depth of each individual beam
transmitted across the swath.
Acoustic systems similar to the ones
proposed for use by Shell have been
described in detail by NMFS previously
(see 66 FR 40996, August 6, 2001; 70 FR
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13466, March 21, 2005). NMFS
encourages readers to refer to these
documents for additional information
on these systems.
Comments and Responses
A notice of receipt of Shell’s MMPA
application and NMFS’ proposal to
issue an IHA to Shell was published in
the Federal Register on May 3, 2006 (71
FR 26055). That notice described, in
detail, Shell’s proposed activity, the
marine mammal species that may be
affected by the activity, and the
anticipated effects on marine mammals.
During the 30–day public comment
period on Shell’s application, comments
were received from Shell, the Marine
Mammal Commission (Commission),
the Center for Biological Diversity (CBD)
on behalf of several environmental
organizations, the Northern Alaska
Environmental Center (NAEC), the
Alaska Oil and Gas Association
(AOGA), the Alaska Eskimo Whaling
Commission (AEWC), the North Slope
Borough (NSB), Village of Point Hope
(NVPH), and the Alaska Nanuuq
Commission (Nanuuq Commission). The
AOGA submitted a copy of the
comments it submitted on the MMS
PEA and the CBD attached the
comments submitted by the Natural
Resources Defense Council on the PEA.
With the exception of some comments
relevant to this specific action which are
addressed here, comments on the Draft
PEA have been addressed in Appendix
D of the Final PEA and are not repeated.
Some comments providing additional
information for NMFS’ consideration
have been incorporated into this
document without further reference.
Activity Concerns
Comment 1: Shell notes that it was
awarded 84 OCS leases in the Western
Beaufort Sea Planning Area by the MMS
in 2005 pursuant to the MMS Lease Sale
195 held March 30, 2005. Shell made
plans and signed contracts to perform
seismic surveys in the Chukchi and
Beaufort Seas during the open water
season of 2006, beginning in July. The
2006 seismic surveys are critical in
assessing hydrocarbon potential and site
conditions necessary to conduct drilling
operations in subsequent open water
seasons. Shell notes that the 2006
seismic operations in the Chukchi Sea
will be very surgical in nature, be at
least 50 mi (80.5 km) from shore, and
cover less than 2 percent of the lease
sale area. In the Beaufort Sea, Shell’s
seismic operations will be limited to the
areas near its lease blocks and cover less
than 1 percent of the lease sale area. As
Shell’s IHA application included a
much broader area for seismic
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operations; the take estimates in its
application are inflated and should be
recalculated.
Response: While NMFS recognizes
that Shell will be concentrating seismic
activity in relatively small areas, the
Level B harassment estimates are
calculated as ‘‘exposures’’ to sound and,
therefore, while the survey may result in
fewer marine mammals being exposed,
those animals may be exposed more
frequently than if the seismic vessel
track were linear.
MMPA Concerns
Comment 2: The CBD states that an
IHA is only available if the activity has
no potential to result in serious injury
or mortality to a marine mammal. If
injury or mortality to a marine mammal
is possible, take can only be authorized
pursuant to a Letter of Authorization
(LOA) consistent with regulations
promulgated pursuant to 16 U.S.C. 1371
(a)(5)(D)(i) and 50 CFR 216.107. Because
NMFS has not promulgated regulations
related to incidental takes for seismic
surveys, and because such surveys carry
the real potential of injury or death to
marine mammals, neither an IHA nor an
LOA can be issued for Shell’s proposed
activities.
Response: For reasons discussed later
in this document, NMFS does not
believe that there is any potential for
marine mammal mortality to occur
incidental to conducting seismic
surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort
seas in 2006. IHAs can authorize takings
by Level A (injury) and Level B
harassment (behavioral harassment). As
documented by Richardson [ed] (1998),
aerial and vessel monitoring of marine
mammals under previous incidental
take authorizations did not indicate
more than behavioral harassment
takings would occur.
Comment 3: The CBD believes that
NMFS cannot issue an IHA to Shell
because it has not complied with the
MMPA’s specific geographic region
requirement.
Response: NMFS defines ‘‘specified
geographical region’’ as ‘‘an area within
which a specified activity is conducted
and which has certain biogeographic
characteristics’’ (50 CFR 216.103).
NMFS believes that Shell’s description
of the activity and the locations for
conducting seismic surveys meet the
requirements of the MMPA. Within the
Chukchi Sea, Shell intends to conduct
seismic activity within the area
designated for Lease Sale 97 (shown in
Appendix 4 in Shell’s IHA application).
More specific locations within the Lease
Sale area are considered proprietary. In
the Beaufort Sea, the areas of seismic
operations are shown in Appendix 5 in
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Shell’s IHA application. Shell has
provided a well-defined area within
which certain biogeographic
characteristics occur.
Comment 4: The CBD states that
Shell’s application fails to specify the
‘‘dates and duration’’ of these activities
as required by 50 CFR 216.103(a)(2), or
even who will perform them or in what
manner. For example, CBD notes the
various dates listed by Shell for
beginning seismic. The CBD notes that
the proposed IHA (notice) states that
seismic acquisition is planned to begin
on or about July 10, 2006, while a
couple of paragraphs later states that
‘‘Phase I will commence sometime after
June 15, 2006; elsewhere the proposed
IHA (notice) states that seismic
operations will not begin until after July
1, 2006. The CBD believes NMFS’
‘‘small numbers’’ and ‘‘negligible
impacts’’ conclusions are highly suspect
given NMFS’ confusion as to when and
where Shell will actually be operating.
Response: The application shows that
Shell plans to pick up crew members
and refuel near the end of June in Dutch
Harbor and sail for the Chukchi Sea
upon completion of resupply. Seismic
surveys would begin no earlier than July
10, depending upon ice conditions in
the Chukchi Sea. To avoid bowhead
whales migrating in the spring leads,
seismic survey work cannot begin prior
to July 1, as explained in the PEA and
as stipulated in Shell’s permit from
MMS. More recently, agreements with
Alaskan natives restricted seismic
operations prior to July 15, 2006. Sound
exposure calculations are based on
miles of seismic lines to be run and the
average and maximum density of
marine mammals expected to be
exposed. Minor variations in dates
would be due mostly to ice conditions
in either the Chukchi or Beaufort Seas
would not affect noise exposure
estimates. However, to avoid further
confusion, NMFS has modified the IHA
to indicate that seismic data collection
cannot begin prior to July 1, 2006.
Comment 5: The CBD states that
Shell’s application and NMFS’ notice
fail to provide information on the ‘‘dates
and duration of the activities and
provide only boilerplate descriptions of
typical activities.
Response: NMFS has determined that
the activity descriptions in Shell’s
application, including the Appendixes,
provide information necessary to make
its determinations under the MMPA.
The duration of the activity is highly
dependent upon logistics, weather,
mechanical problems, shut-downs and
power-downs. However, Shell provided
estimates of expected line miles of
survey effort they expect to run which
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is used in part for calculating incidental
harassment estimates.
Comment 6: To protect bowhead
whales, other marine mammals, and
subsistence use of marine mammal
resources, the AEWC states that NMFS
must ensure that the planned activities,
if authorized, conform to the statutory
requirements of the MMPA. In that
regard, the AEWC states that while not
all acoustic takes threaten an impact
that is greater than negligible, the
MMPA requires that NMFS take special
care to protect whales engaged in
biologically significant behaviors such
as feeding, mating, calving, and tending
to young.
Response: NMFS takes into account
biological activities in its analyses and
in determining appropriate mitigation
and monitoring requirements. We
recognize there is uncertainty in the
distribution and abundance of marine
mammal stocks in the Chukchi Sea. As
a result, NMFS has required additional
monitoring and mitigation measures for
this year’s survey. NMFS anticipates the
industry research program will answer
some of the uncertainties involving
distribution and abundance of marine
mammals in the Chukchi Sea.
Comment 7: The CBD states that
because the MMPA explicitly requires
that NMFS prescribe the ‘‘means
effecting the least practicable impact’’
on the affected species, stock or habitat,
an IHA [notice] must explain why
measures that would reduce the impact
on a species were not chosen (i.e., why
they were not practicable). Neither the
proposed IHA [notice], Shell’s
application, nor the PEA do this. The
AEWC made a similar comment on the
context of biologically significant
behaviors.
Response: Neither the MMPA nor
NMFS regulations implementing the
incidental take program require NMFS
to itemize and discuss all measures that
were determined to be impractical. Such
an effort can quickly become a matter of
speculation. For example, drones,
manned balloons, and satellites are
currently considered impractical for
technological and safety reasons and
usually need not be discussed in issuing
IHAs (although drones may become
available for non-military activities
within a few years). Helicopters and
other aircraft may be practical
depending upon distance between
landing and activity location, weather
and safety and are usually discussed if
safety zones cannot be visually
monitored effectively. Also, active and
passive acoustics are often discussed
when issuing an IHA if the safety zone
cannot be visually monitored
effectively. Time and area closures or
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restrictions are discussed when
appropriate. In many cases, monitoring
larger zones to reduce the Level B
harassment take, is viewed as secondary
to effectively monitoring the Level A
harassment zone to prevent marine
mammal injury. A final mitigation
measure mentioned by commenters to
the Draft PEA of using vibroseis
technology in winter instead of open
water seismic is not practical do to
human safety concerns and must be
limited to extremely shallow water
depths.
Comment 8: The CBD notes that while
NMFS has not performed an analysis of
why additional mitigation measures are
not ‘‘practicable,’’ the proposed IHA
[notice] contains information to
conclude that many such measures are
in fact practicable. For example, during
periods when conflict with subsistence
hunting is most likely, Shell proposes
additional ‘‘special’’ monitoring and
mitigation measures from August 15
until the end of the bowhead hunting
season. While these measures are
designed to avoid impacts to bowheads
so as not to affect the subsistence hunt,
there is no reason, and certainly no
explanation of, why these measures
cannot be instituted for the entirety of
the seismic survey. The MMPA requires
minimizing all impacts on marine
mammals, not only avoiding impacts on
the subsistence hunt.
Response: The ‘‘special’’ monitoring
and mitigation measures proposed by
Shell during the bowhead subsistence
hunt were: (1) An aerial monitoring
program during the bowhead
subsistence hunt as described elsewhere
in this document, and (2) time/area
closures to prevent the survey from
potentially having an unmitigable
adverse impact. Only the latter is
considered a measure that could
potentially lower the impact on
bowhead whales and other marine
mammal species in the central Beaufort
Sea. Since the CAA had not been
developed at the time of Shell’s
application or NMFS’ Federal Register
notice for Shell, what those mitigation
conditions might be would have been
speculation. However, in general the
imposition of additional time/area
closures in the Beaufort Sea (and to
some extent in the Chukchi Sea) are
impractical for reasons of cost
effectiveness and the limited ice-free
time in Arctic Ocean waters.
Overlooking costs, time/area closures
are not practical in the Beaufort Sea if
seismic had to occur over multiple years
in an effort to obtain seismic data that
could have been obtained with possibly
a single-year of effort. For that reason,
NMFS limits time/area closures as a
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mitigation measure in Arctic waters
only to protect subsistence hunting or
marine mammal life stages that could
significantly affect survival and
reproduction.
Marine Mammal Impact Concerns
Comment 9: The CBD states that the
tables in the proposed IHA notice
provide no support for NMFS’
conclusion on small numbers. For
Shell’s proposed seismic surveys in the
Chukchi, the number of bowheads likely
to be exposed to sounds of 160 dB or
greater and therefore harassed’’
according to NMFS’ operative
thresholds, range from 403 to 3226. In
absolute terms these numbers cannot be
considered small. Even relative to
population size, the higher estimate
represents a third of the estimated
population of bowheads. CBD makes a
similar comment regarding beluga
whales.
Response: NMFS believes that the
small numbers requirement has been
satisfied. The species most likely to be
harassed during seismic surveys in the
Arctic Ocean area is the ringed seal,
with a ‘‘best estimate’’ of 7,335 animals
in the Beaufort Sea and 13,610 animals
in the Chukchi Sea being exposed to
sound levels of 160 dB or greater, for a
total of 20,945 animals. This does not
mean that this is the number of ringed
seals that will be taken by Level B
harassment, it is the best estimate of the
number of animals that potentially
could have a behavioral modification
due to the noise (for example Moulton
and Lawson (2002) indicate that most
pinnipeds exposed to seismic sounds
lower than 170 dB do not visibly react
to that sound; pinnipeds are not likely
to react to seismic sounds unless they
are greater than 170 dB re 1 microPa
(rms)). In addition, these estimates are
calculated based upon line miles of
survey effort, animal density and the
calculated zone of influence (ZOI).
While this methodology is valid for
seismic surveys that transect long
distances, for those surveys that ‘‘mow
the lawn’’ (that is, remain within a
relatively small area, transiting back and
forth while shooting seismic), the
numbers tend to be highly inflated. As
a result, NMFS believes that these
exposure estimates are conservative and
may actually affect much fewer animals.
Although it might be argued that the
estimated number of ringed seals
behaviorally harassed is not small in
absolute numbers, the number of
exposures is relatively small,
representing less than 10 percent of the
regional stock size of that species
(249,000) if each ‘‘exposure’’ represents
an individual ringed seal. In addition, it
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should be recognized that because Shell
will spend most of the time surveying
small areas in the Chukchi Sea, fewer
ringed seals would likely be harassed
but these animals could be affected
more often, unless they habituate to the
sounds (see ‘‘Ringed, Largha and
Bearded Seals later in this document).
For beluga and bowhead whales, the
estimated number of sound exposures
during Shell’s seismic surveys in the
Arctic will be 1702 and 3226,
respectively. While these exposure
numbers represent a sizable portion of
their respective population sizes (46
percent of the beluga population (3710)
and 31 percent of the bowhead
population (10545)), NMFS believes that
the estimated number of exposures by
bowheads and belugas greatly
overestimate actual exposures for the
following reasons: (1) The proposed
seismic activities would occur in the
Chukchi Sea when bowheads are
concentrated in the Canadian Beaufort
Sea; (2) bowheads and belugas may be
absent or widely distributed and likely
occur in very low numbers within the
seismic activity area in the Chukchi Sea;
(3) seismic surveys are not authorized in
the Beaufort Sea during the bowhead
westward migration; (4) Shell proposes
to conduct seismic in the Beaufort Sea
after the bowhead whales have migrated
out of the Beaufort Sea; and (5) Shell
will conduct late-fall seismic surveys in
the Chukchi Sea after most bowheads
have migrated out of the area, Therefore,
NMFS believes that the number of
bowhead whales that may be exposed to
sounds at or greater than 160 dB re 1
microPa (rms) would be small.
Comment 10: The CBD states that
NMFS’ failure to address the scientific
literature linking seismic surveys with
marine mammal stranding events, and
the threat of serious injury or mortality
renders NMFS’ conclusionary
determination that serious injury or
mortality will not occur from Shell’s
activities arbitrary and capricious.
Response: First, the evidence linking
marine mammal strandings and seismic
surveys remains tenuous at best. Two
papers, Taylor et al. (2004) and Engel et
al. (2004) reference seismic signals as a
possible cause for a marine mammal
stranding. Taylor et al. (2004) noted two
beaked whale stranding incidents
related to seismic surveys. The
statement in Taylor et al. (2004) was
that the seismic vessel was firing its
airguns at 1300 hrs on September 24,
2004 and that between 1400 and 1600
hrs, local fishermen found live-stranded
beaked whales some 22 km (12 nm)
from the ship’s location. A review of the
vessel’s trackline indicated that the
closest approach of the seismic vessel
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and the beaked whales stranding
location was 18 nm (33 km) at 1430 hrs.
At 1300 hrs, the seismic vessel was
located 25 nm (46 km) from the
stranding location. What is unknown is
the location of the beaked whales prior
to the stranding in relation to the
seismic vessel, but the close timing of
events indicates that the distance was
not less than 18 nm (33 km). No
physical evidence for a link between the
seismic survey and the stranding was
obtained. In addition, Taylor et al.
(2004) indicates that the same seismic
vessel was operating 500 km (270 nm)
from the site of the Galapagos Island
stranding in 2000. Whether the 2004
seismic survey caused to beaked whales
to strand is a matter of considerable
debate (see Cox et al., 2004). NMFS
believes that scientifically, these events
do not constitute evidence that seismic
surveys have an effect similar to that of
mid-frequency tactical sonar. However,
these incidents do point to the need to
look for such effects during future
seismic surveys. To date, follow-up
observations on several scientific
seismic survey cruises have not
indicated any beaked whale stranding
incidents.
Engel et al. (2004), in a paper
presented to the International Whaling
Commission (IWC) in 2004 (SC/56/E28),
mentioned a possible link between oil
and gas seismic activities and the
stranding of 8 humpback whales (7 off
the Bahia or Espirito Santo States and 1
off Rio de Janeiro, Brazil). Concerns
about the relationship between this
stranding event and seismic activity
were raised by the International
Association of Geophysical Contractors
(IAGC). The IAGC (2004) argues that not
enough evidence is presented in Engel
et al. (2004) to assess whether or not the
relatively high proportion of adult
strandings in 2002 is anomalous. The
IAGC contends that the data do not
establish a clear record of what might be
a ‘‘natural’’ adult stranding rate, nor is
any attempt made to characterize other
natural factors that may influence
strandings. As stated previously, NMFS
remains concerned that the Engel et al.
(2004) article appears to compare
stranding rates made by opportunistic
sightings in the past with organized
aerial surveys beginning in 2001. If so,
then the data are suspect.
Second, strandings have not been
recorded for those marine mammal
species expected to be harassed by
seismic in the Arctic Ocean. Beaked
whales and humpback whales, the two
species linked in the literature with
stranding events with a seismic
component are not located in the
Beaufort and Chukchi seas seismic
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areas. Finally, if bowhead and gray
whales react to sounds at very low
levels by making minor course
corrections to avoid seismic noise and
mitigation measures require Shell to
ramp-up the seismic array to avoid a
startle effect, strandings are highly
unlikely to occur in the Arctic Ocean. In
conclusion, NMFS does not expect any
marine mammals will incur serious
injury or mortality as a result of Arctic
Ocean seismic surveys in 2006.
Comment 11: In submitted comments
on the MMS Draft PEA, (and referenced
by CBD), the NRDC states that the
decibel thresholds selected for
pinnipeds and cetaceans are based on
old data which has since been
‘‘superseded by science,’’ and that
pinnipeds should be included with
cetaceans in the 180–db Level A
harassment threshold.
Response: New acoustic guidelines
will be implemented by NMFS upon
completion of a planned EIS on this
subject. If NMFS were to implement
new criteria at this time, it would need
to be species-specific and safety zones
would fluctuate depending upon the
species believed to be affected by the
action. Considering that the 180/190 dB
safety zones were established based on
onset TTS, a non-injurious (Level B
harassment) level, the current safety
zones of 180 dB rms for cetaceans and
190 dB rms for pinnipeds is
conservative and will protect marine
mammals from injury (Level A
harassment).
Comment 12: In submitted comments
on the MMS Draft PEA, (and referenced
by CBD), the NRDC states that
harassment of marine mammals can
occur at levels below the 160 dB
threshold for Level B harassment, and
that NMFS should reassess its
harassment thresholds for acoustic
impacts.
Response: The 160–dB rms isopleth is
based on work by Malme et al. (1984)
for migrating gray whales along the
California coast. Clark et al. (2000)
replicating the work by Malme et al.
(1984) indicated that this response is
context dependent, as gray whales did
not respond to simulated airgun noise
when the acoustic source was removed
from the gray whale migratory corridor.
This indicates to NMFS that
establishing a 160–dB isopleth for
estimating a ZOI for low-frequency
hearing specialists when exposed to a
low frequency source is conservative.
For mid- or high-frequency hearing
specialists, a 160–dB ZOI for a lowfrequency source is likely overly
conservative. In this action, empirical
research indicates that bowhead whales
respond to sounds at levels lower than
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160 dB during periods of important
biological behavior (migration) but
possibly not during other important
periods (feeding). As a result, to reduce
the uncertainty over whether these same
avoidance characteristics will occur in
the Chukchi Sea as they appear to have
in the Beaufort Sea, MMS and NMFS
have established conservative ZOIs
where additional mitigation measures
could be imposed to further protect
these species during critical periods in
Arctic waters.
Comment 13: In submitted comments
on the MMS Draft PEA, (and referenced
by CBD), NRDC states that MMS’
calculations of PTS may be based on an
improper model (i.e. traditional, linear
models underestimate harm) and that
MMS should lower its estimate for
auditory injury. They cite Kastak et al.
(2005) for this contention.
Response: Kastak et al. (2005) note the
non-linear growth of TTS for relatively
small magnitude shifts ( <6 dB) and the
inadequacy of a linear model using only
these data in predicting the growth of
TTS with exposure level for a wider
range of exposures. It is well known that
the TTS growth function is sigmoidal
and thus it is misleading to describe it
solely based on exposures that generate
only small-magnitude TTS (where the
slope of the growth function is relatively
shallow). For a wide range of exposures,
however, there is a steeper, linear
portion of the sigmoidal function and a
fairly consistent relationship between
exposure magnitude and growth of TTS.
The slope of this relationship is
relatively well-known for humans (on
the order of 1.6 dB TTS/dB noise (Ward
et al., 1958; 1959)). While it is not wellunderstood for marine mammals
(because studies to date have yet to
induce sufficiently large TTS values to
properly assess it), the slope of this
portion of the function predicted by the
Kastak et al.(2005) data fit with the
curvilinear approximation (based on
Maslen, 1981), and was found to be
comparable. Therefore, estimations of
PTS from TTS onset that use a linear
growth function with the steepest slope
from a curvilinear function are very
likely appropriate and in fact a
conservative approximation, based on
the information available at this time.
Comment 14: In a footnote to the
above comment, NRDC notes that NMFS
adopted a higher criterion for pinnipeds
(190 dB rms) despite the 1997 HESS
(High Energy Seismic Survey)
Workshop declining to set this higher
criterion. The NRDC claims that this is
in violation of the Administrative
Procedure Act and the Data Quality Act.
Response: The 190 dB threshold for
pinnipeds was not based on the HESS
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Workshop but came out of a follow-up
workshop on acoustics in 1998 (Gentry,
1998). Workshop participants included
the same scientists as the HESS
Workshop.
Comment 15: With regard to bowhead
whales, the CBD says NMFS’ requires
conclusive evidence of harm before it
will find more than a negligible impact
from Shell’s activity. This is not the
standard.
Response: NMFS believes that CBD is
referring to a sentence which reads:
‘‘Additionally, Shell cites Richardson
and Thomson [eds]. (2002) that there is
no conclusive evidence that exposure to
sounds exceeding 160 db have
displaced bowheads from feeding
activity.’’ This statement was made by
Shell, not NMFS. However, empirical
information cannot be ignored when
making the required determinations
under the MMPA.
Comment 16: The Commission
continues to question NMFS’ definition
of temporary threshold shift (TTS) in
marine mammal hearing as constituting
Level B Harassment. Clearly an animal’s
survival depends on its ability to detect
and protect itself from threats. If
because of temporarily compromised
hearing it is unable to display a normal
behavioral reaction to events in its
environment (e.g., to detect predators or
respond to warnings of danger from
conspecifics, it is at a significantly
greater risk of being seriously injured or
killed. Therefore, the Commission
reiterates its recommendation that
NMFS revise its definition of TTS to
include the potential for Level A
harassment due to secondary effects of
temporary hearing loss.
Response: This issue has been
addressed several times by NMFS in the
past (see 70 FR 48675, August 19, 2005;
66 FR 22450, May 4, 2001). As stated in
those documents, NMFS is using the
best scientific information available on
this subject. The Commission’s
argument for considering TTS as both
Level A harassment and Level B
harassment is based on conjecture on
what might occur if a marine mammal
with compromised hearing was at a
disadvantage for survival. As noted
previously, it is likely that marine
mammals evolved certain behavioral
responses to address natural loud noises
in the environment (for example,
billions of lightning strikes per year on
the ocean at about 260 dB peak), by
changes in conspecific spatial
separation.
Cumulative Effects Concerns
Comment 17: The Commission
questions whether there is a sufficient
basis for concluding that the cumulative
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effects of the proposed activities,
coupled with past and prospective
activities in the Beaufort and Chukchi
seas, will be negligible for bowhead
whales and other marine mammal
species. The CBD. citing Anderson v.
Evans, 371 F.3d 475 (9th Cir. 2004),
believes that individual IHA review and
not a cumulative impact review is
inappropriate and should address
impacts from multi-activities over
multi-years, both onshore and offshore
Alaska. The CBD also states that NMFS’
failure to address global warming as a
cumulative effect renders its negligible
findings invalid.
Response: Under section 101(a)(5)(D)
of the MMPA, NMFS is required to
determine whether the taking by the
IHA applicant’s specified activity will
have a negligible impact on the affected
marine mammal species or population
stocks. Cumulative impact assessments
are NMFS’ responsibility under NEPA,
not the MMPA. In that regard, the MMS’
Final PEA addresses cumulative
impacts, as did its Draft PEA. The PEA’s
cumulative activities scenario and
cumulative impact analysis focused on
oil and gas-related and non-oil and gasrelated noise-generating events/
activities in both Federal and State of
Alaska waters that were likely and
foreseeable. Other appropriate factors,
such as Arctic warming, military
activities and noise contributions from
community and commercial activities
were also considered. Appendix D of
that PEA addresses similar comments
on cumulative impacts, including global
warming. That information is
incorporated in this document by
citation. NMFS has adopted the MMS
Final PEA and it is part of NMFS’
Administrative Record. Finally, the
proposition for which CBD cites
Anderson was in the context of the
court’s analysis under NEPA, not
MMPA section 101(a)(5)(D), which was
not at issue in Anderson.
Comment 18: The Commission notes
that NMFS should consider the
cumulative effects of the University of
Texas at Austin’s (UTA) seismic survey
planned for this summer in the northern
Chukchi Sea in combination with the
three seismic surveys proposed by the
oil industry and require similar,
comprehensive monitoring and
mitigation measures for that program as
well.
Response: See previous response on
cumulative impacts. The UTA program
is a separate action that was under
internal NMFS review following the
public comment period at the time the
Shell IHA decision was issued (see 71
FR 27997, May 15, 2006). Essentially,
seismic survey is significantly further
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north in the Chukchi Sea than are the
oil company surveys, is for a shorter
period of time during the summer, will
have completed its work weeks prior to
the bowhead migration and establishes
very conservative safety zones to protect
marine mammals.
Subsistence Concerns
Comment 19: The Nanuuq
Commission requests that someone from
MMS or NMFS attend the Ice Seal
Committee’s July meeting to share
information on the proposed seismic
surveys and to respond to questions
from the Committee. Issues for
discussion include mitigation and
monitoring for long-term effects on
marine mammals and subsistence
hunting due to increased vessel traffic
in the area.
Response: NMFS understands that the
July meeting was cancelled. The next
meeting is scheduled for October. NMFS
plans to attend this meeting.
Comment 20: The NVPH objects to
any oil and gas activities as referenced
in Resolution 06–05, based on concerns
relating to NEPA, consultation and
cooperation with the oil industry, and
impacts on marine mammal resources.
The CBD notes that the Villages of
Kaktovik and Point Hope have passed
resolutions opposing the proposed
seismic surveys due to impacts on the
subsistence hunt of bowheads and other
species. In light of the positions of these
communities, the CBD does not see how
NMFS can lawfully make the findings
required under the MMPA for Shell’s
proposed IHA.
Response: NMFS acknowledges that
these villages have passed resolutions
objecting to offshore oil development.
However, the village whaling captains
of these villages (in addition to villages
of Nuiqsuk and Wainwright and the
AEWC) have signed a Programmatic
CAA indicating to NMFS that there will
not be an unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses of marine mammals.
(see Impact on Subsistence).
Comment 21: The AEWC states that
under the MMPA, NMFS must impose
mitigation measures sufficient to ensure
that authorized activities will not have
‘‘an unmitigable adverse impact’’ on the
availability of marine mammals for
taking for subsistence uses. To
accomplish this level of protection,
NMFS must evaluate the activities
within the context of the many other
industrial operations expected this year,
including (1) seismic operations in the
Canadian Beaufort Sea, (2) vessel traffic
associated with NPRA, and (3) ongoing
operations at Northstar.
Response: While acknowledging
increasing industrialization of the Arctic
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Ocean and resultant impacts on the
subsistence lifestyle of its inhabitants,
section 101(a)(5)(D)(i) limits the scope
of this determination to the specified
activity. However, NMFS works
cooperatively with the AEWC to ensure
that activities that might result in
marine mammal harassment and have
an impact on their availability for
subsistence uses are fully analyzed for
their impacts on subsistence and are the
subject of a CAA.
Comment 22: The AEWC is also
concerned that Chukchi Sea seismic
operations to the west of Barrow,
combined with Shell’s proposed
Beaufort Sea operations and other
Beaufort Sea industrial operations,
including FEX barging and work at
Oooguruk could combine to drive the
fall migration offshore, out of reach of
whalers before the whales reach Barrow.
Response: See previous response.
Shell’s Chukchi Sea proposed seismic
operation locations are at least one
hundred miles southwest of Barrow
and, therefore, are unlikely to impact
the fall Barrow subsistence hunt.
Incidentally, FEX signed a CAA with
the AEWC to restrict barging operations
during the subsistence hunt. Shell and
the other seismic companies also signed
a CAA that prohibits most seismic
operations in the Beaufort Sea during
the subsistence hunt and limits
activities affecting hunts in the Chukchi
Sea.
Comment 23: The AEWC notes that it
has attempted through a CAA to craft
mitigation measures to protect the fall
bowhead whale subsistence hunt. The
whaling captains of the Villages of
Barrow, Nuiqsut and Kaktovik have
established operating limitations
applicable to seismic operations during
the fall bowhead whale migration and
subsistence hunt. The AEWC hopes
these operating limitations will be
effective despite the extraordinary level
of industrial activity planned during the
bowhead migration, in Alaskan as well
as Canadian Arctic. The AEWC notes
that if these mitigation measures are not
adequate to protect the subsistence
hunt, the AEWC will work with seismic
operators and NMFS to address the
concerns of the subsistence hunters.
Response: As noted in the AEWC
letter, the signed CAA excludes seismic
operations in the near-shore polyna
(although it will be necessary in future
years for CAAs to address the Alaska
Current). Also, Shell has agreed not to
commence seismic operations in the
Chukchi Sea before July 15, to reduce
impacts on the beluga hunt. Additional
mitigation requirements are addressed
later in this document (see Plan of
Cooperation).
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Monitoring Concerns
Comment 24: The Commission
recommends that if NMFS decides to
issue the IHA it should require all
practical monitoring and mitigation
measures to protect bowhead and other
marine mammals from behavioral
disturbance and to ensure their
availability to Alaska Natives for
subsistence purposes. To ensure
additional protection to bowhead
whales, and other marine mammals, and
to obtain as much information as
possible on the effects of the proposed
(seismic) studies on marine mammals,
the Commission recommends that
NMFS also require: (1) The use of
passive acoustic arrays from the seismic
and/or support vessels and a passive net
array along the Chukchi Sea coast as
recommended by participants at NMFS’
open water meeting in Anchorage, AK
on April 19–20, 2006; and (2) pre- and
post-operation aerial surveys to
supplement real-time monitoring for the
presence of bowhead whales and other
marine mammal species within the
proposed action areas, out to the 120–
dB isopleth. Finally, the Commission
notes that it will be important to assess
the efficacy of such surveys to
determine their value and reliability in
monitoring potential effects.
Response: NMFS considered these
recommendations and discusses the
required monitoring and mitigation
programs required under the IHAs in
this Federal Register notice.
Comment 25: The CBD states that the
MMPA authorizes NMFS to issue an
incidental take authorization only if it
can first find that it has required
adequate monitoring of such taking and
all methods and means of ensuring the
least practicable impact have been
adopted. The proposed IHA (notice)
largely ignores this statutory
requirement.
Response: NMFS believes Shell and
the other seismic survey operators in the
Chukchi and Beaufort seas will be
implementing a comprehensive
monitoring and marine mammal
research program that is fully capable of
providing information on impacts from
the seismic surveys and supporting
NMFS’ determinations that the activity
will result in takes of small numbers of
marine mammals, have a negligible
impact on affected species and stocks
and not have an unmitigable impact on
the availability of marine mammals for
subsisence. Mitigation measures were
addressed previously (see previous
comments 7 and 8; also see the
Mitigation and Monitoring sections later
in this document).
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Comment 26: The CBD notes that the
proposed IHA notice suggests NMFS
will require additional measures of
Shell so as to be able to comply with
NEPA, such as expanded safety zones
for bowhead and gray whale, and having
those zones monitored effectively in
order to remain within the scope of the
PEA. While in agreement, CBD notes
that such additional measures are also
required to comply with the MMPA. As
such they should be explicitly spelled
out in the proposed IHA (notice) and
subject to public comment.
Response: A detailed description of
the monitoring program submitted by
Shell was provided in Shell’s
application and cited in the Federal
Register notice of the proposed IHA.
That notice also provided a description
of ongoing discussions regarding
improvements to Shell’s monitoring
program including aerial monitoring
and using passive acoustics. As a result
of a dialogue on monitoring by scientists
and stakeholders attending NMFS’
public meeting in Anchorage in April,
the industry expanded on its monitoring
program in order to fulfill its
responsibilities under the MMPA. The
only addition to the monitoring program
that was not offered for public review at
the time was a research component
designed to provide baseline data on
marine mammals for future operations
planning. This research program
includes: (1) an acoustic program to
measure sounds produced by seismic
vessels (mentioned in the proposed IHA
notice); (2) aerial monitoring and
reconnaissance of marine mammals
available for subsistence harvest along
the Chukchi Sea coast; (3) research
vessel surveys of the Chukchi Sea,
including a towed hypdrophone passive
acoustic monitoring (PAM) system to
collect data on the distribution and
abundance of marine mammals; and (4)
deployment of, and later analysis of data
from, bottom-founded autonomous
acoustic recorder arrays along the coast
of the Chukchi Sea to record ambient
sound levels, vocalizations of marine
mammals, and received levels of
seismic operations should they be
detectable. As a result of the workshop
discussions a draft monitoring program
was provided to workshop participants
around April 26, 2006 and a revised
plan distributed in mid-May. Scientists
from NMFS and the NSB are continuing
discussions to ensure that the research
effort obtains the best scientific
information possible.
The proposed joint-industry research
plan (which is a separate plan from the
individual applicant monitoring plans)
was not available prior to publication of
the proposed IHA Federal Register
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50035
notice on May 3, 2006 (71 FR 26055)
and could not be detailed without
significantly delaying the public
comment period on Shell’s application.
It should be noted that this research
monitoring program follows the
guidance of the Commission’s
recommended approach for monitoring
seismic activities in the Arctic (Hofman
and Swartz, 1991), that additional
research might be warranted when
impacts to marine mammals would not
be detectable as a result of vessel
observation programs.
Comment 27: The AEWC notes the
MMPA requires that authorizations for
incidental take in Arctic waters include:
‘‘requirements for the monitoring and
reporting of such taking by harassment,
including the requirements for
independent peer review of proposed
monitoring plans. ‘‘ The MMPA and
NMFS’ regulations are clear that any
monitoring plan accompanying an IHA
for activities in Arctic waters and
potentially affecting subsistence uses of
marine resources shall be subject to
independent peer review. The agency
has no discretion in this regard. Since
Shell has not prepared a legally
adequate monitoring plan, independent
peer review of such a plan has not been
possible. Given the strict requirements
governing timing of agency and public
review of an IHA application, such
independent peer review will not occur
as part of this process.≥
Response: Shell submitted its
monitoring plans for the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas as part of its application.
NMFS noted the availability of the
application and monitoring plans on
May 3, 2006 (71 FR 26055). Shell also
made its application available to the
AEWC and the NSB and its Department
of Wildlife at the time of its application
to NMFS and held meetings on its
activity with affected communities
beginning in the spring, 2006. Shell’s
Beaufort and Chukchi Sea monitoring
plans were the subject of discussion at
the NMFS’ peer-review workshop in
April, 2006. This workshop is the means
used by NMFS to meet the requirement
for peer-review. As a result of
discussions at the April, 2006
workshop, Shell and others proposed
conducting additional monitoring and
research. That proposal was completed
on April 26, 2006, and reviewed by NSB
and NMFS scientists. Comments were
submitted by the NSB Department of
Wildlife Management on May 18, 2006.
A revised research plan was released on
June 9, 2006 and is currently being
reviewed by scientists.
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Mitigation Concerns
Comment 28: The CBD recommends
NMFS deny an IHA to Shell unless and
until NMFS can ensure that mitigation
measures are in place to truly avoid
adverse impacts to all species and their
habitats.
Response: NMFS is required to
prescribe means of effecting the least
practicable (adverse) impact (i.e.,
mitigation), not to ensure that no
adverse impacts occur. NMFS believes
that the mitigation measures required
under Shell’s IHA will reduce levels to
the lowest level practicable. Inherent in
implementing these mitigation measures
is some level of uncertainty on the
distribution and abundance of cetaceans
in the Chukchi Sea and on whether the
acoustic impacts observed in the
Beaufort Sea also occur in the Chukchi
Sea.
Comment 29: The CBD believes that
the proposed IHA [notice] contains
information to conclude that many such
measures are in fact practicable. For
example, during periods when conflict
with subsistence hunting is most likely,
Shell proposes additional monitoring
and mitigation measures: ‘‘From August
15 until the end of the bowhead hunting
season (or until the end of the seismic
operations in the Beaufort Sea) special
monitoring and mitigation/monitoring
measures will be adopted (i.e. aerial
surveys).’’ While these measures are
designed to avoid impacts to bowheads
so as not to affect the subsistence hunt,
there is no reason, and certainly no
explanation of, why these measures
cannot be instituted for the entirety of
the seismic surveys.
Response: As noted elsewhere in this
document, Shell has agreed to area
closures in the Beaufort Sea to ensure
that there is not an unmitigable adverse
impact on the subsistence use of
bowheads by its seismic operation in
the Beaufort Sea. This mitigation
measure was proposed by the AEWC
and the whaling captains associations
after Shell submitted its application. As
a result, neither Shell nor NMFS could
address this measure at the time of the
proposed IHA notice. While area
closures are a valuable mitigation tool
for protecting sensitive life stages for
marine mammals and possibly for
reducing impacts at less sensitive times,
the application of temporal and spatial
measures need to be balanced with the
need to accomplish the activity. In the
Beaufort Sea, the short season available
for seismic surveys precludes extension
of this measure for reasons other than
subsistence.
The second measure proposed by
Shell in its application is an aerial
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monitoring program of the Beaufort Sea
during the fall bowhead migration. This
activity, which is not a mitigation
measure (except to the extent detailed
later in this document) was fully
described in Shell’s application.
However, it is not a mitigation measure
but a measure to obtain information on
the fall migration of bowhead whales.
Based upon discussions with scientists,
modifications to that aerial monitoring
program and the addition of aerial and
vessel monitoring to the Chukchi Sea
have been made to Shell’s program.
Comment 30: With regard to nighttime and poor visibility conditions, the
CBD notes that Shell proposes
essentially no limitations in operations,
even though they acknowledge that the
likelihood of observers seeing marine
mammals in such conditions is low.
Only when the senior observer
determines that ‘‘densities of
endangered cetaceans’’ are high enough
‘‘to warrant concern’’ that an
‘‘endangered cetacean’’ will enter the
safety zone would Shell have to stop
surveying or move to another part of the
survey area. The CBD also states that
there is no rationale under the MMPA
to limit this provision to ‘‘endangered
cetaceans’’ (i.e., bowheads) since
minimizing impacts to all marine
mammals is required. CBD claims the
obvious solution, not analyzed by Shell
or NMFS is to simply prohibit seismic
surveying when conditions prevent
observers from detecting all marine
mammals in the safety zone.
Response: NMFS agrees that
mitigation is not restricted to bowhead
whales, but should apply to all marine
mammals. However, a shutdown of all
seismic activity whenever the shutdown
zone cannot be visually seen is simply
not practical. It is NMFS opinion that
once a safety zone is determined
visually to be free of marine mammals,
seismic should continue into periods of
poor visibility. It should be understood
that the safety zone not stationary but is
moving along with the ship at whatever
speed the ship is progressing. For
example, if the ship is making 5 knots,
the safety zone will be 5 nm (9.3 km)
upstream in an hour). With a 180–dB
exclusion zone of 1.5 km (08 nm),
marine mammals potentially affected by
seismic noise would have ample time to
move away from the source, as
evidenced by bowhead, beluga and gray
whale avoidance behavior. A review of
previous monitoring programs indicates
these species will not be within a
distance to incur Level A harassment.
For pinnipeds, NMFS believes that
because they are not likely to even react
to seismic sounds unless the received
levels are >170 dB re 1 microPa (rms),
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hearing impairment is also unlikely at
an SPL as low as 190 dB. Therefore, it
is unlikely that marine mammals will be
harmed as a result of continuing seismic
into periods of poor visibility in Arctic
waters. As a result, NMFS has
determined that it is only if daytime
activities have a large abundance of
marine mammals and/or a significant
number of shutdowns, should nighttime
seismic be prohibited.
Also as a general rule, termination of
seismic during nighttime and poor
visibility is simply not practicable due
to cost considerations and ship time
schedules. The cost to operate a large
industrial seismic survey with support
vessels is approximately $300,000 per
day (Kent Satterlee, pers. comn). If the
vessels were prohibited from operating
during nighttime, each trip could
require several additional Arctic survey
operations to complete, depending on
average daylight at the time of work. In
the Chukchi and Beaufort seas, fog is
common even though there is 24 hours
of daylight per day until late August,
but by late September there is less than
12 hours of daylight and by late October
there would be only 3–4 hours of
daylight, seriously limiting operations
later in the year if a daylight and clear
weather requirement were imposed.
ESA Concerns
Comment 31: The CBD states that
NMFS may authorize incidental take of
bowhead whales under the ESA
pursuant to section 7(b)(4), but only
where such take occurs while ‘‘carrying
out an otherwise lawful activity.’’ To be
‘‘lawful,’’ such activities must ‘‘meet all
State and Federal legal requirements
except the prohibition against taking in
section 9 of the [ESA].’’ As discussed,
Shell’s proposed activities violate the
MMPA and NEPA and therefore are not
‘‘otherwise lawful.’’ Any take
authorization for the bowhead whale
would therefore violate the ESA as well
as other statutes.
Response: As noted in this document,
NMFS has made the necessary
determinations under the MMPA and
NEPA regarding the incidental
harassment of marine mammals by Shell
while it is conducting activities
permitted legally under MMS’
jurisdiction.
NEPA Concerns
Comment 32: The CBD notes that they
submitted comments on the MMS PEA
along with comments on Shell’s IHA
application. Subsequent to CBD’s May
10, 2006 letter on the PEA, they believe
additional information has come to light
that requires the preparation of an EIS
in accordance with 40 CFR
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1508.27(b)(4). The CBD notes that the
Native Village of Kaktovik passed a
resolution opposing Shell’s seismic
survey plans and the Native Village of
Point Hope also officially expressed its
opposition to this summer’s various
seismic surveys. The CBD believes that
NMFS cannot rationally adopt the PEA
and make a Finding of No Significant
Impact (FONSI) on this action. Instead,
it must prepare a full EIS analyzing the
effects of Shell’s proposed activities in
the context of cumulative effects of all
other natural and anthropogenic
impacts on marine mammals, habitats
and communities of the Chukchi and
Beaufort seas.
Response: While the Villages of Point
Hope and Kaktovik expressed
opposition to Shell’s activities in the
Chukchi and Beaufort seas this year (as
coastal native Alaskan communities
have done for many years), the Whaling
Captains’ Associations of Point Hope,
Kaktovik, Nuiqsut, and Wainwright
signed a CAA with Shell,
ConocoPhillips and GXTechnology.
This CAA indicates to NMFS that
seismic exploration activities by these
companies will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence uses,
including bowheads and belugas. This,
along with the required mitigation and
monitoring measures, informed NMFS’
FONSI.
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Description of Habitat and Marine
Mammals Affected by the Activity
A detailed description of the Beaufort
and Chukchi sea ecosystems and their
associated marine mammals can be
found in several documents (Corps of
Engineers, 1999; NMFS, 1999; Minerals
Management Service (MMS), 2006, 1996
and 1992) and does not need to be
repeated here.
Marine Mammals
The Beaufort/Chukchi Seas support a
diverse assemblage of marine mammals,
including bowhead whales (Balaena
mysticetus), gray whales (Eschrichtius
robustus), beluga whales
(Delphinapterus leucas), killer whales
(Orcinus orca), harbor porpoise
(Phocoena phocoena), ringed seals
(Phoca hispida), spotted seals (Phoca
largha), bearded seals (Erignathus
barbatus), walrus (Odobenus rosmarus)
and polar bears (Ursus maritimus).
These latter two species are under the
jurisdiction of the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (USFWS) and are not
discussed further in this document.
Descriptions of the biology and
distribution of the marine mammal
species under NMFS’ jurisdiction can be
found in Shell’s application and MMS’
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15:15 Aug 23, 2006
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Final PEA. Information on these species
can be found also in the NMFS Stock
Assessment Reports. The Alaska Stock
Assessment Report is available at:
https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/
region.htm Please refer to those
documents for information on these
species.
Potential Effects of Seismic Surveys on
Marine Mammals
Disturbance by seismic noise is the
principal means of taking by this
activity. Support vessels and aircraft
may provide a potential secondary
source of noise. The physical presence
of vessels and aircraft could also lead to
non-acoustic effects on marine
mammals involving visual or other cues.
As outlined in previous NMFS
documents, the effects of noise on
marine mammals are highly variable,
and can be categorized as follows (based
on Richardson et al., 1995):
(1) The noise may be too weak to be
heard at the location of the animal (i.e.,
lower than the prevailing ambient noise
level, the hearing threshold of the
animal at relevant frequencies, or both);
(2) The noise may be audible but not
strong enough to elicit any overt
behavioral response;
(3) The noise may elicit reactions of
variable conspicuousness and variable
relevance to the well being of the
marine mammal; these can range from
temporary alert responses to active
avoidance reactions such as vacating an
area at least until the noise event ceases;
(4) Upon repeated exposure, a marine
mammal may exhibit diminishing
responsiveness (habituation), or
disturbance effects may persist; the
latter is most likely with sounds that are
highly variable in characteristics,
infrequent and unpredictable in
occurrence, and associated with
situations that a marine mammal
perceives as a threat;
(5) Any anthropogenic noise that is
strong enough to be heard has the
potential to reduce (mask) the ability of
a marine mammal to hear natural
sounds at similar frequencies, including
calls from conspecifics, and underwater
environmental sounds such as surf
noise;
(6) If mammals remain in an area
because it is important for feeding,
breeding or some other biologically
important purpose even though there is
chronic exposure to noise, it is possible
that there could be noise-induced
physiological stress; this might in turn
have negative effects on the well-being
or reproduction of the animals involved;
and
(7) Very strong sounds have the
potential to cause temporary or
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50037
permanent reduction in hearing
sensitivity. In terrestrial mammals, and
presumably marine mammals, received
sound levels must far exceed the
animal’s hearing threshold for there to
be any temporary threshold shift (TTS)
in its hearing ability. For transient
sounds, the sound level necessary to
cause TTS is inversely related to the
duration of the sound. Received sound
levels must be even higher for there to
be risk of permanent hearing
impairment. In addition, intense
acoustic or explosive events may cause
trauma to tissues associated with organs
vital for hearing, sound production,
respiration and other functions. This
trauma may include minor to severe
hemorrhage.
Effects of Seismic Surveys on Marine
Mammals
Shell (2005) states that the only
anticipated impacts to marine mammals
associated with noise propagation from
vessel movement, seismic airgun
operations, and seabed profiling and
coring work (in the Beaufort Sea) would
be the temporary and short term
displacement of whales and seals from
within ensonified zones produced by
such noise sources. In the case of
bowhead whales, that displacement
might well take the form of a deflection
of the swim paths of migrating
bowheads away from (seaward of)
received noise levels greater than 160 db
(Richardson et al., 1999). The cited and
other studies conducted to test the
hypothesis of the deflection response of
bowheads have determined that
bowheads return to the swim paths they
were following at relatively short
distances after their exposure to the
received sounds. NMFS believes that
there is no evidence that bowheads so
exposed to low sound pressure levels
have incurred injury to their auditory
mechanisms. Additionally, Shell cites
Richardson and Thomson [eds]. (2002)
for the proposition that there is no
conclusive evidence that exposure to
sounds exceeding 160 dB have
displaced bowheads from feeding
activity.
Results from the 1996–1998 BP and
Western Geophysical seismic
monitoring programs in the Beaufort Sea
indicate that most fall migrating
bowheads deflected seaward to avoid an
area within about 20 km (12.4 mi) of an
active nearshore seismic operation, with
the exception of a few closer sightings
when there was an island or very
shallow water between the seismic
operations and the whales (Miller et al.,
1998, 1999). The available data do not
provide an unequivocal estimate of the
distance (and received sound levels) at
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 164 / Thursday, August 24, 2006 / Notices
project. It is not positively known
whether the hearing systems of marine
mammals very close to an airgun would
be at risk of temporary or permanent
hearing impairment, but TTS is a
theoretical possibility for animals
within a few hundred meters of the
source (Richardson et al., 1995).
However, planned monitoring and
mitigation measures (described later in
this document) are designed to avoid
sudden onsets of seismic pulses at full
power, to detect marine mammals
occurring near the array, and to avoid
exposing them to sound pulses that
have any possibility of causing hearing
impairment.
When the received levels of noise
exceed some threshold, cetaceans will
show behavioral disturbance reactions.
The levels, frequencies, and types of
noise that will elicit a response vary
between and within species,
individuals, locations, and seasons.
Behavioral changes may be subtle
alterations in surface, respiration, and
dive cycles. More conspicuous
responses include changes in activity or
aerial displays, movement away from
the sound source, or complete
avoidance of the area. The reaction
threshold and degree of response also
are related to the activity of the animal
which approaching bowheads begin to
deflect, but this may be on the order of
35 km (21.7 mi). It is also uncertain how
far beyond (west of) the seismic
operation the seaward deflection
persists (Miller et al., 1999). In one
study, although very few bowheads
approached within 20 km (12.4 mi) of
the operating seismic vessel, the number
of bowheads sighted within that area
returned to normal within 12–24 hours
after the airgun operations ended (Miller
et al., 1999).
Although NMFS believes that some
limited masking of low-frequency
sounds (e.g., whale calls) is a possibility
during seismic surveys, the intermittent
nature of seismic source pulses (1
second in duration every 16 to 24
seconds (i.e., less than 7 percent duty
cycle)) will limit the extent of masking.
Bowhead whales are known to continue
calling in the presence of seismic survey
sounds, and their calls can be heard
between seismic pulses (Greene et al.,
1999, Richardson et al., 1986). Masking
effects are expected to be absent in the
case of belugas, given that sounds
important to them are predominantly at
much higher frequencies than are airgun
sounds (Western Geophysical, 2000).
Hearing damage is not expected to
occur during the Shell seismic survey
at the time of the disturbance. Whales
engaged in active behaviors, such as
feeding, socializing, or mating, are less
likely than resting animals to show
overt behavioral reactions, unless the
disturbance is directly threatening.
A description of potential impulsive
noise impacts to bowhead whales, gray
whales, beluga whales and ringed,
largha and bearded seals were provided
in the May 3, 2006 Federal Register
notice (71 FR 26055) and is not repeated
here. Additional information can be
found in NMFS notice of receipt of an
application from GX Technologies (71
FR 32045, June 2, 2006).
Numbers of Marine Mammals Expected
to Be Exposed to Seismic Noise
The methodology used by Shell to
estimate incidental take by Level B
harassment is presented in the
application. Subsequent to submission
of that application, Shell provided more
conservative estimates of potential
marine mammal exposures by using the
JASCO model. Therefore, Tables 1 and
2 provide exposure calculations for both
sets of calculations. NMFS has used the
more conservative estimates of noise
exposure to determine impacts to
marine mammals.
TABLE 1. BEAUFORT SEA REVISED ESTIMATES
Average
Density
Cetaceans
bowhead whales
gray whale
beluga
Pinnipeds
ringed seal
spotted seal
bearded seal
Original
Estimate Average Density
Maximum
Density
Original
Estimate Maximum Density
Revised
Estimate Average Density
Revised
Estimates Maximum Density
0.0064
0.0045
0.0034
0.0256
0.0179
0.0135
46
33
25
185
129
98
395
278
210
1579
1104
833
0.251
0.0001
0.0128
0.444
0.0005
0.0226
1185
0
60
2097
2
107
7335
3
374
12976
15
660
TABLE 2. CHUKCHI SEA REVISED ESTIMATES
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Average
Density
Cetaceans
bowhead whales
gray whale
beluga
killer whale
harbor porpoise
Pinnipeds
ringed seal
spotted seal
bearded seal
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Maximum
Density
Original
Estimate
Average
Density
Original
Estimate
Maximum
Density
Revised
Estimate
Average
Density
Revised
Estimates
Maximum
Density
Revised Estimates Scenario 2
Average
Revised
Estimates
Chukchi
Scenario 2
Maximum
0.0064
0.0045
0.0034
0
0
0.0256
0.0179
0.0135
0
0.0002
46
33
25
0
0
185
129
98
5
5
403
284
214
10
10
1613
1128
851
10
13
806
568
428
20
26
3226
2256
1702
20
26
0.251
0.0001
0.0128
0.444
0.0005
0.0226
1185
0
60
2097
2
107
6805
3
347
12038
14
613
13610
6
694
24076
28
1226
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The density estimates for the species
covered under this IHA are based on the
estimates developed by LGL (2005). The
LGL density estimates are based on the
original data from Moore et al. (2000) on
summering bowhead, gray, and beluga
whales in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas, and relevant studies on ringed seal
estimates, including Stirling et al. (1982)
and Kingsley (1986).
In its application, Shell provides
estimates of the number of potential
exposures to sound levels greater than
160 dB re 1 microPa (rms) and greater
than 170 dB. Shell states that while the
160–dB criterion is applied for
estimating Level B harassment of all
species of cetaceans and pinnipeds,
Shell believes that a 170–dB criterion
should be considered appropriate for
estimating Level B harassment of
delphinid cetaceans and pinnipeds,
which tend to be less responsive,
whereas the 160–dB criterion is
considered appropriate for other
cetaceans (LGL, 2005). However, NMFS
has noted in the past that there is no
empirical evidence to indicate that some
delphinid species do not respond at the
lower level (i.e., 160 dB). As a result,
NMFS is using the 160–dB isopleth to
estimate the numbers of marine
mammals that may be taken by Level B
harassment.
The estimates in Tables 1 and 2 are
based on marine mammal exposures to
160 dB (and greater) from either
approximately 5,556 km (3452 mi) of
seismic surveys in three distinct areas of
the eastern- and mid-Beaufort Sea and a
similar level of effort in the Chukchi Sea
or approximately 11,112 km (6905 mi)
only in the Chukchi Sea if seismic work
in the Beaufort Sea is not undertaken.
These latter calculations are provided in
the last column of Table 2.
There will be no site clearance work
performed for the seismic activities in
the Chukchi Sea, therefore, potential
taking estimates only include noise
disturbance from the use of airguns. It
is assumed that, during simultaneous
operations of those additional sound
sources and the airgun(s), any marine
mammals close enough to be affected by
the sonars or pinger would already be
affected by the airgun(s).
Exposure Calculations for Cetaceans
and Pinnipeds
The number of exposures of a
particular species to sound pressure
levels between 160 dB and 180 dB re 1
microPa (rms) was calculated by
multiplying: (1) the expected species
density (i.e., average and maximum), as
shown in Tables 1 and 2; (2) the
anticipated total line-kilometers of
operations with the three 1,049–in3
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Jkt 208001
subarrays (i.e., 5556 km (3452 mi)); and
(3) the cross-track distances within
which received sound levels are
predicted to be between 160 and 180 dB
(Figure 6–1 and Table 6–3 in the Shell
application).
Chukchi Sea
Shell estimates that the average and
maximum numbers of bowhead whales
that may be exposed to noise levels of
160 dB or greater are 798 and 3192
(based on seismic work in both the
Chukchi and Beaufort seas),
respectively. However, according to
Shell, the proposed seismic activities
would occur when bowheads are widely
distributed and would be expected to
occur in very low numbers within the
seismic activity area. Therefore, based
on the 160–dB threshold criterion, the
number of bowhead whales that may be
exposed to sounds at or greater than 160
dB re 1 microPa (rms) would be even
smaller, and represents a small percent
of the estimated population within the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. The average
and maximum estimates of the number
of exposures at or greater than 160 dB
are 284 and 1128 for gray whales, 214
and 851 for beluga whales, 10 and 10 for
killer whales, and 10 and 13 for harbor
porpoises.
While no reliable abundance numbers
currently exist for ringed, spotted, and
bearded seals for the Chukchi Sea, the
potential number of exposures would be
a very small fraction of abundance
estimates as shown in Table 2.
Beaufort Sea
As indicated in Table 1 in this
document, the estimated average and
maximum numbers for bowhead whales
at exposures 160 dB or greater are 395
and 1579, respectively. Again, as stated
earlier, proposed activities would occur
mainly when bowheads are not present
in the area or are in very low numbers.
Gray and beluga whales also have the
potential for exposure, particularly near
seismic survey area 3. The average and
maximum estimates of the number of
exposures for gray whales are 278 and
1104, and 210 and 833 for beluga
whales, respectively.
Ringed seals would be the most
prevalent marine mammal species
encountered at each of the three
proposed seismic acquisition areas, and
would account for most of the marine
mammals that might be exposed to
seismic sounds equal to or greater than
160 dB. Potential exposure estimates for
pinnipeds in the Beaufort Sea are shown
in Table 1. However, Moulton and
Lawson (2002) indicated that most
pinnipeds exposed to seismic sounds
lower than 170 dB do not visibly react.
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As a result, NMFS believes that these
exposure estimates are very
conservative. Spotted and bearded seals
may be encountered in much smaller
numbers than ringed seals, but also have
the potential for some minor exposure.
Finally, if Shell does not conduct
seismic survey work in the Beaufort Sea
in 2006, and implements scenario 2 as
mentioned previously, Shell estimates
that additional sound exposures would
occur in the Chukchi Sea. These
estimates are provided in the last
column of Table 2.
Potential Impact on Habitat
It is unlikely that the proposed
seismic activities will result in any
permanent impact on habitats used by
marine mammals, or to their prey
sources. Seismic activities will occur
during the time of year when bowhead
whales are widely distributed and
would be expected to occur in very low
numbers within the seismic activity area
(during July and again from midOctober through November). The
northeastern-most of the recurring
feeding areas is in the northeastern
Chukchi Sea southwest of Barrow. Any
effects would be temporary and of short
duration at any one place.
A broad discussion on the various
types of potential effects of exposure to
seismic on fish and invertebrates can be
found in LGL (2005; University of
Alaska-Fairbanks Seismic Survey across
Arctic Ocean at https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental.htm#iha), and includes a
summary of direct mortality
(pathological/ physiological) and
indirect (behavioral) effects.
Mortality to fish, fish eggs and larvae
from seismic energy sources would be
expected within a few meters (0.5 to 3
m (1.6 to 9.8 ft)) from the seismic
source. Direct mortality within 48 hours
has been observed in cod and plaice that
were subjected to seismic pulses two
meters from the source (Matishov,
1992), however other studies did not
report any fish kills from seismic source
exposure (La Bella et al., 1996; IMG,
2002; Hassel et al., 2003). To date, fish
mortalities associated with normal
seismic operations are thought to be
slight. Saetre and Ona (1996) modeled a
worst-case mathematical approach on
the effects of seismic energy on fish eggs
and larvae, and concluded that
mortality rates caused by exposure to
seismic are so low compared to natural
mortality that issues relating to stock
recruitment should be regarded as
insignificant.
Limited studies on physiological
effects on marine fish and invertebrates
to acoustic stress have been conducted.
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 164 / Thursday, August 24, 2006 / Notices
No significant increases in physiological
stress from seismic energy were
detected for various fish, squid, and
cuttlefish (McCauley et al., 2000) or in
male snow crabs (Christian et al., 2003).
Behavioral changes in fish associated
with seismic exposures are expected to
be minor at best. Because only a small
portion of the available foraging habitat
would be subjected to seismic pulses at
a given time, fish would be expected to
return to the area of disturbance
anywhere from 15–30 minutes later
(McCauley et al., 2000) to several days
(Engas et al., 1996).
Available data indicate that mortality
and behavioral changes do occur within
very close range to the seismic source,
however, the proposed seismic
acquisition activities in the Chukchi and
Beaufort seas are predicted by Shell to
have a negligible effect to the prey
resource of the various life stages of fish
and invertebrates available to marine
mammals occurring during the project’s
duration.
The total footprint of the proposed
seismic survey area covers
approximately 378,000 acres in the
Chukchi Sea and 717,000 acres in the
Beaufort Sea. The effects of the planned
seismic activity at each of the seismic
locations on marine mammal habitats
and food resources are expected to be
negligible, as described. It is estimated
that only a small portion of the animals
utilizing the areas of the proposed
activities would be temporarily
displaced.
In addition, feeding does not appear
to be an important activity by bowheads
migrating through the Chukchi Sea or
the eastern and central part of the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea in most years
(Shell, 2005). Sightings of bowhead
whales occur in the summer near
Barrow (Moore and DeMaster, 2000) and
there are suggestions that certain areas
near Barrow are important feeding
grounds. In addition, a few bowheads
can be found in the Chukchi and Bering
Seas during the summer and Rugh et al.
(2003) suggest that this may be an
expansion of the western Arctic stock,
although more research is needed. In the
absence of important feeding areas, the
potential diversion of a small number of
bowheads away from seismic activities
is not expected to have any significant
or long-term consequences for
individual bowheads or their
population. As a result, NMFS believes
Shell’s seismic activities will not have
any habitat-related effects that would
produce long-term effects to marine
mammals or their habitat due to the
limited extent of the acquisition areas
and timing of the activities.
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Jkt 208001
Effects of Seismic Noise and Other
Activities on the Availability of Marine
Mammals for Subsistence Uses
The disturbance and potential
displacement of marine mammals by
sounds from seismic activities are the
principal concerns related to
subsistence use of the area. The harvest
of marine mammals (mainly bowhead
whales, but also ringed and bearded
seals) is central to the culture and
subsistence economies of the coastal
North Slope and Western Alaskan
communities. In particular, if migrating
bowhead whales are displaced farther
offshore by elevated noise levels, the
harvest of these whales could be more
difficult and dangerous for hunters. The
harvest could also be affected if
bowheads become more skittish when
exposed to seismic noise. Hunters
related how whales also appear ‘‘angry’’
due to seismic noise, making whaling
more dangerous.
In the Chukchi Sea, Shell seismic
work should not have unmitigable
adverse impacts on the availability of
the whale species for subsistence uses.
The whale species normally taken by
Inupiat hunters are the bowhead and
belugas. Shell’s Chukchi seismic
operations will not begin until after July
15, 2006 by which time the majority of
bowheads will have migrated to their
summer feeding areas in Canada. Even
if any bowheads remain in the
northeastern Chukchi Sea after July 15,
they are not normally hunted after this
date until the return migration occurs
around late September when a fall hunt
by Barrow whalers takes place. In the
past few years, a small number of
bowheads have also been taken by
coastal villages along the Chukchi coast.
Seismic operations for phase two of the
Chukchi program will be timed and
located so as to avoid any possible
conflict with the Barrow fall whaling,
and specific provisions governing the
timing and location have been
incorporated into the CAA established
between Shell and WesternGeco, the
AEWC, and the Barrow Whaling
Captains Association.
Beluga whales may also be taken
sporadically for subsistence needs by
coastal villages, but traditionally are
taken in small numbers very near the
coast. Because the seismic surveys will
be conducted at least 12 miles (25 km)
offshore, impacts to subsistence uses of
bowheads are not anticipated. However,
Shell will establish ‘‘communication
stations’’ in the villages to monitoring
impacts. Gray whales, which will be
abundant in the northern Chukchi Sea
from spring through autumn, are not
taken by subsistence hunters.
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The various pinniped species,
including walrus, are all taken by
subsistence hunters of the Chukchi
villages (Barrow, Wainwright, Pt Lay, Pt
Hope). The planned seismic operations
will not adversely affect the usual openwater locations of these species and no
haul-out areas will be encountered (with
the possible exception of the polar ice
front used by walrus, which is under the
jurisdiction of the USFWS). However,
most seismic operations will take place
sufficiently distant from nearshore
traditional beluga, seal, and walrus
hunting areas such that no unmitigable
adverse impacts are anticipated.
In the Beaufort Sea, there could be an
adverse impact on the Inupiat bowhead
subsistence hunt if the whales were
deflected seaward (further from shore)
in traditional hunting areas. The impact
would be that whaling crews would
necessarily be forced to travel greater
distances to intercept westward
migrating whales thereby creating a
safety hazard for whaling crews and/or
limiting chances of successfully striking
and landing bowheads. This potential
impact will be mitigated by application
of the procedures established in the
CAA between the seismic operators and
the AEWC and the whaling captains’
associations of Kaktovik, Nuiqsut and
Barrow. The times and locations of
seismic and other noise producing
sources will be curtailed during times of
active scouting and whaling within the
traditional subsistence hunting areas of
the three potentially affected
communities. (Shell, 2005).
Monitoring
As part of its application, Shell
provided a monitoring plan for
assessing impacts to marine mammals
from seismic surveys in the Beaufort
and Chukchi seas. During NMFS’ Arctic
Open Water Meeting in Anchorage on
April 19–24, 2006, scientists and
stakeholders indicated to Shell,
ConocoPhillips and GXTechnology (the
3 companies planning to conduct
seismic in the Arctic Ocean) that
additional research monitoring would
be necessary in order to obtain
information on marine mammals in the
Chukchi Sea and potential impacts of
industrial noise on marine mammals
and subsistence uses of marine
mammals. For this year, in order to
reduce uncertainty of impacts on lowfrequency hearing sensitive marine
mammals (bowhead and gray whales)
during periods of significant behavioral
activities (migration and feeding), and
on subsistence activities, additional
mitigation and monitoring measures are
warranted. As a result, Shell will
conduct the following monitoring:
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Vessel-based Visual Monitoring
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Seismic Source Vessel Monitoring
Shell will have at least four observers
(three trained biologists and one Inupiat
observer/communicator) based aboard
the seismic vessel. Marine mammal
observers (MMOs) will search for and
observe marine mammals whenever
seismic operations are in progress and
for at least 30 minutes before the
planned start of seismic transmissions
or whenever the seismic array’s
operations have been suspended for
more than 10 minutes. These observers
will scan the area immediately around
the vessels with reticle binoculars
during the daytime. Laser rangefinding
equipment will be available to assist
with distance estimation. After midAugust, when the duration of darkness
increases, image intensifiers will be
used by observers and additional light
sources may be used to illuminate the
safety zone.
The use of four observers allows two
observers to be on duty simultaneously
for up to 50 percent of the active airgun
hours. The use of two observers
increases the probability of detecting
marine mammals, and two observers
will be on duty whenever the seismic
array is ramped up. Individual watches
will be limited to no more than 4
consecutive hours to avoid observer
fatigue (and no more than 12 hours on
watch per 24 hour day). When mammals
are detected within or about to enter the
safety zone designated to prevent injury
to the animals (see Mitigation), the
geophysical crew leader will be notified
so that shutdown procedures can be
implemented immediately. Information
on training, duties etc can be found in
LGL (2006) which is available on the
NMFS Web site (see ADDRESSES).
Chase Boat Monitoring
In addition to MMOs onboard the
seismic vessels, Shell will also have at
least two MMOs aboard a ‘‘chase boat’’
or ‘‘guard boat.’’ During seismic
operations, a chase boat remains very
near to the stern of the source vessel
anytime a member of the source vessel
crew is on the back deck deploying or
retrieving equipment related to the
seismic array. Once the seismic array is
deployed the chase boat then serves to
keep other vessels away from the
seismic vessel and its array (including
the hydrophone streamer) during
production of seismic data and provide
additional emergency response
capabilities. Whenever source vessel
members are not working on the back
deck and radar indicates no vessels
approaching the source vessel, the chase
boat will conduct observations of the
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15:15 Aug 23, 2006
Jkt 208001
area delineated by the 160–dB isopleth
to look for bowhead and gray whale
aggregations (see Mitigation). During all
active seismic survey activity, the chase
boat will conduct marine mammal
surveys no less than every 48 hours or
3 times per 7 days, of the 160–dB area
to be seismically surveyed over the next
24 hours. MMOs will search for
aggregations of bowhead and gray whale
feeding. The MMOs on the chase boat
will be responsible for immediately
contacting the seismic survey ship if
marine mammals are sited within the
180/190–dB safety zone or aggregations
of 12 or more non-migratory bowhead
whales or gray whales are sited within
the surveyed 160–dB zone. The MMOs
aboard the chase boat will also provide
additional observations on the water to
document any marine mammals in the
vicinity of seismic operations. To
maximize the amount of time during the
day that an observer is on duty, the two
observers aboard the chase boat will
rarely work at the same time. As on the
source vessel, shifts will be limited to 4
hours in length and 12 hours total in a
24–hour period.
Aerial Monitoring Surveys
Beaufort Sea
Aerial Surveys: Shell will conduct
aerial surveys of the Beaufort Sea
regional distribution and abundance of
marine mammals with special attention
to bowhead whales prior to the
initiation of the seismic survey starts
and periodically during and after the
survey. The objectives of the Beaufort
Sea aerial surveys are the following:
(1) document the occurrence,
distribution, and movements of
bowhead, as well as beluga and gray,
whales in and near the area where they
might be affected by the seismic pulses.
These observations will be used to
estimate the level of harassment takes
and to assess the possibility that seismic
operations affect the accessibility of
bowhead whales for subsistence
hunting. Pinnipeds will be recorded
when seen, although survey altitude
will be too high for systematic surveys
of seals;
(2) document the numbers of whales,
at least theoretically, exposed to noise
from seismic survey and their responses
to the surveys (if detectable); and
(3) Provide real-time or near real-time
information that can be used (if
appropriate) to alter the survey’s starting
point and survey line sequence based on
the actual distribution of whales in the
area immediately prior to and during
surveys (see below),.
Aerial surveys will be conducted only
when they can be carried out in a safe
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50041
manner and during periods of good
visibility where there is sufficient
probability of detecting bowhead whales
and other marine mammals. Generally,
the flight plan and coverage of the aerial
survey will be conducted following
established standards and
methodologies, as described above, with
particular reference to MMS’ Bowhead
Whale Aerial Survey Program (BWASP)
procedures. Specific details of the flight
pattern and coverage will be fully
developed in an aerial flight operations
plan but will be subject to operation
changes as needed to provide effective
coverage during field operations. Aerial
surveys conducted during the bowhead
whaling season will be coordinated with
whaling efforts, such that airplanes
operating in close proximity to whalers
can take action (e.g. flying at higher
altitudes, to reduce the potential to
impact the hunt).
Shell will conduct Beaufort Sea aerial
surveys twice a week from August 25
through September 15, 2006 and daily
(when weather permits) from September
16th on. Aerial surveys in the Beaufort
Sea will continue for three days after the
cessation of seismic operations in the
Beaufort Sea. Aerial surveys will be
conducted by teams of up to four
observers (a pilot, two dedicated
observers, and an observer/data
recorder) in a twin-engine airplane (not
a helicopter). Observations are made at
an altitude of 900 to 1,500 ft (274 to 457
m)and a ground speed of 120 knots (120
nm/hr; 138 statute mi (mi)/hr; 222 km/
hr). Similar to previous Beaufort Sea
aerial surveys, the survey plane will
traverse a survey grid (approved in
advance by marine mammal scientists at
NMFS’ National Marine Mammal
Laboratory (NMML) in coordination
with other marine mammal scientists),
centered on the seismic operations,
which extends 50 to 75 km (31 to 46.6
mi) both east and west of the seismic
operations and to 75 km (46.6 mi)
offshore. Shell recommends that
periodic flights range further to the east
may be utilized prior to the onset of
migration to provide an early warning of
the approach of migrating bowhead
whales. After September 1st , the daily
flights will also monitor the area within
the 120–dB isopleth (to the extent
practicable) to locate migrating bowhead
whale cow/calf pairs in compliance
with mitigation requirements described
later in this document.
If seismic work in the Beaufort Sea is
suspended by Shell during the bowhead
subsistence hunting season, but resumes
later in the autumn, aerial surveys,
including monitoring the 120–dB zone,
will commence (or resume) when the
seismic work resumes.
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 164 / Thursday, August 24, 2006 / Notices
In addition to Shell’s Beaufort Sea
aerial monitoring program, MMS
expects to conduct its broad-scale
BWASP aerial survey work from
approximately August 31st until the end
of the bowhead migration in October.
NMFS believes that this combined aerial
survey data will provide good
information to estimate the number of
bowheads taken by Level B harassment.
rmajette on PROD1PC67 with NOTICES1
Chukchi Sea
As described previously in this
document, NMFS has determined that
in order to avoid potentially significant
impact (for purposes of NEPA), Shell
must conduct aerial monitoring in the
Chukchi Sea either after September
25th, once the research vessel
monitoring program has detected 4 cow/
calf pairs during a vessel transit (see
Research Monitoring) or once bowhead
whale hunters have determined that the
‘‘pulse’’ of cow/calf pairs are passing
Barrow AK, whichever is sooner. Once
initiated, aerial monitoring will take
place daily (weather permitting),
whenever Shell’s seismic vessel is
conducting seismic surveys and is
operating within an area of the Chukchi
Sea that can be covered safely and
practically. The primary objectives of
the offshore aerial surveys will be to (1)
document the occurrence, distribution,
and movements of bowhead and gray
whales, and other marine mammals in
and near the area where they might be
affected by the seismic sounds and (2)
detect bowhead whale cow/calf pairs in
or near the area ensonified to a 120–dB
SPL near the seismic survey vessel (as
detailed later in this document (see
Mitigation)).
If an aerial monitoring program
cannot be implemented due to human
safety concerns, a dedicated vessel may
be used for surveys of the 120–dB zone.
If vessel surveys are used, a dedicated
passive acoustic monitoring program,
capable of locating the position of the
vocalization, must be employed and
monitored at all times that seismic is
operating on the vessel. If the passive
acoustic system detects one or more
bowhead vocalizations within the 120–
dB zone, Shell must immediately shutdown the seismic airgun array and/or
other acoustic sources; and not proceed
with ramping up the seismic airgun
array until the passive acoustic
monitoring program confirms that
bowhead whales are not within the
eastern portion of the 120–dB zone
ahead of the ship’s trackline over the
next 24 hours.
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Research Monitoring
Research
Shell, ConocoPhillips, and
GXTechnology have developed, and
will implement, a joint-research
component to their individual marine
mammal monitoring programs that will
further improve the understanding of
impacts of seismic exploration on
marine mammals, particularly bowhead
whales. A preliminary description of
this research was outlined in NMFS’
proposed notice (71 FR 26055, May 3,
2006). Following NMFS’ open water
meeting in Anchorage, AK on April 19–
24, 2006, a more detailed research plan
was developed for the seismic industry.
The latest version of this report is
available for downloading (see
ADDRESSES). A description of this
Monitoring Plan was provided in an
earlier Federal Register notice 71 FR
43112, July 31, 2006) and is not
repeated here.
Mitigation Measures
Shell will implement five main
mitigation measures: (1) The timing and
locations for active seismic acquisition
work will be scheduled to curtail
operations when whaling captains
inform the operator that they are
scouting or hunting within traditional
hunting areas; (2) the configuration of
airguns in a manner that directs energy
primarily down to the seabed thus
decreasing the range of horizontal
spreading of seismic noise; (3) a seismic
energy source that is as small as
possible; (4) the use of ramp-up (soft
start) as a method for initiating seismic
operations to alert any marine mammals
either within or approaching an
operating airgun array so that they may
swim away from the source; and (5) the
curtailment (shut-down/power-down) of
active seismic work when the MMOs
visually sight (from shipboard or
aerially) the presence of marine
mammals within identified ensonified
(safety) zones. Details of the required
mitigation measures follow:
Seasonal/Area Restrictions: Shell will
take all practicable measures to
complete seismic operations as early as
possible and to vacate areas within close
proximity of subsistence bowhead
hunting areas during periods of hunting
activity. During periods of hunting
activity, seismic operations will be
moved to areas remote from hunting
operations or will cease for a period.
From August 25 until the end of the
bowhead hunting season (or until the
end of seismic operations in the
Beaufort Sea), seasonal area closures
will be implemented as follows: (1) No
geophysical activity from (1) the
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Canadian border to the Canning River
from August 25th to September 20th, (2)
the Canning River to Point Storkersen
from August 25th to September 25th and
(3) Pitt Point on the east side of Smith
Bay to a location about half way
between Barrow and Peard Bay from
September 10th to October 25th. Shell
will make all reasonable efforts to avoid
disruption of the hunt or deflection of
migrating bowheads in hunting areas.
Airgun Arrays: For the seismic survey,
Shell will:
(a) Configure the airgun array to
maximize the proportion of the energy
that is directed downward and to
minimize horizontal sound propagation.
In particular, closely spaced airguns
whose overall radiation pattern is nearly
omni-directional will be avoided. The
size of the airgun arrays, as measured by
the source level, will not be any larger
than required to meet the technical
objectives for the seismic survey.
(b) Utilize pre-initiation modeling,
based upon anticipated sound
propagation characteristics of the array,
to establish anticipated impact zones of
180 dB and 190 dB.
(c) Conduct an independent field
sound propagation assessments at the
initiation of the field season and adjust
the 180–dB and 190–dB zones
accordingly, after consultation with
NMFS.
Ramp-up (soft-start): For the 2006
seismic survey, Shell will implement
the following ramp-up (soft start)
procedures:
(a) The seismic operator will ramp-up
airguns slowly over a period of 20
minutes each time shooting begins or
whenever the shut-down period has
been greater than 10 minutes. Soft starts
will follow every interruption of the
airgun array firing that is greater than 10
minutes, most importantly if the survey
is discontinued until marine mammals
leave the safety zone. The seismic
operator and MMOs will maintain
records of the times when ramp-ups
start, and when the airgun array reaches
full power.
(b) During periods of turn around and
transit between seismic transects, one
airgun will remain operational. Through
use of this approach, seismic operations
can resume upon entry to a new transect
without full ramp up. While it is routine
to ramp up from a single gun firing to
full array operation, operation of a
single gun allows starting during poor
visibility and ramp up without a period
of static visual observation.
(c) If shut down occurs, ramp-up will
begin only following a minimum of a
30–min period of observation of the
prescribed safety zone to assure that no
marine mammals are present. However,
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if the MMOs are on-duty prior to the
shut-down, and continue their
observations during the shut-down, then
an additional 30–min period of
observation prior to ramp-up is not
necessary. Ramp-up procedures will be
followed until full operating intensity is
achieved.
Safety Zones: For the proposed
seismic survey, Shell will implement
the following measures:
(a) Initial safety zones will be
established prior to the survey based on
available data and modeling concerning
sound output. The sound levels are
based on frequencies between 10 Hz and
120 Hz, the typical peak spectrum of
sound emitted for seismic surveys.
(b) The safety distances will be
verified (and if necessary adjusted)
during the first week of the seismic
survey, based on direct measurements
via calibrated hydrophones of the
received levels of underwater sound
versus distance and direction from the
airgun array. The acoustic data will be
analyzed as quickly as reasonably
practicable in the field and used to
adjust safety distance. The same
acoustic data will be useful in
interpreting observations of marine
mammals during analysis of sighting
data after the programs completion (see
below).
Biological Observers: For the 2006
Arctic Ocean seismic survey, Shell will
implement the following measures:
(a) Trained MMOs on the seismic ship
will be on watch for marine mammals
during all daylight hours when seismic
operations are in progress, as described
under Monitoring.
(b) The purpose of the observers on
the seismic vessel will primarily be to
document the occurrence and responses
of marine mammals visible from the
vessel, and to initiate airgun shutdown
requirements whenever a marine
mammal is observed within the safety
zone. Furthermore, the observers will
confirm the absence of marine mammals
in the safety zones prior to ramp-up.
(c) When a marine mammal is sighted
within, or approaching, the 180/190–dB
safety zones around the airgun array by
the seismic vessel MMOs or the chase
boat MMOs, the MMO will notify the
seismic vessel contractor who will shut
down the airguns. After completion of
the survey, a technical report and a
scientific research paper will be
prepared to summarize the observations,
results, and conclusions of the marine
mammal monitoring program.
Operations at Night and in Poor
Visibility: For the 2006 Arctic Ocean
seismic programs in the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas, Shell will implement the
following measures:
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(a) When operating under conditions
of reduced visibility attributable to
darkness or to adverse weather
conditions, infra-red or night-vision
binoculars will be available for use. It is
recognized, however, that their
effectiveness for this application is very
limited even in clear night time
conditions.
(b) Seismic activities will not be
initiated during darkness or during
conditions when visibility is reduced to
less than the radius of the safety zone.
If a single small airgun remains firing
during a shut-down, the rest of the array
can be ramped up during darkness or in
periods of low visibility. Seismic
operations may continue under
conditions of darkness or reduced
visibility unless, in the judgment of the
senior MMO, densities of marine
mammals in the general area are high
enough to warrant concern that there is
a high concern that one or more marine
mammals is likely to enter the safety
zone undetected. In that case, observers
will advise the ship’s captain or his
designee to halt airgun operations or to
move to a part of the survey area where
visibility is adequate or where the
likelihood of encountering marine
mammals is low based on aerial and
vessel based surveys that would be part
of the real-time monitoring program.
Mitigation for Subsistence Needs
To issue an IHA in Arctic waters,
NMFS must determine that an activity
will not have an unmitigable adverse
impact on the availability of marine
mammals for taking for subsistence
uses. While this includes both cetaceans
and pinnipeds, the primary impact by
seismic activities on subsistence
hunting is expected to be impacts from
noise on bowhead whales during their
westward fall feeding and migration
period in the Beaufort Sea. NMFS has
defined unmitigable adverse impact in
50 CFR 216.103 as an impact resulting
from the specified activity:
(1) that is likely to reduce the availability
of the species to a level insufficient for a
harvest to meet subsistence needs by: (i)
causing the marine mammals to abandon or
avoid hunting areas; (ii) directly displacing
subsistence users; or (iii) placing physical
barriers between the marine mammals and
the subsistence hunters; and (2) that cannot
be sufficiently mitigated by other measures to
increase the availability of marine mammals
to allow subsistence needs to be met.
Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)
require IHA applicants for activities that
take place in Arctic waters to provide a
plan of cooperation (POC) or
information that identifies what
measures have been taken and/or will
be taken to minimize any adverse effects
on the availability of marine mammals
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for subsistence uses. Shell’s POC notes
that negotiations were initiated
beginning in summer of 2005 with the
AEWC to create a CAA between Shell
and WesternGeco for 2006, and the
subsistence hunting communities of
Barrow, Nuiqsut, and Kaktovik. The
CAA covers both the Beaufort Sea
seismic program (including deep
seismic, site clearance, shallow hazard
surveys and a geotechnical seabed
coring program) and the Chukchi Sea
deep seismic survey. Meetings between
Shell and the AEWC began in October
2005 with representatives of the North
Slope Borough also present in Fairbanks
during the annual meeting of the Alaska
Federation of Natives. Additional
meetings were held this past spring.
Given the number of activities
planned for 2006, the AEWC elected to
prepare a Programmatic CAA, setting
forth mitigation measures that will
apply to all seismic activities. Shell and
other companies signed the CAA in July
2006. The CAA excludes conduct of
seismic operations in the Chukchi Sea
near-shore polyna, imposes time/area
closures in the Beaufort Sea, prevents
seismic operations in the Chukchi Sea
before July 15 (to reduce impacts on the
beluga hunt), requires sound signature
tests of all geophysical equipment and
vessels before initiating operations in
the Beaufort and Chukchi seas; makes
source verification test results available
to the AEWC and others, requires
preparation and implementation of a
noise impact monitoring plan to collect
data designed to determine the effects of
its operations on fall migrating bowhead
whales and other affected marine
mammals; requires bowhead whale
collision avoidance measures when
within 1 mi (1.6 km) of a bowhead
whale,; and requires a cumulative
effects analysis of the multiple sound
sources and their possible relationship
to any observed changes in marine
mammal behavior. The monitoring plan
was subject to stake-holder review at the
2006 Open Water Meeting in Anchorage
as discussed previously.
The CAA incorporates all appropriate
measures and procedures regarding the
timing and areas of Shell’s planned
activities (i.e., times and places where
seismic operations will be curtailed or
moved in order to avoid potential
conflicts with active subsistence
whaling and sealing); communications
system between operator’s vessels and
whaling and hunting crews (i.e., the
communications center will be located
in Deadhorse with links to Kaktovik,
Nuiqsut, Cross Island, and Barrow);
provision for marine mammal
observers/Inupiat communicators
aboard all project vessels; conflict
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resolution procedures; and provisions
for rendering emergency assistance to
subsistence hunting crews.
In addition, all geophysical activity in
the Beaufort Sea will be restricted until
the appropriate village has ended its
bowhead whale subsistence hunt or
exhausted its quota, whichever comes
first, as follows. For Kaktovik, there will
not be any geophysical activity from the
Canadian border to the Canning River
from August 25th to September 20th. For
Nuiqsut, there will not be any
geophysical activity from the Canning
River to Point Storkersen from August
25th to September 25th . For Barrow,
there will not be any geophysical
activity from Pitt Point in Smith Bay to
a location about half way between
Barrow and Peard Bay from September
10th to October 25th.
In the Chukchi Sea, once fall bowhead
whaling starts, seismic operators (and
others) will take all reasonable steps to
avoid adverse effects on the bowhead
whale subsistence hunt and on the
behavior of migrating bowhead whales.
If alerted to an adverse effect, the
operators will promptly reduce the level
and volume of geophysical operations
and if such adverse effects continue,
operators should promptly move
operations to an area where seismic
operations are feasible and consistent
with the CAA. If adverse effects
continue and negotiations are
unsuccessful, the seismic operations are
to cease in the area of the reported
adverse effect until the affected village
has completed its bowhead whale
hunting for 2006.
If requested, post-season meetings
will also be held to assess the
effectiveness of the 2006 CAA, to
address how well conflicts (if any) were
resolved; and to receive
recommendations on any changes (if
any) might be needed in the
implementation of future CAAs. The
Programmatic CAA for the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas was signed by Shell on
May 12, 2006. A signed CAA provides
NMFS with information to make a
determination that the activity will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the subsistence use of marine mammals.
Additional Mitigation and Monitoring
Measures
As part of NMFS’ week-long openwater meeting in Anchorage, on April
19–20, 2006, participants had a
discussion on appropriate mitigation
and monitoring measures for Arctic
Ocean seismic activities in 2006. In
addition to the standard mitigation and
monitoring measures, additional
measures, such as expanded
monitoring-safety zones for bowhead
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and gray whales, and having those
zones monitored effectively, have been
implemented in order for NMFS to
make its FONSI under NEPA. The
additional mitigation measures are
specific for this project. They do not
establish NMFS policy applicable to
other projects or other locations under
NMFS’ jurisdiction, as each application
for an IHA is context dependent, that is,
judged independently as to which
measures are practicable and necessary
to reduce impacts to the lowest level
and to ensure that takings do not have
an unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses. These measures have
been developed based upon available
data specific to the project areas. NMFS
and MMS intend to collect additional
information from all sources, including
industry, non-governmental
organizations, Alaska Natives and other
federal and state agencies regarding
measures necessary for effectively
monitoring marine mammal
populations, assessing impacts from
seismic on marine mammals, and
determining practicable measures for
mitigating those impacts. MMS and
NMFS anticipate that mitigation
measures applicable to future seismic
and other activities may change and
evolve based on newly-acquired data.
Reporting
Shell will submit a report to NMFS
approximately 90 days after completion
of the 2006 survey season. The 90–day
report will: (1) present the results of the
2006 shipboard marine mammal
monitoring; (2) estimate exposure of
marine mammals to industry sounds; (3)
provide data on marine mammal
sightings (e.g., species, numbers,
locations, age/size/gender,
environmental correlates); (4) analyze
the effects of seismic operations (e.g., on
sighting rates, sighting distances,
behaviors, movement patterns); (5)
provide summaries of power downs,
shut downs, and ramp up delays; (6)
provide an analysis of factors
influencing detectability of marine
mammals; and (7) provide summaries
on communications with hunters and
potential effects on subsistence
activities.
Following the 2006 open water
season, a single comprehensive report
describing the acoustic, vessel-based,
and aerial monitoring programs for all
industrial seismic programs will be
prepared. This comprehensive report
will describe the methods, results,
conclusions and limitations of each of
the individual data sets in detail. The
report will also integrate (to the extent
possible) the studies into a broad based
assessment of industry activities and
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their impacts on marine mammals in the
Chukchi Sea during 2006. The report
will help to establish long term data sets
that can assist with the evaluation of
changes in the Chukchi Sea ecosystem.
The report will also incorporate studies
being conducted in the Beaufort Sea and
will attempt to provide a regional
synthesis of available data on industry
activity in offshore areas of northern
Alaska that may influence marine
mammal density, distribution and
behavior.
This comprehensive report will
consider data from many different
sources including two relatively
different types of aerial surveys; several
types of acoustic systems for data
collection, and vessel based
observations. Collection of comparable
data across the wide array of programs
will help with the synthesis of
information. However, interpretation of
broad patterns in data from a single year
is inherently limited. Many of the 2006
data will be used to assess the efficacy
of the various data collection methods
and to help establish protocols that will
provide a basis for integration of the
data sets over a period of years. Because
of the complexity of this comprehensive
report, NMFS is requiring that it be
submitted in draft to NMFS by April 1,
2007 in order for consideration, review
and comment at the 2007 open water
meeting.
Endangered Species Act (ESA)
NMFS has issued a biological opinion
regarding the effects of this action on
ESA-listed species and critical habitat
under the jurisdiction of NMFS. That
biological opinion concluded that this
action is not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of listed species or
result in the destruction or adverse
modification of critical habitat. A copy
of the Biological Opinion is available
upon request (see ADDRESSES).
NEPA
The MMS prepared a Draft PEA for
the 2006 Arctic Outer Continental Shelf
(OCS) Seismic Surveys. NMFS was a
cooperating agency in the preparation of
the MMS Draft and Final PEAs. NMFS
noted that the MMS had prepared a PEA
for the 2006 Arctic seismic surveys and
made this Draft PEA available upon
request (71 FR 26055, May 3, 2006). In
accordance with NOAA Administrative
Order 216–6 (Environmental Review
Procedures for Implementing the
National Environmental Policy Act, May
20, 1999), NMFS has determined that
the MMS Final PEA contains an indepth and detailed description of the
seismic survey activities, reasonable
alternatives to the proposed action, the
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affected environment, mitigation and
monitoring measures identified to
reduce impacts on the human
environment to non-significant levels,
and the potential effects of the action on
the human environment. In view of the
information presented in this document
and the analysis contained in the
supporting PEA, NMFS has determined
therefore that issuance by NMFS of an
IHA to Shell and other companies for
conducting seismic surveys this year in
the Arctic Ocean will not significantly
impact the quality of the human
environment as described above and in
the supporting Final PEA.
This determination is predicated on
full implementation of standard
mitigation measures for preventing
injury or mortality to marine mammals,
in addition to the area and project
specific mitigation measures described
in this Federal Register notice. By
incorporating the appropriate mitigation
measures into NMFS’ IHA conditions
for this year’s seismic survey operations,
NMFS has determined that there will be
no significant impact on the quality of
the human environment. Accordingly,
NMFS hereby adopts MMS’ Final PEA
and has determined that the preparation
of an Environmental Impact Statement
for this action is not necessary. A copy
of the MMS Final PEA for this activity
is available upon request and is
available online (see ADDRESSES).
Conclusions
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Summary
Based on the information provided in
Shell’s application and the MMS PEA,
NMFS has determined that the impact
of Shell conducting seismic surveys in
the northern Chukchi Sea and eastern
and central Beaufort Sea in 2006 will
have a negligible impact on affected
species or stocks of marine mammals
and will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on their availability for
taking for subsistence uses, provided the
mitigation measures required under the
authorization and CAA are
implemented.
Potential Impacts on Marine Mammals
NMFS has determined that the impact
of conducting relatively short-term
seismic surveys in the U.S. Chukchi and
Beaufort seas may result, at worst, in a
temporary modification in behavior by
certain species of marine mammals.
While behavioral and avoidance
reactions may be made by these species
in response to the resultant noise, this
behavioral change is expected to have a
negligible impact on the affected species
and stocks of marine mammals.
While the number of potential
incidental harassment takes will depend
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on the distribution and abundance of
marine mammals in the area of seismic
operations (as shown in Table 4–1 in the
applications), which will vary annually
due to variable ice conditions and other
factors, the number of potential
harassment takings is estimated to be
small (see Tables 1 and 2 in this
document).
In addition, no take by death or
serious injury is anticipated, and the
potential for temporary or permanent
hearing impairment will be avoided
through the incorporation of the
mitigation measures contained in
Shell’s IHA. This determination by
NMFS is supported by: the information
in this Federal Register notice,
including: (1) the likelihood that, given
sufficient notice through slow ship
speed and ramp-up of the seismic array,
marine mammals are expected to move
away from a noise source that is
annoying prior to its becoming
potentially injurious; (2) the fact that
injurious levels would be very close to
the vessel; and (3) the likelihood that
marine mammal detection ability by
trained observers is close to 100 percent
during daytime and remains high at
night close to the seismic vessel.
Finally, no known rookeries, mating
grounds, areas of concentrated feeding,
or other areas of special significance for
marine mammals are known to occur
within or near the planned areas of
operations during the season of
operations.
Potential Impacts on Subsistence Uses
of Marine Mammals
NMFS has determined that the
proposed seismic activity by Shell in
the northern Chukchi Sea and central
and eastern Beaufort Sea in 2006, in
combination with other seismic and oil
and gas programs in these areas, will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the subsistence uses of bowhead whales
and other marine mammals. This
determination is supported by the
information in this Federal Register
notice, including: (1) Seismic activities
in the Chukchi Sea will not begin until
after July 10 by which time the spring
bowhead hunt is expected to have
ended; (2) that the fall bowhead whale
hunt in the Beaufort Sea will be
governed by a CAA between Shell and
the AEWC and village whaling captains;
(3) the CAA conditions will
significantly reduce impacts on
subsistence hunters; (4) while it is
possible that accessibility to belugas
during the spring subsistence beluga
hunt could be impaired by the survey,
it is unlikely because very little of the
proposed survey is within 25 km (15.5
mi) of the Chukchi coast, meaning the
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50045
vessel will usually be well offshore and
away from areas where seismic surveys
would influence beluga hunting by
communities; and (5) because seals
(ringed, spotted, bearded) are hunted in
nearshore waters and the seismic survey
will remain offshore of the coastal and
nearshore areas of these seals where
natives would harvest these seals, it
should not conflict with harvest
activities.
Authorization
As a result of these determinations,
NMFS has issued an IHA to Shell to
take small numbers of marine mammals,
by harassment, incidental to conducting
a seismic survey in the northern
Chukchi Sea and central and eastern
Beaufort Sea in 2006, provided the
mitigation, monitoring, and reporting
requirements described in this
document are undertaken.
Dated: August 18, 2006.
P. Michael Payne,
Chief, Permits, Conservation and Education
Division, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 06–7121 Filed 8–23–06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–S
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
[I.D. 081806B]
New England Fishery Management
Council; Public Meeting
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; public meeting.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: The New England Fishery
Management Council (Council) is
scheduling a public meeting of its
Scallop Committee in September, 2006
to consider actions affecting New
England fisheries in the exclusive
economic zone (EEZ).
Recommendations from this group will
be brought to the full Council for formal
consideration and action, if appropriate.
DATES: This meeting will be held on
Wednesday, September 13, 2006, at 9
a.m.
This meeting will be held at
the Holiday Inn, 700 Myles Standish
Boulevard, Taunton, MA 02780:
telephone: (508) 823–0430; fax: (508)
880–6480.
Council address: New England
Fishery Management Council, 50 Water
Street, Mill 2, Newburyport, MA 01950.
ADDRESSES:
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 71, Number 164 (Thursday, August 24, 2006)]
[Notices]
[Pages 50027-50045]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 06-7121]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
[I.D. 020306A]
Small Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities;
Seismic Surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas off Alaska
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice of Issuance of an Incidental Harassment Authorization.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: In accordance with regulations implementing the Marine Mammal
Protection Act (MMPA) as amended, notification is hereby given that an
Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to take small numbers of
marine mammals, by harassment, incidental to conducting a marine
geophysical program, including deep seismic surveys, on oil and gas
lease blocks located on Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) waters in the
mid- and eastern-Beaufort Sea and on pre-lease areas in the Northern
Chukchi Sea has been issued to Shell Offshore, Inc. (Shell) and
WesternGeco, Inc.
DATES: Effective from July 10, 2006 through December 31, 2006.
ADDRESSES: The application, a list of references used in this document,
and the IHA are available by writing to P. Michael Payne, Chief,
Permits, Conservation and Education Division, Office of Protected
Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West Highway,
Silver Spring, MD 20910-3225, or by telephoning one of the contacts
listed here. A copy of the application and/or the research monitoring
plan (LGL, 2006) is also available at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/
permits/incidental.htm#iha. Documents cited in this document, that are
not available through standard public (inter-library loan) access, may
be viewed, by appointment, during regular business hours at this
address.
A copy of the Minerals Management Service's (MMS) Programmatic
Environmental Assessment (PEA) is available on-line at: https://
www.mms.gov/alaska/ref/pea_be.htm.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Kenneth Hollingshead or Jolie
Harrison, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, (301) 713-2289.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.)
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the
incidental, but not intentional, taking of small numbers of marine
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking
is limited to harassment, a notice of a proposed authorization is
provided to the public for review.
An authorization shall be granted if NMFS finds that the taking
will have a negligible impact on the species or stock(s) and will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on the availability of the species
or stock(s) for subsistence uses and the permissible methods of taking
and requirements pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting
of such takings are set forth. NMFS has defined ``negligible impact''
in 50 CFR 216.103 as ''...an impact resulting from the specified
activity that cannot be reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably
likely to, adversely affect the species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.''
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA established an expedited process
by which citizens of the United States can apply for an authorization
to incidentally take small numbers of marine mammals by harassment.
Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ``harassment'' as: any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance
which
(i) has the potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal
stock in the wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the potential to
disturb a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by
causing disruption of behavioral patterns, including,
[[Page 50028]]
but not limited to, migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B harassment].
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45-day time limit for NMFS
review of an application followed by a 30-day public notice and comment
period on any proposed authorizations for the incidental harassment of
marine mammals. Within 45 days of the close of the comment period, NMFS
must either issue or deny issuance of the authorization.
Summary of Request
On November 16, 2005, NMFS received two applications from Shell for
the taking, by Level B harassment, of several species of marine mammals
incidental to conducting a marine seismic survey program during 2006 in
the mid- and eastern-Beaufort and northern Chukchi seas. The deep
seismic survey component of the program will be conducted from
WesternGeco's vessel the M/V Gilavar. Detailed specifications on this
seismic survey vessel are provided in Shell's application (Seismic
Survey, Overview/Description). These specifications include: (1)
complete descriptions of the number and lengths of the streamers which
form the airgun and hydrophone arrays; (2) airgun size and sound
propagation properties; and (3) additional detailed data on the M/V
Gilavar's characteristics. In summary, the M/V Gilavar will tow two
source arrays, comprising three identical subarrays each, which will be
fired alternately as the ship sails downline in the survey area. The M/
V Gilavar will tow up to 6 hydrophone streamer cables up to 5.4
kilometers (km)(3.4 mi) long. With this configuration each pass of the
Gilavar can record 12 subsurface lines spanning a swath of up to 360
meters (m; 1181 ft). The seismic data acquisition vessel will be
supported by the M/V Alex Gordon, which will serve to resupply and re-
fuel the M/V Gilavar. The M/V Alex Gordon is also capable of ice
management should that be required. The M/V Alex Gordon will not deploy
seismic acquisition gear.
Plan for Seismic Operations
It is planned that the M/V Gilavar will be in the Chukchi Sea in
early July to begin deploying the acquisition equipment. Seismic
acquisition will not begin before July 15, 2006. The approximate areas
of operations are shown in Appendix 4 in Shell's IHA application.
Acquisition will continue in the Chukchi Sea until ice conditions
permit a transit into the Beaufort Sea around early August. Seismic
acquisition is planned to continue in the Beaufort at one of three 3-D
areas until early October depending on ice conditions. These 3-D areas
are shown in Appendix 5 in Shell's application. For each of the 3-D
areas, the M/V Gilavar will traverse the area multiple times until data
on the area of interest has been recorded. At the conclusion of seismic
acquisition in the Beaufort Sea, the M/V Gilavar will return to the
Chukchi Sea and resume recording data there until all seismic lines are
completed or weather prevents data collection.
The proposed Beaufort Sea deep seismic, site clearance, shallow
hazard surveys and geotechnical activities are proposed to commence in
August (if ice conditions allow) and continue until weather precludes
further seismic work. In addition to deep seismic surveys, Shell plans
to conduct site clearance and shallow hazard surveys of potential
exploratory drilling locations within Shell's lease areas in the
Beaufort Sea. The M/V Henry Christoffersen will be conducting the
shallow-hazard seismic survey program in the Beaufort Sea while the M/V
Gilavar conducts the deep seismic survey. The site clearance surveys
are confined to very small specific areas within defined lease blocks.
Also, very small and limited geophysical survey energy sources will be
employed to measure bathymetry, topography, geo-hazards and other
seabed characteristics. On the M/V Henry Christoffersen, the following
acoustic instrumentation will be used: (1) a dual frequency subbottom
profiler (Datasonics CAP6000 Chirp II (2-7kHz or 8-23kHz)); (2) a
medium penetration subbottom profiler (Datasonics SPR-1200 Bubble
Pulser (400Hz)); (3)a hi-resolution multi-channel seismic system (240cu
in (4X60) gun array (0-150 Hz)); (4) a multi-beam bathymetric sonar
(Seabat 8101 (240 kHz)); and (5) a side-scan sonar system (Datasonics
SIS-1500 (190kHz - 210 kHz)). The timing is scheduled to avoid any
conflict with the Beaufort Sea subsistence hunting conducted by the
Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission's (AEWC) villages.
In summary, the proposed Chukchi deep seismic survey will occur in
two phases. Phase 1 will commence sometime after July 15, 2006, as sea
ice coverage conditions allow and will continue through July to early
August, 2006. Phase 2 of the Chukchi deep seismic survey will occur
upon completion of the Beaufort Sea survey sometime after mid-October
and continue until such time as sea ice and weather conditions preclude
further work, probably sometime in mid- to late-November, 2006. Shell
plans to run approximately 5556 km (3452 mi) of surveys in the Chukchi
Sea and a similar survey length in the Beaufort Sea.
Alternatively, if ice conditions preclude seismic operations in the
Beaufort Sea, Shell proposes to continue its seismic program in the
Chukchi Sea through mid- to late-November, 2006, or approximately 5.5
months. This scenario takes into account that approximately twice as
many seismic line miles would be completed during this time in the
Chukchi Sea. Under this scenario approximately 6000 nm (6905 stat mi;
11,112 km) of seismic line miles could be completed in the Chukchi Sea.
A detailed description of the work proposed by Shell for 2006 is
contained in the two applications which are available for review (see
ADDRESSES).
Description of Marine 3-D Seismic Data Acquisition
In the seismic method, reflected sound energy produces graphic
images of seafloor and sub-seafloor features. The seismic system
consists of sources and detectors, the positions of which must be
accurately measured at all times. The sound signal comes from arrays of
towed energy sources. These energy sources store compressed air which
is released on command from the towing vessel. The released air forms a
bubble which expands and contracts in a predictable fashion, emitting
sound waves as it does so. Individual sources are configured into
arrays. These arrays have an output signal, which is more desirable
than that of a single bubble, and also serve to focus the sound output
primarily in the downward direction, which is useful for the seismic
method. This array effect also minimizes the sound emitted in the
horizontal direction.
The downward propagating sound travels to the seafloor and into the
geologic strata below the seafloor. Changes in the acoustic properties
between the various rock layers result in a portion of the sound being
reflected back toward the surface at each layer. This reflected energy
is received by detectors called hydrophones, which are housed within
submerged streamer cables which are towed behind the seismic vessel.
Data from these hydrophones are recorded to produce seismic records or
profiles. Seismic profiles often resemble geologic cross-sections along
the course traveled by the survey vessel.
Description of WesternGeco's Air-Gun Array
Shell will use WesternGeco's 3147 in\3\ Bolt-Gun Array for its 3-D
seismic survey operations in the Chukchi and
[[Page 50029]]
Beaufort Seas. WesternGeco's source arrays are composed of 3
identically tuned Bolt-gun sub-arrays operating at an air pressure of
2,000 psi. In general, the signature produced by an array composed of
multiple sub-arrays has the same shape as that produced by a single
sub-array while the overall acoustic output of the array is determined
by the number of sub-arrays employed.
The gun arrangement for each of the three 1049-in\3\ sub-array is
detailed in Shell's application. As indicated in the application's
diagram, each sub-array is composed of six tuning elements; two 2-gun
clusters and four single guns. The standard configuration of a source
array for 3D surveys consists of one or more 1049-in\3\ sub-arrays.
When more than one sub-array is used, as here, the strings are lined up
parallel to each other with either 8 m or 10 m (26 or 33 ft) cross-line
separation between them. This separation was chosen so as to minimize
the areal dimensions of the array in order to approximate point source
radiation characteristics for frequencies in the nominal seismic
processing band. For the 3147 in\3\ array the overall dimensions of the
array are 15 m (49 ft) long by 16 m (52.5 ft) wide.
Shell's application provides illustrations of the time series and
amplitude spectrum for the far-field signature and the computed
acoustic emission pattern for the vertical inline and crossline planes
for the 3147 in\3\ array with guns at a depth of 6 m (20 ft). The
signature for this array was first computed using GSAP, WesternGeco's
in house signature modeling software.
Subsequent to submitting its application, Shell contracted with
JASCO to model sound source characteristics using a different model
than the one used in the application. The JASCO parabolic equation
model is believed by Shell and NMFS to be superior in these waters
because it accounts for bathymetry effects, water properties, and the
geoacoustic properties of seabed layers. The JASCO-modeled radii are
based on the worst case model predictions. For this model, the proposed
180-dB and 190-dB radii are 1.5 km (0.9 mi) and 0.5 km (0.3 mi),
respectively. This model will be used by Shell and NMFS to estimate
preliminary sound level isopleths and radii for rms sound level
thresholds between 120 and 190 dB at six proposed survey locations for
the proposed airgun arrays. In addition, these modeled radii estimates
will be multiplied by a safety margin of 1.5 to obtain conservative
exclusion radii for marine mammal safety until empirical sound field
verification measurements are completed within the first few days of
seismic shooting and new safety radii are calculated and used for
implementing safety zones.
An explanation for the indicated sound pressure levels (SPLs) is
provided later in this document (see Impacts to Marine Mammals).
Characteristics of Airgun Pulses
Discussion of the characteristics of airgun pulses was provided in
several previous Federal Register documents (see 69 FR 31792 (June 7,
2004) or 69 FR 34996 (June 23, 2004)) and is not repeated here.
Additional information can be found in the MMS Final PEA. Reviewers are
encouraged to read these earlier documents for additional information.
Site Clearance Surveys
In addition to deep seismic surveys in the Beaufort Sea, Shell also
plans to conduct site clearance and shallow hazards surveys of
potential exploratory drilling locations within Shell's lease areas as
required by MMS regulations. The site clearance surveys are confined to
very small specific areas within defined OCS blocks. Shell has
contracted for the M/V Henry Christoffersen to conduct the site
clearance/shallow hazards surveys, and geotechnical borings. This
survey will be conducted contemporaneously with the deep seismic survey
program in the Beaufort Sea. Very small and limited geophysical survey
energy sources will be employed to measure bathymetry, topography, geo-
hazards and other seabed characteristics. These include: (1) a dual
frequency subbottom profiler (Datasonics CAP6000 Chirp II (2-7kHz or 8-
23kHz)); (2) a medium penetration Subbottom profiler (Datasonics SPR-
1200 Bubble Pulser (400Hz)); (3) a hi-resolution multi-channel seismic
system (240cu in (4X60) gun array (0-150 Hz)); (4) a multi-beam
bathymetric sonar (Seabat 8101 (240 kHz)); and (5) a side-scan sonar
system (Datasonics SIS-1500 (190kHz - 210 kHz)). The actual locations
of site clearance and shallow hazard surveys in the U.S. Beaufort Sea
have not been released by Shell for proprietary reasons. That
information will be supplied to NMFS and MMS prior to commencement of
operations in the Beaufort Sea. The vessels conducting the site
clearance and shallow hazard surveys, and geotechnical borings will
also operate in accordance with the provisions of a Conflict Avoidance
Agreement (CAA), between the seismic industry, the AEWC and the Whaling
Captains Associations regarding times and areas in order to avoid any
possible conflict with the bowhead subsistence whale hunts by the
Kaktovik and Nuiqsut.
Offshore site clearance surveys use various geophysical methods and
tools to acquire graphic records of seafloor and sub-seafloor geologic
conditions. The data acquired and the type of investigations outlined
in this document are performed routinely for most exploratory drilling
and production platforms, submarine pipelines, port facilities, and
other offshore projects. High-resolution geophysical data such as two-
dimensional, high-resolution multi-channel seismic, medium penetration
seismic, subbottom profiler, side scan sonar, multibeam bathymetry,
magnetometer and possibly piston core soil sampling are typical types
of data acquired. These data are interpreted to define geologic and
geotechnical conditions at the site and to assess the potential
engineering significance of these conditions. The following section
provides a brief description of those instruments used for site
clearance that may impact marine mammals. Information on the data
acquisition methodology planned by Shell can be found in the Shell
application.
Geophysical Tools for Site Clearance
High-Resolution seismic profiling
Reflected sound energy, often called acoustic or seismic energy,
produces graphic images of seafloor and sub-seafloor features. These
systems transmit the acoustic energy from various sources called
transducers that are attached to the hull of the vessel or towed
astern. Part of this energy is reflected from the seafloor and from
geologic strata below the seafloor. This reflected energy is received
by the hydrophone or streamer and is recorded to produce seismic
records or profiles. Seismic profiles often resemble geologic cross-
sections along the course traveled by the survey vessel.
In most Beaufort Sea site surveys, Shell will operate several high-
resolution profiling systems simultaneously to obtain detailed records
of seafloor and near seafloor conditions. The survey will include data
acquisition using a shallow penetration profiler or subbottom profiler
(1 - 12.0 kHz, typically 3.5 kHz), medium penetration system or boomer/
sparker/ airgun (400-800 Hz) and a deep penetrating hi-resolution
multi-channel seismic system (20-300 Hz) not to be confused with the
deep seismic used for hydrocarbon exploration. These profiling systems
complement each other since each system achieves different degrees of
resolution and depths of sub-seafloor penetrations.
[[Page 50030]]
Side Scan Sonar
Unlike seismic profiling systems, which produce a vertical profile
along the vessel's path, side scan sonar systems provide graphic
records that show two-dimensional (map) views of seafloor topography
and of objects on the seafloor. The sonar images provide a swath
display/record covering an area on the seafloor up to several hundred
feet on both sides of the survey trackline. The side scan sonar
transmits very high-frequency acoustic signals (100 - 410 kHz) and
records the reflected energy from the seafloor. Signals reflected from
the seafloor are displayed on a continuous record produce by a two-
channel recorder. Reflected signals normally appear as dark areas on
the record whereas shadows behind objects appear as light or white
areas. The intensity and distribution of reflections displayed on the
sonar image depend on the composition and surface texture of the
reflecting features, on their size, and on their orientation with
respect to the transducers in the towfish. Line spacing and display
range are designed to ensure 100 percent coverage of the proposed
survey area in the prime survey line direction, with additional tie-
lines acquired in an orthogonal direction.
Side scan sonar data are useful for mapping areas of boulders, rock
outcrops, and other areas of rough seafloor, and for determining the
location and trends of seafloor scarps and ice gouges. These data are
also used to locate shipwrecks, pipelines, and other objects on the
seafloor.
Multi-beam Bathymetry
Multi-beam bathymetric systems are either hull mounted or towed
astern of the survey vessel. The system transmits acoustic signals
(200-500 kHz) from multiple projectors propagating to either side of
the vessel at angles that vary from vertical to near horizontal. The
locations of the soundings cover a swath whose width may be equal to
many times the waterdepth. By adjusting the spacing of the survey
tracklines such that adjacent swaths are overlapping, Shell obtains
depth information for 100 percent of the bottom in the survey area. The
time it takes to receive the signals as well as signal intensity,
position, and other characteristics for echoes received across the
swath are used to calculate depth of each individual beam transmitted
across the swath.
Acoustic systems similar to the ones proposed for use by Shell have
been described in detail by NMFS previously (see 66 FR 40996, August 6,
2001; 70 FR 13466, March 21, 2005). NMFS encourages readers to refer to
these documents for additional information on these systems.
Comments and Responses
A notice of receipt of Shell's MMPA application and NMFS' proposal
to issue an IHA to Shell was published in the Federal Register on May
3, 2006 (71 FR 26055). That notice described, in detail, Shell's
proposed activity, the marine mammal species that may be affected by
the activity, and the anticipated effects on marine mammals. During the
30-day public comment period on Shell's application, comments were
received from Shell, the Marine Mammal Commission (Commission), the
Center for Biological Diversity (CBD) on behalf of several
environmental organizations, the Northern Alaska Environmental Center
(NAEC), the Alaska Oil and Gas Association (AOGA), the Alaska Eskimo
Whaling Commission (AEWC), the North Slope Borough (NSB), Village of
Point Hope (NVPH), and the Alaska Nanuuq Commission (Nanuuq
Commission). The AOGA submitted a copy of the comments it submitted on
the MMS PEA and the CBD attached the comments submitted by the Natural
Resources Defense Council on the PEA. With the exception of some
comments relevant to this specific action which are addressed here,
comments on the Draft PEA have been addressed in Appendix D of the
Final PEA and are not repeated. Some comments providing additional
information for NMFS' consideration have been incorporated into this
document without further reference.
Activity Concerns
Comment 1: Shell notes that it was awarded 84 OCS leases in the
Western Beaufort Sea Planning Area by the MMS in 2005 pursuant to the
MMS Lease Sale 195 held March 30, 2005. Shell made plans and signed
contracts to perform seismic surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas
during the open water season of 2006, beginning in July. The 2006
seismic surveys are critical in assessing hydrocarbon potential and
site conditions necessary to conduct drilling operations in subsequent
open water seasons. Shell notes that the 2006 seismic operations in the
Chukchi Sea will be very surgical in nature, be at least 50 mi (80.5
km) from shore, and cover less than 2 percent of the lease sale area.
In the Beaufort Sea, Shell's seismic operations will be limited to the
areas near its lease blocks and cover less than 1 percent of the lease
sale area. As Shell's IHA application included a much broader area for
seismic operations; the take estimates in its application are inflated
and should be recalculated.
Response: While NMFS recognizes that Shell will be concentrating
seismic activity in relatively small areas, the Level B harassment
estimates are calculated as ``exposures'' to sound and, therefore,
while the survey may result in fewer marine mammals being exposed,
those animals may be exposed more frequently than if the seismic vessel
track were linear.
MMPA Concerns
Comment 2: The CBD states that an IHA is only available if the
activity has no potential to result in serious injury or mortality to a
marine mammal. If injury or mortality to a marine mammal is possible,
take can only be authorized pursuant to a Letter of Authorization (LOA)
consistent with regulations promulgated pursuant to 16 U.S.C. 1371
(a)(5)(D)(i) and 50 CFR 216.107. Because NMFS has not promulgated
regulations related to incidental takes for seismic surveys, and
because such surveys carry the real potential of injury or death to
marine mammals, neither an IHA nor an LOA can be issued for Shell's
proposed activities.
Response: For reasons discussed later in this document, NMFS does
not believe that there is any potential for marine mammal mortality to
occur incidental to conducting seismic surveys in the Chukchi and
Beaufort seas in 2006. IHAs can authorize takings by Level A (injury)
and Level B harassment (behavioral harassment). As documented by
Richardson [ed] (1998), aerial and vessel monitoring of marine mammals
under previous incidental take authorizations did not indicate more
than behavioral harassment takings would occur.
Comment 3: The CBD believes that NMFS cannot issue an IHA to Shell
because it has not complied with the MMPA's specific geographic region
requirement.
Response: NMFS defines ``specified geographical region'' as ``an
area within which a specified activity is conducted and which has
certain biogeographic characteristics'' (50 CFR 216.103). NMFS believes
that Shell's description of the activity and the locations for
conducting seismic surveys meet the requirements of the MMPA. Within
the Chukchi Sea, Shell intends to conduct seismic activity within the
area designated for Lease Sale 97 (shown in Appendix 4 in Shell's IHA
application). More specific locations within the Lease Sale area are
considered proprietary. In the Beaufort Sea, the areas of seismic
operations are shown in Appendix 5 in
[[Page 50031]]
Shell's IHA application. Shell has provided a well-defined area within
which certain biogeographic characteristics occur.
Comment 4: The CBD states that Shell's application fails to specify
the ``dates and duration'' of these activities as required by 50 CFR
216.103(a)(2), or even who will perform them or in what manner. For
example, CBD notes the various dates listed by Shell for beginning
seismic. The CBD notes that the proposed IHA (notice) states that
seismic acquisition is planned to begin on or about July 10, 2006,
while a couple of paragraphs later states that ``Phase I will commence
sometime after June 15, 2006; elsewhere the proposed IHA (notice)
states that seismic operations will not begin until after July 1, 2006.
The CBD believes NMFS' ``small numbers'' and ``negligible impacts''
conclusions are highly suspect given NMFS' confusion as to when and
where Shell will actually be operating.
Response: The application shows that Shell plans to pick up crew
members and refuel near the end of June in Dutch Harbor and sail for
the Chukchi Sea upon completion of resupply. Seismic surveys would
begin no earlier than July 10, depending upon ice conditions in the
Chukchi Sea. To avoid bowhead whales migrating in the spring leads,
seismic survey work cannot begin prior to July 1, as explained in the
PEA and as stipulated in Shell's permit from MMS. More recently,
agreements with Alaskan natives restricted seismic operations prior to
July 15, 2006. Sound exposure calculations are based on miles of
seismic lines to be run and the average and maximum density of marine
mammals expected to be exposed. Minor variations in dates would be due
mostly to ice conditions in either the Chukchi or Beaufort Seas would
not affect noise exposure estimates. However, to avoid further
confusion, NMFS has modified the IHA to indicate that seismic data
collection cannot begin prior to July 1, 2006.
Comment 5: The CBD states that Shell's application and NMFS' notice
fail to provide information on the ``dates and duration of the
activities and provide only boilerplate descriptions of typical
activities.
Response: NMFS has determined that the activity descriptions in
Shell's application, including the Appendixes, provide information
necessary to make its determinations under the MMPA. The duration of
the activity is highly dependent upon logistics, weather, mechanical
problems, shut-downs and power-downs. However, Shell provided estimates
of expected line miles of survey effort they expect to run which is
used in part for calculating incidental harassment estimates.
Comment 6: To protect bowhead whales, other marine mammals, and
subsistence use of marine mammal resources, the AEWC states that NMFS
must ensure that the planned activities, if authorized, conform to the
statutory requirements of the MMPA. In that regard, the AEWC states
that while not all acoustic takes threaten an impact that is greater
than negligible, the MMPA requires that NMFS take special care to
protect whales engaged in biologically significant behaviors such as
feeding, mating, calving, and tending to young.
Response: NMFS takes into account biological activities in its
analyses and in determining appropriate mitigation and monitoring
requirements. We recognize there is uncertainty in the distribution and
abundance of marine mammal stocks in the Chukchi Sea. As a result, NMFS
has required additional monitoring and mitigation measures for this
year's survey. NMFS anticipates the industry research program will
answer some of the uncertainties involving distribution and abundance
of marine mammals in the Chukchi Sea.
Comment 7: The CBD states that because the MMPA explicitly requires
that NMFS prescribe the ``means effecting the least practicable
impact'' on the affected species, stock or habitat, an IHA [notice]
must explain why measures that would reduce the impact on a species
were not chosen (i.e., why they were not practicable). Neither the
proposed IHA [notice], Shell's application, nor the PEA do this. The
AEWC made a similar comment on the context of biologically significant
behaviors.
Response: Neither the MMPA nor NMFS regulations implementing the
incidental take program require NMFS to itemize and discuss all
measures that were determined to be impractical. Such an effort can
quickly become a matter of speculation. For example, drones, manned
balloons, and satellites are currently considered impractical for
technological and safety reasons and usually need not be discussed in
issuing IHAs (although drones may become available for non-military
activities within a few years). Helicopters and other aircraft may be
practical depending upon distance between landing and activity
location, weather and safety and are usually discussed if safety zones
cannot be visually monitored effectively. Also, active and passive
acoustics are often discussed when issuing an IHA if the safety zone
cannot be visually monitored effectively. Time and area closures or
restrictions are discussed when appropriate. In many cases, monitoring
larger zones to reduce the Level B harassment take, is viewed as
secondary to effectively monitoring the Level A harassment zone to
prevent marine mammal injury. A final mitigation measure mentioned by
commenters to the Draft PEA of using vibroseis technology in winter
instead of open water seismic is not practical do to human safety
concerns and must be limited to extremely shallow water depths.
Comment 8: The CBD notes that while NMFS has not performed an
analysis of why additional mitigation measures are not ``practicable,''
the proposed IHA [notice] contains information to conclude that many
such measures are in fact practicable. For example, during periods when
conflict with subsistence hunting is most likely, Shell proposes
additional ``special'' monitoring and mitigation measures from August
15 until the end of the bowhead hunting season. While these measures
are designed to avoid impacts to bowheads so as not to affect the
subsistence hunt, there is no reason, and certainly no explanation of,
why these measures cannot be instituted for the entirety of the seismic
survey. The MMPA requires minimizing all impacts on marine mammals, not
only avoiding impacts on the subsistence hunt.
Response: The ``special'' monitoring and mitigation measures
proposed by Shell during the bowhead subsistence hunt were: (1) An
aerial monitoring program during the bowhead subsistence hunt as
described elsewhere in this document, and (2) time/area closures to
prevent the survey from potentially having an unmitigable adverse
impact. Only the latter is considered a measure that could potentially
lower the impact on bowhead whales and other marine mammal species in
the central Beaufort Sea. Since the CAA had not been developed at the
time of Shell's application or NMFS' Federal Register notice for Shell,
what those mitigation conditions might be would have been speculation.
However, in general the imposition of additional time/area closures in
the Beaufort Sea (and to some extent in the Chukchi Sea) are
impractical for reasons of cost effectiveness and the limited ice-free
time in Arctic Ocean waters. Overlooking costs, time/area closures are
not practical in the Beaufort Sea if seismic had to occur over multiple
years in an effort to obtain seismic data that could have been obtained
with possibly a single-year of effort. For that reason, NMFS limits
time/area closures as a
[[Page 50032]]
mitigation measure in Arctic waters only to protect subsistence hunting
or marine mammal life stages that could significantly affect survival
and reproduction.
Marine Mammal Impact Concerns
Comment 9: The CBD states that the tables in the proposed IHA
notice provide no support for NMFS' conclusion on small numbers. For
Shell's proposed seismic surveys in the Chukchi, the number of bowheads
likely to be exposed to sounds of 160 dB or greater and therefore
harassed'' according to NMFS' operative thresholds, range from 403 to
3226. In absolute terms these numbers cannot be considered small. Even
relative to population size, the higher estimate represents a third of
the estimated population of bowheads. CBD makes a similar comment
regarding beluga whales.
Response: NMFS believes that the small numbers requirement has been
satisfied. The species most likely to be harassed during seismic
surveys in the Arctic Ocean area is the ringed seal, with a ``best
estimate'' of 7,335 animals in the Beaufort Sea and 13,610 animals in
the Chukchi Sea being exposed to sound levels of 160 dB or greater, for
a total of 20,945 animals. This does not mean that this is the number
of ringed seals that will be taken by Level B harassment, it is the
best estimate of the number of animals that potentially could have a
behavioral modification due to the noise (for example Moulton and
Lawson (2002) indicate that most pinnipeds exposed to seismic sounds
lower than 170 dB do not visibly react to that sound; pinnipeds are not
likely to react to seismic sounds unless they are greater than 170 dB
re 1 microPa (rms)). In addition, these estimates are calculated based
upon line miles of survey effort, animal density and the calculated
zone of influence (ZOI). While this methodology is valid for seismic
surveys that transect long distances, for those surveys that ``mow the
lawn'' (that is, remain within a relatively small area, transiting back
and forth while shooting seismic), the numbers tend to be highly
inflated. As a result, NMFS believes that these exposure estimates are
conservative and may actually affect much fewer animals.
Although it might be argued that the estimated number of ringed
seals behaviorally harassed is not small in absolute numbers, the
number of exposures is relatively small, representing less than 10
percent of the regional stock size of that species (249,000) if each
``exposure'' represents an individual ringed seal. In addition, it
should be recognized that because Shell will spend most of the time
surveying small areas in the Chukchi Sea, fewer ringed seals would
likely be harassed but these animals could be affected more often,
unless they habituate to the sounds (see ``Ringed, Largha and Bearded
Seals later in this document).
For beluga and bowhead whales, the estimated number of sound
exposures during Shell's seismic surveys in the Arctic will be 1702 and
3226, respectively. While these exposure numbers represent a sizable
portion of their respective population sizes (46 percent of the beluga
population (3710) and 31 percent of the bowhead population (10545)),
NMFS believes that the estimated number of exposures by bowheads and
belugas greatly overestimate actual exposures for the following
reasons: (1) The proposed seismic activities would occur in the Chukchi
Sea when bowheads are concentrated in the Canadian Beaufort Sea; (2)
bowheads and belugas may be absent or widely distributed and likely
occur in very low numbers within the seismic activity area in the
Chukchi Sea; (3) seismic surveys are not authorized in the Beaufort Sea
during the bowhead westward migration; (4) Shell proposes to conduct
seismic in the Beaufort Sea after the bowhead whales have migrated out
of the Beaufort Sea; and (5) Shell will conduct late-fall seismic
surveys in the Chukchi Sea after most bowheads have migrated out of the
area, Therefore, NMFS believes that the number of bowhead whales that
may be exposed to sounds at or greater than 160 dB re 1 microPa (rms)
would be small.
Comment 10: The CBD states that NMFS' failure to address the
scientific literature linking seismic surveys with marine mammal
stranding events, and the threat of serious injury or mortality renders
NMFS' conclusionary determination that serious injury or mortality will
not occur from Shell's activities arbitrary and capricious.
Response: First, the evidence linking marine mammal strandings and
seismic surveys remains tenuous at best. Two papers, Taylor et al.
(2004) and Engel et al. (2004) reference seismic signals as a possible
cause for a marine mammal stranding. Taylor et al. (2004) noted two
beaked whale stranding incidents related to seismic surveys. The
statement in Taylor et al. (2004) was that the seismic vessel was
firing its airguns at 1300 hrs on September 24, 2004 and that between
1400 and 1600 hrs, local fishermen found live-stranded beaked whales
some 22 km (12 nm) from the ship's location. A review of the vessel's
trackline indicated that the closest approach of the seismic vessel and
the beaked whales stranding location was 18 nm (33 km) at 1430 hrs. At
1300 hrs, the seismic vessel was located 25 nm (46 km) from the
stranding location. What is unknown is the location of the beaked
whales prior to the stranding in relation to the seismic vessel, but
the close timing of events indicates that the distance was not less
than 18 nm (33 km). No physical evidence for a link between the seismic
survey and the stranding was obtained. In addition, Taylor et al.
(2004) indicates that the same seismic vessel was operating 500 km (270
nm) from the site of the Galapagos Island stranding in 2000. Whether
the 2004 seismic survey caused to beaked whales to strand is a matter
of considerable debate (see Cox et al., 2004). NMFS believes that
scientifically, these events do not constitute evidence that seismic
surveys have an effect similar to that of mid-frequency tactical sonar.
However, these incidents do point to the need to look for such effects
during future seismic surveys. To date, follow-up observations on
several scientific seismic survey cruises have not indicated any beaked
whale stranding incidents.
Engel et al. (2004), in a paper presented to the International
Whaling Commission (IWC) in 2004 (SC/56/E28), mentioned a possible link
between oil and gas seismic activities and the stranding of 8 humpback
whales (7 off the Bahia or Espirito Santo States and 1 off Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil). Concerns about the relationship between this
stranding event and seismic activity were raised by the International
Association of Geophysical Contractors (IAGC). The IAGC (2004) argues
that not enough evidence is presented in Engel et al. (2004) to assess
whether or not the relatively high proportion of adult strandings in
2002 is anomalous. The IAGC contends that the data do not establish a
clear record of what might be a ``natural'' adult stranding rate, nor
is any attempt made to characterize other natural factors that may
influence strandings. As stated previously, NMFS remains concerned that
the Engel et al. (2004) article appears to compare stranding rates made
by opportunistic sightings in the past with organized aerial surveys
beginning in 2001. If so, then the data are suspect.
Second, strandings have not been recorded for those marine mammal
species expected to be harassed by seismic in the Arctic Ocean. Beaked
whales and humpback whales, the two species linked in the literature
with stranding events with a seismic component are not located in the
Beaufort and Chukchi seas seismic
[[Page 50033]]
areas. Finally, if bowhead and gray whales react to sounds at very low
levels by making minor course corrections to avoid seismic noise and
mitigation measures require Shell to ramp-up the seismic array to avoid
a startle effect, strandings are highly unlikely to occur in the Arctic
Ocean. In conclusion, NMFS does not expect any marine mammals will
incur serious injury or mortality as a result of Arctic Ocean seismic
surveys in 2006.
Comment 11: In submitted comments on the MMS Draft PEA, (and
referenced by CBD), the NRDC states that the decibel thresholds
selected for pinnipeds and cetaceans are based on old data which has
since been ``superseded by science,'' and that pinnipeds should be
included with cetaceans in the 180-db Level A harassment threshold.
Response: New acoustic guidelines will be implemented by NMFS upon
completion of a planned EIS on this subject. If NMFS were to implement
new criteria at this time, it would need to be species-specific and
safety zones would fluctuate depending upon the species believed to be
affected by the action. Considering that the 180/190 dB safety zones
were established based on onset TTS, a non-injurious (Level B
harassment) level, the current safety zones of 180 dB rms for cetaceans
and 190 dB rms for pinnipeds is conservative and will protect marine
mammals from injury (Level A harassment).
Comment 12: In submitted comments on the MMS Draft PEA, (and
referenced by CBD), the NRDC states that harassment of marine mammals
can occur at levels below the 160 dB threshold for Level B harassment,
and that NMFS should reassess its harassment thresholds for acoustic
impacts.
Response: The 160-dB rms isopleth is based on work by Malme et al.
(1984) for migrating gray whales along the California coast. Clark et
al. (2000) replicating the work by Malme et al. (1984) indicated that
this response is context dependent, as gray whales did not respond to
simulated airgun noise when the acoustic source was removed from the
gray whale migratory corridor. This indicates to NMFS that establishing
a 160-dB isopleth for estimating a ZOI for low-frequency hearing
specialists when exposed to a low frequency source is conservative. For
mid- or high-frequency hearing specialists, a 160-dB ZOI for a low-
frequency source is likely overly conservative. In this action,
empirical research indicates that bowhead whales respond to sounds at
levels lower than 160 dB during periods of important biological
behavior (migration) but possibly not during other important periods
(feeding). As a result, to reduce the uncertainty over whether these
same avoidance characteristics will occur in the Chukchi Sea as they
appear to have in the Beaufort Sea, MMS and NMFS have established
conservative ZOIs where additional mitigation measures could be imposed
to further protect these species during critical periods in Arctic
waters.
Comment 13: In submitted comments on the MMS Draft PEA, (and
referenced by CBD), NRDC states that MMS' calculations of PTS may be
based on an improper model (i.e. traditional, linear models
underestimate harm) and that MMS should lower its estimate for auditory
injury. They cite Kastak et al. (2005) for this contention.
Response: Kastak et al. (2005) note the non-linear growth of TTS
for relatively small magnitude shifts ( <6 dB) and the inadequacy of a
linear model using only these data in predicting the growth of TTS with
exposure level for a wider range of exposures. It is well known that
the TTS growth function is sigmoidal and thus it is misleading to
describe it solely based on exposures that generate only small-
magnitude TTS (where the slope of the growth function is relatively
shallow). For a wide range of exposures, however, there is a steeper,
linear portion of the sigmoidal function and a fairly consistent
relationship between exposure magnitude and growth of TTS. The slope of
this relationship is relatively well-known for humans (on the order of
1.6 dB TTS/dB noise (Ward et al., 1958; 1959)). While it is not well-
understood for marine mammals (because studies to date have yet to
induce sufficiently large TTS values to properly assess it), the slope
of this portion of the function predicted by the Kastak et al.(2005)
data fit with the curvilinear approximation (based on Maslen, 1981),
and was found to be comparable. Therefore, estimations of PTS from TTS
onset that use a linear growth function with the steepest slope from a
curvilinear function are very likely appropriate and in fact a
conservative approximation, based on the information available at this
time.
Comment 14: In a footnote to the above comment, NRDC notes that
NMFS adopted a higher criterion for pinnipeds (190 dB rms) despite the
1997 HESS (High Energy Seismic Survey) Workshop declining to set this
higher criterion. The NRDC claims that this is in violation of the
Administrative Procedure Act and the Data Quality Act.
Response: The 190 dB threshold for pinnipeds was not based on the
HESS Workshop but came out of a follow-up workshop on acoustics in 1998
(Gentry, 1998). Workshop participants included the same scientists as
the HESS Workshop.
Comment 15: With regard to bowhead whales, the CBD says NMFS'
requires conclusive evidence of harm before it will find more than a
negligible impact from Shell's activity. This is not the standard.
Response: NMFS believes that CBD is referring to a sentence which
reads: ``Additionally, Shell cites Richardson and Thomson [eds]. (2002)
that there is no conclusive evidence that exposure to sounds exceeding
160 db have displaced bowheads from feeding activity.'' This statement
was made by Shell, not NMFS. However, empirical information cannot be
ignored when making the required determinations under the MMPA.
Comment 16: The Commission continues to question NMFS' definition
of temporary threshold shift (TTS) in marine mammal hearing as
constituting Level B Harassment. Clearly an animal's survival depends
on its ability to detect and protect itself from threats. If because of
temporarily compromised hearing it is unable to display a normal
behavioral reaction to events in its environment (e.g., to detect
predators or respond to warnings of danger from conspecifics, it is at
a significantly greater risk of being seriously injured or killed.
Therefore, the Commission reiterates its recommendation that NMFS
revise its definition of TTS to include the potential for Level A
harassment due to secondary effects of temporary hearing loss.
Response: This issue has been addressed several times by NMFS in
the past (see 70 FR 48675, August 19, 2005; 66 FR 22450, May 4, 2001).
As stated in those documents, NMFS is using the best scientific
information available on this subject. The Commission's argument for
considering TTS as both Level A harassment and Level B harassment is
based on conjecture on what might occur if a marine mammal with
compromised hearing was at a disadvantage for survival. As noted
previously, it is likely that marine mammals evolved certain behavioral
responses to address natural loud noises in the environment (for
example, billions of lightning strikes per year on the ocean at about
260 dB peak), by changes in conspecific spatial separation.
Cumulative Effects Concerns
Comment 17: The Commission questions whether there is a sufficient
basis for concluding that the cumulative
[[Page 50034]]
effects of the proposed activities, coupled with past and prospective
activities in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, will be negligible for
bowhead whales and other marine mammal species. The CBD. citing
Anderson v. Evans, 371 F.3d 475 (9th Cir. 2004), believes that
individual IHA review and not a cumulative impact review is
inappropriate and should address impacts from multi-activities over
multi-years, both onshore and offshore Alaska. The CBD also states that
NMFS' failure to address global warming as a cumulative effect renders
its negligible findings invalid.
Response: Under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA, NMFS is required
to determine whether the taking by the IHA applicant's specified
activity will have a negligible impact on the affected marine mammal
species or population stocks. Cumulative impact assessments are NMFS'
responsibility under NEPA, not the MMPA. In that regard, the MMS' Final
PEA addresses cumulative impacts, as did its Draft PEA. The PEA's
cumulative activities scenario and cumulative impact analysis focused
on oil and gas-related and non-oil and gas-related noise-generating
events/activities in both Federal and State of Alaska waters that were
likely and foreseeable. Other appropriate factors, such as Arctic
warming, military activities and noise contributions from community and
commercial activities were also considered. Appendix D of that PEA
addresses similar comments on cumulative impacts, including global
warming. That information is incorporated in this document by citation.
NMFS has adopted the MMS Final PEA and it is part of NMFS'
Administrative Record. Finally, the proposition for which CBD cites
Anderson was in the context of the court's analysis under NEPA, not
MMPA section 101(a)(5)(D), which was not at issue in Anderson.
Comment 18: The Commission notes that NMFS should consider the
cumulative effects of the University of Texas at Austin's (UTA) seismic
survey planned for this summer in the northern Chukchi Sea in
combination with the three seismic surveys proposed by the oil industry
and require similar, comprehensive monitoring and mitigation measures
for that program as well.
Response: See previous response on cumulative impacts. The UTA
program is a separate action that was under internal NMFS review
following the public comment period at the time the Shell IHA decision
was issued (see 71 FR 27997, May 15, 2006). Essentially, seismic survey
is significantly further north in the Chukchi Sea than are the oil
company surveys, is for a shorter period of time during the summer,
will have completed its work weeks prior to the bowhead migration and
establishes very conservative safety zones to protect marine mammals.
Subsistence Concerns
Comment 19: The Nanuuq Commission requests that someone from MMS or
NMFS attend the Ice Seal Committee's July meeting to share information
on the proposed seismic surveys and to respond to questions from the
Committee. Issues for discussion include mitigation and monitoring for
long-term effects on marine mammals and subsistence hunting due to
increased vessel traffic in the area.
Response: NMFS understands that the July meeting was cancelled. The
next meeting is scheduled for October. NMFS plans to attend this
meeting.
Comment 20: The NVPH objects to any oil and gas activities as
referenced in Resolution 06-05, based on concerns relating to NEPA,
consultation and cooperation with the oil industry, and impacts on
marine mammal resources. The CBD notes that the Villages of Kaktovik
and Point Hope have passed resolutions opposing the proposed seismic
surveys due to impacts on the subsistence hunt of bowheads and other
species. In light of the positions of these communities, the CBD does
not see how NMFS can lawfully make the findings required under the MMPA
for Shell's proposed IHA.
Response: NMFS acknowledges that these villages have passed
resolutions objecting to offshore oil development. However, the village
whaling captains of these villages (in addition to villages of Nuiqsuk
and Wainwright and the AEWC) have signed a Programmatic CAA indicating
to NMFS that there will not be an unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses of marine mammals. (see Impact on Subsistence).
Comment 21: The AEWC states that under the MMPA, NMFS must impose
mitigation measures sufficient to ensure that authorized activities
will not have ``an unmitigable adverse impact'' on the availability of
marine mammals for taking for subsistence uses. To accomplish this
level of protection, NMFS must evaluate the activities within the
context of the many other industrial operations expected this year,
including (1) seismic operations in the Canadian Beaufort Sea, (2)
vessel traffic associated with NPRA, and (3) ongoing operations at
Northstar.
Response: While acknowledging increasing industrialization of the
Arctic Ocean and resultant impacts on the subsistence lifestyle of its
inhabitants, section 101(a)(5)(D)(i) limits the scope of this
determination to the specified activity. However, NMFS works
cooperatively with the AEWC to ensure that activities that might result
in marine mammal harassment and have an impact on their availability
for subsistence uses are fully analyzed for their impacts on
subsistence and are the subject of a CAA.
Comment 22: The AEWC is also concerned that Chukchi Sea seismic
operations to the west of Barrow, combined with Shell's proposed
Beaufort Sea operations and other Beaufort Sea industrial operations,
including FEX barging and work at Oooguruk could combine to drive the
fall migration offshore, out of reach of whalers before the whales
reach Barrow.
Response: See previous response. Shell's Chukchi Sea proposed
seismic operation locations are at least one hundred miles southwest of
Barrow and, therefore, are unlikely to impact the fall Barrow
subsistence hunt. Incidentally, FEX signed a CAA with the AEWC to
restrict barging operations during the subsistence hunt. Shell and the
other seismic companies also signed a CAA that prohibits most seismic
operations in the Beaufort Sea during the subsistence hunt and limits
activities affecting hunts in the Chukchi Sea.
Comment 23: The AEWC notes that it has attempted through a CAA to
craft mitigation measures to protect the fall bowhead whale subsistence
hunt. The whaling captains of the Villages of Barrow, Nuiqsut and
Kaktovik have established operating limitations applicable to seismic
operations during the fall bowhead whale migration and subsistence
hunt. The AEWC hopes these operating limitations will be effective
despite the extraordinary level of industrial activity planned during
the bowhead migration, in Alaskan as well as Canadian Arctic. The AEWC
notes that if these mitigation measures are not adequate to protect the
subsistence hunt, the AEWC will work with seismic operators and NMFS to
address the concerns of the subsistence hunters.
Response: As noted in the AEWC letter, the signed CAA excludes
seismic operations in the near-shore polyna (although it will be
necessary in future years for CAAs to address the Alaska Current).
Also, Shell has agreed not to commence seismic operations in the
Chukchi Sea before July 15, to reduce impacts on the beluga hunt.
Additional mitigation requirements are addressed later in this document
(see Plan of Cooperation).
[[Page 50035]]
Monitoring Concerns
Comment 24: The Commission recommends that if NMFS decides to issue
the IHA it should require all practical monitoring and mitigation
measures to protect bowhead and other marine mammals from behavioral
disturbance and to ensure their availability to Alaska Natives for
subsistence purposes. To ensure additional protection to bowhead
whales, and other marine mammals, and to obtain as much information as
possible on the effects of the proposed (seismic) studies on marine
mammals, the Commission recommends that NMFS also require: (1) The use
of passive acoustic arrays from the seismic and/or support vessels and
a passive net array along the Chukchi Sea coast as recommended by
participants at NMFS' open water meeting in Anchorage, AK on April 19-
20, 2006; and (2) pre- and post-operation aerial surveys to supplement
real-time monitoring for the presence of bowhead whales and other
marine mammal species within the proposed action areas, out to the 120-
dB isopleth. Finally, the Commission notes that it will be important to
assess the efficacy of such surveys to determine their value and
reliability in monitoring potential effects.
Response: NMFS considered these recommendations and discusses the
required monitoring and mitigation programs required under the IHAs in
this Federal Register notice.
Comment 25: The CBD states that the MMPA authorizes NMFS to issue
an incidental take authorization only if it can first find that it has
required adequate monitoring of such taking and all methods and means
of ensuring the least practicable impact have been adopted. The
proposed IHA (notice) largely ignores this statutory requirement.
Response: NMFS believes Shell and the other seismic survey
operators in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas will be implementing a
comprehensive monitoring and marine mammal research program that is
fully capable of providing information on impacts from the seismic
surveys and supporting NMFS' determinations that the activity will
result in takes of small numbers of marine mammals, have a negligible
impact on affected species and stocks and not have an unmitigable
impact on the availability of marine mammals for subsisence. Mitigation
measures were addressed previously (see previous comments 7 and 8; also
see the Mitigation and Monitoring sections later in this document).
Comment 26: The CBD notes that the proposed IHA notice suggests
NMFS will require additional measures of Shell so as to be able to
comply with NEPA, such as expanded safety zones for bowhead and gray
whale, and having those zones monitored effectively in order to remain
within the scope of the PEA. While in agreement, CBD notes that such
additional measures are also required to comply with the MMPA. As such
they should be explicitly spelled out in the proposed IHA (notice) and
subject to public comment.
Response: A detailed description of the monitoring program
submitted by Shell was provided in Shell's application and cited in the
Federal Register notice of the proposed IHA. That notice also provided
a description of ongoing discussions regarding improvements to Shell's
monitoring program including aerial monitoring and using passive
acoustics. As a result of a dialogue on monitoring by scientists and
stakeholders attending NMFS' public meeting in Anchorage in April, the
industry expanded on its monitoring program in order to fulfill its
responsibilities under the MMPA. The only addition to the monitoring
program that was not offered for public review at the time was a
research component designed to provide baseline data on marine mammals
for future operations planning. This research program includes: (1) an
acoustic program to measure sounds produced by seismic vessels
(mentioned in the proposed IHA notice); (2) aerial monitoring and
reconnaissance of marine mammals available for subsistence harvest
along the Chukchi Sea coast; (3) research vessel surveys of the Chukchi
Sea, including a towed hypdrophone passive acoustic monitoring (PAM)
system to collect data on the distribution and abundance of marine
mammals; and (4) deployment of, and later analysis of data from,
bottom-founded autonomous acoustic recorder arrays along the coast of
the Chukchi Sea to record ambient sound levels, vocalizations of marine
mammals, and received levels of seismic operations should they be
detectable. As a result of the workshop discussions a draft monitoring
program was provided to workshop participants around April 26, 2006 and
a revised plan distributed in mid-May. Scientists from NMFS and the NSB
are continuing discussions to ensure that the research effort obtains
the best scientific information possible.
The proposed joint-industry research plan (which is a separate plan
from the individual applicant monitoring plans) was not available prior
to publication of the proposed IHA Federal Register notice on May 3,
2006 (71 FR 26055) and could not be detailed without significantly
delaying the public comment period on Shell's application. It should be
noted that this research monitoring program follows the guidance of the
Commission's recommended approach for monitoring seismic activities in
the Arctic (Hofman and Swartz, 1991), that additional research might be
warranted when impacts to marine mammals would not be detectable as a
result of vessel observation programs.
Comment 27: The AEWC notes the MMPA requires that authorizations
for incidental take in Arctic waters include: ``requirements for the
monitoring and reporting of such taking by harassment, including the
requirements for independent peer review of proposed monitoring plans.
`` The MMPA and NMFS' regulations are clear that any monitoring plan
accompanying an IHA for activities in Arctic waters and potentially
affecting subsistence uses of marine resources shall be subject to
independent peer review. The agency has no discretion in this regard.
Since Shell has not prepared a legally adequate monitoring plan,
independent peer review of such a plan has not been possible. Given the
strict requirements governing timing of agency and public review of an
IHA application, such independent peer review will not occur as part of
this process.
Response: Shell submitted its monitoring plans for the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas as part of its application. NMFS noted the availability of
the application and monitoring plans on May 3, 2006 (71 FR 26055).
Shell also made its application available to the AEWC and the NSB and
its Department of Wildlife at the time of its application to NMFS and
held meetings on its activity with affected communities beginning in
the spring, 2006. Shell's Beaufort and Chukchi Sea monitoring plans
were the subject of discussion at the NMFS' peer-review workshop in
April, 2006. This workshop is the means used by NMFS to meet the
requirement for peer-review. As a result of discussions at the April,
2006 workshop, Shell and others proposed conducting additional
monitoring and research. That proposal was completed on April 26, 2006,
and reviewed by NSB and NMFS scientists. Comments were submitted by the
NSB Department of Wildlife Management on May 18, 2006. A revised
research plan was released on June 9, 2006 and is currently being
reviewed by scientists.
[[Page 50036]]
Mitigation Concerns
Comment 28: The CBD recommends NMFS deny an IHA to Shell unless and
until NMFS can ensure that mitigation measures are in place to truly
avoid adverse impacts to all species and their habitats.
Response: NMFS is required to prescribe means of effecting the
least practicable (adverse) impact (i.e., mitigation), not to ensure
that no adverse impacts occur. NMFS believes that the mitigation
measures required under Shell's IHA will reduce levels to the lowest
level practicable. Inherent in implementing these mitigation measures
is some level of uncertainty on the distribution and abundance of
cetaceans in the Chukchi Sea and on whether the acoustic impacts
observed in the Beaufort Sea also occur in the Chukchi Sea.
Comment 29: The CBD believe