Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Designating the Northern Rocky Mountain Population of Gray Wolf as a Distinct Population Segment; Removing the Northern Rocky Mountain Distinct Population Segment of Gray Wolf From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife, 6634-6660 [06-1102]
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 26 / Wednesday, February 8, 2006 / Proposed Rules
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
RIN 1018–AU53
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Designating the Northern
Rocky Mountain Population of Gray
Wolf as a Distinct Population Segment;
Removing the Northern Rocky
Mountain Distinct Population Segment
of Gray Wolf From the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Advanced notice of proposed
rulemaking.
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), announce our
intention to conduct rulemaking to
establish a distinct population segment
(DPS) of the gray wolf (Canis lupus) in
the Northern Rocky Mountains of the
United States (NRM). The NRM DPS of
gray wolf encompasses the eastern onethird of Washington and Oregon, a small
part of north-central Utah, and all of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. The
threats to the wolf population in the
NRM DPS have been reduced or
eliminated as evidenced by the
population exceeding the numerical,
distributional, and temporal recovery
goals each year since 2002. The States
of Montana and Idaho have adopted
State laws and State wolf management
plans that would conserve a recovered
NRM wolf population within their
boundaries into the foreseeable future.
However, we have determined that
Wyoming State law and its wolf
management plan do not provide the
necessary regulatory mechanism to
assure that Wyoming’s share of a
recovered NRM wolf population will be
conserved if the ESA’s protections were
removed. Therefore, we intend to
conduct a future rulemaking to propose
that the gray wolf in the NRM wolf DPS
be removed from the List of Threatened
and Endangered Wildlife under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973 (ESA),
as amended, if Wyoming adopts a State
law and a State wolf management plan
that is approved by the Service.
Concerns regarding the Wyoming plan
would have to be resolved before a NRM
DPS delisting could be finalized. This
ANPRM is being issued in advance of
completion of the 12 month status
review of NRM wolves. This status
review remains in progress.
DATES: We request that comments on
this notice be submitted by the close of
business on April 10, 2006.
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If you wish to comment,
you may submit comments and
materials concerning this notice,
identified by ‘‘RIN number 1018–
AU53,’’ by any of the following
methods:
1. Federal e-Rulemaking Portal—
https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
2. E-mail—NRMGrayWolf@fws.gov.
Include ‘‘RIN number 1018–AU53’’ in
the subject line of the message.
3. Mail—U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, Western Gray Wolf Recovery
Coordinator, 585 Shepard Way, Helena,
Montana 59601.
4. Hand Delivery/Courier—U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service, Western Gray
Wolf Recovery Coordinator, 585
Shepard Way, Helena, Montana 59601.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Edward E. Bangs, Western Gray Wolf
Recovery Coordinator, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, at our Helena office
(see ADDRESSES) or telephone (406) 449–
5225, extension 204.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
ADDRESSES:
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Background
Gray wolves (Canis lupus) are the
largest wild members of the dog family
(Canidae). Adult gray wolves range from
40–175 pounds (lb) (18–80 kilograms
[kg]) depending upon sex and region
(Mech 1974). In the NRM, adult male
gray wolves average over 100 lb (45 kg),
but may weigh up to 130 lb (60 kg).
Females weigh slightly less than males.
Wolves’ fur color is frequently a grizzled
gray, but it can vary from pure white to
coal black (Gipson et al. 2003). Wolves
may appear similar to coyotes (C.
latrans) and some domestic dog breeds
(such as the German shepherd or
Siberian husky) (C. familiaris).
However, the gray wolf’s size, long legs,
narrow chest, large feet, wide head and
snout, and straight tail distinguish it
from both the coyote and dog.
Gray wolves have a circumpolar range
including North America, Europe and
Asia. The only areas within North
America that lacked gray wolf
populations prior to European
settlement were southern and interior
Greenland, the coastal regions of
Mexico, Central America, coastal and
other large parts of California, the
extremely arid deserts and
mountaintops of the western United
States, parts of eastern and southeastern
United States, and possibly southeastern
Canada (Young and Goldman 1944; Hall
1981; Mech 1970; Nowak 1995, 2003;
Wilson et al. 2000, 2003; Grewal et al.
2004). Some authorities question the
reported historical absence of gray
wolves from large parts of California
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(Carbyn in litt. 2000; Mech in litt. 2000;
Schmidt 1987, 1991).
Wolves primarily prey on medium
and large mammals. Wild prey species
in the NRM include white-tailed deer
(Odocoileus virginianus), mule deer (O.
hemionus), moose (Alces alces), elk
(Cervus canadensis), pronghorn
antelope (Antilocapra americana), bison
(Bison bison), bighorn sheep (Ovis
canadensis), mountain goat (Oreamnos
americanus), woodland caribou
(Rangifer caribou), and beaver (Castor
canadensis). While other small and
mid-sized mammals, birds, large
invertebrates, fish, and fruits are
occasionally eaten, they are rarely
important in the wolf’s diet (Mech and
Boitani 2003). Since 1987, wolves in the
NRM also have preyed on domestic
animals, including cattle (Bos sp.),
sheep (Ovis sp.), llamas (Lama glama),
horses (Equus sp.), goats (Capra sp.),
and dogs (Service et al. 2005).
Wolves have a social structure,
normally living in packs of 2 to 12
animals. Wolf packs are usually family
groups consisting of a breeding pair,
their pups from the current year,
offspring from previous years, and an
occasional unrelated wolf. Wolf pack
structure can be ‘‘complex’’ (multiple
generations) or ‘‘simple’’ (breeding pair
and pups). In the NRM, pack sizes
average about 10 wolves in protected
areas, but a few complex packs have
been substantially bigger in some areas
of Yellowstone National Park (YNP) (D.
Smith, Yellowstone NPS, pers. comm.,
2005; Service et al. 2005). In areas
where conflicts with humans and
livestock are most prevalent, packs are
typically smaller and are more likely to
be ‘‘simple.’’ Packs typically occupy
large distinct territories (200–500 square
miles (mi2) (518–1,295 square
kilometers (km2) and defend these areas
from other wolves or packs. Once a
given area is occupied by resident wolf
packs, it becomes saturated and wolf
numbers become regulated by the
amount of available prey, intraspecies
conflict, other forms of mortality, and
dispersal.
Both male and female yearling wolves
often disperse from their packs,
although some non-breeding wolves
remain with their natal packs for years.
Dispersing wolves may cover large areas
as lone animals as they try to join other
packs or attempt to form their own pack
in unoccupied habitat. Dispersal
distances in the NRM average about 60
miles (mi) (97 kilometers (km)), but
dispersals over 500 mi (805 km) have
been documented (Boyd et al. in prep.;
Boyd and Pletscher 1997).
Typically, only the top-ranking
(‘‘alpha’’) male and female in each pack
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breed and produce pups (Packard 2003;
Smith, pers. comm., 2005; Service et al.
2005). Females and males typically
begin breeding as 2-year olds and may
annually produce young until they are
over 10 years old. Litters are typically
born in April and range from 1 to 11
pups, but average around 5 pups
(Service 1992a; Service et al. 2001).
Most years, 4 of these 5 pups survive
until winter (Service et al. 2005).
Wolves can live 13 years but the average
lifespan in the NRM is about 4 years
(Smith, pers. comm., 2005). Pups are
raised by the entire pack. If alphas are
lost when pups are very young, other
pack members or even a single adult can
successfully raise them (Boyd and
Jimenez 1994; Brainerd et al. in prep.).
Pup production and survival can
increase when wolf density is lower and
food availability per wolf increases
(Fuller et al. 2003). Breeding members
also can be quickly replaced either from
within or outside the pack (Packard
2003; Brainerd et al. in prep.).
Consequently, wolf populations can
rapidly recover from severe disruptions,
such as very high levels of humancaused mortality or disease. After severe
declines, wolf populations can more
than double in just 2 years if mortality
is reduced; increases of nearly 100
percent per year have been documented
in low-density suitable habitat (Fuller et
al. 2003; Smith, pers. comm., 2005;
Service et al. 2005).
Recovery
Background—As Europeans began
settling the United States, they
poisoned, trapped, and shot wolves,
causing this once widespread species to
be eradicated from most of its range in
the 48 conterminous States (Mech 1970;
McIntyre 1995). Gray wolf populations
were eliminated from Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming, as well as adjacent
southwestern Canada by the 1930s
(Young and Goldman 1944). Thereafter,
only isolated observations of
individuals and non-breeding pairs
were reported in the area (Ream and
Mattson 1982; Weaver 1978). After
human-caused mortality of wolves in
southwestern Canada was regulated in
the 1960s, populations expanded
southward (Carbyn 1983, Pletscher et al.
1991). Dispersing individuals
occasionally reached the NRM (Ream
and Mattson 1982; Nowak 1983), but
lacked legal protection there until 1974
when they were listed as endangered
under the ESA (39 FR 1171, January 4,
1974).
Recovery Planning and the Selection
of Recovery Criteria—Shortly after
listing we formed the interagency wolf
recovery team to complete a recovery
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plan for the NRM population (Service
1980; Fritts et al. 1995). The NRM Wolf
Recovery Plan (Rocky Mountain Plan)
was approved in 1980 (Service 1980)
and revised in 1987 (Service 1987). It
specifies a recovery criterion of 10
breeding pairs of wolves (defined in
1987 as two wolves of opposite sex and
adequate age, capable of producing
offspring) for 3 consecutive years in
each of 3 distinct recovery areas—(1)
northwestern Montana (Glacier National
Park; the Great Bear, Bob Marshall, and
Lincoln Scapegoat Wilderness Areas;
and adjacent public lands), (2) central
Idaho (Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump,
Frank Church River of No Return, and
Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent, mostly Federal, lands), and (3)
the Yellowstone National Park (YNP)
area (including the Absaroka-Beartooth,
North Absaroka, Washakie, and Teton
Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public
lands). The Rocky Mountain Plan states
that if 2 recovery areas maintain 10
breeding pairs for 3 successive years,
gray wolves in the NRM can be
reclassified to threatened status. It also
states that if all 3 recovery areas
maintain 10 breeding pairs for 3
successive years, the NRM wolf
population can be considered fully
recovered and can be considered for
delisting.
The 1994 environmental impact
statement (EIS) reviewed wolf recovery
in the NRM and the adequacy of the
recovery goals (Service 1994). The EIS
indicated that the 1987 recovery goal
was, at best, a minimal recovery goal,
and that modifications were warranted
on the basis of more recent information
about wolf distribution, connectivity,
and numbers. This review concluded
that as a minimum the recovery goal
should be, ‘‘Thirty or more breeding
pairs (i.e., an adult male and an adult
female wolf that have produced at least
2 pups that survived until December 31
of the year of their birth, during the
previous breeding season) comprising
some +300 wolves in a metapopulation
(a population that exists as partially
isolated sets of subpopulations) (Service
1994) with genetic exchange between
subpopulations should have a high
probability of long-term persistence.’’
We conducted another review of what
constitutes a recovered wolf population
in late 2001 and early 2002 (Bangs
2002). Relevant literature was reviewed
(Fritts et al. 1994; Fritts and Carbyn
1995), and responses were received and
evaluated from 50 of 88 experts
contacted. This review showed that
there is a wide variety of professional
opinion about wolf population viability.
Based on the review, we adopted the
1994 EIS’s more relevant and stringent
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definition of wolf population viability
and recovery (Service 1994) and began
using entire States, in addition to
recovery areas, to measure progress
towards recovery goals (Service et al.
2002). We have determined that an
essential part of achieving recovery is a
well distributed number of wolf packs
and individual wolves among the three
States and the three recovery zones.
While absolute equitable distribution is
not necessary, a well distributed
population with no one State
maintaining a disproportionately low
number of packs or number of
individual wolves is needed.
Fostering Recovery—In 1982, a wolf
pack from Canada began to occupy
Glacier National Park along the United
States Canada border. In 1986, the first
litter of pups documented in over 50
years was born in the Park (Ream et al.
1989). Also in 1986, a pack denned just
east of the Park on the Blackfeet
Reservation, but was not detected until
1987, when they began to depredate
livestock (Bangs et al. 1995). The
number of wolves resulting from this
‘‘natural’’ recovery in northwestern
Montana steadily increased for the next
decade (Service et al. 2005).
In 1995 and 1996, we reintroduced
wolves from southwestern Canada to
remote public lands in central Idaho
and YNP (Bangs and Fritts 1996; Fritts
et al. 1997; Bangs et al. 1998). These
wolves were classified as nonessential
experimental populations under section
10(j) of the ESA to increase management
flexibility and address local and State
concerns (59 FR 60252 and 60266,
November 22, 1994). This
reintroduction and accompanying
management programs greatly expanded
the numbers and distribution of wolves
in the NRM. Because of the
reintroduction, wolves soon became
established throughout central Idaho
and the Greater Yellowstone Area (GYA)
(Bangs et al. 1998; Service et al. 2005).
Monitoring and Managing Recovery—
By 1989, we formed an interagency wolf
working group (Working Group),
composed of Federal, State, and tribal
agency personnel (Bangs 1991; Fritts et
al. 1995; Service 1989). The Working
Group, whose membership has evolved
as wolf range has expanded, conducted
4 basic recovery tasks, in addition to the
standard enforcement functions
associated with the take of a listed
species. These tasks were—(1) monitor
wolf distribution and numbers; (2)
control wolves that attacked livestock
by moving and other non-lethal
measures or by killing them; (3) conduct
research on wolf relationships to
ungulate prey, other carnivores and
scavengers, livestock, and people; and
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population size and trends, as well as
distributional information.
At the end of 2000, the NRM
population first met its numerical and
distributional recovery goal of a
minimum of 30 ‘‘breeding pairs’’ and
over 300 wolves well-distributed among
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming (68 FR
15804, April 1, 2003; Service et al.
2003). That year, Montana attained 8
breeding pairs and approximately 97
wolves; Wyoming attained 12 breeding
pairs and approximately 153 wolves;
and Idaho attained 10 breeding pairs
and 187 wolves. This minimum
recovery goal was attainted or exceeded
in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004. In 2001,
Montana attained 7 breeding pairs and
approximately 123 wolves; Wyoming
attained 13 breeding pairs and
approximately 189 wolves; and Idaho
attained 14 breeding pairs and 251
wolves. In 2002, Montana attained 17
breeding pairs and approximately 183
wolves; Wyoming attained 18 breeding
pairs and approximately 217 wolves;
and Idaho attained 14 breeding pairs
and 216 wolves. In 2003, Montana
attained 10 breeding pairs and
approximately 182 wolves; Wyoming
attained 16 breeding pairs and
approximately 234 wolves; and Idaho
attained 25 breeding pairs and 345
wolves. In 2004, Montana attained 15
breeding pairs and approximately 153
wolves; Wyoming attained 24 breeding
pairs and approximately 260 wolves;
and Idaho attained 27 breeding pairs
and 422 wolves. Figure 1 illustrates wolf
population trends by State from 1979 to
2004. Official population estimates for
2005 are not yet available.
The following section discusses
recovery within each of the three major
recovery areas. Because the recovery
areas cross State lines, the population
estimates sum differently.
Recovery in the Northwestern
Montana Recovery Area—Reproduction
first occurred in northwestern Montana
in 1986. The natural ability of wolves to
find and quickly recolonize empty
habitat and the interagency recovery
program combined to effectively
promote an increase in wolf numbers.
By 1996, the number of wolves had
grown to about 70 wolves in 7 breeding
pairs. However, since 1997 the number
of breeding groups and number of
wolves has fluctuated widely, varying
from 4–12 breeding pairs and from 49–
108 wolves (Service et al. 2005). Our
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(4) provide accurate science-based
information to the public through
reports and mass media so that people
could develop their opinions about
wolves and wolf management from an
informed perspective (Service et al.
1989–2005).
The size and distribution of the wolf
population is estimated by the Working
Group each year and, along with other
information, is published in interagency
annual and weekly reports (Service et
al. 1989–2005; Service 1998–2005).
Since the early 1980s, the Service and
our cooperating partners have radiocollared and monitored over 716 wolves
in the NRM to assess population status,
conduct research, and to reduce/resolve
conflicts with livestock. The Work
Group’s annual population estimates
represent the best scientific and
commercial information available
regarding year-end NRM gray wolf
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 26 / Wednesday, February 8, 2006 / Proposed Rules
1998 estimate was a minimum of 49
wolves in 5 breeding pairs. In 1999, and
again in 2000, 6 breeding pairs
produced pups, and the northwestern
Montana population increased to about
63 wolves. In 2001, we estimated that 84
wolves in 7 breeding pairs occurred; in
2002, there were an estimated 108
wolves in 12 breeding pairs; in 2003,
there were an estimated 92 wolves in 4
breeding pairs; and in 2004, there were
an estimated 59 wolves in 6 breeding
pairs (Service et al. 2002, 2003, 2004,
2005). (See Figure 1.)
The likely reasons for the lack of
further growth are that suitable wolf
habitat in northwestern Montana is
limited and wolf packs there are at a
local social and biological carrying
capacity. Some of the variation in our
wolf population estimates for
northwestern Montana is due to the
difficulty of counting wolves in its’
thick forests. Wolves in northwestern
Montana prey mainly on white-tailed
deer and pack size is smaller, which
also makes packs more difficult to
detect (Bangs et al. 1998). It appears that
wolf numbers in northwestern Montana
are likely to fluctuate around 100
wolves. Since 2001, this area has
maintained an average of nearly 86
wolves and about 7 packs.
Northwestern Montana wolves are
demographically and genetically linked
to both the wolf population in Canada
and to central Idaho (Pletscher et al.
1991; Boyd and Pletscher 1997). Wolf
dispersal into northwestern Montana
from both directions will continue to
supplement this segment of the overall
wolf population, both demographically
and genetically (Boyd et al. in prep.;
Forbes and Boyd 1996, 1997; Boyd et al.
1995).
Wolf conflicts with livestock have
fluctuated with wolf population size
and prey population density (Service et
al. 2005). For example, in 1997,
immediately following a severe winter
that reduced white-tailed deer
populations in northwestern Montana,
wolf conflicts with livestock increased
dramatically and the wolf population
declined (Bangs et al. 1998). Wolf
numbers increased as wild prey
numbers rebounded. Unlike YNP or the
central Idaho Wilderness, northwestern
Montana lacks a large core refugium that
contains over-wintering wild ungulates.
Therefore, wolf numbers are not ever
likely to be as high in northwestern
Montana as they are in central Idaho or
the GYA. However, the population has
persisted for nearly 20 years and is
robust today. State management,
pursuant to the Montana State wolf
management plan, will ensure this
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population continues to persist (see
Factor D).
Recovery in the Central Idaho
Recovery Area—In January 1995, 15
young adult wolves were captured in
Alberta, Canada, and released by the
Service in central Idaho (Bangs and
Fritts 1996; Fritts et al. 1997; Bangs et
al. 1998). In January 1996, an additional
20 wolves from British Columbia were
released. Central Idaho contains the
greatest amount of highly suitable wolf
habitat compared to either northwestern
Montana or the GYA (Oakleaf et al. in
press). In 1998, the central Idaho wolf
population consisted of a minimum of
114 wolves, including 10 breeding pairs
(Bangs et al. 1998). By 1999, it had
grown to about 141 wolves in 10
breeding pairs. By 2000, this population
had 192 wolves in 10 breeding pairs and
by 2001 it had climbed to about 261
wolves in 14 breeding pairs (Service et
al. 2002). In 2002, there were 284
wolves in 14 breeding pairs; in 2003,
there were 368 wolves in 26 breeding
pairs; and by the end of 2004, there
were 452 wolves in 30 breeding pairs
(Service et al. 2003, 2004, 2005) (Figure
1).
Recovery in the Greater Yellowstone
Area—In 1995, 14 wolves from Alberta,
representing 3 family groups, were
released in YNP (Bangs and Fritts 1996;
Fritts et al. 1997; Phillips and Smith
1997). Two of the 3 groups produced
young in late April. In 1996, this
procedure was repeated with 17 wolves
from British Columbia, representing 4
family groups. Two of the groups
produced pups in late April. Finally, 10
five-month old pups removed from
northwestern Montana, were released in
YNP in the spring of 1997.
By 1998, the wolves had expanded
from YNP to the GYA and the
population consisted of 112 wolves,
including 6 breeding pairs that
produced 10 litters of pups. The 1999
population consisted of 118 wolves,
including 8 breeding pairs. In 2000, the
GYA had 177 wolves, including 14
breeding pairs, and there were 218
wolves, including 13 breeding pairs, in
2001 (Service et al. 2002). In 2002, there
were an estimated 271 wolves in 23
breeding pairs; in 2003, there were an
estimated 301 wolves in 21 breeding
pairs; and in 2004, there were an
estimated 324 wolves in 30 breeding
pairs (Service et al. 2003, 2004, 2005)
(Figure 1).
Preliminary estimates suggest that
wolf numbers in GYA are down in 2005
(221 wolves in 13 breeding pairs)
(Service September 9, 2005). The
decline of wolves in YNP occurred
because (1) highly suitable habitat is
saturated with wolf packs; (2) conflict
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among packs appears to be limiting
population density; (3) there are fewer
elk than when reintroduction took place
(White and Garrott 2006; Vucetich et al.
2005); and, (4) a suspected, but as yet
unconfirmed, outbreak of canine
parvovirus (CPV) or canine distemper,
reduced pup survival in 2005.
Additional significant growth in the
YNP portion of the Wyoming wolf
population is unlikely because suitable
wolf habitat is saturated with resident
wolf packs. Wolf recovery in the GYA
segment of the NRM wolf DPS will
likely depend on wolf packs living
outside YNP in Wyoming.
In conclusion, having attained or
exceeded the minimum numerical and
distributional recovery goals for five
consecutive years, the NRM wolf
population has now achieved the
biological criteria necessary for a viable
and recovered wolf population.
Previous Federal Action
In 1974, four subspecies of gray wolf
were listed as endangered including the
NRM gray wolf (Canis lupus irremotus);
the eastern timber wolf (C. l. lycaon) in
the northern Great Lakes region; the
Mexican wolf (C. l. baileyi) in Mexico
and the southwestern United States; and
the Texas gray wolf (C. l. monstrabilis)
of Texas and Mexico (39 FR 1171,
January 4, 1974). In 1978, we published
a rule (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978)
relisting the gray wolf as endangered at
the species level (C. lupus) throughout
the conterminous 48 States and Mexico,
except for Minnesota, where the gray
wolf was reclassified to threatened. At
that time, critical habitat was designated
in Minnesota and Isle Royale, Michigan.
On November 22, 1994, we designated
unoccupied portions of Idaho, Montana,
and Wyoming as two nonessential
experimental population areas for the
gray wolf under section 10(j) of the ESA.
The Yellowstone Experimental
Population Area consists of that portion
of Idaho east of Interstate 15; that
portion of Montana that is east of
Interstate 15 and south of the Missouri
River from Great Falls, Montana, to the
eastern Montana border; and all of
Wyoming (59 FR 60252, November 22,
1994). The Central Idaho Experimental
Population Area consists of that portion
of Idaho that is south of Interstate 90
and west of Interstate 15; and that
portion of Montana south of Interstate
90, west of Interstate 15 and south of
Highway 12 west of Missoula (59 FR
60266, November 22, 1994). This
designation assisted us in initiating gray
wolf reintroduction projects in central
Idaho and the GYA (59 FR 60252,
November 22, 1994). On January 6,
2005, we revised the regulations under
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section 10(j) and liberalized
management options for problem
wolves (70 FR 1285). We also
encouraged State and Tribal leadership
in wolf management in the nonessential
experimental population areas (70 FR
1286, January 6, 2005) where States and
Tribes had Service-approved wolf
management plans.
On July 13, 2000, we proposed to
reclassify and delist the gray wolf in
various parts of the contiguous United
States (65 FR 43449). On April 1, 2003,
we published a final rule revising the
listing status of the gray wolf across
most of the conterminous United States
from endangered to threatened (68 FR
15804). In terms of the NRM population,
this rule (1) designated Washington,
Oregon, California, Nevada, Montana,
Idaho, Wyoming and the northern
portions of Utah and Colorado as the
Western gray wolf DPS (covering a
larger area than proposed in 2000); (2)
reclassified this DPS to threatened
status, except in the experimental
population areas; and (3) implemented
a special regulation under section 4(d)
of the ESA to allow increased
management flexibility for problem
wolves. On January 31, 2005, and
August 19, 2005, the U.S. District Courts
in Oregon and Vermont, respectively,
concluded that the 2003 final rule was
‘‘arbitrary and capricious’’ and violated
the ESA (Defenders of Wildlife v.
Norton, 03–1348–JO, D. OR 2005;
National Wildlife Federation v. Norton,
1:03–CV–340, D. VT. 2005). The courts’
rulings invalidated the April 2003
changes to the ESA listing for the gray
wolf. Therefore, the gray wolf in the
Rocky Mountains, outside of areas
designated as nonessential experimental
populations, reverted back to the
endangered status that existed prior to
the 2003 reclassification.
The Service has received a number of
petitions relevant to the NRM wolf
population. On July 16, 1990, the
Service received a petition from the
Farm Bureau Federations of Wyoming,
Montana, and Idaho to delist the gray
wolf. On November 30, 1990, the
Service published a finding that the
petition did not present substantial
information to indicate that the
petitioned action may be warranted (55
FR 49656).
Subsequent to our July 13, 2000,
reclassification proposal (65 FR 43449),
but after the close of the comment
period, we received petitions from
Defenders of Wildlife to list, as
endangered, gray wolf DPSs in the—(1)
southern Rocky Mountains, (2) northern
California-southern Oregon, and (3)
western Washington. Because wolves
were already protected as endangered
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throughout the 48 conterminous States,
we did not need to take action on these
petitions.
On October 30, 2001, we received a
petition dated October 5, 2001, from the
Friends of the Northern Yellowstone Elk
Herd, Inc. (Friends Petition) that sought
removal of the gray wolf from
endangered status under the ESA (Karl
Knuchel, P.C., A Professional
Corporation Attorneys at Law, in litt.,
2001a). Additional correspondence in
late 2001 provided clarification that the
petition only applied to the Montana,
Wyoming, and Idaho population and
that the petition requested full delisting
of this population (Knuchel in litt.
2001b). Additionally, on July 19, 2005,
we received a petition dated July 13,
2005, from the Office of the Governor,
State of Wyoming and the Wyoming
Game and Fish Commission (Wyoming
Petition) to revise the listing status for
the gray wolf (Canis lupus) by
establishing the northern Rocky
Mountain DPS and to concurrently
remove the gray wolf in the NRM DPS
from the Federal list of threatened and
endangered species (Dave Freudenthal,
Office of the Governor, State of
Wyoming, in litt. 2005). On October 26,
2005, we published a finding that—(1)
the Friends Petition failed to present a
case for delisting that would lead a
reasonable person to believe that the
measure proposed in the petition may
be warranted; and (2) the Wyoming
petition presented substantial scientific
and commercial information indicating
that the NRM gray wolf population may
qualify as a DPS and that this potential
DPS may warrant delisting (70 FR
61770). We considered the collective
weight of evidence and initiated a 12month status review, which continues.
In June of 2003, the Nevada
Department of Wildlife (NDOW)
submitted a petition to delist wolves in
Nevada. The NDOW petition asserted
that the 1978 listing of gray wolves as
endangered in Nevada and the 2003
reclassification of gray wolves as
threatened in Nevada were in error. On
December 9, 2005, we published a
finding that the NDOW petition did not
provide substantial information that the
petitioned action may be warranted (70
FR 73190).
For additional information on
previous Federal actions for gray wolves
beyond the NRM, see the April 1, 2003,
‘‘Final rule to reclassify and remove the
gray wolf from the list of endangered
and threatened wildlife in portions of
the conterminous United States’’ (68 FR
15804).
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Distinct Vertebrate Population Segment
Policy Overview
Pursuant to the ESA, we consider for
listing any species, subspecies, or, for
vertebrates, any DPS of these taxa if
there is sufficient information to
indicate that such action may be
warranted. To interpret and implement
the DPS provision of the ESA and
Congressional guidance, the Service and
the National Marine Fisheries Service
(NMFS) published, on December 21,
1994, a draft Policy Regarding the
Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate
Population Segments under the ESA
and invited public comments on it (59
FR 65884). After review of comments
and further consideration, the Service
and NMFS adopted the interagency
policy as issued in draft form, and
published it in the Federal Register on
February 7, 1996 (61 FR 4722). This
policy addresses the recognition of a
DPS for potential listing,
reclassification, and delisting actions.
Under our DPS policy, three factors
are considered in a decision regarding
the establishment and classification of a
possible DPS. These are applied
similarly for additions to the list of
endangered and threatened species,
reclassification of already listed species,
and removals from the list. The first two
factors—discreteness of the population
segment in relation to the remainder of
the taxon (i.e., Canis lupus); and the
significance of the population segment
to the taxon to which it belongs (i.e.,
Canis lupus)—bear on whether the
population segment is a valid DPS. If a
population meets both tests, it is a DPS
and then the third factor is applied—the
population segment’s conservation
status in relation to the ESA’s standards
for listing, delisting, or reclassification
(i.e., is the population segment
endangered or threatened).
Analysis for Discreteness
Under our Policy Regarding the
Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate
Population Segments, a population
segment of a vertebrate taxon may be
considered discrete if it satisfies either
one of the following conditions—(1) is
markedly separated from other
populations of the same taxon (i.e.,
Canis lupus) as a consequence of
physical, physiological, ecological, or
behavioral factors (quantitative
measures of genetic or morphological
discontinuity may provide evidence of
this separation); or (2) is delimited by
international governmental boundaries
within which differences in control of
exploitation, management of habitat,
conservation status, or regulatory
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mechanisms exist that are significant in
light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the ESA.
Markedly Separated From Other
Populations of the Taxon—The eastern
edge of the tentative NRM wolf DPS
(See Figure 2) is about 400 mi (644 km)
from the western edge of the area
currently occupied by the Great Lakes
wolf population (eastern Minnesota)
and is separated from it by hundreds of
miles of unsuitable habitat (See
discussion of suitable habitat in Factor
A). The southern edge of the NRM wolf
DPS border is about 450 mi (724 km)
from the nonessential experimental
populations of wolves in the
southwestern United States with vast
amounts of unoccupied marginal or
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unsuitable habitat separating them. No
wolves are known to occur west of the
contemplated DPS. No wolves from
other populations are known to have
dispersed as far as the borders of the
NRM wolf DPS.
Although dispersal distance data for
North America (Fritts 1983; Missouri
Department of Conservation 2001; Ream
et al. 1991; Boyd and Pletscher 1997;
Boyd et al. in prep.) show that gray
wolves can disperse over 500 mi (805
km) from existing wolf populations, the
average dispersal of NRM wolves is
about 60 mi (97 km). Only 7 of nearly
200 known NRM wolf dispersal events
from 1994 through 2004 have been over
180 mi (290 km) (Boyd et al. in prep.).
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Six of these seven U.S. long-distance
dispersers remained within the tentative
DPS. None of those long-distance
wolves found mates nor survived long
enough to breed in the United States
(Boyd in prep.). Of the three wolves that
dispersed into eastern Oregon, two died
and one was relocated by the Service
back to central Idaho. Of the two wolves
that dispersed into eastern Washington,
one died and the other moved north into
Canada. The wolf that dispersed to
northern Utah was incidentally
captured by a coyote trapper and
relocated back to Wyoming by the
Service.
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The only wolf known to have
dispersed (within the United States)
beyond the border of the tentative NRM
wolf DPS was killed by a vehicle
collision along Interstate 70 in northcentral Colorado.
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No connectivity currently exists
between the three U.S. gray wolf
populations, nor are there any resident
wolf packs in intervening areas. While
it is theoretically possible that a lone
wolf might transverse over 400 mi from
one population to the other, it has never
been documented and is extremely
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unlikely. Furthermore, the DPS Policy
does not require complete separation of
one DPS from other populations, but
instead requires ‘‘marked separation.’’
Management Differences Among the
United States and Canadian Wolf
Populations—The DPS Policy allows us
to use international borders to delineate
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the boundaries of a DPS even if the
current distribution of the species
extends across that border. Therefore,
we will continue to use the United
States-Canada border to mark the
northern boundary of the DPS due to the
difference in control of exploitation,
conservation status, and regulatory
mechanisms between the two countries.
About 52,000–60,000 wolves occur in
Canada where suitable habitat is
abundant (Boitani 2003). Because of this
abundance, protection and intensive
management are not necessary to
conserve the wolf in Canada. This
contrasts with the situation in the
United States, where, to date, intensive
management has been necessary to
recover the wolf. Wolves in Canada are
not protected by Federal laws and are
only minimally protected in most
Canadian provinces (Pletscher et al.
1991). If delisted, States in the NRM
would carefully monitor and manage to
retain populations at or above the
recovery goal (see Factor D below).
Significant differences exist in
management between U.S.-Canadian
wolf populations.
Analysis for Significance
If we determine a population segment
is discrete, we next consider available
scientific evidence of its significance to
the taxon (i.e., Canis lupus) to which it
belongs. Our DPS policy states that this
consideration may include, but is not
limited to, the following—(1)
persistence of the discrete population
segment in an ecological setting unusual
or unique for the taxon; (2) evidence
that loss of the discrete population
segment would result in a significant
gap in the range of the taxon; (3)
evidence that the discrete population
segment represents the only surviving
natural occurrence of a taxon that may
be more abundant elsewhere as an
introduced population outside its
historic range; and/or (4) evidence that
the discrete population segment differs
markedly from other populations of the
species in its genetic characteristics.
Below we address Factors 1 and 2.
Factors 3 and 4 do not apply to the
tentative NRM wolf DPS and thus are
not included in our analysis for
significance.
Unusual or Unique Ecological
Setting—Within the range of holarctic
wolves, the NRM is the only area where
such a high diversity of large predators
occupy the same areas as a large variety
of native ungulate prey species,
resulting in complex ecological
interaction between the ungulate prey,
predator, and scavenger groups (Smith
et al. 2003). In the NRM wolf DPS, gray
wolves share habitats with black bears
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(Ursus americanus), grizzly bears (Ursus
arctos horribilis), cougars (Felis
concolor), lynx (Lynx canadensis),
wolverine (Gulo gulo), coyotes, badgers
(Taxidea taxus), bobcats (Felis rufus),
fisher (Martes pennanti), and marten
(Martes americana). The unique and
diverse assemblage of native prey
include elk, mule deer, white-tailed
deer, moose, bighorn sheep, mountain
goats, pronghorn antelope, bison, and
beaver. This complexity leads to unique
ecological cascades in some areas, such
as in YNP (Smith et al. 2003; Robbins
2004; Bangs and Smith in press). For
example, wolves appear to be changing
elk behavior and elk relationships and
competition with other ungulates and
other predators (e.g. cougars) that did
not occur when wolves were absent.
These complex interactions could be
increasing streamside willow
production and survival (Ripple and
Beschta 2004), which in turn can affect
beaver and nesting by riparian birds
(Nievelt 2001). This suspected pattern of
wolf-caused changes also may be
occurring with scavengers, whereby
wolf predation is providing a yearround source of food for a diverse
variety of carrion feeders (Wilmers et al.
2003). The wolf population in the NRM
has significantly extended the range of
the gray wolf in the continental United
States into a much more diverse,
ecologically complex, and unique
assemblage of species than is found
elsewhere within historical wolf habitat
in the northern hemisphere, including
Europe and Asia.
Significant Gap in the Range of the
Taxon—Loss of the NRM wolf
population would represent a
significant gap in the holarctic range of
the taxon. As noted above, wolves once
lived throughout most of North
America. Wolves have been extirpated
from most of the southern portions of
their North American range. The loss of
the NRM wolf population would
represent a significant gap in the
species’ holarctic range in that this loss
would create a 15 degree latitudinal or
over 1,000 mi (1,600 km) gap across the
Rocky Mountains between the Mexican
wolf and wolves in Canada. If this
potential gap were realized, substantial
cascading ecological impacts would
occur in that area (Smith et al. 2003;
Robbins 2004; Bangs and Smith in
press).
Given the wolf’s historic occupancy of
the conterminous States and the portion
of the historic range the conterminous
States represent, recovery in the lower
48 States has long been viewed as
important to the taxon (C. lupus) (39 FR
1171, January 4, 1974; 43 FR 9607,
March 9, 1978). The tentative NRM wolf
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DPS is significant in achieving this
objective, as it is 1 of only 3 known
occupied areas in the lower 48 States
and constitutes nearly 20 percent of the
remaining wolves in the conterminous
States.
We believe, based on our analysis of
the best available scientific information,
that the NRM wolf DPS is significant to
the taxon in that NRM wolves exist in
a unique ecological setting and their
loss would represent a significant gap in
the range of the taxon. Therefore, the
NRM wolf DPS appears to meet the
criterion of significance under our
Policy Regarding the Recognition of
Distinct Vertebrate Population
Segments.
Defining the Boundaries of the
Tentative NRM Wolf DPS
Although our DPS policy does not
provide for State or other intra-national
governmental boundaries to be used in
determining the discreteness of a
potential DPS, an artificial or manmade
boundary may be used as a boundary of
convenience in order to clearly identify
the geographic area included within a
DPS designation. Easily identifiable
manmade features, such as roads and
highways, also can serve as a boundary
of convenience for delineating a DPS.
The boundaries of the tentative NRM
wolf DPS include all of Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming, the eastern third of
Washington and Oregon, and a small
part of north central Utah (See Figure 2).
Specifically, the DPS includes that
portion of Washington east of Highway
97 and Highway 17 north of Mesa and
that portion of Washington east of
Highway 395 south of Mesa. It includes
that portion of Oregon east of Highway
395 and Highway 78 north of Burns
Junction and that portion of Oregon east
of Highway 95 south of Burns Junction.
Finally, the DPS includes that portion of
Utah east of Highway 84 and north of
Highway 80. The centerline of these
roads will be deemed the border of the
DPS.
One factor considered in defining the
boundaries of the NRM wolf DPS was
the documented current distribution of
all known wolf pack locations in 2004
(Figure 2) (Service et al. 2005). We also
viewed the annual distribution of wolf
packs back to 2002 (the first year the
population exceeded the recovery goal)
(Service et al. 2002, 2003, 2004). Our
estimate of the overall area occupied by
wolf packs in the NRM would not have
substantially changed our conclusions
had we included other years of data, so
we used the most current information
available. All known wolf packs in
recent history have only been located in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. Only
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occasional lone dispersing wolves from
the NRM population have been
documented beyond those three States,
in eastern Washington, eastern Oregon,
northern Utah, and central Colorado
(Boyd et al. in prep.).
Dispersal distances played a key role
in determining how far to extend the
DPS. We examined the known dispersal
distance of over 200 marked dispersing
wolves from the NRM, primarily using
radio-telemetry locations and recoveries
of the carcasses of marked wolves from
the 1980s until the present time (Boyd
and Pletscher 1997; Boyd et al. in prep).
These data indicate the average
dispersal distance of wolves from the
NRM for the last 10 years was about 60
mi (97 km) (Boyd et al. in prep.). We
determined that 180 mi (290 km), three
times the average dispersal distance,
was a break-point for unusually longdistance dispersal out from existing
wolf pack territories, in part, because
only 7 wolves (none of which
subsequently bred) have dispersed
farther into the United States. Only
dispersal within the United States was
considered in these calculations because
we were trying to determine the
appropriate DPS boundaries within the
United States. Dispersers to Canada
were irrelevant because the Canadian
border formed the northern edge of the
DPS. Thus, we plotted the average
dispersal distance and three times the
average dispersal distance out from
existing wolf pack territories. The
resulting map indicated a wide-band of
likely wolf dispersal that might be
frequent enough to result in additional
pack establishment from the core wolf
population given the availability of
nearby suitable habitat. Our specific
data on wolf dispersal in the NRM may
not be applicable to other areas of North
America (Mech and Boitani 2003).
We also examined suitable wolf
habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming (Oakleaf et al. in press) and
throughout the western United States
(Carroll et al. 2003, 2006) by comparing
the biological and physical
characteristics of areas currently
occupied by wolf packs with the
characteristics of adjacent areas that
remain unoccupied by wolf packs. The
basic findings and predictions of those
models (Oakleaf et al. in press; Carroll
et al. 2003, 2006) were similar in many
respects. Suitable wolf habitat in the
NRM wolf DPS is typically
characterized by public land,
mountainous forested habitat, abundant
year-round wild ungulate populations,
lower road density, lower numbers of
domestic livestock that were only
present seasonally, few domestic sheep,
low agricultural use, and low human
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populations (See Factor A). The models
indicate there is a large block of suitable
wolf habitat in central Idaho and the
GYA, and to a lesser extent
northwestern Montana. These findings
support the recommendations of the
1987 wolf recovery plan (Service 1987)
that identified those three areas as the
most likely locations to support a
recovered wolf population. The models
indicate there is little suitable habitat
within the portion of the NRM wolf DPS
in Washington, Oregon, or Utah. (See
Factor A).
Unsuitable habitat also is important in
determining the boundaries of our DPS.
Model predictions by Oakleaf et al. (in
press) and Carroll et al. (2003, 2006) and
our observations during the past 20
years (Bangs 2004, Service et al. 2005)
indicate that non-forested rangeland and
croplands associated with intensive
agricultural use (prairie and high desert)
would preclude wolf pack
establishment and persistence. This is
due to chronic conflict with livestock
and pets, local cultural intolerance of
large predators, and wolf behavioral
characteristics that make them
extremely vulnerable to human-caused
mortality in open landscapes (See
Factor A). We looked at the distribution
of large expanses of unsuitable habitat
that would form a ‘‘barrier’’ or natural
boundary separating the current
population from both the southwestern
and midwestern wolf populations and
from the core of any other possible wolf
population that might develop in the
foreseeable future in the northwestern
United States. It is important to note
that the DPS Policy does not require
complete separation of one DPS from
other populations, but instead requires
‘‘marked separation.’’ Thus, if
occasional individual wolves or packs
disperse among populations, the NRM
wolf DPS could still display the
required discreteness.
Within the NRM wolf DPS, we
included the eastern parts of
Washington and Oregon and a small
portion of north central Utah, because—
(1) these areas are within a 60 to 180
mile (97 to 290 km) band from the core
wolf population where dispersal is
likely; (2) lone dispersing wolves have
been found in these areas in recent
times (Boyd et al. in prep.); (3) these
areas contain some suitable habitat (see
Factor A for a more in-depth discussion
of suitable habitat); and (4) the potential
for connectivity exists between these
relatively small and fragmented habitat
patches and the large blocks of suitable
habitat in the NRM wolf DPS. If wolf
packs do establish in these areas, they
would be more connected to the core
populations in central Idaho and
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northwestern Wyoming than to any
future wolf populations that might
become established in other large blocks
of suitable habitat outside the NRM wolf
DPS. As noted earlier, large swaths of
unsuitable habitat would isolate these
populations from other suitable habitat
patches to the west or south.
Although we have received reports of
individual and wolf family units in the
North Cascades of Washington (Almack
and Fitkin 1998), agency efforts to
confirm them were unsuccessful and to
date no individual wolves or packs have
ever been documented there (Boyd and
Pletscher 1997, Boyd et al. in prep.).
Intervening unsuitable habitat makes it
highly unlikely that wolves from the
NRM population have dispersed to the
North Cascades of Washington in recent
history. However, if the wolf were to be
delisted in the NRM wolf DPS, it would
remain protected by the ESA as
endangered outside the DPS. We will
continue to provide recommendations
for appropriate protections on a sitespecific basis should wolves ultimately
disperse into and form packs in areas
outside of the NRM wolf DPS.
We would include all of Wyoming,
Montana, and Idaho in the NRM wolf
DPS because their State regulatory
frameworks apply State-wide. We
recognize that this includes large swaths
of unsuitable habitat in eastern
Wyoming and Montana. We chose not to
extend the NRM wolf DPS border
beyond eastern Montana and Wyoming
to provide clearly delineated, easily
understood boundaries for law
enforcement purposes, consistency with
State wolf regulations and planning
efforts, and for administrative
convenience. Including all of Wyoming
in the NRM wolf DPS would also result
in including portions of the Sierra
Madre, the Snowy, and the Laramie
Ranges. Oakleaf et al. (2006, pers.
comm.) chose not to analyze these areas
of SE Wyoming because they are fairly
intensively used by livestock and are
surrounded with, and interspersed by,
private land, making pack establishment
unlikely. While Carroll et al. (2003,
2006) indicated it was suitable habitat,
the model optimistically predicted that
under current conditions these areas
were largely sink habitat and that by
2025 (within the foreseeable future) they
were likely to be ranked as low
occupancy because of increased human
population growth and road
development. Therefore, we do not
consider these areas to be suitable wolf
habitat and they were not significant
factors in determining the DPS border.
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Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species
Section 4 of the ESA and regulations
(50 CFR part 424) promulgated to
implement the listing provisions of the
ESA set forth the procedures for listing,
reclassifying, and delisting species.
Species may be listed as threatened or
endangered if one or more of the five
factors described in section 4(a)(1) of the
ESA threaten the continued existence of
the species. A species may be delisted,
according to 50 CFR 424.11(d), if the
best scientific and commercial data
available substantiate that the species is
neither endangered nor threatened
because of (1) extinction, (2) recovery,
or (3) error in the original data used for
classification of the species.
A recovered population is one that no
longer meets the ESA’s definition of
threatened or endangered. The ESA
defines an endangered species as one
that is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. A threatened species is one
that is likely to become an endangered
species in the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. Determining whether a species
is recovered requires consolidation of
the same five categories of threats
specified in section 4(a)(1). For species
that are already listed as threatened or
endangered, this analysis of threats is an
evaluation of both the threats currently
facing the species and the threats that
could potentially affect the species in
the foreseeable future following the
delisting or downlisting and the
removal or reduction of the ESA’s
protections.
For the purposes of this notice, we
consider ‘‘foreseeable future’’ as 30
years. We use 30 years to represent both
a reasonable timeframe for analysis of
future potential threats and relate this
timeframe back to wolf biology. Wolves
were listed in 1973 and reached
recovery levels by 2002 in both the
midwestern United States and the NRM
wolf DPS. It has taken about 30 years for
the causes of wolf endangerment to be
alleviated and for those wolf
populations to recover. The average
lifespan of a wolf in YNP is 4 years and
slightly less outside the Park (Smith,
pers. comm., 2005). The average gray
wolf breeds at 30 months of age and
replaces itself in 3 years (Fuller et al.
2003). We used 10 wolf generations (30
years) to represent a reasonable
biological timeframe to determine if
impacts could be significant. Any
serious threats to wolf population
viability are likely to become evident
well before a 30-year time horizon.
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For the purposes of this notice, the
‘‘range’’ of this NRM wolf DPS is the
area within the DPS boundaries where
viable populations of the species now
exist. However, a species’ historic range
is also considered because it helps
inform decisions on the species status in
its current range. While wolves
historically occurred over most of the
DPS, large portions of it are no longer
able to support viable wolf populations.
Significance of a portion of the range
is viewed in terms of biological
significance. A portion of a species’
range that is so important to the
continued existence of the species that
threats to the species in that area can
threaten the viability of the species,
subspecies, or DPS as a whole is
considered to be a significant portion of
the range. In regard to the NRM wolf
DPS, the significant portions of the gray
wolf’s range are those areas that are
important or necessary for maintaining
a viable, self-sustaining, and evolving
representative meta-population in order
for the NRM wolf DPS to persist into the
foreseeable future.
The following analysis examines all
significant factors currently affecting
wolf populations or likely to affect wolf
populations within the foreseeable
future. Factor A considers all factors
affecting both currently occupied
(defined below in Factor A) and
potentially suitable habitat (defined
below in Factor A). The issues
discussed under Factors B, C, and E are
analyzed throughout the entire DPS.
Adequate regulatory mechanisms
(Factor D) are discussed for each of the
6 States within the DPS and relevant
tribes, with an emphasis on the three
States with enough suitable habitat to
sustain a viable wolf population
(Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho).
A. The Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
As discussed in detail below, we
believe that impacts to suitable and
potentially suitable habitat will occur at
levels that will not significantly affect
wolf numbers or distribution in the
NRM wolf DPS. Occupied suitable
habitat in key areas of Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming is secure. These areas
include Glacier, Teton, and Yellowstone
National Parks and numerous USDA
Forest Service Wilderness areas. Nearly
two-thirds of the overall area is Federal
and State public land. These areas will
continue to be managed for high
ungulate densities, moderate rates of
seasonal livestock grazing, moderate-tolow road densities that will provide
abundant native prey, low potential for
livestock conflicts, and security from
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excessive unregulated human-caused
mortality. The core recovery areas are
also within proximity to one another
and have enough public land between
them to ensure sufficient connectivity to
maintain the wolf population above
recovery levels.
The NRM wolf DPS is 378,690 mi
(980,803 km2) and includes 158,807 mi2
(411,308 km2) of Federal land (42
percent); 20,734 mi2 (53,701 km2) of
State land (5 percent); 15,068 mi2
(39,026 km2) of Tribal land (4 percent);
and 180,543 mi2 (467,604 km2) of
private land (48 percent). The DPS
contains large amounts of 3 Ecoregion
Divisions—Temperate Steppe (prairie)
(120,521 mi2 [312,148 km2]); Temperate
Steppe Mountain (forest) (156,341 mi2
[404,921 km2]); and Temperate Desert
(high desert) (101,755 mi2 [263,544
km2]) (Bailey 1995). The following
analysis focuses on suitable habitat
within the DPS and currently occupied
areas (which may include intermittent
unsuitable habitat).
Suitable Habitat within the DPS—
Wolves once occupied or transited most,
if not all, of the NRM wolf DPS.
However, much of the wolf s historic
range within the DPS has been modified
for human use and is no longer suitable
habitat. We used two relatively new
models, Oakleaf et al. (in press) and
Carroll et al. (2006), to help us
determine and estimate the current
amount of suitable wolf habitat in the
NRM wolf DPS. As expected, the
Oakleaf et al. (in press) and Carroll et al.
(2006) models predicted different
amounts of theoretically suitable wolf
habitat where their analysis overlapped
because they used different models with
different variables over different areas.
Oakleaf’s basic model was a more
intensive effort that only looked at
potential wolf habitat in the NRM. It
used roads accessible to two-wheel and
four-wheel vehicles, topography (slope
and elevation), land ownership, relative
ungulate density (based on state harvest
statistics), cattle and sheep density,
vegetation characteristics (Ecoregions
and land cover), and human density to
comprise its geographic information
system (GIS) layers. Oakleaf analyzed
the characteristics of areas occupied and
not occupied by NRM wolf packs
through 2000 to predict what other areas
in the NRM might be suitable or
unsuitable for future wolf pack
formation.
Our experience in wolf management
for the past 20 years, and the persistence
of wolf packs since recovery has been
achieved, leads us to concur with the
Oakleaf et al. (in press) model’s
predictions that the most important
habitat attributes for wolf pack
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persistence are forest cover, public land,
high elk density, and low livestock
density. Therefore, we believe that
Oakleaf’s calculations of the amount
and distribution of suitable wolf habitat,
in the parts of Montana, Idaho and
Wyoming analyzed, represents the most
reasonably realistic prediction of
suitable wolf habitat in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming.
In contrast, Carroll’s model analyzed
a much larger area (all 12 western States
and northern Mexico) in a less specific
way. Carroll’s model used density and
type of roads, human population
density and distribution, slope, and
vegetative greenness as ‘‘pseudohabitat’’ to estimate relative ungulate
density to predict associated wolf
survival and fecundity rates. The
combination of the GIS model and wolf
population parameters were then used
to develop estimates of habitat
theoretically suitable for wolf pack
persistence. In addition, Carroll
predicted the potential effect of different
levels of road and human density in
2025 to suitable wolf habitat in the
western United States. We believe that
the Carroll et al. (2006) model tended to
be more liberal in identifying suitable
wolf habitat under current conditions
compared to Oakleaf model or our field
observations indicated but it provided a
valuable relative measure across the
western United States upon which
comparisons could be made. The Carroll
model did not incorporate livestock
density into its calculations as the
Oakleaf model did. We believe that may
in part explain why Carroll ranked more
habitat as potentially suitable than
appeared to be realistic based upon our
observations of wolf pack persistence to
date. Many of the more isolated primary
habitat patches that the Carroll model
predicted as currently suitable, were
predicted as unsuitable by the year
2025, indicating they were likely on the
lower end of what ranked as suitable
habitat in that model. Because these
types of areas were typically small and
isolated from the core population
segments, we do not believe they are
currently suitable habitat based upon on
our data on wolf pack persistence for
the past 10 years (Carroll et al. 2003).
Despite the huge differences in each
model’s analysis area, layers, inputs,
and assumptions, they had similar
results and assumptions that are directly
related to the NRM wolf DPS. These
models were extremely valuable to us as
we developed the DPS border and
analyzed potentially suitable and
unsuitable wolf habitat within the NRM
wolf DPS. Both models predicted that
most suitable wolf habitat in the NRM
wolf DPS was in northwestern Montana,
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central Idaho, and the GYA and in the
area currently occupied by the NRM
wolf population. They also indicated
that these three areas were connected.
However, northwest Montana and Idaho
were more connected to each other than
the GYA, and collectively the three
cores areas were surrounded by large
areas of unsuitable habitat.
Both models ranked areas as suitable
habitat if they had characteristics that
suggested they might have a 50 percent
or greater chance of supporting wolf
packs. Suitable wolf habitat in the NRM
wolf DPS was typically characterized by
both models as public land with
mountainous forested habitat and
having abundant year-round wild
ungulate populations, low road density,
low numbers of domestic livestock that
are only present seasonally, few
domestic sheep, low agricultural use,
and few people. Unsuitable wolf habitat
was typically just the opposite (i.e.,
private land, flat open prairie or desert,
low or seasonal wild ungulate
populations, high road density, high
numbers of year-round domestic
livestock including many domestic
sheep, high levels of agricultural use,
and many people). We generally agree
with these criteria. A mix of these
characteristics produced varying
degrees of suitability. The full spectrum
runs from highly suitable (i.e., the
northern range of YNP) to highly
unsuitable (i.e., a city or a sheep ranch
in eastern Montana) and every
imaginable combination between the
two extremes.
These models are useful in
understanding the relative proportions
and distributions of various habitat
characteristics and their relationships to
wolf pack persistence rather than as
predictors of absolute acreages or areas
that can actually be occupied by wolf
packs. Carroll et al. (2006)
optimistically ranked 102,588 mi2
(265,703 km2) and Oakleaf et al. (in
press) ranked 65,725 mi2 (170,228 km2)
of suitable habitat in Montana, Idaho
and Wyoming. We believe that these
models’ assessments are reasonable and
they generally support earlier
predictions about wolf habitat
suitability in the NRM (Service 1980,
1987, 1994). We used their findings to
make interpretations and predictions
about wolf pack distribution in relation
to potentially suitable habitat in the
NRM wolf DPS.
In the NRM wolf DPS, the estimated
amounts of potentially suitable wolf
habitat predicted by Carroll et al. (2006)
in each State are—40,924 mi2 (105,993
km2) in Montana; 31,856 mi2 (82,507
km2) in Idaho; 29,808 mi2 (77,202 km2)
in Wyoming; 2,556 mi2 (6,620 km2) in
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Oregon; 1,655 mi2 (4,286 km2) in Utah;
and 297 mi2 (769 km2) in Washington.
For perspective, a single wolf pack
territory normally averages 200–500 mi2
(518–1,295 km2). Thus, approximately
28 percent of the NRM wolf DPS would
be ranked as suitable habitat in
accordance with the most liberal model
available (Carroll et al. 2006). We used
the Carroll model to assess relative
habitat suitability in the entire NRM
wolf DPS because the Oakleaf model
only analyzed areas in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming. Because theoretical
models only define suitable habitat as
those areas that have characteristics
with a 50 percent or more chance of
supporting wolf packs, it is impossible
to give an exact acreage of suitable
habitat that can actually be successfully
occupied by wolf packs. It is important
to note that these areas also have up to
a 50 percent chance of not supporting
wolf packs.
We considered data on the location of
suitable wolf habitat from a number of
sources in developing our estimate of
suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf
DPS. This included the locations
estimated in the 1987 wolf recovery
plan (Service 1987), the primary
analysis areas analyzed in the 1994 EIS
for the GYA (24,600 mi2 [63,700 km2])
and central Idaho (20,700 mi2 [53,600
km2]) (Service 1994), information
derived from theoretical models by
Carroll et al. (2006) and Oakleaf et al.
(in press), and our nearly 20 years of
field experience managing wolves in the
NRM. Oakleaf predicted that there was
65,725 mi2 (170,227 km2) of suitable
habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming. Carroll predicted that there
was 107,096 mi2 (277,377 km2) of
suitable habitat within the NRM wolf
DPS, and 102,588 mi2 (265,702 km2) (96
percent) of that was in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming. We agree with Oakleaf et
al. (in press) on the area they concluded
is suitable wolf habitat and that there is
roughly 65,000 mi2 (168,000 km2) of
suitable wolf habitat that is realistically
available for persistent wolf pack
formation in the NRM wolf DPS in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming under
current conditions. Although Carroll
determined there maybe some
potentially suitable wolf habitat (<5,000
mi2 [13,000 km2]) in the NRM wolf DPS
outside of Montana, Idaho and
Wyoming, we believe it is marginally
suitable at best and is insignificant to
wolf population recovery because it
occurs in small isolated fragmented
areas.
Currently Occupied Habitat—The
area ‘‘currently occupied’’ by the NRM
wolf population was calculated by
drawing a line around the outer points
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of radio-telemetry locations of all
known wolf pack (n = 110) territories in
2004 (See Figure 2) (Service et al. 2005).
We defined occupied wolf habitat as
that area confirmed as being used by
resident wolves to raise pups or that is
consistently used by two or more
wolves for longer than one month
(Service 1994). Although we relied upon
2004 wolf monitoring data (Service et al.
2005), the overall distribution of wolf
packs has been similar since 2000 when
the numerical and distributional
recovery goal was first reached (Service
et al. 2001–2005). This general
distribution of wolf packs would be
maintained after delisting because
delisting would occur only if Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming committed to
manage wolves in their State above the
minimum 10 breeding pair and 100
individual wolves recovery level per
State. We included areas between the
core recovery segments as occupied
wolf habitat even though wolf packs did
not use certain portions of it. While
models ranked some of it as unsuitable
habitat, those intervening areas are
important to maintaining the metapopulation structure since dispersing
wolves routinely travel through those
areas (Service 1994; Bangs 2002). This
would include areas such as the
Flathead Valley and other smaller
valleys intensively used for agriculture,
and a few of the smaller isolated
mountain ranges surrounded by
agricultural lands in west-central
Montana.
We estimate approximately 106,384
mi2 (275,533 km2) of occupied habitat in
parts of Montana (48,343 mi2 [125,208
km2]); Idaho (44,907 mi2 [116,309 km2]);
and Wyoming (13,134 mi2 [34,017
km2]). As noted above, occupancy is
limited to these three States and
includes both suitable and unsuitable
areas (especially in the areas between
wolf pack territories). Although
currently occupied habitat includes
some prairie (1,733 mi2 [4,488 km2]) and
some high desert (9,451 mi2 [24,478
km2]), wolf packs did not use these
habitat types successfully. Since 1986,
no persistent wolf pack has had a
majority of its home range in high desert
or prairie habitat. Landownership in the
occupied habitat area is 70,844 mi2
(183,485 km2) Federal (67 percent);
4,717 mi2 (12,217 km2) State (4.4
percent); 1,183 mi2 (3,064 km2) Tribal
(1.7 percent); and 27,675 mi2 (71,678
km2) private (26 percent).
We determined that the current wolf
population is a three segment metapopulation and that the overall area
used by the NRM wolf population has
not significantly expanded since the
population achieved recovery in 2002.
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This indicates there is probably limited
suitable habitat for the population to
expand significantly beyond its current
borders. Carroll’s model predicted that
63,901 mi2 (165,503 km2) of suitable
habitat (62 percent) was within the
occupied area, however, the model’s
remaining potentially (38 percent)
suitable habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming was often fragmented and in
smaller, more isolated patches. Suitable
habitat within the occupied area,
particularly between the population
segments is important to maintain the
overall population. Habitat on the outer
edge of the meta-population is
insignificant to maintaining the NRM
wolf population’s viability or
maintaining the population throughout
a significant portion of its range in the
NRM wolf DPS. Oakleaf predicted that
there was 65,725 mi2 (170,227 km2) of
suitable habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming. Roughly 57,374 mi2 (148,599
km2) or 87 percent of that is within the
area we describe as the area currently
occupied by the NRM wolf population.
We consider this 57,374 mi2 (148,599
km2) of occupied suitable habitat as the
significant portion of the recovered wolf
population’s range because it is the only
area required to maintain the wolf
population above recovery levels for the
foreseeable future and it is important to
the continued existence of wolves in the
NRM wolf DPS. Threats to this area
would have the effect of threatening the
viability of the NRM wolf DPS. These
57,374 mi2 (148,599 km2) are also
necessary for maintaining a viable, selfsustaining, and evolving representative
meta-population in order for the NRM
wolf DPS to persist into the foreseeable
future.
We believe the remaining roughly 13
percent of theoretical suitable wolf
habitat that is unoccupied is primarily
outside the NRM wolf population area,
is unimportant to maintaining the
recovered wolf population, and thus is
not a significant portion of the range of
the NRM wolf DPS. The requirement
that Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming each
maintain at least 10 breeding pairs and
100 wolves in mid-winter insures that
the recovered wolf population will be
maintained throughout a significant
portion of its range in the NRM wolf
DPS into the foreseeable future. The
NRM wolf population occupies nearly
100 percent of the recovery areas
recommended in the 1987 recovery plan
(i.e., the central Idaho, the GYA, and the
northwestern Montana recovery areas)
(Service 1987) and nearly 100 percent of
the primary analysis areas (the areas
where suitable habitat was believed to
exist and the wolf population would
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live) analyzed for wolf reintroduction in
central Idaho and the GYA (Service
1994).
Potential Threats Affecting Suitable
and Currently Occupied Habitat—
Establishing a recovered wolf
population in the NRM wolf DPS did
not require land-use restrictions or
curtailment of traditional land-uses in
the northwestern United States because
there were enough suitable habitat,
enough wild ungulates, and sufficiently
few livestock conflicts to recover wolves
under existing conditions (Bangs et al.
2004). We do not believe that any
traditional land-use practices in the
NRM wolf DPS need be modified to
maintain a recovered NRM wolf
population into the foreseeable future.
We do not anticipate overall habitat
changes in the NRM wolf DPS occurring
at a magnitude that will threaten wolf
recovery in the foreseeable future
because 70 percent of the suitable
habitat is in public ownership that is
managed for multiple uses including
maintenance of viable wildlife
populations (Carroll et al. 2002; Oakleaf
in press).
The GYA and central Idaho recovery
areas, 24,600 mi2 (63,714 km2) and
20,700 mi2 (53,613 km2), respectively,
are primarily composed of public lands
(Service 1994) and are the largest
contiguous blocks of suitable habitat
within the NRM wolf DPS. Central
Idaho (with 9,375 mi2 [24,281 km2] of
designated wilderness at its core) and
the GYA (with YNP over 3,125 mi2
[8,094 km2] and about 6,250 mi2 [16,187
km2] of designated wilderness at its
core) provide secure habitat and
abundant ungulate populations
neighboring in the range of over 99,300
ungulates in the GYA and 241,400 in
central Idaho (Service 1994), and
provide optimal suitable habitat to help
maintain a viable wolf population
(Service 1994). These areas are in public
ownership, and no foreseeable habitatrelated threats would prevent them from
supporting a wolf population that
exceeds recovery levels.
While the northwestern Montana
recovery area (>19,200 mi2 [>49,728
km2]) also has a core of suitable habitat
(Glacier National Park and the Bob
Marshal Wilderness Complex), it is not
as high quality, as large, or as
contiguous as that in either central
Idaho or GYA. The primary reason for
this is that ungulates do not winter
throughout the area because it is higher
in elevation. Most wolf packs in
northwestern Montana live west of the
continental divide where forest habitats
are a fractured mix of private and public
lands (Service et al. 2005). This exposes
wolves to higher levels of human-
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caused mortality and thus supports
smaller and fewer wolf packs. Wolf
dispersal into northwestern Montana
from the more stable resident packs in
the core protected area (largely the
North Fork of the Flathead River along
the eastern edge of Glacier National Park
and the few large river drainages in the
Bob Marshall Wilderness Complex)
helps to maintain that segment of the
NRM wolf population. Wolves also
disperse into northwestern Montana
from Canada and some packs have
trans-boundary territories, helping to
maintain the NRM population (Boyd et
al. 1995). Conversely, wolf dispersal
from northwestern Montana into
Canada, where wolves are much less
protected, continues to draw some
wolves into vacant or low density
habitats in Canada where they are
subject to legal hunting (Bangs et al.
1998). The trans-boundary movements
of wolves and wolf packs led to the
establishment of wolves in Montana,
and will continue to have an overall
positive effect on wolf genetic diversity
and demography in the northwest
Montana segment of the NRM wolf
population.
Within occupied suitable habitat,
enough public land exists so that a
delisted wolf population can be safely
maintained above recovery levels.
Important suitable wolf habitat is in
public ownership and the States and
Federal land-management agencies will
continue to manage habitat that will
provide forage and security for high
ungulate populations, sufficient cover
for wolf security, and low road density.
Carroll et al. (2003, 2006) predicted
future wolf habitat suitability under
several scenarios through 2025,
including increased human population
growth and road development. Those
threats were not predicted to alter wolf
habitat suitability in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming enough to cause the wolf
population to fall below recovery levels.
Ninety-six percent of suitable habitat in
the NRM wolf DPS occurs in these three
states (Carroll et al. in press). Oakleaf et
al. (in press) only analyzed habitat in
those three states because they believed
there was limited wolf habitat adjacent
to the areas previously identified during
recovery planning (Service 1987, 1994).
The areas Carroll et al. (2006) predicted
as theoretically suitable wolf habitat in
the NRM wolf DPS within Washington,
Oregon, and Utah were small and often
fragmented but primarily were in public
land ownership. They were not subject
to any threats that could affect wolf
recovery in the NRM wolf DPS. While
they will be visited by dispersing
wolves and may support occasional
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wolf packs, they are an insignificant
amount of habitat and are not needed to
maintain the recovered wolf population
in the NRM wolf DPS. Therefore, these
areas do not appear to constitute a
significant portion of the range of the
NRM wolf DPS.
The recovery plan (Service 1987), the
meta-population structure
recommended by Fritts (Service 1994),
and subsequent investigations (Bangs
2002), recognize the importance of some
habitat connectivity between
northwestern Montana, central Idaho,
and the GYA. There appears to be
enough habitat connectivity between
occupied wolf habitat in Canada,
northwestern Montana, Idaho, and, to a
lesser extent, the GYA to ensure
exchange of sufficient numbers of
dispersing wolves to maintain
demographic and genetic diversity in
the NRM wolf meta-population (Oakleaf
et al. 2006; Carroll et al. 2006; vonHoldt
et al., in litt., 2005; Boyd et al. in prep.).
To date, from radio-telemetry
monitoring we have documented
routine wolf movement between wolves
in Canada and northwestern Montana
(Pletscher et al. 1991; Boyd and
Pletscher 1997), occasional wolf
movement between wolves in Idaho and
Montana, and at least eleven wolves
have traveled into the GYA (vonHoldt et
al., in litt., 2005; Boyd et al. 1995; Boyd
et al. in prep.). Because we know only
about the 30 percent of the wolf
population that has been radio-collared,
additional dispersal has undoubtedly
occurred. This demonstrates current
habitat conditions allow dispersing
wolves to occasionally travel from one
recovery area to another. Finally, the
Montana State plan (the key State
regarding connectivity) committed to
maintain natural connectivity to ensure
the maintenance of genetic integrity by
promoting land-uses, such as traditional
ranching, that enhance wildlife habitat
and conservation.
Another important factor in
maintaining wolf populations is the
native ungulate population. Wild
ungulate prey in these three areas are
composed mainly of elk, white-tailed
deer, mule deer, moose, and (only in the
GYA) bison. Bighorn sheep, mountain
goats, and pronghorn antelope are also
common but not important, at least at
this time, as wolf prey. In total, 100,000
to 250,000 wild ungulates are estimated
in each State where wolf packs
currently exist. All the States in the
NRM wolf DPS have managed resident
ungulate populations for decades and
maintain them at densities that would
easily support a recovered wolf
population. There is no foreseeable
condition that would cause a decline in
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ungulate populations significant enough
to affect a recovered wolf population.
Cattle and sheep are at least twice as
numerous as wild ungulates even on
public lands (Service 1994a). The only
areas large enough to support wolf
packs, but lacking livestock grazing, are
Yellowstone and Glacier National Parks
and some adjacent USDA Forest Service
Wilderness and parts of wilderness
areas in central Idaho and northwestern
Montana. Consequently, many wolf
pack territories have included areas
used by livestock, primarily cattle.
Every wolf pack outside these areas has
interacted with some livestock,
primarily cattle. Livestock and livestock
carrion are routinely used by wolves,
but management discourages chronic
use of livestock as prey. Conflict
between wolves and livestock has
resulted in the annual removal of some
wolves (Bangs et al. 1995, Bangs et al.
2004, 2005, Service et al. 2002). This is
discussed further under Factor D and E.
Unoccupied Suitable Habitat—
Habitat suitability modeling indicates
the NRM core recovery areas are
atypical of other habitats in the western
United States because suitable habitat in
those areas occurs in such large
contiguous blocks (Service 1987; Carroll
et al. 2006; Oakleaf et al. in press). It is
likely that without core refugia areas,
like YNP and the central Idaho
wilderness, that provide a steady influx
of dispersing wolves, other potentially
suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf
DPS (such as east-central Oregon and
the smaller isolated fragments of
suitable habitat just outside of the area
currently occupied by wolf packs)
would not be capable of sustaining wolf
packs. Some habitat that is ranked by
models as suitable that is adjacent to
core refugia, like central Idaho, may be
able to support wolf packs, while some
theoretically suitable habitat that is
farther away from a strong source of
dispersing wolves, may not be able to
support persistent packs. This fact is
important to consider as suitable habitat
as identified by models still only has a
50 percent or greater chance of being
successfully occupied by wolf packs
and significantly contributing to overall
population recovery. Therefore, not all
habitat predicted by models thought to
be suitable can be successfully occupied
by wolf packs.
Strips and smaller (less than 1,000
mi2 [2,600 km2]) patches of theoretically
suitable habitat land (typically isolated
mountain ranges) often possess higher
mortality risk for wolves because of
their enclosure by, and proximity to,
areas of high mortality risk. This
phenomenon, in which the quality and
quantity of suitable habitat is
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diminished because of interactions with
surrounding less suitable habitat, is
known as an edge effect (Mills 1995).
Edge effects are exacerbated in small
habitat patches with high perimeter to
area ratios (i.e., those that are long and
narrow like isolated mountain ranges)
and in wide-ranging species, like
wolves, because they are more likely to
encounter surrounding unsuitable
habitat (Woodroffe and Ginsberg 1998).
This suggests that even though some
habitat outside the core areas may rank
as suitable in models, it is unlikely to
actually be successfully occupied by
wolf packs because this type of edge
effect was not of overriding importance
in either the Oakleaf or Carroll models.
For these reasons, we believe that the
wolf population in the NRM wolf DPS
will remain centered in northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and the GYA.
This is the significant portion of the
wolf’s range in the NRM that is
important or necessary for maintaining
a viable, self-sustaining, and evolving
representative population or
populations in order for the NRM wolf
DPS to persist into the foreseeable
future. Therefore, we believe that the
suitable habitat we predicted within,
and adjacent to these areas, are the only
areas that are biologically significant to
maintaining a viable, self-sustaining,
and evolving representative metapopulation in the NRM wolf DPS that
will persist into the foreseeable future.
These areas comprise the only
significant portion of the gray wolf’s
range in the NRM wolf DPS.
These core population segments will
continue to provide a constant source of
dispersing wolves into surrounding
areas, supplementing wolf packs in
adjacent but less secure suitable habitat.
However, occupancy of such
theoretically suitable habitats outside of
the core recovery areas will not play a
significant role in maintaining a longterm viable wolf population. Therefore,
it appears that within the NRM wolf
DPS, there are no significant portions of
the wolf’s range that are currently
unoccupied. Most (roughly 87 percent)
suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf
DPS and all suitable habitat significant
to maintain a recovered wolf population
is, and will remain, occupied by wolves.
We therefore do not foresee that
impacts to suitable and potentially
suitable habitat will occur at levels that
will significantly affect wolf numbers or
distribution or affect population
recovery and long-term viability in the
NRM wolf DPS. Occupied suitable
habitat is secured by core recovery areas
in northwestern Montana, central Idaho,
and the GYA. These areas include
Glacier, Teton, and Yellowstone
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National Parks and numerous USDA
Forest Service Wilderness areas. Over
two thirds of the overall area is Federal
and State public land. These areas will
continue to be managed for high
ungulate densities, moderate rates of
seasonal livestock grazing, moderate-tolow road densities that will provide
abundant native prey, low potential for
livestock conflicts, and security from
excessive unregulated human-caused
mortality. The core recovery areas are
also within proximity to one another
and have enough public land between
them to ensure sufficient connectivity to
maintain the wolf population above
recovery levels.
No significant threats to the suitable
habitat in these areas are known to exist.
These areas have long been recognized
as the most likely areas to successfully
support 30 or more breeding pairs of
wolves, comprising 300 or more
individuals in a metapopulation with
some genetic exchange between
subpopulations (Service 1980, 1987,
1994). These areas contain
approximately 87 percent of the suitable
habitat in the NRM wolf DPS.
Unsuitable habitat, and small,
fragmented areas of suitable habitat
away from these core areas, largely
represent geographic locations where
wolf packs cannot persist. Although
they may have been historic habitat,
many of these areas are no longer
suitable and are not important or
necessary for maintaining a viable, selfsustaining, and evolving representative
wolf population in the NRM wolf DPS
into the foreseeable future, and are not
a significant portion of the range of the
NRM wolf DPS.
B. Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes
As detailed below, overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes has not been a
significant threat to the NRM wolf
population, particularly in the core
areas of Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming.
Delisting the NRM wolf DPS would not
threaten recovery by excessive changes
in mortality rates caused by commercial,
recreational, scientific, or education
purposes. However, as discussed later in
Factor D, there are potential concerns
that human-caused mortality associated
with management of wolves in
Wyoming as predatory animals could
exceed sustainable levels.
Since their listing under the ESA, no
gray wolves have been legally killed or
removed from the wild in the NRM wolf
DPS for commercial, recreational, or
educational purposes. In the area of the
tentative NRM wolf DPS, about 3
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percent of the wolves captured for
scientific research, nonlethal control,
and monitoring have been accidentally
killed. Some wolves may have been
illegally killed for commercial use of the
pelts and other parts, but illegal
commercial trafficking in wolf pelts or
wolf parts is believed to be rare. Illegal
capture of wolves for commercial
breeding purposes also is possible, but
is believed to be extremely rare. The
potential for ‘‘take’’ prosecution
provided for by the ESA is believed to
have discouraged and minimized the
illegal killing of wolves for commercial
or recreational purposes. Although
Federal penalties under the ESA will
not apply if delisting were to be
finalized, other Federal laws will still
protect wildlife in National Parks and
on other Federal lands (Service 1994). In
addition, the States and Tribes have
similar laws and regulations that protect
game or trophy animals from
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, and educational
purposes (See Factor D for a more
detailed discussion of this issue and
weblinks to applicable State laws and
regulations). We believe these laws will
continue to provide a strong deterrent to
illegal killing by the public and have
been effective in State-led conservation
programs for other resident wildlife. In
addition, the State fish and game
agencies, National Parks and other
Federal agencies, and most Tribes have
well-distributed experienced cadres of
professional law enforcement officers to
help enforce State, Federal, and Tribal
wildlife regulations (See Factor D).
Scientific Research and Monitoring—
From 1984 to 2004, the Service and our
cooperating partners have captured over
716 NRM wolves for monitoring,
nonlethal control, and research
purposes with 23 accidental deaths. If
the NRM DPS were to be delisted, the
States, National Parks, and Tribes would
continue to capture and radio-collar
wolves in the NRM area for monitoring
and research purposes in accordance
with their State wolf management plans
(See Factor D and Post-Delisting
Monitoring). We expect that capturecaused mortality by Federal agencies,
universities, States, and Tribes
conducting wolf monitoring, nonlethal
control, and research will remain
around 3 percent of the wolves
captured, and will be an insignificant
source of mortality to the wolf
population.
Education—We are unaware of any
wolves that have been legally removed
from the wild for solely educational
purposes in recent years. Wolves that
are used for such purposes are usually
the captive-reared offspring of wolves
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that were already in captivity for other
reasons. However, States may get
requests to place wolves that would
otherwise be euthanized in captivity for
research or educational purposes. Such
requests have been, and will continue to
be, rare; would be closely regulated by
the State wildlife management agencies
through the requirement for state
permits for protected species; and
would not substantially increase
human-caused wolf mortality rates.
Commercial and Recreational Uses—
In the States where wolves would be
considered for delisting, except
Wyoming, any subsequent legal take
would be regulated by State or Tribal
law so that it would not jeopardize each
State’s share of the NRM wolf
population (See Factor D). Currently,
Wyoming State law does not regulate
human-caused mortality to wolves
throughout most of Wyoming (See factor
D for a more detailed description of this
issue). This was one of the primary
reasons the Service did not approve
Wyoming’s plan. Because wolves are
highly territorial, wolf populations in
saturated habitat naturally limit further
population increases through wolf-towolf conflict or dispersal to unoccupied
habitat. Wolf populations can maintain
themselves despite a sustained humancaused mortality rate of 30 percent or
more per year (Keith 1983; Fuller et al.
2003), and human-caused mortality can
replace up to 70 percent of natural
morality (Fuller et al. 2003). This means
that wolf populations are quite resilient
to human-caused mortality if it can be
regulated. The States would regulate
human-caused mortality to manipulate
wolf distribution and overall population
size to help reduce conflicts with
livestock and, in some cases, human
hunting of big game, just as they do for
other resident species of wildlife. The
States (except for Wyoming) and Tribes
would allow regulated public harvest of
surplus wolves in the NRM wolf
population for commercial and
recreational purposes by regulated
private and guided hunting and
trapping. Such take and any commercial
use of wolf pelts or other parts would
be regulated by State or Tribal law (See
discussion of State laws and plans in
Factor D). The regulated take of those
surplus wolves would not affect wolf
population recovery or viability in the
NRM wolf DPS because the states of
Montana and Idaho (and Wyoming, if its
plan is approved in the future), would
allow such take only for wolves that are
surplus to achieving the State’s
commitment to maintaining a recovered
population. Current state laws in
Washington, Oregon, and Utah do not
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allow public take of wolves for
recreational or commercial purposes.
Regulated hunting and trapping are
traditional and effective wildlife
management tools that are to be applied
to help achieve State and Tribal wolf
management objectives as needed.
In summary, the States have
organizations and regulatory and
enforcement systems in place to limit
human-caused mortality of resident
wildlife (except for wolves in
Wyoming). Montana and Idaho State
plans commit these States to regulate all
take of wolves, including that for
commercial, recreational, scientific and
educational purposes, and will
incorporate any tribal harvest as part of
the overall level of allowable take to
ensure that the wolf population does not
fall below the NRM wolf population’s
numerical and distributional recovery
levels. If Wyoming’s regulatory
framework is modified and approved by
the Service, and if delisting were to
occur, the States and Tribes would
regulate human-caused morality for
recreational and commercial uses to
ensure it is not excessive or does not
jeopardize wolf population goals. The
States and Tribes have humane and
professional animal handling protocols
and trained personnel that will ensure
that population monitoring and research
results in few unintentional mortalities.
Furthermore, the state permitting
process for captive wildlife and animal
care will ensure that few, if any wolves,
will be removed from the wild solely for
educational purposes.
C. Disease or Predation
As discussed in detail below, there
are a wide range of diseases that may
affect the NRM wolf DPS. However,
there are no indications that these
diseases are of such magnitude that the
DPS is in danger of extinction,
particularly within the core areas of
Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming.
Similarly, there are no indications that
predation poses a significant threat to
the NRM wolf DPS. The rates of
mortality caused by disease and
predation are well within acceptable
limits and there is no reason to expect
those rates to change appreciably if
wolves were delisted in the DPS.
Disease—Wolves in the NRM wolf
DPS are exposed to a wide variety of
diseases and parasites that are common
throughout North America. Many
diseases (viruses and bacteria, many
protozoa and fungi) and parasites
(helminthes and arthropods) have been
reported for the gray wolf, and several
of them have had significant, but
temporary impacts during wolf recovery
in the 48 conterminous States (Brand et
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al. 1995; Kreeger 2003). The EIS on gray
wolf reintroduction identified disease
impact as an issue, but did not evaluate
it further, as it appeared to be
insignificant (Service 1994). Infectious
disease induced by parasitic organisms
is a normal feature of the life of wild
animals and the typical wild animal
hosts a broad multi-species community
of potentially harmful parasitic
organisms (Wobeser 2002). We fully
anticipate that these diseases and
parasites will follow the same pattern
seen in other areas of North America
(Brand et al. 1995; Bailey et al. 1995;
Kreeger 2003) and will not significantly
threaten wolf population viability.
Nevertheless, because these diseases
and parasites, and perhaps others, have
the potential to impact wolf population
distribution and demographics, careful
monitoring (as per the State wolf
management plans) will track such
events. Should such an outbreak occur,
human-caused mortality would be
regulated in an area and over an
appropriate time period by the State to
ensure populations are maintained
above recovered levels.
Canine Parvovirus (CPV) infects
wolves, domestic dogs, foxes, coyotes,
skunks, and raccoons. The population
impacts of CPV occur via diarrheainduced dehydration leading to
abnormally high pup mortality (WI DNR
1999a). Clinical CPV is characterized by
severe hemorrhagic diarrhea and
vomiting-debility and subsequent
mortality is a result of dehydration,
electrolyte imbalances, and shock. The
CPV has been detected in nearly every
wolf population in North America
including Alaska (Bailey et al. 1995;
Brand et al. 1995; Kreeger 2003) and
exposure in wolves is thought to be
almost universal. Currently, nearly 100
percent of the wolves handled by
Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks (M.
Atkinson, Montana Fish, Wildlife and
Parks, pers. comm., 2005) had blood
antibodies indicating exposure to CPV.
CPV contributed to low pup survival in
the northern range of YNP in 1999 and
is suspected to have done so again in
2005 (Smith, pers. comm., 2005).
However, the impact to the overall NRM
wolf population was localized and
temporary, as has been documented
elsewhere (Bailey et al. 1995, Brand et
al. 1995, Kreeger 2003).
Canine distemper is an acute, fevercausing disease of carnivores caused by
a paramyxo-virus (Kreeger 2003). It is
common in domestic dogs and some
wild canids, such as coyotes and foxes
in the areas of the NRM wolf DPS
(Kreeger 2003). The seroprevalence in
North American wolves is about 17
percent (Kreeger 2003). Nearly 85
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percent of Montana wolf blood samples
analyzed in 2005 had blood antibodies
indicating non-lethal exposure to canine
distemper (Atkinson pers. comm. 2005).
Mortality in wolves has only been
documented in Canada (Carbyn 1992),
Alaska (Peterson et al. 1984, Bailey et al.
1995), and in a single Wisconsin pup
(Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2003b).
Distemper is not a major mortality factor
in wolves, because despite exposure to
the virus, affected wolf populations
demonstrate good recruitment (Brand et
al. 1995). Mortality from canine
distemper has never been documented
in the NRM wolf DPS despite the
wolves’ high exposure to it.
Lyme disease, caused by the
spirochete bacterium, is spread
primarily by deer ticks (Ixodes
dammini). Host species include
humans, horses, dogs, white-tailed deer,
mule deer, elk, white-footed mice,
eastern chipmunks, coyotes, and
wolves. Lyme disease has not been
reported from wolves beyond the Great
Lakes regions (Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources 1999a; Johnson et al.
1994). In those populations, it does not
appear to cause adult mortality, but
might be suppressing population growth
by decreased wolf pup survival.
Sarcoptic mange is caused by a mite
(Sarcoptes scabeii) that infests the skin.
The irritation caused by feeding and
burrowing mites results in intense
itching resulting in scratching and
severe fur loss, which can lead to
mortality from exposure during severe
winter weather or secondary infections
(Kreeger 2003). Advanced sarcoptic
mange can involve the entire body and
can cause emaciation, decreased flight
distance, staggering, and death (Kreeger
2003). In a long-term Alberta wolf study,
higher wolf densities were correlated
with increased incidence of mange, and
pup survival decreased as the incidence
of mange increased (Brand et al. 1995).
Mange has been shown to temporarily
affect wolf population growth rates and
perhaps wolf distribution (Kreeger
2003).
Mange has been detected in, and
caused mortality to, wolves in the NRM,
but almost exclusively in the GYA, and
primarily east of the continental divide
(Jimenez et al. in prep.). Those wolves
likely contracted mange from coyotes or
fox whose populations experience
occasional outbreaks. In southwestern
Montana, 8 percent of 12 packs in 2003,
24 percent of 17 packs in 2004, and 61
percent of 18 packs in 2005 showed
evidence of mange, although not all
members of every pack appeared
infested. In Wyoming, east of the YNP,
12.5 percent of 8 packs in 2003, 22
percent of 9 packs in 2003 and 2004,
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and 0 percent of 13 packs in 2005,
showed evidence of mange. Mange has
not been confirmed in wolves from
Idaho or northwestern Montana. In
packs with the most severe infestations,
pup survival appeared low and some
adults died (Jimenez in prep.). In
addition, we euthanized three wolves
with severe mange. We predict that
mange in the NRM wolf DPS will act as
it has in other parts of North America
(Brand et al. 1995; Kreeger 2003) and
not threaten wolf population viability.
Evidence suggests NRM wolves will not
be infested on a chronic populationwide level given the recent response of
Wyoming wolf packs that naturally
overcame mange infestation.
Dog-biting lice (Trichodectes canis)
commonly feed on domestic dogs, but
can infest coyotes and wolves (Schwartz
et al. 1983; Mech et al. 1985). The lice
can attain severe infestations,
particularly in pups. The worst
infestations can result in severe
scratching, irritated and raw skin,
substantial hair loss particularly in the
groin, and poor condition. While no
wolf mortality has been confirmed,
death from exposure and/or secondary
infection following self-inflicted trauma
caused by the inflammation and itching,
appears possible. For the first time, we
confirmed dog-biting lice in two
members of the Battlefield pack in the
Big Hole Valley of southwestern
Montana in 2005, but their infestations
were not severe. Its source is unknown,
but was likely domestic dogs.
Rabies, canine heartworm,
blastomycosis, brucellosis, neosporsis,
leptospirosis, bovine tuberculosis,
canine coronavirus, hookworm,
coccidiosis, and canine hepatitis have
all been documented in wild gray
wolves, but their impacts on future wild
wolf populations are not likely to be
significant (Brand et al. 1995; Johnson
1995; Mech and Kurtz 1999; Thomas in
litt. 1998; Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources 1999; Kreeger 2003).
Canid rabies caused local population
declines in Alaska (Ballard 1997) and
may temporarily limit population
growth or distribution where another
species, such as arctic foxes, act as a
reservoir for the disease. Range
expansion could provide new avenues
for exposure to several of these diseases,
especially canine heartworm, rabies,
bovine tuberculosis, and possibly new
diseases such as Chronic Wasting
Disease and West Nile Virus (Thomas in
litt. 2000), further emphasizing the need
for vigilant disease monitoring
programs.
Since several of the diseases and
parasites are known to be spread by
wolf-to-wolf contact, their incidence
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may increase if wolf densities increase.
However, because wolf densities appear
to be stabilizing (Service et al. 2005),
wolf-to-wolf contacts will not likely
lead to a continuing increase in disease
prevalence (Mech in litt. 1998). The
wolves’ exposure to these types of
organisms may be most common outside
of the core population areas, where
domestic dogs are most common, and
lowest in the core population areas
because wolves tend to flow out of, not
into, saturated habitats. Despite this
dynamic, we assume that all wolves in
the NRM wolf DPS have some exposure
to all diseases and parasites in the
system. Diseases or parasites have not
been a significant threat to wolf
population recovery in the NRM to date,
nor are they likely to be.
In terms of future monitoring, each
post-delisting management entity (State,
Tribal, and Federal) in the NRM wolf
DPS has wildlife agency specialists with
sophisticated wildlife health monitoring
protocols, including assistance from
veterinarians, disease experts, and
wildlife health laboratories. Each State
has committed to monitor the NRM wolf
population for significant disease and
parasite problems (See State plans in
Factor D). These State wildlife health
programs often cooperate with Federal
agencies and universities and usually
have both reactive and proactive
wildlife health monitoring protocols.
Reactive strategies are the periodic
intensive investigations after disease or
parasite problems have been detected
through routine management practices,
such as pelt examination, reports from
hunters, research projects, or population
monitoring. Proactive strategies often
involve ongoing routine investigation of
wildlife health information through
collection and analysis of blood and
tissue samples from all or a sub-sample
of wildlife carcasses or live animals that
are handled.
Natural Predation—There are no wild
animals that routinely prey on gray
wolves (Ballard et al. 2003).
Occasionally wolves have been killed by
large prey such as elk, deer, bison, and
moose (Mech and Nelson 1989; Smith et
al. 2000; Mech and Peterson 2003).
Since NRM wolves have been
monitored, only three wolves have been
confirmed killed by other large
predators. Two adults were killed by
mountain lions and one pup was killed
by a grizzly bear (Jimenez et al. in
prep.). Wolves in the NRM inhabit the
same areas as mountain lions, grizzly
bears, and black bears, but conflicts
rarely result in the death of either
species. Wolves evolved with other
large predators, and no other large
predators in North America, except
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humans, have the potential to
significantly impact wolf populations.
Wolves are occasionally killed by prey
they are attacking, but those instances
are few. Since the 1980s, wolves in the
NRM have died from wounds they
received while attacking prey (elk,
moose, and bison) on about a dozen
occasions. That level of mortality could
not significantly affect wolf population
viability or stability.
Other wolves are the largest cause of
natural ‘‘predation’’ among wolves.
Numerous mortalities have resulted
from territorial conflicts between wolves
and about 3 percent of the wolf
population is removed annually by
territorial conflict in the NRM wolf DPS
(Smith, pers. comm., 2005). Wherever
wolf packs occur, including the NRM,
some low level of wolf mortality will
result from territorial conflict. Wolf
populations tend to regulate their own
density. Consequently territorial conflict
is highest in saturated habitats. That
cause of mortality is infrequent and
does not cause a level of mortality that
would significantly affect a wolf
population’s viability in the NRM wolf
DPS. (Smith, pers. comm., 2005)
Human-caused Predation—Wolves
are very susceptible to human-caused
mortality especially in open habitats
such as those that occur in the western
United States (Bangs et al. 2004). An
active eradication program is the sole
reason that wolves were extirpated from
the NRM (Weaver 1978). Humans kill
wolves for a number of reasons. In all
locations where people, livestock, and
wolves coexist, some wolves are killed
to resolve conflicts with livestock (Fritts
et al. in Mech and Boitani 2003).
Occasionally wolf killings are accidental
(e.g., wolves are hit by vehicles,
mistaken for coyotes and shot, or caught
in traps set for other animals) (Service
et al. 2005). Some of these accidental
killings are reported to State, Tribal, and
Federal authorities.
However, many wolf killings are
intentional, illegal, and are never
reported to authorities. Wolves do not
appear particularly wary of people
(Boyd 2003) or human activity, and that
makes them very vulnerable to humancaused mortality (Mech and Boitani
2003). In the NRM, mountain
topography concentrates both wolf and
human activity in valley bottoms (Boyd
and Pletscher 1997), especially in
winter, which increases wolf exposure
to human-caused mortality. The number
of illegal killings is difficult to estimate
and impossible to accurately determine
because they generally occur in areas
with few witnesses. Often the evidence
has decayed by the time the wolf’s
carcass is discovered or the evidence is
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destroyed or concealed by the
perpetrators. While human-caused
mortality, including illegal killing, has
not prevented population recovery, it
has affected wolf distribution in the
NRM wolf DPS (Bangs et al. 2004). No
wolf packs have successfully
established and persisted solely in open
prairie or high desert habitats that are
used for intensive agriculture
production in the past 20 years (Service
et al. 2005).
As part of the interagency wolf
monitoring program and various
research projects, up to 30 percent of the
NRM wolf population has been radiocollared since the 1980s. The annual
survival rate of mature wolves in
northwestern Montana and adjacent
Canada from 1984 to 1995, was 80
percent (Pletscher et al. 1997); 84
percent for resident wolves and 66
percent for dispersers. That study found
84 percent of wolf mortality to be
human-caused. Bangs et al. (1998)
found similar statistics, with humans
causing most wolf mortality. Radiocollared wolves in the largest blocks of
remote habitat without livestock, such
as central Idaho and YNP, had annual
survival rates around 80 percent (Smith,
pers. comm., 2005). Wolves outside of
large remote areas had survival rates as
low as 54 percent in some years. This
is among the lower end of adult wolf
survival rates that an isolated
population segment can sustain (Fuller
et al. 2003; Smith, pers. comm., 2005).
Some information suggests these
numbers could be overestimated, while
other information suggests it could be
underestimated. Wolves are more likely
to be radio-collared if they come into
conflict with people, so the proportion
of mortality caused by agency
depredation control actions could be
overestimated by radio-telemetry data.
People who illegally kill wolves may
destroy the radio-collar, so the
proportion of illegal mortality could be
under-estimated. However, the wolf
populations have continued to expand
in the face of ongoing levels of humancaused mortality.
An ongoing preliminary analysis of
the survival data among NRM radiocollared wolves (n = 716) (Smith, pers.
comm., 2005) from 1984 through 2004
indicates that about 26 percent of the
adult-sized wolves die every year, so
annual adult survival averages about 74
percent, which typically results in wolf
population growth (Keith 1983; Fuller
2003). Humans caused just over 75
percent of all radio-collared wolf deaths
(Smith, pers. comm., 2005). This type of
analysis does not estimate the cause or
rate of survival among pups younger
than 7 months of age because they are
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too small to radio-collar. Agency control
of problem wolves and illegal killing are
the two largest causes of wolf death; and
combined they removed nearly 20
percent of the population annually and
are responsible for 60 percent of all
known wolf death.
Wolf mortality from agency control of
problem wolves (which includes legal
take by private individuals under
defense of property regulations in
section 10(j) rules) is estimated to
remove around 10 percent of the adult
radio-collared wolves annually. Since
1995, 28 wolves have been legally killed
by private citizens under Federal
defense of property regulations (Service
1994 and 2005) that, except for
Wyoming, are similar to State laws that
would take effect and direct take of
problem wolves by both the public and
agencies if wolves were delisted.
Agency control removed 292 problem
wolves from 1987 to 2004, indicating
that private citizen take under State
defense of property laws will not
significantly increase the overall rate of
problem wolf removal. Wolves have
been illegally killed by shooting and
poisoning, and radio collar tracking data
indicate that illegal killing is as
common a cause of wolf death as agency
control, also removing around 10
percent the adult wolf population
annually. A comparison of the overall
wolf population and the number of
wolves removed using different analysis
than just radio-collared wolves indicates
agency control removes, on average,
about 6 percent of the overall wolf
population annually (Service et al.
2005). Wolf mortality under State and
Tribal defense of property regulations,
incidental to other legal activities,
agency control of problem wolves, and
legal hunting and trapping would be
regulated by the States and Tribes if the
ESA’s protections were removed.
Regulated wolf mortality is to be
managed so it would not reduce wolf
numbers or distribution below recovery
levels. This issue is discussed further
below under Factor D.
The overall causes and rates of annual
wolf mortality vary based upon a wide
number of variables. Wolves in higher
quality suitable habitat such as remote,
forested areas with few livestock, like
National Parks, have higher survival
rates. Wolves in unsuitable habitat and
areas without substantial refugia have
higher overall mortality rates. Mortality
rates also vary whether the wolves are
resident pack members or dispersers, if
they have a history with livestock
depredation, or have been relocated
(Bradley et al. 2005). However, overall
wolf mortality has been low enough
from 1987 until the present time that the
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wolf population in the NRM has
steadily increased, and is now at least
twice as numerous as needed to meet
recovery levels (Service 1987, 1994).
If the DPS were to be delisted, state
management would likely increase the
mortality rate in the NRM wolf
population, outside National Parks,
National Wildlife Refuges, and Tribal
reservations, from its current level of
about 26 percent annually. A level of
wolf mortality as high as 50 percent is
typically sustainable on an annual basis
(Fuller et al. 2003). The States, except
Wyoming, have the regulatory
authorization and commitment to
regulate human-caused mortality so that
the wolf population remains above its
numerical and distributional recovery
goals. This issue is discussed further
below under Factor D.
In summary, human-caused mortality
to adult radio-collared wolves in the
NRM wolf DPS that averaged about 20
percent per year, still allowed for rapid
wolf population growth. The protection
of wolves under the ESA promoted
rapid initial wolf population growth in
suitable habitat. The States, except for
Wyoming, have committed to continue
to regulate human-caused mortality so
that it does not reduce the wolf
population below recovery levels.
Except for Wyoming, the States have
adequate laws and regulations (See
discussion of adequate regulatory
mechanisms and Wyoming State law
under Factor D.). Each post-delisting
management entity (State, Tribal, and
Federal) has experienced and
professional wildlife staff to ensure
those commitments can be
accomplished.
D. The Adequacy or Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
To address this factor, we compare
the current regulatory mechanisms
within the DPS with the future
mechanisms that will provide the
framework for wolf management after
delisting. These regulatory mechanisms
are carried out by the State governments
included in the DPS, with the main
emphasis placed on those States that
make up the significant portion of the
range in the DPS, Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming. State and Tribal programs are
designed to maintain a recovered wolf
population while minimizing damage
by allowing for removal of wolves in
areas of chronic conflict or in unsuitable
habitat. The three States have proposed
wolf management plans that will govern
how wolves are managed if delisted. As
discussed below, we have approved the
Idaho and Montana plan because they
have proposed management objectives
of maintaining at least 10 breeding pairs
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and 100 wolves per State by managing
for a safety margin of 15 packs in each
State. However, we have been unable to
approve the Wyoming plan because it
does not provide for the same
sustainable levels of protection.
Current Wolf Management
The 1980 and 1987, NRM wolf
recovery plans recognized that conflict
with livestock was the major reason that
wolves were extirpated and that
management of conflicts was a
necessary component of wolf
restoration. The plans also recognized
that control of problem wolves was
necessary to maintain local public
tolerance of wolves and that removal of
so few wolves would not prevent wolf
population from achieving recovery. In
1988, the Service developed an interim
wolf control plan that applied to
Montana and Wyoming, but was
amended in 1990 to include Idaho and
eastern Washington. We analyzed the
effectiveness of those plans in 1999, and
revised our guidelines for management
of problem wolves listed as endangered
(Service 1999). Evidence showed that
most wolves do not attack livestock,
especially larger livestock, such as adult
horses and cattle (Bangs et al. 2005).
Therefore, we developed a set of
guidelines under which depredating
wolves could be harassed, moved, or
killed by agency officials to prevent
chronic livestock depredation. The
control plans were based on the premise
that agency wolf control actions would
affect only a small number of wolves,
but would sustain public tolerance for
non-depredating wolves, thus
enhancing the chances for successful
population recovery (Mech 1995). Our
assumptions have proven correct, as
wolf depredation on livestock and
subsequent agency control actions have
remained at low levels, and the wolf
population has expanded its
distribution and numbers far beyond,
and more quickly than, earlier
predictions (Service 1994; Service et al.
2005).
The conflict between wolves and
livestock has resulted in the average
annual removal of 6–10 percent of the
wolf population (Bangs et al. 1995;
Bangs et al. 2004, 2005; Service et al.
2002; Smith, pers. comm., 2005). Illegal
killing removed another 10 percent of
the wolf population and accidental and
unintentional human-caused deaths
have removed 1 percent of the
population annually.
Wolves within the NRM DPS are
classified as either endangered or
members of a non-essential
experimental population. Wolf control
in the experimental population areas of
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the DPS is more liberal than in the areas
where wolves are listed as endangered.
In the area of the DPS where wolves are
listed as endangered, only designated
agencies may conduct control under the
conservative protocols established by
the Service’s 1999 wolf control plan. In
the nonessential experimental
population areas, wolf control protocols
by agencies and the public are directed
by the experimental population
regulations, promulgated under section
10(j) of the ESA (59 FR 60252,
November 22, 1994; 70 FR 1285, January
6, 2005). These regulations specify
which wolves can be designated as
problem animals, what forms of control
are allowed, and who can carry them
out.
Current wolf control consists of the
minimum actions believed necessary to
reduce further depredations, and
includes a wide variety of non-lethal
and lethal measures (Bangs and Shivik
2001; Bangs et al. 2004; Bangs et al.
2005). However, while helpful, nonlethal methods to reduce wolf livestock
conflict are often only temporarily
effective (Bangs and Shivik 2001; Bangs
et al. 2005; Woodroffe et al. 2005) and
by themselves do not offer effective
long-term solutions to chronic livestock
damage. For instance, relocation of
problem wolves is typically ineffective
at reducing conflicts or allowing
problem wolves to contribute to
population recovery if vacant suitable
habitat is not available (Bradley et al.
2005). Since 2001, all suitable areas for
wolves have been filled with resident
packs and consequently most wolves
that repeatedly depredate on livestock
are now removed from the population
(Service et al. 2005). Between 1987 and
2005, we removed 292 wolves and
relocated wolves 117 times to reduce
the potential for chronic conflicts with
livestock. Of those wolves, 19 wolves
incurred injuries from capture/
relocation that ultimately resulted in
their death or removal from the wild (7
in Montana, 8 in Idaho, 4 in Wyoming).
Accidental mortality from capture
during non-lethal control was low (3
percent) and not a significant portion of
total mortality in the wolf population.
At the end of 2004, 62 to 100 percent
of the suitable wolf habitat in the NRM
wolf DPS was occupied by resident wolf
packs (see discussion in Factor A). If the
wolf population continues to expand,
wolves will increasingly disperse into
unsuitable areas that are intensively
used for livestock production. A higher
percentage of wolves in those areas will
become involved in conflicts with
livestock, and a higher percentage of
them will probably be removed to
reduce future livestock damage. Human-
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caused mortality would have to remove
34 percent or more of the wolf
population annually before population
growth would cease (Fuller et al. 2003).
Preliminary wolf survival data from
radio telemetry studies suggests that
adult wolf mortality resulting from
conflict could be doubled to an average
of 12 to 20 percent annually and still
not significantly impact wolf population
recovery (Smith, pers. comm.). The
State management laws and plans will
balance the level of wolf mortality with
the recovery goals in each State.
One of the most important factors
affecting the level of wolf/livestock
conflict and need for wolf control is the
availability of wild ungulate prey.
Important wild ungulate prey in the
NRM wolf DPS are elk, white-tailed
deer, mule deer, moose, and (only in the
GYA) bison. A large decline in native
ungulate populations could result in an
increase in conflicts with livestock and
the level of wolf control.
Changes in livestock availability have
also changed the rate of livestock
depredations by wolves, thus
necessitating control actions. Nearly
100,000 wild ungulates were estimated
in the GYA and northwestern Montana,
and 250,000 in central Idaho where wolf
packs currently exist. However,
domestic ungulates, primarily cattle and
sheep, are typically twice as numerous
in those same areas, even on public
lands (Service 1994). The only areas
large enough to support wolf packs
where the prey is mostly wild ungulates
are YNP, Glacier National Park
including adjacent USFS wilderness,
and parts of wilderness areas in central
Idaho and northwestern Montana.
Consequently, many wolf pack
territories have included areas used by
livestock, primarily cattle (Bradley
2002). This overlap between wolf pack
territories and livestock has led to the
conflict between wolves and livestock
because depredation control practices
discourage chronic use of livestock as
prey.
Other management control tools used
for managing wolf conflict were using
shoot-on-site permits to private
landowners and allowing take of wolves
in the act of attacking or molesting
livestock, pets or other domestic
animals. Since 1995, only 28 (less than
7 percent of the 292 wolves removed for
livestock depredations from 1987 to
2004) experimental population wolves
were shot by private landowners under
shoot-on-sight permits in areas of
chronic livestock depredation or as they
attacked or harassed livestock.
In the NRM wolf recovery area,
reports of suspected wolf-caused
damage to livestock are investigated by
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USDA/APHIS-Wildlife Services (USDA–
WS) specialists using standard
techniques (Roy and Dorrance 1976;
Fritts et al. 1992; Paul and Gipson
1994). If the investigation confirms wolf
involvement, USDA–WS specialists
conduct the wolf control measures that
we specify. If the incident occurred in
Idaho, USDA–WS also coordinates with
Nez Perce Tribal personnel. Since the
beginning of 2005, USDA–WS began to
coordinate and conduct wolf control in
cooperation with Montana Fish,
Wildlife and Parks (MFWP) and, since
the beginning of 2006 with the Idaho
Department of Fish and Game (IDFG),
who lead wolf management in their
States under a cooperative agreement
and a Memorandum of Agreement with
the Service, respectively. All
investigations of suspected wolf damage
on Tribal lands and wolf control are
conducted in full cooperation with, and
under approval by, the affected Tribe. A
private program has compensated
ranchers full market value for
confirmed, and one-half market value
for probable wolf kills of livestock and
livestock guard animals (Defenders of
Wildlife 2002; Fischer 1989). That
program paid an average of $75,580
annually from 2000 to 2004.
Regulatory Assurances in States Within
the Significant Portion of the Range
In 1999, the Governors of Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming agreed that
regional coordination in wolf
management planning among the States,
Tribes, and other jurisdictions would be
necessary to ensure timely delisting.
They signed a memorandum of
understanding to facilitate cooperation
among the three States in developing
adequate State wolf management plans
so that delisting could proceed.
Governors from the three States
renewed that agreement in April 2002.
The wolf population in the NRM
achieved its numerical, distributional,
and temporal recovery goal, as specified
in the recovery plan, in December 2002.
However, to delist the species we
realized that regulatory assurances
would be necessary and therefore, we
requested that the States of Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming prepare State wolf
management plans to demonstrate how
they would manage wolves after the
protections of the ESA were removed.
The Service provided various degrees of
funding and assistance to the States
while they developed their wolf
management plans.
To provide the necessary regulatory
assurances after delisting, we
encouraged the States in the significant
portion of the range to regulate humancaused mortality of wolves. Several
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issues were key to the Service approving
the plans. First the States had to provide
regulations that would allow regulatory
control, define a pack biologically
consistent with the Service’s definition
of breeding pair, and manage the
population to maintain those pairs/
packs above recovery levels.
The final Service determination of the
adequacy of those three State
management plans was based on the
combination of Service knowledge of
State law, the management plans, wolf
biology, peer review, and the States’
response to the peer review. Those State
plans and our recommendations can be
viewed at: https://
westerngraywolf.fws.gov/. The Service
determined that Montana and Idaho’s
laws and wolf management plans were
adequate to assure the Service that their
share of the NRM wolf population
would be maintained above recovery
levels. Therefore, we approved those
two State plans.
However, we determined that
problems with the Wyoming legislation
and its management plan did not allow
us to approve its approach to wolf
management. In response, Wyoming
litigated this issue (Wyoming U.S.
District Court 04–CV–0123–J and 04–
CV–0253–J consolidated). The Wyoming
Federal District Court dismissed the
case on procedural grounds. Wyoming
has appealed that decision and the case
is under consideration by the Tenth
Circuit Court of Appeals.
Since no wolves currently live in
Washington, Oregon, or Utah (the NRM
wolf population lives only in Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming), and there is very
little suitable habitat in the NRM wolf
DPS outside of that currently occupied
in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, we
did not request the other three States to
prepare wolf management plans.
Furthermore, any potential wolves
outside of Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming are not needed to maintain
the recovered wolf population.
However, we reviewed the regulatory
framework of all States within the NRM
wolf DPS to assess all potential threats
to that wolf population.
Montana—The gray wolf was listed
under the Montana Nongame and
Endangered Species Conservation Act of
1973 (87–5–101 MCA). Senate Bill 163
was passed by the Montana Legislature
and signed into law by the Governor in
2001. It establishes the current legal
statutes for wolves in Montana. Upon
Federal delisting, wolves would be
classified and protected under Montana
law as a ‘‘Species in Need of
Management’’ (87–5–101 to 87–5–123)
which are primarily managed through
regulation of all forms of human-caused
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mortality in a manner similar to trophy
game animals like mountain lions and
black bears. The MFWP and the MFWP
Commission would then finalize more
detailed administrative rules, as is
typically done for other resident
wildlife, but they must be consistent
with the approved Montana wolf plan
and State law. Classification as a
‘‘Species in Need of Management’’ and
the associated administrative rules
under Montana State law create the
legal mechanism to protect wolves and
regulate human-caused mortality
beyond the immediate defense of life/
property situations. Some illegal
human-caused mortality will still occur,
but is to be prosecuted under State law
and MFWP Commission regulations
which would tend to minimize any
potential effect on the wolf population.
In 2001, the Governor of Montana
appointed the Montana Wolf
Management Advisory Council to advise
MFWP regarding wolf management after
the species is removed from the lists of
Federal and State-protected species. In
August 2003, MFWP completed a final
EIS as required by Montana State law,
and recommended that the Updated
Advisory Council alternative be selected
as Montana’s Final Gray Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan.
See https://www.fwp.state.mt.us to view
the MFWP Final EIS and the Montana
Gray Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan.
Under the MFWP management plan,
the wolf population would be
maintained above the recovery levels of
10 breeding pairs in Montana by
managing for a safety margin of 15 packs
(see Post-delisting monitoring section).
Montana would manage problem wolves
in a manner similar to the control
program currently being utilized in the
experimental population area in
southern Montana, whereby landowners
and livestock producers on public land
can shoot wolves seen attacking
livestock or dogs, and agency control of
problem wolves is incremental and in
response to confirmed depredations.
State management of conflicts would
become more protective of wolves and
no public hunting would be allowed
when there were less than 15 packs. The
States would develop their pack
definitions to approximate the current
breeding pair definition, but would
measure wolf populations by the
Service’s current pair definition. Wolves
would not be deliberately confined to
any specific areas of Montana, but their
distribution and numbers would be
managed adaptively based upon
ecological factors, wolf population
status, conflict mitigation, and human
social tolerance. The MFWP plan
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commits to implement its management
framework in a manner that encourages
connectivity among wolf populations in
Canada, Idaho, GYA, and Montana to
maintain the overall meta-population
structure. Montana’s plan predicts that
under State management the wolf
population would increase to between
328 wolves or 27 breeding pairs and 657
wolves or 54 breeding pairs by 2015.
An important ecological factor
determining wolf distribution in
Montana is the availability and
distribution of wild ungulates. Montana
has a rich, diverse, and widely
distributed prey base on both public and
private lands. The MFWP has and will
continue to manage wild ungulates
according to MFWP Commissionapproved policy direction and species
management plans. The plans typically
describe a management philosophy that
protects the long-term sustainability of
the ungulate populations, allows
recreational hunting of surplus game,
and aims to keep the population within
management objectives based on
ecological and social considerations.
The MFWP takes a proactive approach
to integrate management of ungulates
and carnivores. Ungulate harvest is to be
balanced with maintaining sufficient
prey populations to sustain Montana’s
segment of a recovered wolf population.
Ongoing efforts to monitor populations
of both ungulates and wolves will
provide credible, scientific information
for wildlife management decisions.
Wolves would be managed in the
same manner as other resident wildlife
designated as trophy game, whereby
human-caused mortality would be
regulated by methods of take, seasons,
bag limits, areas, and conditions under
which defense of property take can
occur. In addition all agency control of
problem wolves would be directed by
MFWP. All forms of wolf take would be
more restricted when there are 15 or
fewer packs in the State and less
restricted when there are more than 15
packs. By managing for 15 packs, MFWP
would maintain a safety margin to
assure that the Montana segment of the
wolf population would be maintained
above the 10 breeding pair and 100 wolf
minimum population goal. Wolf
management would include population
monitoring, routine analysis of
population health, management of and
in concert with prey populations, law
enforcement, control of domestic
animal/human conflicts, consideration
of a wolf-damage compensation
program, research, and information and
public outreach.
State regulations would allow agency
management of problem wolves by
MFWP and USDA–WS, take by private
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citizens in defense of private property,
and when the population is above 15
packs, some regulated hunting of
wolves. Montana wildlife regulations
allowing take in defense of private
property are similar to the 2005
experimental population regulations
whereby landowners and livestock
grazing permittees can shoot wolves
seen attacking or molesting livestock or
pets as long as such incidents are
reported promptly and subsequent
investigations confirmed that livestock
were being attacked by wolves. The
MFWP intends to enlist and direct
USDA–WS in problem wolf
management, just as the Service has
done since 1987.
When the Service reviewed and
approved the Montana wolf plan, we
stated that Montana’s wolf management
plan would maintain a recovered wolf
population and minimize conflicts with
other traditional activities in Montana’s
landscape. The Service has every
confidence Montana will implement the
commitments it made in its current
laws, regulations, and wolf plan.
Idaho—The Idaho Department of Fish
and Game (IDFG) Commission has
authority to classify wildlife under
Idaho Code 36–104(b) and 36–201. The
wolf was classified as endangered until
March 2005, when the IDFG
Commission reclassified the gray wolf to
a big game animal IDAPA
13.01.06.100.01.d. The big game
classification will take effect upon
Federal delisting, and until then, they
will be managed under Federal status.
As a big game animal, State regulations
will adjust human-caused wolf
mortality to ensure recovery levels are
exceeded. Title 36, in the Idaho statutes,
currently has laws regarding penalties
associated with illegal take of big game
animals. These rules are consistent with
the legislatively adopted Idaho Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan
(IDP) (2002) and big game hunting
restrictions currently in place. The IDP
states that wolves will be protected
against illegal take as a big game animal
under Idaho Code 36–1402 and 36–
1404, and also under the flagrant
violation law Idaho Code 36–202(h) at
the costs specified under Idaho Code
36–1404.
The IDP was written with the
assistance and leadership of the Wolf
Oversight Committee established in
1992 by the Idaho Legislature. Many
special interest groups including
legislators, sportsmen, livestock
producers, conservationists, and IDFG
personnel were involved in the
development of the IDP. The Service
provided technical advice to the
Committee and reviewed numerous
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drafts before the IDP was finalized. In
March 2002, the IDP was adopted by
joint resolution of the Idaho Legislature.
The IDP can be found at: https://
www.fishandgame.idaho.gov/cms/
wildlife/wolves/wolf_plan.pdf.
The IDP calls for IDFG to be the
primary manager of wolves once
delisted, and like Montana, to maintain
a minimum of 15 packs of wolves to
maintain a substantial margin of safety
over the 10 breeding pair minimum and
to manage them as a viable selfsustaining population that will never
require relisting under the ESA. Wolf
take will be more liberal if there are over
15 packs and more conservative if there
are fewer than 15 packs in Idaho. The
wolf population will be managed by
defense of property regulations similar
to those now in effect under the ESA.
Public harvest will be incorporated as a
management tool when there are 15 or
more packs in Idaho to help mitigate
conflicts with livestock producers or big
game populations that outfitters and
guides and others hunt. The IDP allows
IDFG to classify the wolf as a big game
animal, furbearer, or special
classification of predator so that humancaused mortality can be regulated. In
March 2005, the IDFG Commission
proposed that upon delisting the wolf
would be classified as a big game animal
with the intent of managing them
similar to black bears and mountain
lions, including regulated public harvest
when populations are above 15 packs.
The IDP calls for the State to coordinate
with USDA-WS to manage depredating
wolves depending on the number of
wolves in the State, allowing more
liberal control when wolf populations
exceed 15 packs and more
conservatively when there are less than
15 packs. It also calls for a balanced
educational effort.
Elk and deer populations are managed
to meet biological and social objectives
for each herd unit according to the
State’s species management plans. The
IDFG will manage both ungulates and
carnivores, including wolves, to
maintain viable populations of each.
Ungulate harvest will be focused on
maintaining sufficient prey populations
to sustain viable wolf and other
carnivore populations and hunting.
IDFG has implemented research to
better understand the impacts of wolves
and their relationships to ungulate
population sizes and distribution so that
regulated take of wolves can be used to
assist in management of ungulate
populations and vice versa.
The Mule Deer Initiative in southeast
Idaho was implemented by IDFG in
2005 to restore and improve mule deer
populations. Though most of the
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initiative lies outside current wolf range
and suitable wolf habitat in Idaho,
improving ungulate populations and
hunter success will decrease negative
attitudes toward wolves. When mule
deer increase, some wolves may move
into the areas that are being highlighted
under the initiative. Habitat
improvements within much of southeast
Idaho will be focusing on improving
mule deer conditions. The Clearwater
Elk Initiative also is an attempt at
improving elk numbers in the area of
the Clearwater Region in north Idaho
where currently IDFG has concerns
about the health of that once-abundant
elk herd.
Wolves are currently classified as
endangered under Idaho State law, but
if delisted under the ESA they would be
classified and protected as big game
under Idaho fish and game code.
Human-caused mortality would be
regulated as directed by the IDP to
maintain a recovered wolf population.
The Service has every confidence Idaho
will implement the commitments it
made in its current laws, regulations,
and wolf plan.
Wyoming—In 2003, Wyoming passed
a State law that, upon delisting from the
ESA, would designate wolves as trophy
game in limited areas in Wyoming,
Yellowstone National Park, Grand Teton
National Park, John D. Rockefeller
Memorial Parkway, and the adjacent
USFS designated wilderness areas. The
‘‘trophy game’’ status allows the
Wyoming Game and Fish Commission
and Wyoming Game and Fish
Department (WYGF) to regulate the
method of take, seasons, types, and
numbers that can be killed. However,
this classification changes to ‘‘predatory
animal’’ depending on the number of
wolf packs in specific areas in
Wyoming. When wolves are classified
as a ‘‘predatory animal’’ they are under
the jurisdiction of the Wyoming
Department of Agriculture. Species
designated as ‘‘predatory animals’’ are
considered pests, and may be taken by
anyone, at any time, without limit, and
by any means, except poison.
State law defined a pack as five
wolves traveling together. When there
are 7 or more wolf packs in Wyoming
outside of the Yellowstone and Grand
Teton National Parks, the Parkway, and
adjacent wilderness areas or there are 15
or more wolf packs in Wyoming, all
wolves in Wyoming outside of those
two National Parks and the adjacent
wilderness areas would be classified as
predatory animals. If there are fewer
than 7 packs outside of the National
Parks and less than 15 packs in
Wyoming, the area where wolves would
be classified as trophy game would be
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expanded beyond the National Parks
and adjacent wilderness areas to include
an area roughly west of Cody and north
of Pinedale, Wyoming, to the Idaho and
Montana State borders. Any time the
number of wolf packs outside the
National Park units increased to 7 or
more, or there were 15 or more packs in
Wyoming, the trophy game designation
is removed and predatory animal status
would apply to all wolves outside of the
National Park units and the adjacent
wilderness areas. The areas where the
predatory animal designation applies
would change back and forth every 90
days based on the number of wolf packs.
The State law removes the legal
authorization for the WYGF to manage
wolves, unless there are fewer than 7
packs outside the National Parks and
there are less than 15 packs in
Wyoming, including those in the
National Park units. Under such
conditions, WYGF would temporarily
gain authority to manage wolves, but
that authority would end when pack
numbers increased to 15 in the State or
7 outside the National Park units and
adjacent wilderness areas. WYGF, being
the wildlife agency in Wyoming, already
manages other large predators and wolf
prey. They have the professional
knowledge and skill that is necessary to
make appropriate decisions to
effectively manage wolves in the State
and need the management authority in
order to accomplish this.
The State wolf management plan
generally attempts to implement the
State law, with some notable
exceptions. It is different than State law
in that it only commits to maintaining
7 or more wolf packs outside the
National Park units and assumed 8
packs would be present in National Park
units. ‘‘Trophy game’’ status would be
enacted over the larger area (roughly
that part of northwestern Wyoming east
of Cody and north of Pinedale) only if
there were 7 or fewer packs outside the
Park units. The area of predatory animal
status would remain in effect over the
remainder of Wyoming regardless of the
number of packs.
Like State law, the plan allows
livestock owners to shoot wolves
designated as trophy game to defend
their livestock and pets on private and
public land from wolf attack or
harassment. The plan commits to
intensive wolf monitoring using
standard methods, routine monitoring of
diseases and wolf physical
characteristics through mandatory
reporting of wolf kills and pelts, and a
balanced information and education
program about wolves in Wyoming.
Wyoming’s State law and its wolf
management plan were not approved by
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the Service as an adequate regulatory
mechanism to maintain a recovered
wolf population. We intend to propose
to delist the NRM DPS when the State
of Wyoming addresses the deficiencies
in the State Law and management plan
as discussed below.
The Service’s recovery goal for each
State is maintaining at least 10 breeding
pairs, and at least 100 wolves per State.
We define a breeding pair as an adult
male and an adult female that raise at
least two pups until December 31. This
breeding pair definition is likely
equivalent to five or six wolves traveling
together in winter (our population
estimates are made for the estimated
wolf population on December 31st of
each year). Our current data support the
concept that 15 packs of 5 or more
wolves traveling together in winter is
equivalent to about 12–15 breeding
pairs. Winter was picked because
wolves breed in mid-February and the
major causes of wolf mortality, wolf
control and illegal killing, peak in
summer and fall. There is no statistical
difference between using either five or
six wolves traveling together in winter
to develop a biological equivalent
definition of pack to the current
definition of a breeding pair.
Under Wyoming law, a pack is
defined as just 5 wolves, however, the
law also allows that if a pack of 10 or
more wolves has more than 2 breeding
females, a single pack could be
classified as multiple breeding pairs.
This definition becomes problematic
when using it as a biological equivalent
to breeding pair because it lacks the
flexibility to accommodate variations in
pups’ survivability. WYGF needs the
flexibility to react to new scientific
information as it becomes available. For
instance, in 1999, and again in 2005,
pup production and survival was
significantly decreased. In Wyoming,
2002 and 2003, and in Montana, 2004
and 2005, mange was infesting some
packs and wolves with mange were not
expected to survive the winter
decreasing the overall population size.
In these types of situations, five wolves
traveling together would not be the
equivalent to an adult male and female,
and two pups on December 31st. With
State law dictating biological
definitions, WYGF would be prevented
from adjusting management and
potential levels of human-caused
mortality even though they recognize
that wolf recruitment was lower than
normal and any wolves removed from
the population would be less likely to
be replaced, as was the case in the
situations discussed previously.
Scientific decisions need to be made by
WYGF in coordination with the other
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States. To approve the Wyoming State
plan, the law and the management plan
needs a definition of pack that is
biologically equivalent to the Service’s
definition of breeding pair, which gives
the WYGF the flexibility to manage
human-caused mortality for population
fluctuations.
In order for the WYGF to manage
human-caused mortality, they need to
be given the regulatory authority to
manage wolves by designating wolves as
a trophy game species and allowing
WYGF to manage for conservation above
the recovery levels of 10 packs and 100
wolves in the State. Wolves rarely use
the wilderness areas outside the Park
units and many southern Park packs
leave the Park units in winter regularly
utilizing habitat in non-wilderness
public lands and some private lands.
This means most packs in Wyoming
would be subject, under predatory
animal status, to unregulated and
unlimited human caused mortality.
Only when the number of packs falls
below seven outside the Park units,
would the predatory animal status be
changed and management by WYGF be
authorized by State law. This could
result in unregulated human-caused
mortality continuing until the
population was below the minimum
state plan objective of seven wolf packs
outside the Parks.
The more protective and larger trophy
game area and WYGF’s legal
authorization to manage sport harvest
would not go into effect until the
population crossed below the 15 pack
threshold and there were less than 7
packs left to protect or manage outside
of the National Park units. Trophy game
status, by itself, would not reduce wolf
mortality from defense of property by
Wyoming livestock, pet, and hunting
dog owners, agency control of problem
wolves, or illegal killing, or any natural
causes of mortality. Once there were
fewer than 15 packs in Wyoming and
fewer than 7 packs outside the Park
Units, WYGF could do little except
decline to authorize additional wolf
mortality through sport hunting and
trapping seasons. This limited authority
and the low thresholds that trigger
change in status mean that the wolf
population would be at levels too low
for WYGF to undertake effective action
to conserve the wolf population above
recovery levels. WYGF needs to be
given the regulatory authority to
adaptively manage the species
throughout the State of Wyoming to
account for fluctuations in population
levels.
The potential success of the current
Wyoming law and wolf plan to maintain
its share of wolves in the NRM DPS
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depends on Yellowstone National Park
having at least eight packs. In our
September 9, 2005, weekly wolf report,
we provided our annual mid-year
estimate of the wolf population in the
NRM. That was only an interim count
but it appeared that wolf numbers are
down substantially in Yellowstone
National Park. Canine parvo-virus is
suspected of causing low pup survival
in the Park and pack conflicts over
territory appears to have reduced the
number of wolves and packs in the Park
from 16 breeding pairs and 171 wolves
in 2004, to 6 or 7 breeding pairs and 118
wolves in 2005 (Service Sept. 9, 2005).
While there are currently more than 7
wolf packs outside the Park because of
the Act s protections, it is likely that
predatory animal status—if
implemented at this time—would
quickly reduce wolf packs outside the
Park to minimum levels, and based on
current conditions only 12–14 packs
would exist in the State. Wyoming State
law allows no regulation of humancaused mortality until the population
falls below seven packs outside the
Parks. Wyoming’s claim that such
extensive removal of wolves is unlikely
even if they receive no legal protection
is not supported given the past history
of wolf extirpation.
Wyoming State law and predatory
animal status minimizes opportunities
for adaptive professional wildlife
management by WYGF, confines wolf
packs primarily to Yellowstone National
Park, depends on at least eight Park wolf
packs to constitute most of the wolves
in Wyoming, and minimizes the number
of wolves and wolf packs outside the
Park. We have previously determined
that Wyoming State law would prohibit
a timely response to manage wolves
effectively by WYGF should
modification in state management of
wolves be needed to prevent the
population from falling below recovery
levels of at least 10 breeding pairs and
100 wolves for each of the three core
States. Based on these inadequacies, the
Service is not assured that Wyoming’s
State law and wolf management plan
would maintain the Wyoming segment
of the wolf population above recovery
levels.
In accordance with the requirements
of the ESA and the positive 90 day
finding made by the Service on October
25, 2005, the Service is continuing to
carefully review Wyoming’s July 2005
petition to delist, its defense of
Wyoming’s regulatory framework, and
the reasons why Wyoming believes we
should consider Wyoming State law and
its wolf plan as an adequate regulatory
mechanism to propose delisting. At this
time we continue to believe that current
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State law and the State wolf plan in
Wyoming do not provide adequate
regulatory assurances that Wyoming’s
share of the NRM DPS population will
be maintained into the foreseeable
future and thus that the overall wolf
population’s distribution and numbers
will be maintained above recovery
levels. However, if Wyoming modified
its State law and its wolf management
plan to address the inadequacies
described above and the Service
approved them, we would then consider
proposing the delisting of wolves
throughout the NRM wolf DPS.
Regulatory Assurances in Other States
and Tribal Areas Within the DPS
Washington—Wolves in all of
Washington are endangered under State
law (RCW 77.12, WAC 232.12.014; these
provisions may be viewed at: https://
www.leg.wa.gov/RCW/
index.cfm?section=
77.12.020&fuseaction=section and
https://www.leg.wa.gov/WAC/
index.cfm?section=232-12014&fuseaction=section. If the NRM
DPS is delisted, those areas in
Washington included in the NRM wolf
DPS would still remain listed as
endangered by Washington State law,
which prohibits nearly all forms of
human-caused mortality. The areas in
Washington not included in the NRM
DPS would remain listed as endangered
under both State and Federal law.
At this time, there are no known
wolves in Washington and there is little
suitable habitat in that part of eastern
Washington in the NRM wolf DPS. Wolf
management in Washington will have
no effect on the recovered wolf
population that resides in the significant
portion of the range of Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming.
There is currently no Washington
State recovery or management plan for
wolves. However, Interagency Wolf
Response Guidelines are being
developed by the Service, WDFW, and
USDA–WS to provide a checklist of
response actions for five situations that
may arise in the future. There are no
known wolves in Washington at this
time, but a few individuals may
occasionally disperse into the State from
nearby populations in Idaho, Montana,
and Canada. There are no plans to
reintroduce wolves to Washington.
Oregon—The gray wolf has been
classified as endangered under the
Oregon Endangered Species Act (ESA;
ORS 496.171–192) since 1987. If
federally delisted, wolves in that
portion of the NRM DPS in Oregon
would remain listed as endangered
under State law. There are currently no
known wolves in Oregon and wolf
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management will have no effect on the
recovered wolf population that resides
in the significant portion of the range of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.
The Oregon Wolf Management Plan,
as approved in February 2005, called for
3 legislative actions and included
several provisions that could not be
implemented unless certain actions
were taken by the Oregon Legislature.
The 2005 Oregon Legislative Assembly
considered, but did not adopt, the
proposed legislative actions. As a result,
the Fish and Wildlife Commission is
currently going through a public review
process to amend the Oregon Plan and
discuss legislative proposals. The
Commission remains on record as
calling for those legislative
enhancements; however,
implementation of the Oregon Plan does
not depend upon them. Formal
amendment of the Oregon Plan is
expected to result in a strategy for
conserving the gray wolf in Oregon,
identify the conditions necessary for
delisting the wolf under State law, and
provide management after delisting.
Under the Oregon Department of Fish
and Wildlife management plan,
conservation of the gray wolf will be
directed by established objectives for
wolf distribution, population
management, and monitoring. Wolves
will not be deliberately confined to any
specific areas of the State, but their
distribution and numbers will be
managed adaptively based upon
ecological factors, wolf population
status, conflict mitigation, and human
social tolerance.
Under the Oregon Wolf Management
Plan, the gray wolf will remain
classified as endangered under State law
until the conservation population
objective for eastern Oregon is reached.
Once the objective is achieved, the State
delisting process will be initiated.
Following delisting from the State ESA,
wolves will have a classification as
nongame wildlife under ORS 496.375.
Utah—If federally delisted, wolves in
that portion of the NRM wolf DPS in
Utah would remain listed as protected
wildlife under State law. In Utah,
wolves fall under three layers of
protection: (1) State code, (2)
Administrative Rule and (3) Species
Management Plan. The Utah Code can
be found at; https://www.le.state.ut.us/
∼code/TITLE23/TITLE23.htm.
The relevant administrative rules that
restrict wolf take can be found at
https://www.rules.utah.gov/publicat/
code/r657/r657–003.htm and https://
www.rules.utah.gov/publicat/code/r657/
r657–011.htm. These regulations restrict
all potential taking of wolves in Utah,
including that portion in the NRM wolf
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DPS. Wolf management in Utah will
have no effect on the recovered wolf
population that resides in suitable
habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming.
In 2003, the Utah Legislature passed
House Joint Resolution 12 (HJR–12),
which directed the Utah Division of
Wildlife Resources (UDWR) to draft a
wolf management plan for ‘‘the review,
modification and adoption by the Utah
Wildlife Board, through the Regional
Advisory Council process.’’ In April
2003 the Utah Wildlife Board directed
UDWR to develop a proposal for a wolf
working group to assist the agency in
this endeavor. The UDWR created the
Wolf Working Group (WWG) in the
summer of 2003. The WWG is
composed of 13 members that represent
diverse public interests regarding
wolves in Utah.
On June 9, 2005, the Utah Wildlife
Board passed the Utah Wolf
Management Plan. The goal of the plan
is to manage, study, and conserve
wolves moving into Utah while
avoiding conflicts with the elk and deer
management objectives of the Ute
Indian Tribe; minimizing livestock
depredation; and protecting wild
ungulate populations in Utah from
excessive wolf predation. The Utah
Wolf Management Plan can be viewed at
https://www.wildlife.utah.gov/wolf/. Its
purpose is to guide management of
wolves in Utah during an interim period
from Federal delisting until 2015, or
until it is determined that wolves have
become established in Utah, or the
assumptions of the plan (political,
social, biological, or legal) change.
During this interim period, immigrating
wolves will be studied to determine
where they are most likely to settle
without conflict.
Tribal Plans—There are about 20
tribes in this area. Currently no wolf
packs live on, or are entirely dependent
on, Tribal lands for their existence in
the NRM wolf DPS. In the NRM wolf
DPS about 12,719 mi2 (32,942 km2) (3
percent) of the area is Tribal land. In the
NRM wolf occupied habitat, about 1,813
mi2 (4,696 km2) (2 percent) is Tribal
land. Therefore, while Tribal lands can
contribute some habitat for wolf packs
in the NRM, they will be relatively
unimportant to maintaining a recovered
wolf population in the NRM wolf DPS.
Many wolf packs live in areas of public
land where Tribes have various treaty
rights, such as wildlife harvest.
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming propose
to incorporate Tribal harvest into their
assessment of the potential surplus of
wolves available for public harvest in
each State, each year, to assure that the
wolf population is maintained above
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recovery levels. Utilization of those
Tribal treaty rights will not significantly
impact the wolf population or reduce it
below recovery levels because a small
portion of the wolf population could be
affected by Tribal harvest or lives in
areas subject to Tribal harvest rights.
The overall regulatory framework
analyzed depends entirely on State-led
management of wolves that are
primarily on lands where resident
wildlife is traditionally managed
primarily by the States. Any wolves that
may establish themselves on Tribal
lands will be in addition to those
managed by the States outside Tribal
reservations. At this point in time only
the Nez Perce Tribe has a wolf
management plan that was approved by
the Service, but that plan only applied
to listed wolves, and it was reviewed so
the Service could determine if the Tribe
could take a portion of the
responsibility for wolf monitoring and
management in Idaho under the 1994
special regulation under section 10(j).
No other Tribe has submitted a wolf
management plan. In November 2005,
the Service requested information from
all the Tribes in the tentative NRM wolf
DPS regarding their Tribal regulations
and any other relevant information
regarding Tribal management or
concerns about wolves. All responses
were reviewed and Tribal comments
were incorporated into this notice.
Summary
Montana and Idaho have proposed to
regulate wolf mortality over conflicts
with livestock after delisting in a
manner similar to that used by the
Service to reduce conflicts with private
property, and that would assure that the
wolf population would be maintained
above recovery levels. These two State
plans have committed to using a
definition of a wolf pack that would
approximate the Service’s current
breeding pair definition. Based on that
definition, they have committed to
maintaining at least 10 breeding pairs
and 100 wolves per State by managing
for a safety margin of 15 packs in each
State. The States are to control problem
wolves in a manner similar to that used
by the Service (1987, 1994, 1999, 2005)
and use adaptive management
principles to regulate and balance wolf
population size and distribution with
livestock conflict and public tolerance.
When wolf populations are above State
management objectives for 15 packs,
wolf control measures may be more
liberal. When wolf populations are
below 15 packs, wolf control as directed
by each State will be more conservative.
Current Wyoming law provides a
definition of pack that is not consistent
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with the Service’s definition of breeding
pair. In addition, Wyoming uses the
State definition of pack in a complicated
structure for determining when wolves
are protected under the regulatory
mechanisms of the ‘‘trophy game’’ status
and the absent management structure
under the ‘‘predatory animal’’ status.
Wyoming’s plan does not provide for
regulatory control to balance wolf
population size and distribution with
livestock conflict and public tolerance.
If the wolf were delisted in the NRM
DPS, the major difference between the
previous Federal management and the
new State management of problem
wolves would be with respect to the
taking of wolves in the act of attacking
or molesting livestock or other domestic
animals on private land by private
landowners or on grazing allotments by
permittees.
Private take of problem wolves under
State regulations in Montana and Idaho
would replace some agency control, but
we believe this would not dramatically
increase the overall numbers of problem
wolves killed each year because of
conflicts with livestock. Under
Wyoming State law, the predatory
animal status allows all wolves,
including pups, to be killed by any
means, without limit, at any time, for
any reason, and regardless of any direct
or potential threat to livestock. Such
unregulated take could eliminate wolves
from some otherwise suitable habitat in
northwestern Wyoming.
In contrast to the Service recovery
program, currently approved State and
tribal management programs are also to
incorporate regulated public harvest,
only when wolf populations in
Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho are
safely above recovery levels of 15 or
more packs, to help manage wolf
distribution and numbers to minimize
conflicts with humans. Wyoming State
law and management should also meet
this requirement. Each of the three core
States routinely uses regulated public
harvest to help successfully manage and
conserve other large predators and wild
ungulates under their authority, and
will use similar programs to manage
wolf populations safely above recovery
levels, when there are more than 15
packs in their State.
The States of Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming have managed resident
ungulate populations for decades and
maintain them at densities that would
easily support a recovered wolf
population. They, and Federal land
management agencies, will continue to
manage for high ungulate populations in
the foreseeable future. Native ungulate
populations also are maintained at high
levels by Washington, Oregon, and Utah
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in the portions of those States that are
in the tentative NRM wolf DPS. There
is no foreseeable condition that would
cause a decline in ungulate populations
significant enough to affect a recovered
wolf population.
E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors
Affecting Its Continued Existence
Public Attitudes Toward the Gray
Wolf—The primary determinant of the
long-term status of gray wolf
populations in the United States will be
human attitudes toward this large
predator. These attitudes are largely
based on the conflicts between human
activities and wolves, concern with the
perceived danger the species may pose
to humans, its symbolic representation
of wilderness, the economic effect of
livestock losses, the emotions regarding
the threat to pets, the conviction that the
species should never be subject to sport
hunting or trapping, and the wolf
traditions of Native American Tribes.
In recent decades, national support
has been evident for wolf recovery and
reintroduction in the NRM (Service
1999). With the continued help of
private conservation organizations, the
States and Tribes can continue to foster
public support to maintain viable wolf
populations in the NRM wolf DPS. We
believe that the State management
regulations that will go into effect if
wolves in the NRM wolf DPS are
removed from the ESA’s protections
will further enhance public support for
wolf recovery. State management
provides a larger and more effective
local organization and a more familiar
means for dealing with these conflicts
(Bangs et al. 2004, Williams et al. 2002,
Mech 1995). State wildlife organizations
have specific departments and staff
dedicated to providing accurate and
science-based public education,
information, and outreach. Each State
plan has committed to provide balanced
wolf outreach programs.
Genetics—Genetic diversity in the
GYA segment of the NRM wolf DPS is
extremely high. A recent study of wolf
genetics among wolves in northwestern
Montana and the reintroduced
populations found that wolves in those
areas were as genetically diverse as their
source populations in Canada and that
inadequate genetic diversity was not a
wolf conservation issue in the NRM at
this time (Forbes and Boyd 1997).
Because of the long dispersal distances
and the relative speed of natural wolf
movement between Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming (discussed under Factor
A), we anticipate that wolves will
continue to maintain high genetic
diversity in the NRM wolf DPS.
However, should it become necessary
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sometime in the distant future, all of the
three core States’ plans recognized
relocation as a potentially valid wildlife
management tool.
In conclusion, we reviewed other
manmade and natural factors that might
threaten wolf population recovery in the
foreseeable future. Public attitudes
towards wolves have improved greatly
over the past 30 years, and we expect
that, given adequate continued
management of conflicts, those attitudes
will continue to support wolf
restoration. The State wildlife agencies
have professional education,
information, and outreach components
and are to present balanced sciencebased information to the public that will
continue to foster general public
support for wolf restoration and the
necessity of conflict resolution to
maintain public tolerance of wolves.
Additionally, there are no concerns
related to wolf genetic viability or
interbreeding coefficients that would
suggest inadequate connectivity among
the recovery areas that could affect wolf
population viability (Vonholdt et al. in
prep.) If significant genetic concerns do
arise at some point in the future, our
experience with wolf relocation shows
that the States could effectively remedy
those concerns with occasional wolf
relocation actions, but it is highly
unlikely such management action
would ever be required.
Summary of Our Five-Factor Analysis of
Potential Threats
As required by the ESA, we
considered the five potential threat
factors to assess whether wolves are
threatened or endangered throughout all
or a significant portion of their range in
the NRM wolf DPS and therefore,
whether the NRM wolf DPS should be
listed. In regard to the NRM wolf DPS,
a significant portion of the wolf’s range
is an area that is important or necessary
for maintaining a viable, self-sustaining,
and evolving representative metapopulation in order for the NRM wolf
DPS to persist into the foreseeable
future. While wolves historically
occurred over most of the tentative DPS,
large portions of this area are no longer
able to support viable wolf populations,
and the wolf population in the NRM
wolf DPS will remain centered in
northwestern Montana, central Idaho,
and the GYA. There does not appear to
be any significant portion of the range,
except portions of Wyoming, where the
NRM wolf DPS remains threatened or
endangered.
The large amount and distribution of
suitable habitat in public ownership and
the presence of three large protected
core areas that contain highly suitable
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habitats assures the Service that threats
to the wolf population in the NRM wolf
DPS have been reduced or eliminated in
all or a significant portion of its range
in the foreseeable future. Unsuitable
habitat and small, fragmented suitable
habitat away from these core areas
within the NRM wolf DPS, largely
represent geographic locations where
wolf packs cannot persist and are not
significant to the species. Disease and
natural predation do not threaten wolf
population recovery in all or a
significant portion of the species’ range,
nor are they likely to within the
foreseeable future. Additionally, we
believe that other relevant natural or
manmade factors (i.e., public attitudes
and genetics) are not significant
conservation issues that threaten the
wolf population in all or a significant
portion of its range within the
foreseeable future.
Managing take (i.e., overutilization of
wolves for commercial, recreational,
scientific and educational purposes and
human predation) remains the primary
challenge to maintaining a recovered
wolf population in the foreseeable
future. We have determined that both
the Montana and Idaho wolf
management plans are adequate to
regulate human-caused mortality and
that Montana and Idaho will maintain
their share and distribution of the triState wolf population above recovery
levels. Wolf management by the tribes
and the States of Washington, Oregon,
and Utah will be beneficial, but is not
necessary to either achieving or
maintaining a recovered wolf
population in the NRM wolf DPS.
If Wyoming had an approved State
law and wolf management plan, we
believe that regulation by States and
Tribes of human-caused mortality
would be adequate to maintain the wolf
population in the NRM wolf DPS above
recovery levels in all significant
portions of its range for the foreseeable
future. Therefore, on the basis of the
best scientific and commercial
information available, we believe that
the gray wolf in the NRM DPS would no
longer qualify for protection under the
ESA, if Wyoming modified its State wolf
law and State wolf management plan in
a manner that the Service would
approve as an adequate regulatory
mechanism.
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to
species listed as endangered or
threatened under the ESA include
recognition, recovery actions,
requirements for Federal protection, and
prohibitions against certain practices.
Recognition through listing encourages
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and results in conservation actions by
Federal, State, and private agencies,
groups, and individuals. The ESA
provides for possible land acquisition
and cooperation with the States and
requires that recovery actions be carried
out for all listed species. Most of these
measures have already been
successfully applied to gray wolves in
the conterminous 48 States.
We intend to propose rulemaking to
remove the protections of the ESA from
all or parts of six States, but do not
intend to take action until Wyoming’s
law and wolf management plan are
modified and can be approved by the
Service. If Wyoming modified its
regulatory framework for wolf
management in a manner that the
Service could approve and if the Service
proposed and delisted the NRM wolf in
the NRM DPS, the protections of the
ESA would still continue to apply to the
gray wolves outside the NRM wolf DPS.
We do not intend to modify or withdraw
the existing special regulations or the
nonessential experimental population
designations for the reintroduced gray
wolf populations in Arizona, New
Mexico, and Texas. Where wolves exist
outside the NRM wolf DPS, they would
continue to be considered during
consultations with other Federal
agencies under section 7 of the ESA.
Should a NRM gray wolf disperse
beyond the boundaries of the NRM DPS,
it would acquire the status of wolves in
the area it enters. For example, if wolves
in the NRM DPS were delisted, a wolf
that dispersed from Wyoming into
Colorado would take on endangered
species status under the ESA.
This notice does not apply to the
listing or protection of the red wolf
(Canis rufus).
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the ESA, added in
the 1988 reauthorization, requires us to
implement a system, in cooperation
with the States, to monitor for not less
than 5 years, the status of all species
that have recovered and been removed
from the Lists of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife and Plants (50 CFR
17.11 and 17.12). The purpose of this
post-delisting monitoring (PDM) is to
verify that a recovered species remains
secure from risk of extinction after it no
longer has the protections of the ESA.
Should relisting be required, we may
make use of the emergency listing
authorities under section 4(b)(7) of the
ESA to prevent a significant risk to the
well-being of any recovered species.
Section 4(g) of the ESA explicitly
requires cooperation with the States in
development and implementation of
PDM programs, but we remain
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responsible for compliance with section
4(g) and, therefore, must remain actively
engaged in all phases of PDM.
Monitoring Techniques—The NRM
area was intensively monitored for
wolves even before wolves were
documented in Montana (Weaver 1978;
Ream and Mattson 1982; Kaminski and
Hansen 1984). Numerous Federal, State,
Tribal agencies, universities, and special
interest groups assisted in those various
efforts. Since 1979, wolves have been
monitored using standard techniques
including collecting, evaluating, and
following-up on suspected observations
of wolves or wolf signs by natural
resource agencies or the public; howling
or snow tracking surveys conducted by
the Service, our university and agency
cooperators, volunteers, or interested
special interest groups; and by
capturing, radio-collaring and
monitoring wolves. We only consider
wolves and wolf packs as confirmed
when Federal, State, or Tribal agency
verification is made by field staff that
can reliably identify wolves and wolf
signs. We provide an annual estimate of
the number of individuals, wolf packs,
and breeding pairs of wolves in the
NRM wolf DPS. For example, by the end
of 2004, we estimated there were 835
wolves in 110 packs and that 66 of those
packs met the criteria for a breeding pair
in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming; no
wolves were known to be present in any
of the adjacent States (Service et al.
2005).
The wolf monitoring system works in
a hierarchical nature. Typically we
receive a report (either directly or
passed along by another agency) that
wolves or their signs were observed. We
make no judgment whether the report
seems credible or not and normally just
note the general location of that
observation. Unless breeding results,
reports of single animals are not
important unless tied to other reports or
unusual observations that elicit concern
(i.e., a wolf reported feeding on a
livestock carcass). Lone wolves can
wander long distances over a short
period of time (Mech and Boitani 2003)
and are almost impossible to find again
and confirm. However, the patterns and
clusters of those individual reports are
very informative and critical to
subsequent agency decisions about
where to focus agency searches for wolf
pack activity. When we receive multiple
reports of multiple individuals that
indicate possible territoriality and pair
bonding (the early stage of pack
formation), or a report of multiple
wolves that seems highly credible
(usually made by a biologist or
experienced outdoors-person), we
typically notify the nearest Federal,
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State or Tribal natural resource/land
management agency and ask them to be
on the alert for possible wolf activity
during their normal course of field
activities. Once they locate areas of
suspected wolf activity, we may ask
experienced field biologists to search
the area for wolf signs (tracks, howling,
scats, ungulate kills). Depending on the
type of activity confirmed, field crews
may decide to capture, radio-collar, and
release wolves on site. Radio-collared
wolves are then relocated from the air
1 to 4 times per month dependent on a
host of factors including funding,
personnel, aircraft availability, weather,
and other priorities. At the end of the
year, we compile agency-confirmed wolf
observations to estimate the numbers
and locations of adult wolves and pups
that were likely alive on December 31 of
that year. These data are then
summarized by packs to indicate overall
population size, composition, and
distribution. This is a very intensive
level of wildlife population monitoring
compared to nearly all others done in
North America that we believe results in
relatively accurate estimates of wolf
population distribution and structure
(Service et al. 2005) in the NRM wolf
DPS. This monitoring strategy has been
used to estimate the NRM wolf
population for over 20 years.
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming as
well as Oregon and Utah committed to
continue monitoring of wolf
populations, according to their State
wolf management plans (See State plans
in Factor D), using similar techniques as
the Service and its cooperators (which
has included the States, Tribes, and
USDA-Wildlife Services—the same
agencies that will be managing and
monitoring wolves post-delisting) have
used. The States have committed to
continue to conduct wolf population
monitoring through the mandatory 5year PDM period that is required by the
ESA. The States also have committed to
publish the results of their monitoring
efforts in annual wolf reports just as has
been done since 1989 by the Service and
its cooperators (Service et al. 1989–
2005). Other States and Tribes within
the DPS adjacent to Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming also have participated in
this interagency cooperative wolf
monitoring system for at least the past
decade and their plans commit them to
continue to report wolf activity in their
States and coordinate those observations
with other States.
Service Review of the Post-Delisting
Status of the Wolf Population—To
ascertain wolf population distribution
and structure and analyze if the wolf
population might require a status review
to determine whether it should again be
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6659
listed under the ESA, we intend to
review the State and any Tribal annual
wolf reports each year. By evaluating
the techniques used, and the results of
those wolf monitoring efforts, the
Service can decide whether further
action, including re-listing is warranted.
In addition, the States and Tribes are
investigating other, perhaps more
accurate and less expensive ways to
estimate and describe wolf pack
distribution and abundance (Service et
al. 2005; Sime et al. in prep.; Kunkel et
al. in prep.). Data indicate that other
survey methods and data can become
the ‘‘biological equivalents’’ of the
breeding pair definition currently used
to measure recovery. Montana and
Idaho have committed to use a
definition of a wolf pack that
approximates the current breeding pair
standard (such as five or six wolves
traveling together in winter). Wyoming
law defines a wolf pack as simply five
or more wolves traveling together,
which could mean only a female and
four pups in May and would have no
relationship to a breeding pair. Those
State and Tribal investigations also
include alternative ways to estimate the
status of the wolf population and the
numbers of breeding pairs that are as
accurate, but less expensive, than those
that are currently used. The States will
continue to cooperate with National
Parks and Tribes and publish their
annual wolf population estimates after
the 5-year mandatory wolf population
monitoring required by the ESA is over,
but this will not be required by the ESA.
We fully recognize and anticipate that
State and Tribal laws regarding wolves
and State and Tribal management will
change through time as new knowledge
becomes available as the States and
Tribes gain additional experience at
wolf management and conservation. We
will base any analysis of whether a
status review and relisting are
warranted upon the best scientific and
commercial data available regarding
wolf distribution and abundance in the
NRM wolf DPS. For the 5-year PDM
period, the best source of that
information will be the State annual
wolf reports. We intend to post those
annual State wolf reports and our
annual review and comment on the
status of the wolf population in the
NRM wolf DPS on our Web site by April
1 of each year. During our yearly
analysis for PDM (at least 5 years) of the
State’s annual reports we also intend to
comment on any threats that may have
increased during the previous year, such
as significant changes in a State
regulatory framework, diseases,
decreases in prey abundance, increases
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in wolf-livestock conflict, or other
factors.
Our analysis and response for PDM is
to track changes in wolf abundance and
distribution and threats to the
population. If the wolf population ever
falls below the minimum NRM wolf
population recovery level (30 breeding
pairs of wolves and 300 wolves in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming), we
could initiate an emergency listing of
gray wolves throughout the NRM wolf
DPS. If the wolf population segment in
Montana, Idaho, or Wyoming fell below
10 breeding pairs or 100 wolves in any
one of those States for 2 consecutive
years, we could initiate a status review
and analysis of threats to determine if
re-listing was warranted. All such
reviews would be made available for
public review and comment, including
peer review by select species experts. If
either of these two scenarios occurred
(1) less than 30 breeding pairs or 300
wolves, or (2) less than 10 breeding
pairs or 100 wolves in Montana, Idaho,
or Wyoming for 2 consecutive years
during the mandatory PDM period), the
PDM period would be extended 5
additional years from the point of
violation.
wwhite on PROD1PC65 with PROPOSAL3
Public Comments Solicited
We solicit comments or suggestions
from the public, other concerned
governmental agencies, the scientific
community, industry, or any other
interested party concerning this notice.
Generally, we seek information, data,
and comments concerning the
boundaries of the tentative NRM wolf
DPS and the status of gray wolf in the
NRM. Specifically, we seek
documented, biological data on the
status of the NRM wolf population and
their habitat, and the management of
these wolves and their habitat.
We will also consider the possibility
of establishing a Northern Rocky
Mountain DPS for the gray wolf, but
listing the DPS as threatened, if we
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19:29 Feb 07, 2006
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determine after considering public
comments that the population segment
meets the criteria in the DPS Policy, but
the DPS does not meet the delisting tests
in the ESA and our regulations. This is
a possible outcome if Wyoming does not
adopt a State law and management plan
that are sufficient to support delisting.
We request public comments on this
alternative.
Idaho and Montana have requested
that we establish a DPS that excludes
Wyoming if Wyoming fails to adopt an
appropriate State law and a
management plan that would support
delisting. An alternative to this proposal
would be to include Yellowstone
National Park, where exclusive Federal
jurisdiction lies and neither State law
nor exploitation of wildlife would occur
in any event, but to exclude the rest of
Wyoming from the DPS. The Idaho and
Montana request is inconsistent with
the available science discussed earlier
in this preamble as it applies to the
requirements for establishment of a
DPS. Nevertheless, if anyone now
advocates such an approach, we request
that they address both the scientific and
legal basis for it in their comments. We
would consider these alternative
scenarios to the extent Wyoming does
not act and we find such actions to be
legally sufficient.
The eastern one third of Washington
and Oregon, and a small portion of
northern Utah are included within the
tentative DPS. We request comments on
whether the DPS should be expanded to
include more or less land within Utah
or any other State. Any such comments
should provide relevant scientific data.
We will consider the information so
submitted in delineating the boundaries
for this DPS.
Submit comments as indicated under
ADDRESSES. If you wish to submit
comments by e-mail, please avoid the
use of special characters and any form
of encryption. Please also include your
PO 00000
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
name and return address in your e-mail
message.
Our practice is to make comments,
including names and home addresses of
respondents, available for public review
during regular business hours.
Individual respondents may request that
we withhold their home address from
the rulemaking record, which we will
honor to the extent allowable by law.
There also may be circumstances in
which we would withhold from the
record a respondent’s identity, as
allowable by law. If you wish us to
withhold your name or address, you
must state this prominently at the
beginning of your comment. However,
we will not consider anonymous
comments. We will make all
submissions from organizations or
businesses, and from individuals
identifying themselves as
representatives or officials of
organizations or businesses, available
for public inspection in their entirety.
Comments and other information
received, as well as supporting
information used to write this rule, will
be available for public inspection, by
appointment, during normal business
hours at our Helena Office (see
ADDRESSES). In making a final decision
on this notice, we will take into
consideration the comments and any
additional information we receive. Such
communications may lead to a proposed
rule that differs from this notice.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited
in this document is available upon
request from the Western Gray Wolf
Recovery Coordinator (see ADDRESSES
above).
Dated: January 31, 2006.
H. Dale Hall,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 06–1102 Filed 2–7–06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4310–55–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 71, Number 26 (Wednesday, February 8, 2006)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 6634-6660]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 06-1102]
[[Page 6633]]
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Part III
Department of the Interior
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Fish and Wildlife Service
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50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants--Gray Wolf; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 71 , No. 26 / Wednesday, February 8, 2006 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 6634]]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
RIN 1018-AU53
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Designating the
Northern Rocky Mountain Population of Gray Wolf as a Distinct
Population Segment; Removing the Northern Rocky Mountain Distinct
Population Segment of Gray Wolf From the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Advanced notice of proposed rulemaking.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), announce our
intention to conduct rulemaking to establish a distinct population
segment (DPS) of the gray wolf (Canis lupus) in the Northern Rocky
Mountains of the United States (NRM). The NRM DPS of gray wolf
encompasses the eastern one-third of Washington and Oregon, a small
part of north-central Utah, and all of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. The
threats to the wolf population in the NRM DPS have been reduced or
eliminated as evidenced by the population exceeding the numerical,
distributional, and temporal recovery goals each year since 2002. The
States of Montana and Idaho have adopted State laws and State wolf
management plans that would conserve a recovered NRM wolf population
within their boundaries into the foreseeable future. However, we have
determined that Wyoming State law and its wolf management plan do not
provide the necessary regulatory mechanism to assure that Wyoming's
share of a recovered NRM wolf population will be conserved if the ESA's
protections were removed. Therefore, we intend to conduct a future
rulemaking to propose that the gray wolf in the NRM wolf DPS be removed
from the List of Threatened and Endangered Wildlife under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973 (ESA), as amended, if Wyoming adopts a
State law and a State wolf management plan that is approved by the
Service. Concerns regarding the Wyoming plan would have to be resolved
before a NRM DPS delisting could be finalized. This ANPRM is being
issued in advance of completion of the 12 month status review of NRM
wolves. This status review remains in progress.
DATES: We request that comments on this notice be submitted by the
close of business on April 10, 2006.
ADDRESSES: If you wish to comment, you may submit comments and
materials concerning this notice, identified by ``RIN number 1018-
AU53,'' by any of the following methods:
1. Federal e-Rulemaking Portal--https://www.regulations.gov. Follow
the instructions for submitting comments.
2. E-mail-- NRMGrayWolf@fws.gov. Include ``RIN number 1018-AU53'' in
the subject line of the message.
3. Mail--U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Western Gray Wolf Recovery
Coordinator, 585 Shepard Way, Helena, Montana 59601.
4. Hand Delivery/Courier--U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Western
Gray Wolf Recovery Coordinator, 585 Shepard Way, Helena, Montana 59601.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Edward E. Bangs, Western Gray Wolf
Recovery Coordinator, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, at our Helena
office (see ADDRESSES) or telephone (406) 449-5225, extension 204.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Gray wolves (Canis lupus) are the largest wild members of the dog
family (Canidae). Adult gray wolves range from 40-175 pounds (lb) (18-
80 kilograms [kg]) depending upon sex and region (Mech 1974). In the
NRM, adult male gray wolves average over 100 lb (45 kg), but may weigh
up to 130 lb (60 kg). Females weigh slightly less than males. Wolves'
fur color is frequently a grizzled gray, but it can vary from pure
white to coal black (Gipson et al. 2003). Wolves may appear similar to
coyotes (C. latrans) and some domestic dog breeds (such as the German
shepherd or Siberian husky) (C. familiaris). However, the gray wolf's
size, long legs, narrow chest, large feet, wide head and snout, and
straight tail distinguish it from both the coyote and dog.
Gray wolves have a circumpolar range including North America,
Europe and Asia. The only areas within North America that lacked gray
wolf populations prior to European settlement were southern and
interior Greenland, the coastal regions of Mexico, Central America,
coastal and other large parts of California, the extremely arid deserts
and mountaintops of the western United States, parts of eastern and
southeastern United States, and possibly southeastern Canada (Young and
Goldman 1944; Hall 1981; Mech 1970; Nowak 1995, 2003; Wilson et al.
2000, 2003; Grewal et al. 2004). Some authorities question the reported
historical absence of gray wolves from large parts of California
(Carbyn in litt. 2000; Mech in litt. 2000; Schmidt 1987, 1991).
Wolves primarily prey on medium and large mammals. Wild prey
species in the NRM include white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus),
mule deer (O. hemionus), moose (Alces alces), elk (Cervus canadensis),
pronghorn antelope (Antilocapra americana), bison (Bison bison),
bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis), mountain goat (Oreamnos americanus),
woodland caribou (Rangifer caribou), and beaver (Castor canadensis).
While other small and mid-sized mammals, birds, large invertebrates,
fish, and fruits are occasionally eaten, they are rarely important in
the wolf's diet (Mech and Boitani 2003). Since 1987, wolves in the NRM
also have preyed on domestic animals, including cattle (Bos sp.), sheep
(Ovis sp.), llamas (Lama glama), horses (Equus sp.), goats (Capra sp.),
and dogs (Service et al. 2005).
Wolves have a social structure, normally living in packs of 2 to 12
animals. Wolf packs are usually family groups consisting of a breeding
pair, their pups from the current year, offspring from previous years,
and an occasional unrelated wolf. Wolf pack structure can be
``complex'' (multiple generations) or ``simple'' (breeding pair and
pups). In the NRM, pack sizes average about 10 wolves in protected
areas, but a few complex packs have been substantially bigger in some
areas of Yellowstone National Park (YNP) (D. Smith, Yellowstone NPS,
pers. comm., 2005; Service et al. 2005). In areas where conflicts with
humans and livestock are most prevalent, packs are typically smaller
and are more likely to be ``simple.'' Packs typically occupy large
distinct territories (200-500 square miles (mi\2\) (518-1,295 square
kilometers (km\2\) and defend these areas from other wolves or packs.
Once a given area is occupied by resident wolf packs, it becomes
saturated and wolf numbers become regulated by the amount of available
prey, intraspecies conflict, other forms of mortality, and dispersal.
Both male and female yearling wolves often disperse from their
packs, although some non-breeding wolves remain with their natal packs
for years. Dispersing wolves may cover large areas as lone animals as
they try to join other packs or attempt to form their own pack in
unoccupied habitat. Dispersal distances in the NRM average about 60
miles (mi) (97 kilometers (km)), but dispersals over 500 mi (805 km)
have been documented (Boyd et al. in prep.; Boyd and Pletscher 1997).
Typically, only the top-ranking (``alpha'') male and female in each
pack
[[Page 6635]]
breed and produce pups (Packard 2003; Smith, pers. comm., 2005; Service
et al. 2005). Females and males typically begin breeding as 2-year olds
and may annually produce young until they are over 10 years old.
Litters are typically born in April and range from 1 to 11 pups, but
average around 5 pups (Service 1992a; Service et al. 2001). Most years,
4 of these 5 pups survive until winter (Service et al. 2005). Wolves
can live 13 years but the average lifespan in the NRM is about 4 years
(Smith, pers. comm., 2005). Pups are raised by the entire pack. If
alphas are lost when pups are very young, other pack members or even a
single adult can successfully raise them (Boyd and Jimenez 1994;
Brainerd et al. in prep.). Pup production and survival can increase
when wolf density is lower and food availability per wolf increases
(Fuller et al. 2003). Breeding members also can be quickly replaced
either from within or outside the pack (Packard 2003; Brainerd et al.
in prep.). Consequently, wolf populations can rapidly recover from
severe disruptions, such as very high levels of human-caused mortality
or disease. After severe declines, wolf populations can more than
double in just 2 years if mortality is reduced; increases of nearly 100
percent per year have been documented in low-density suitable habitat
(Fuller et al. 2003; Smith, pers. comm., 2005; Service et al. 2005).
Recovery
Background--As Europeans began settling the United States, they
poisoned, trapped, and shot wolves, causing this once widespread
species to be eradicated from most of its range in the 48 conterminous
States (Mech 1970; McIntyre 1995). Gray wolf populations were
eliminated from Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as well as adjacent
southwestern Canada by the 1930s (Young and Goldman 1944). Thereafter,
only isolated observations of individuals and non-breeding pairs were
reported in the area (Ream and Mattson 1982; Weaver 1978). After human-
caused mortality of wolves in southwestern Canada was regulated in the
1960s, populations expanded southward (Carbyn 1983, Pletscher et al.
1991). Dispersing individuals occasionally reached the NRM (Ream and
Mattson 1982; Nowak 1983), but lacked legal protection there until 1974
when they were listed as endangered under the ESA (39 FR 1171, January
4, 1974).
Recovery Planning and the Selection of Recovery Criteria--Shortly
after listing we formed the interagency wolf recovery team to complete
a recovery plan for the NRM population (Service 1980; Fritts et al.
1995). The NRM Wolf Recovery Plan (Rocky Mountain Plan) was approved in
1980 (Service 1980) and revised in 1987 (Service 1987). It specifies a
recovery criterion of 10 breeding pairs of wolves (defined in 1987 as
two wolves of opposite sex and adequate age, capable of producing
offspring) for 3 consecutive years in each of 3 distinct recovery
areas--(1) northwestern Montana (Glacier National Park; the Great Bear,
Bob Marshall, and Lincoln Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and adjacent
public lands), (2) central Idaho (Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump, Frank
Church River of No Return, and Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; and adjacent,
mostly Federal, lands), and (3) the Yellowstone National Park (YNP)
area (including the Absaroka-Beartooth, North Absaroka, Washakie, and
Teton Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public lands). The Rocky Mountain
Plan states that if 2 recovery areas maintain 10 breeding pairs for 3
successive years, gray wolves in the NRM can be reclassified to
threatened status. It also states that if all 3 recovery areas maintain
10 breeding pairs for 3 successive years, the NRM wolf population can
be considered fully recovered and can be considered for delisting.
The 1994 environmental impact statement (EIS) reviewed wolf
recovery in the NRM and the adequacy of the recovery goals (Service
1994). The EIS indicated that the 1987 recovery goal was, at best, a
minimal recovery goal, and that modifications were warranted on the
basis of more recent information about wolf distribution, connectivity,
and numbers. This review concluded that as a minimum the recovery goal
should be, ``Thirty or more breeding pairs (i.e., an adult male and an
adult female wolf that have produced at least 2 pups that survived
until December 31 of the year of their birth, during the previous
breeding season) comprising some +300 wolves in a metapopulation (a
population that exists as partially isolated sets of subpopulations)
(Service 1994) with genetic exchange between subpopulations should have
a high probability of long-term persistence.''
We conducted another review of what constitutes a recovered wolf
population in late 2001 and early 2002 (Bangs 2002). Relevant
literature was reviewed (Fritts et al. 1994; Fritts and Carbyn 1995),
and responses were received and evaluated from 50 of 88 experts
contacted. This review showed that there is a wide variety of
professional opinion about wolf population viability. Based on the
review, we adopted the 1994 EIS's more relevant and stringent
definition of wolf population viability and recovery (Service 1994) and
began using entire States, in addition to recovery areas, to measure
progress towards recovery goals (Service et al. 2002). We have
determined that an essential part of achieving recovery is a well
distributed number of wolf packs and individual wolves among the three
States and the three recovery zones. While absolute equitable
distribution is not necessary, a well distributed population with no
one State maintaining a disproportionately low number of packs or
number of individual wolves is needed.
Fostering Recovery--In 1982, a wolf pack from Canada began to
occupy Glacier National Park along the United States Canada border. In
1986, the first litter of pups documented in over 50 years was born in
the Park (Ream et al. 1989). Also in 1986, a pack denned just east of
the Park on the Blackfeet Reservation, but was not detected until 1987,
when they began to depredate livestock (Bangs et al. 1995). The number
of wolves resulting from this ``natural'' recovery in northwestern
Montana steadily increased for the next decade (Service et al. 2005).
In 1995 and 1996, we reintroduced wolves from southwestern Canada
to remote public lands in central Idaho and YNP (Bangs and Fritts 1996;
Fritts et al. 1997; Bangs et al. 1998). These wolves were classified as
nonessential experimental populations under section 10(j) of the ESA to
increase management flexibility and address local and State concerns
(59 FR 60252 and 60266, November 22, 1994). This reintroduction and
accompanying management programs greatly expanded the numbers and
distribution of wolves in the NRM. Because of the reintroduction,
wolves soon became established throughout central Idaho and the Greater
Yellowstone Area (GYA) (Bangs et al. 1998; Service et al. 2005).
Monitoring and Managing Recovery--By 1989, we formed an interagency
wolf working group (Working Group), composed of Federal, State, and
tribal agency personnel (Bangs 1991; Fritts et al. 1995; Service 1989).
The Working Group, whose membership has evolved as wolf range has
expanded, conducted 4 basic recovery tasks, in addition to the standard
enforcement functions associated with the take of a listed species.
These tasks were--(1) monitor wolf distribution and numbers; (2)
control wolves that attacked livestock by moving and other non-lethal
measures or by killing them; (3) conduct research on wolf relationships
to ungulate prey, other carnivores and scavengers, livestock, and
people; and
[[Page 6636]]
(4) provide accurate science-based information to the public through
reports and mass media so that people could develop their opinions
about wolves and wolf management from an informed perspective (Service
et al. 1989-2005).
The size and distribution of the wolf population is estimated by
the Working Group each year and, along with other information, is
published in interagency annual and weekly reports (Service et al.
1989-2005; Service 1998-2005). Since the early 1980s, the Service and
our cooperating partners have radio-collared and monitored over 716
wolves in the NRM to assess population status, conduct research, and to
reduce/resolve conflicts with livestock. The Work Group's annual
population estimates represent the best scientific and commercial
information available regarding year-end NRM gray wolf population size
and trends, as well as distributional information.
At the end of 2000, the NRM population first met its numerical and
distributional recovery goal of a minimum of 30 ``breeding pairs'' and
over 300 wolves well-distributed among Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming (68
FR 15804, April 1, 2003; Service et al. 2003). That year, Montana
attained 8 breeding pairs and approximately 97 wolves; Wyoming attained
12 breeding pairs and approximately 153 wolves; and Idaho attained 10
breeding pairs and 187 wolves. This minimum recovery goal was attainted
or exceeded in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004. In 2001, Montana attained 7
breeding pairs and approximately 123 wolves; Wyoming attained 13
breeding pairs and approximately 189 wolves; and Idaho attained 14
breeding pairs and 251 wolves. In 2002, Montana attained 17 breeding
pairs and approximately 183 wolves; Wyoming attained 18 breeding pairs
and approximately 217 wolves; and Idaho attained 14 breeding pairs and
216 wolves. In 2003, Montana attained 10 breeding pairs and
approximately 182 wolves; Wyoming attained 16 breeding pairs and
approximately 234 wolves; and Idaho attained 25 breeding pairs and 345
wolves. In 2004, Montana attained 15 breeding pairs and approximately
153 wolves; Wyoming attained 24 breeding pairs and approximately 260
wolves; and Idaho attained 27 breeding pairs and 422 wolves. Figure 1
illustrates wolf population trends by State from 1979 to 2004. Official
population estimates for 2005 are not yet available.
The following section discusses recovery within each of the three
major recovery areas. Because the recovery areas cross State lines, the
population estimates sum differently.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP08FE06.001
Recovery in the Northwestern Montana Recovery Area--Reproduction
first occurred in northwestern Montana in 1986. The natural ability of
wolves to find and quickly recolonize empty habitat and the interagency
recovery program combined to effectively promote an increase in wolf
numbers. By 1996, the number of wolves had grown to about 70 wolves in
7 breeding pairs. However, since 1997 the number of breeding groups and
number of wolves has fluctuated widely, varying from 4-12 breeding
pairs and from 49-108 wolves (Service et al. 2005). Our
[[Page 6637]]
1998 estimate was a minimum of 49 wolves in 5 breeding pairs. In 1999,
and again in 2000, 6 breeding pairs produced pups, and the northwestern
Montana population increased to about 63 wolves. In 2001, we estimated
that 84 wolves in 7 breeding pairs occurred; in 2002, there were an
estimated 108 wolves in 12 breeding pairs; in 2003, there were an
estimated 92 wolves in 4 breeding pairs; and in 2004, there were an
estimated 59 wolves in 6 breeding pairs (Service et al. 2002, 2003,
2004, 2005). (See Figure 1.)
The likely reasons for the lack of further growth are that suitable
wolf habitat in northwestern Montana is limited and wolf packs there
are at a local social and biological carrying capacity. Some of the
variation in our wolf population estimates for northwestern Montana is
due to the difficulty of counting wolves in its' thick forests. Wolves
in northwestern Montana prey mainly on white-tailed deer and pack size
is smaller, which also makes packs more difficult to detect (Bangs et
al. 1998). It appears that wolf numbers in northwestern Montana are
likely to fluctuate around 100 wolves. Since 2001, this area has
maintained an average of nearly 86 wolves and about 7 packs.
Northwestern Montana wolves are demographically and genetically
linked to both the wolf population in Canada and to central Idaho
(Pletscher et al. 1991; Boyd and Pletscher 1997). Wolf dispersal into
northwestern Montana from both directions will continue to supplement
this segment of the overall wolf population, both demographically and
genetically (Boyd et al. in prep.; Forbes and Boyd 1996, 1997; Boyd et
al. 1995).
Wolf conflicts with livestock have fluctuated with wolf population
size and prey population density (Service et al. 2005). For example, in
1997, immediately following a severe winter that reduced white-tailed
deer populations in northwestern Montana, wolf conflicts with livestock
increased dramatically and the wolf population declined (Bangs et al.
1998). Wolf numbers increased as wild prey numbers rebounded. Unlike
YNP or the central Idaho Wilderness, northwestern Montana lacks a large
core refugium that contains over-wintering wild ungulates. Therefore,
wolf numbers are not ever likely to be as high in northwestern Montana
as they are in central Idaho or the GYA. However, the population has
persisted for nearly 20 years and is robust today. State management,
pursuant to the Montana State wolf management plan, will ensure this
population continues to persist (see Factor D).
Recovery in the Central Idaho Recovery Area--In January 1995, 15
young adult wolves were captured in Alberta, Canada, and released by
the Service in central Idaho (Bangs and Fritts 1996; Fritts et al.
1997; Bangs et al. 1998). In January 1996, an additional 20 wolves from
British Columbia were released. Central Idaho contains the greatest
amount of highly suitable wolf habitat compared to either northwestern
Montana or the GYA (Oakleaf et al. in press). In 1998, the central
Idaho wolf population consisted of a minimum of 114 wolves, including
10 breeding pairs (Bangs et al. 1998). By 1999, it had grown to about
141 wolves in 10 breeding pairs. By 2000, this population had 192
wolves in 10 breeding pairs and by 2001 it had climbed to about 261
wolves in 14 breeding pairs (Service et al. 2002). In 2002, there were
284 wolves in 14 breeding pairs; in 2003, there were 368 wolves in 26
breeding pairs; and by the end of 2004, there were 452 wolves in 30
breeding pairs (Service et al. 2003, 2004, 2005) (Figure 1).
Recovery in the Greater Yellowstone Area--In 1995, 14 wolves from
Alberta, representing 3 family groups, were released in YNP (Bangs and
Fritts 1996; Fritts et al. 1997; Phillips and Smith 1997). Two of the 3
groups produced young in late April. In 1996, this procedure was
repeated with 17 wolves from British Columbia, representing 4 family
groups. Two of the groups produced pups in late April. Finally, 10
five-month old pups removed from northwestern Montana, were released in
YNP in the spring of 1997.
By 1998, the wolves had expanded from YNP to the GYA and the
population consisted of 112 wolves, including 6 breeding pairs that
produced 10 litters of pups. The 1999 population consisted of 118
wolves, including 8 breeding pairs. In 2000, the GYA had 177 wolves,
including 14 breeding pairs, and there were 218 wolves, including 13
breeding pairs, in 2001 (Service et al. 2002). In 2002, there were an
estimated 271 wolves in 23 breeding pairs; in 2003, there were an
estimated 301 wolves in 21 breeding pairs; and in 2004, there were an
estimated 324 wolves in 30 breeding pairs (Service et al. 2003, 2004,
2005) (Figure 1).
Preliminary estimates suggest that wolf numbers in GYA are down in
2005 (221 wolves in 13 breeding pairs) (Service September 9, 2005). The
decline of wolves in YNP occurred because (1) highly suitable habitat
is saturated with wolf packs; (2) conflict among packs appears to be
limiting population density; (3) there are fewer elk than when
reintroduction took place (White and Garrott 2006; Vucetich et al.
2005); and, (4) a suspected, but as yet unconfirmed, outbreak of canine
parvovirus (CPV) or canine distemper, reduced pup survival in 2005.
Additional significant growth in the YNP portion of the Wyoming wolf
population is unlikely because suitable wolf habitat is saturated with
resident wolf packs. Wolf recovery in the GYA segment of the NRM wolf
DPS will likely depend on wolf packs living outside YNP in Wyoming.
In conclusion, having attained or exceeded the minimum numerical
and distributional recovery goals for five consecutive years, the NRM
wolf population has now achieved the biological criteria necessary for
a viable and recovered wolf population.
Previous Federal Action
In 1974, four subspecies of gray wolf were listed as endangered
including the NRM gray wolf (Canis lupus irremotus); the eastern timber
wolf (C. l. lycaon) in the northern Great Lakes region; the Mexican
wolf (C. l. baileyi) in Mexico and the southwestern United States; and
the Texas gray wolf (C. l. monstrabilis) of Texas and Mexico (39 FR
1171, January 4, 1974). In 1978, we published a rule (43 FR 9607, March
9, 1978) relisting the gray wolf as endangered at the species level (C.
lupus) throughout the conterminous 48 States and Mexico, except for
Minnesota, where the gray wolf was reclassified to threatened. At that
time, critical habitat was designated in Minnesota and Isle Royale,
Michigan.
On November 22, 1994, we designated unoccupied portions of Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming as two nonessential experimental population areas
for the gray wolf under section 10(j) of the ESA. The Yellowstone
Experimental Population Area consists of that portion of Idaho east of
Interstate 15; that portion of Montana that is east of Interstate 15
and south of the Missouri River from Great Falls, Montana, to the
eastern Montana border; and all of Wyoming (59 FR 60252, November 22,
1994). The Central Idaho Experimental Population Area consists of that
portion of Idaho that is south of Interstate 90 and west of Interstate
15; and that portion of Montana south of Interstate 90, west of
Interstate 15 and south of Highway 12 west of Missoula (59 FR 60266,
November 22, 1994). This designation assisted us in initiating gray
wolf reintroduction projects in central Idaho and the GYA (59 FR 60252,
November 22, 1994). On January 6, 2005, we revised the regulations
under
[[Page 6638]]
section 10(j) and liberalized management options for problem wolves (70
FR 1285). We also encouraged State and Tribal leadership in wolf
management in the nonessential experimental population areas (70 FR
1286, January 6, 2005) where States and Tribes had Service-approved
wolf management plans.
On July 13, 2000, we proposed to reclassify and delist the gray
wolf in various parts of the contiguous United States (65 FR 43449). On
April 1, 2003, we published a final rule revising the listing status of
the gray wolf across most of the conterminous United States from
endangered to threatened (68 FR 15804). In terms of the NRM population,
this rule (1) designated Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada,
Montana, Idaho, Wyoming and the northern portions of Utah and Colorado
as the Western gray wolf DPS (covering a larger area than proposed in
2000); (2) reclassified this DPS to threatened status, except in the
experimental population areas; and (3) implemented a special regulation
under section 4(d) of the ESA to allow increased management flexibility
for problem wolves. On January 31, 2005, and August 19, 2005, the U.S.
District Courts in Oregon and Vermont, respectively, concluded that the
2003 final rule was ``arbitrary and capricious'' and violated the ESA
(Defenders of Wildlife v. Norton, 03-1348-JO, D. OR 2005; National
Wildlife Federation v. Norton, 1:03-CV-340, D. VT. 2005). The courts'
rulings invalidated the April 2003 changes to the ESA listing for the
gray wolf. Therefore, the gray wolf in the Rocky Mountains, outside of
areas designated as nonessential experimental populations, reverted
back to the endangered status that existed prior to the 2003
reclassification.
The Service has received a number of petitions relevant to the NRM
wolf population. On July 16, 1990, the Service received a petition from
the Farm Bureau Federations of Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho to delist
the gray wolf. On November 30, 1990, the Service published a finding
that the petition did not present substantial information to indicate
that the petitioned action may be warranted (55 FR 49656).
Subsequent to our July 13, 2000, reclassification proposal (65 FR
43449), but after the close of the comment period, we received
petitions from Defenders of Wildlife to list, as endangered, gray wolf
DPSs in the--(1) southern Rocky Mountains, (2) northern California-
southern Oregon, and (3) western Washington. Because wolves were
already protected as endangered throughout the 48 conterminous States,
we did not need to take action on these petitions.
On October 30, 2001, we received a petition dated October 5, 2001,
from the Friends of the Northern Yellowstone Elk Herd, Inc. (Friends
Petition) that sought removal of the gray wolf from endangered status
under the ESA (Karl Knuchel, P.C., A Professional Corporation Attorneys
at Law, in litt., 2001a). Additional correspondence in late 2001
provided clarification that the petition only applied to the Montana,
Wyoming, and Idaho population and that the petition requested full
delisting of this population (Knuchel in litt. 2001b). Additionally, on
July 19, 2005, we received a petition dated July 13, 2005, from the
Office of the Governor, State of Wyoming and the Wyoming Game and Fish
Commission (Wyoming Petition) to revise the listing status for the gray
wolf (Canis lupus) by establishing the northern Rocky Mountain DPS and
to concurrently remove the gray wolf in the NRM DPS from the Federal
list of threatened and endangered species (Dave Freudenthal, Office of
the Governor, State of Wyoming, in litt. 2005). On October 26, 2005, we
published a finding that--(1) the Friends Petition failed to present a
case for delisting that would lead a reasonable person to believe that
the measure proposed in the petition may be warranted; and (2) the
Wyoming petition presented substantial scientific and commercial
information indicating that the NRM gray wolf population may qualify as
a DPS and that this potential DPS may warrant delisting (70 FR 61770).
We considered the collective weight of evidence and initiated a 12-
month status review, which continues.
In June of 2003, the Nevada Department of Wildlife (NDOW) submitted
a petition to delist wolves in Nevada. The NDOW petition asserted that
the 1978 listing of gray wolves as endangered in Nevada and the 2003
reclassification of gray wolves as threatened in Nevada were in error.
On December 9, 2005, we published a finding that the NDOW petition did
not provide substantial information that the petitioned action may be
warranted (70 FR 73190).
For additional information on previous Federal actions for gray
wolves beyond the NRM, see the April 1, 2003, ``Final rule to
reclassify and remove the gray wolf from the list of endangered and
threatened wildlife in portions of the conterminous United States'' (68
FR 15804).
Distinct Vertebrate Population Segment Policy Overview
Pursuant to the ESA, we consider for listing any species,
subspecies, or, for vertebrates, any DPS of these taxa if there is
sufficient information to indicate that such action may be warranted.
To interpret and implement the DPS provision of the ESA and
Congressional guidance, the Service and the National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS) published, on December 21, 1994, a draft Policy
Regarding the Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate Population Segments
under the ESA and invited public comments on it (59 FR 65884). After
review of comments and further consideration, the Service and NMFS
adopted the interagency policy as issued in draft form, and published
it in the Federal Register on February 7, 1996 (61 FR 4722). This
policy addresses the recognition of a DPS for potential listing,
reclassification, and delisting actions.
Under our DPS policy, three factors are considered in a decision
regarding the establishment and classification of a possible DPS. These
are applied similarly for additions to the list of endangered and
threatened species, reclassification of already listed species, and
removals from the list. The first two factors--discreteness of the
population segment in relation to the remainder of the taxon (i.e.,
Canis lupus); and the significance of the population segment to the
taxon to which it belongs (i.e., Canis lupus)--bear on whether the
population segment is a valid DPS. If a population meets both tests, it
is a DPS and then the third factor is applied--the population segment's
conservation status in relation to the ESA's standards for listing,
delisting, or reclassification (i.e., is the population segment
endangered or threatened).
Analysis for Discreteness
Under our Policy Regarding the Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate
Population Segments, a population segment of a vertebrate taxon may be
considered discrete if it satisfies either one of the following
conditions--(1) is markedly separated from other populations of the
same taxon (i.e., Canis lupus) as a consequence of physical,
physiological, ecological, or behavioral factors (quantitative measures
of genetic or morphological discontinuity may provide evidence of this
separation); or (2) is delimited by international governmental
boundaries within which differences in control of exploitation,
management of habitat, conservation status, or regulatory
[[Page 6639]]
mechanisms exist that are significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of
the ESA.
Markedly Separated From Other Populations of the Taxon--The eastern
edge of the tentative NRM wolf DPS (See Figure 2) is about 400 mi (644
km) from the western edge of the area currently occupied by the Great
Lakes wolf population (eastern Minnesota) and is separated from it by
hundreds of miles of unsuitable habitat (See discussion of suitable
habitat in Factor A). The southern edge of the NRM wolf DPS border is
about 450 mi (724 km) from the nonessential experimental populations of
wolves in the southwestern United States with vast amounts of
unoccupied marginal or unsuitable habitat separating them. No wolves
are known to occur west of the contemplated DPS. No wolves from other
populations are known to have dispersed as far as the borders of the
NRM wolf DPS.
Although dispersal distance data for North America (Fritts 1983;
Missouri Department of Conservation 2001; Ream et al. 1991; Boyd and
Pletscher 1997; Boyd et al. in prep.) show that gray wolves can
disperse over 500 mi (805 km) from existing wolf populations, the
average dispersal of NRM wolves is about 60 mi (97 km). Only 7 of
nearly 200 known NRM wolf dispersal events from 1994 through 2004 have
been over 180 mi (290 km) (Boyd et al. in prep.). Six of these seven
U.S. long-distance dispersers remained within the tentative DPS. None
of those long-distance wolves found mates nor survived long enough to
breed in the United States (Boyd in prep.). Of the three wolves that
dispersed into eastern Oregon, two died and one was relocated by the
Service back to central Idaho. Of the two wolves that dispersed into
eastern Washington, one died and the other moved north into Canada. The
wolf that dispersed to northern Utah was incidentally captured by a
coyote trapper and relocated back to Wyoming by the Service.
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The only wolf known to have dispersed (within the United States)
beyond the border of the tentative NRM wolf DPS was killed by a vehicle
collision along Interstate 70 in north-central Colorado.
No connectivity currently exists between the three U.S. gray wolf
populations, nor are there any resident wolf packs in intervening
areas. While it is theoretically possible that a lone wolf might
transverse over 400 mi from one population to the other, it has never
been documented and is extremely unlikely. Furthermore, the DPS Policy
does not require complete separation of one DPS from other populations,
but instead requires ``marked separation.''
Management Differences Among the United States and Canadian Wolf
Populations--The DPS Policy allows us to use international borders to
delineate
[[Page 6641]]
the boundaries of a DPS even if the current distribution of the species
extends across that border. Therefore, we will continue to use the
United States-Canada border to mark the northern boundary of the DPS
due to the difference in control of exploitation, conservation status,
and regulatory mechanisms between the two countries. About 52,000-
60,000 wolves occur in Canada where suitable habitat is abundant
(Boitani 2003). Because of this abundance, protection and intensive
management are not necessary to conserve the wolf in Canada. This
contrasts with the situation in the United States, where, to date,
intensive management has been necessary to recover the wolf. Wolves in
Canada are not protected by Federal laws and are only minimally
protected in most Canadian provinces (Pletscher et al. 1991). If
delisted, States in the NRM would carefully monitor and manage to
retain populations at or above the recovery goal (see Factor D below).
Significant differences exist in management between U.S.-Canadian wolf
populations.
Analysis for Significance
If we determine a population segment is discrete, we next consider
available scientific evidence of its significance to the taxon (i.e.,
Canis lupus) to which it belongs. Our DPS policy states that this
consideration may include, but is not limited to, the following--(1)
persistence of the discrete population segment in an ecological setting
unusual or unique for the taxon; (2) evidence that loss of the discrete
population segment would result in a significant gap in the range of
the taxon; (3) evidence that the discrete population segment represents
the only surviving natural occurrence of a taxon that may be more
abundant elsewhere as an introduced population outside its historic
range; and/or (4) evidence that the discrete population segment differs
markedly from other populations of the species in its genetic
characteristics. Below we address Factors 1 and 2. Factors 3 and 4 do
not apply to the tentative NRM wolf DPS and thus are not included in
our analysis for significance.
Unusual or Unique Ecological Setting--Within the range of holarctic
wolves, the NRM is the only area where such a high diversity of large
predators occupy the same areas as a large variety of native ungulate
prey species, resulting in complex ecological interaction between the
ungulate prey, predator, and scavenger groups (Smith et al. 2003). In
the NRM wolf DPS, gray wolves share habitats with black bears (Ursus
americanus), grizzly bears (Ursus arctos horribilis), cougars (Felis
concolor), lynx (Lynx canadensis), wolverine (Gulo gulo), coyotes,
badgers (Taxidea taxus), bobcats (Felis rufus), fisher (Martes
pennanti), and marten (Martes americana). The unique and diverse
assemblage of native prey include elk, mule deer, white-tailed deer,
moose, bighorn sheep, mountain goats, pronghorn antelope, bison, and
beaver. This complexity leads to unique ecological cascades in some
areas, such as in YNP (Smith et al. 2003; Robbins 2004; Bangs and Smith
in press). For example, wolves appear to be changing elk behavior and
elk relationships and competition with other ungulates and other
predators (e.g. cougars) that did not occur when wolves were absent.
These complex interactions could be increasing streamside willow
production and survival (Ripple and Beschta 2004), which in turn can
affect beaver and nesting by riparian birds (Nievelt 2001). This
suspected pattern of wolf-caused changes also may be occurring with
scavengers, whereby wolf predation is providing a year-round source of
food for a diverse variety of carrion feeders (Wilmers et al. 2003).
The wolf population in the NRM has significantly extended the range of
the gray wolf in the continental United States into a much more
diverse, ecologically complex, and unique assemblage of species than is
found elsewhere within historical wolf habitat in the northern
hemisphere, including Europe and Asia.
Significant Gap in the Range of the Taxon--Loss of the NRM wolf
population would represent a significant gap in the holarctic range of
the taxon. As noted above, wolves once lived throughout most of North
America. Wolves have been extirpated from most of the southern portions
of their North American range. The loss of the NRM wolf population
would represent a significant gap in the species' holarctic range in
that this loss would create a 15 degree latitudinal or over 1,000 mi
(1,600 km) gap across the Rocky Mountains between the Mexican wolf and
wolves in Canada. If this potential gap were realized, substantial
cascading ecological impacts would occur in that area (Smith et al.
2003; Robbins 2004; Bangs and Smith in press).
Given the wolf's historic occupancy of the conterminous States and
the portion of the historic range the conterminous States represent,
recovery in the lower 48 States has long been viewed as important to
the taxon (C. lupus) (39 FR 1171, January 4, 1974; 43 FR 9607, March 9,
1978). The tentative NRM wolf DPS is significant in achieving this
objective, as it is 1 of only 3 known occupied areas in the lower 48
States and constitutes nearly 20 percent of the remaining wolves in the
conterminous States.
We believe, based on our analysis of the best available scientific
information, that the NRM wolf DPS is significant to the taxon in that
NRM wolves exist in a unique ecological setting and their loss would
represent a significant gap in the range of the taxon. Therefore, the
NRM wolf DPS appears to meet the criterion of significance under our
Policy Regarding the Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate Population
Segments.
Defining the Boundaries of the Tentative NRM Wolf DPS
Although our DPS policy does not provide for State or other intra-
national governmental boundaries to be used in determining the
discreteness of a potential DPS, an artificial or manmade boundary may
be used as a boundary of convenience in order to clearly identify the
geographic area included within a DPS designation. Easily identifiable
manmade features, such as roads and highways, also can serve as a
boundary of convenience for delineating a DPS. The boundaries of the
tentative NRM wolf DPS include all of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, the
eastern third of Washington and Oregon, and a small part of north
central Utah (See Figure 2). Specifically, the DPS includes that
portion of Washington east of Highway 97 and Highway 17 north of Mesa
and that portion of Washington east of Highway 395 south of Mesa. It
includes that portion of Oregon east of Highway 395 and Highway 78
north of Burns Junction and that portion of Oregon east of Highway 95
south of Burns Junction. Finally, the DPS includes that portion of Utah
east of Highway 84 and north of Highway 80. The centerline of these
roads will be deemed the border of the DPS.
One factor considered in defining the boundaries of the NRM wolf
DPS was the documented current distribution of all known wolf pack
locations in 2004 (Figure 2) (Service et al. 2005). We also viewed the
annual distribution of wolf packs back to 2002 (the first year the
population exceeded the recovery goal) (Service et al. 2002, 2003,
2004). Our estimate of the overall area occupied by wolf packs in the
NRM would not have substantially changed our conclusions had we
included other years of data, so we used the most current information
available. All known wolf packs in recent history have only been
located in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. Only
[[Page 6642]]
occasional lone dispersing wolves from the NRM population have been
documented beyond those three States, in eastern Washington, eastern
Oregon, northern Utah, and central Colorado (Boyd et al. in prep.).
Dispersal distances played a key role in determining how far to
extend the DPS. We examined the known dispersal distance of over 200
marked dispersing wolves from the NRM, primarily using radio-telemetry
locations and recoveries of the carcasses of marked wolves from the
1980s until the present time (Boyd and Pletscher 1997; Boyd et al. in
prep). These data indicate the average dispersal distance of wolves
from the NRM for the last 10 years was about 60 mi (97 km) (Boyd et al.
in prep.). We determined that 180 mi (290 km), three times the average
dispersal distance, was a break-point for unusually long-distance
dispersal out from existing wolf pack territories, in part, because
only 7 wolves (none of which subsequently bred) have dispersed farther
into the United States. Only dispersal within the United States was
considered in these calculations because we were trying to determine
the appropriate DPS boundaries within the United States. Dispersers to
Canada were irrelevant because the Canadian border formed the northern
edge of the DPS. Thus, we plotted the average dispersal distance and
three times the average dispersal distance out from existing wolf pack
territories. The resulting map indicated a wide-band of likely wolf
dispersal that might be frequent enough to result in additional pack
establishment from the core wolf population given the availability of
nearby suitable habitat. Our specific data on wolf dispersal in the NRM
may not be applicable to other areas of North America (Mech and Boitani
2003).
We also examined suitable wolf habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming (Oakleaf et al. in press) and throughout the western United
States (Carroll et al. 2003, 2006) by comparing the biological and
physical characteristics of areas currently occupied by wolf packs with
the characteristics of adjacent areas that remain unoccupied by wolf
packs. The basic findings and predictions of those models (Oakleaf et
al. in press; Carroll et al. 2003, 2006) were similar in many respects.
Suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf DPS is typically characterized by
public land, mountainous forested habitat, abundant year-round wild
ungulate populations, lower road density, lower numbers of domestic
livestock that were only present seasonally, few domestic sheep, low
agricultural use, and low human populations (See Factor A). The models
indicate there is a large block of suitable wolf habitat in central
Idaho and the GYA, and to a lesser extent northwestern Montana. These
findings support the recommendations of the 1987 wolf recovery plan
(Service 1987) that identified those three areas as the most likely
locations to support a recovered wolf population. The models indicate
there is little suitable habitat within the portion of the NRM wolf DPS
in Washington, Oregon, or Utah. (See Factor A).
Unsuitable habitat also is important in determining the boundaries
of our DPS. Model predictions by Oakleaf et al. (in press) and Carroll
et al. (2003, 2006) and our observations during the past 20 years
(Bangs 2004, Service et al. 2005) indicate that non-forested rangeland
and croplands associated with intensive agricultural use (prairie and
high desert) would preclude wolf pack establishment and persistence.
This is due to chronic conflict with livestock and pets, local cultural
intolerance of large predators, and wolf behavioral characteristics
that make them extremely vulnerable to human-caused mortality in open
landscapes (See Factor A). We looked at the distribution of large
expanses of unsuitable habitat that would form a ``barrier'' or natural
boundary separating the current population from both the southwestern
and midwestern wolf populations and from the core of any other possible
wolf population that might develop in the foreseeable future in the
northwestern United States. It is important to note that the DPS Policy
does not require complete separation of one DPS from other populations,
but instead requires ``marked separation.'' Thus, if occasional
individual wolves or packs disperse among populations, the NRM wolf DPS
could still display the required discreteness.
Within the NRM wolf DPS, we included the eastern parts of
Washington and Oregon and a small portion of north central Utah,
because--(1) these areas are within a 60 to 180 mile (97 to 290 km)
band from the core wolf population where dispersal is likely; (2) lone
dispersing wolves have been found in these areas in recent times (Boyd
et al. in prep.); (3) these areas contain some suitable habitat (see
Factor A for a more in-depth discussion of suitable habitat); and (4)
the potential for connectivity exists between these relatively small
and fragmented habitat patches and the large blocks of suitable habitat
in the NRM wolf DPS. If wolf packs do establish in these areas, they
would be more connected to the core populations in central Idaho and
northwestern Wyoming than to any future wolf populations that might
become established in other large blocks of suitable habitat outside
the NRM wolf DPS. As noted earlier, large swaths of unsuitable habitat
would isolate these populations from other suitable habitat patches to
the west or south.
Although we have received reports of individual and wolf family
units in the North Cascades of Washington (Almack and Fitkin 1998),
agency efforts to confirm them were unsuccessful and to date no
individual wolves or packs have ever been documented there (Boyd and
Pletscher 1997, Boyd et al. in prep.). Intervening unsuitable habitat
makes it highly unlikely that wolves from the NRM population have
dispersed to the North Cascades of Washington in recent history.
However, if the wolf were to be delisted in the NRM wolf DPS, it would
remain protected by the ESA as endangered outside the DPS. We will
continue to provide recommendations for appropriate protections on a
site-specific basis should wolves ultimately disperse into and form
packs in areas outside of the NRM wolf DPS.
We would include all of Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho in the NRM wolf
DPS because their State regulatory frameworks apply State-wide. We
recognize that this includes large swaths of unsuitable habitat in
eastern Wyoming and Montana. We chose not to extend the NRM wolf DPS
border beyond eastern Montana and Wyoming to provide clearly
delineated, easily understood boundaries for law enforcement purposes,
consistency with State wolf regulations and planning efforts, and for
administrative convenience. Including all of Wyoming in the NRM wolf
DPS would also result in including portions of the Sierra Madre, the
Snowy, and the Laramie Ranges. Oakleaf et al. (2006, pers. comm.) chose
not to analyze these areas of SE Wyoming because they are fairly
intensively used by livestock and are surrounded with, and interspersed
by, private land, making pack establishment unlikely. While Carroll et
al. (2003, 2006) indicated it was suitable habitat, the model
optimistically predicted that under current conditions these areas were
largely sink habitat and that by 2025 (within the foreseeable future)
they were likely to be ranked as low occupancy because of increased
human population growth and road development. Therefore, we do not
consider these areas to be suitable wolf habitat and they were not
significant factors in determining the DPS border.
[[Page 6643]]
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Section 4 of the ESA and regulations (50 CFR part 424) promulgated
to implement the listing provisions of the ESA set forth the procedures
for listing, reclassifying, and delisting species. Species may be
listed as threatened or endangered if one or more of the five factors
described in section 4(a)(1) of the ESA threaten the continued
existence of the species. A species may be delisted, according to 50
CFR 424.11(d), if the best scientific and commercial data available
substantiate that the species is neither endangered nor threatened
because of (1) extinction, (2) recovery, or (3) error in the original
data used for classification of the species.
A recovered population is one that no longer meets the ESA's
definition of threatened or endangered. The ESA defines an endangered
species as one that is in danger of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. A threatened species is one that is
likely to become an endangered species in the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of its range. Determining
whether a species is recovered requires consolidation of the same five
categories of threats specified in section 4(a)(1). For species that
are already listed as threatened or endangered, this analysis of
threats is an evaluation of both the threats currently facing the
species and the threats that could potentially affect the species in
the foreseeable future following the delisting or downlisting and the
removal or reduction of the ESA's protections.
For the purposes of this notice, we consider ``foreseeable future''
as 30 years. We use 30 years to represent both a reasonable timeframe
for analysis of future potential threats and relate this timeframe back
to wolf biology. Wolves were listed in 1973 and reached recovery levels
by 2002 in both the midwestern United States and the NRM wolf DPS. It
has taken about 30 years for the causes of wolf endangerment to be
alleviated and for those wolf populations to recover. The average
lifespan of a wolf in YNP is 4 years and slightly less outside the Park
(Smith, pers. comm., 2005). The average gray wolf breeds at 30 months
of age and replaces itself in 3 years (Fuller et al. 2003). We used 10
wolf generations (30 years) to represent a reasonable biological
timeframe to determine if impacts could be significant. Any serious
threats to wolf population viability are likely to become evident well
before a 30-year time horizon.
For the purposes of this notice, the ``range'' of this NRM wolf DPS
is the area within the DPS boundaries where viable populations of the
species now exist. However, a species' historic range is also
considered because it helps inform decisions on the species status in
its current range. While wolves historically occurred over most of the
DPS, large portions of it are no longer able to support viable wolf
populations.
Significance of a portion of the range is viewed in terms of
biological significance. A portion of a species' range that is so
important to the continued existence of the species that threats to the
species in that area can threaten the viability of the species,
subspecies, or DPS as a whole is considered to be a significant portion
of the range. In regard to the NRM wolf DPS, the significant portions
of the gray wolf's range are those areas that are important or
necessary for maintaining a viable, self-sustaining, and evolving
representative meta-population in order for the NRM wolf DPS to persist
into the foreseeable future.
The following analysis examines all significant factors currently
affecting wolf populations or likely to affect wolf populations within
the foreseeable future. Factor A considers all factors affecting both
currently occupied (defined below in Factor A) and potentially suitable
habitat (defined below in Factor A). The issues discussed under Factors
B, C, and E are analyzed throughout the entire DPS. Adequate regulatory
mechanisms (Factor D) are discussed for each of the 6 States within the
DPS and relevant tribes, with an emphasis on the three States with
enough suitable habitat to sustain a viable wolf population (Wyoming,
Montana, and Idaho).
A. The Present or Threatened Destruction, Modification, or Curtailment
of Its Habitat or Range
As discussed in detail below, we believe that impacts to suitable
and potentially suitable habitat will occur at levels that will not
significantly affect wolf numbers or distribution in the NRM wolf DPS.
Occupied suitable habitat in key areas of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming
is secure. These areas include Glacier, Teton, and Yellowstone National
Parks and numerous USDA Forest Service Wilderness areas. Nearly two-
thirds of the overall area is Federal and State public land. These
areas will continue to be managed for high ungulate densities, moderate
rates of seasonal livestock grazing, moderate-to-low road densities
that will provide abundant native prey, low potential for livestock
conflicts, and security from excessive unregulated human-caused
mortality. The core recovery areas are also within proximity to one
another and have enough public land between them to ensure sufficient
connectivity to maintain the wolf population above recovery levels.
The NRM wolf DPS is 378,690 mi (980,803 km\2\) and includes 158,807
mi\2\ (411,308 km\2\) of Federal land (42 percent); 20,734 mi\2\
(53,701 km\2\) of State land (5 percent); 15,068 mi\2\ (39,026 km\2\)
of Tribal land (4 percent); and 180,543 mi\2\ (467,604 km\2\) of
private land (48 percent). The DPS contains large amounts of 3
Ecoregion Divisions--Temperate Steppe (prairie) (120,521 mi\2\ [312,148
km\2\]); Temperate Steppe Mountain (forest) (156,341 mi\2\ [404,921
km\2\]); and Temperate Desert (high desert) (101,755 mi\2\ [263,544
km\2\]) (Bailey 1995). The following analysis focuses on suitable
habitat within the DPS and currently occupied areas (which may include
intermittent unsuitable habitat).
Suitable Habitat within the DPS-- Wolves once occupied or transited
most, if not all, of the NRM wolf DPS. However, much of the wolf s
historic range within the DPS has been modified for human use and is no
longer suitable habitat. We used two relatively new models, Oakleaf et
al. (in press) and Carroll et al. (2006), to help us determine and
estimate the current amount of suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf
DPS. As expected, the Oakleaf et al. (in press) and Carroll et al.
(2006) models predicted different amounts of theoretically suitable
wolf habitat where their analysis overlapped because they used
different models with different variables over different areas.
Oakleaf's basic model was a more intensive effort that only looked
at potential wolf habitat in the NRM. It used roads accessible to two-
wheel and four-wheel vehicles, topography (slope and elevation), land
ownership, relative ungulate density (based on state harvest
statistics), cattle and sheep density, vegetation characteristics
(Ecoregions and land cover), and human density to comprise its
geographic information system (GIS) layers. Oakleaf analyzed the
characteristics of areas occupied and not occupied by NRM wolf packs
through 2000 to predict what other areas in the NRM might be suitable
or unsuitable for future wolf pack formation.
Our experience in wolf management for the past 20 years, and the
persistence of wolf packs since recovery has been achieved, leads us to
concur with the Oakleaf et al. (in press) model's predictions that the
most important habitat attributes for wolf pack
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persistence are forest cover, public land, high elk density, and low
livestock density. Therefore, we believe that Oakleaf's calculations of
the amount and distribution of suitable wolf habitat, in the parts of
Montana, Idaho and Wyoming analyzed, represents the most reasonably
realistic prediction of suitable wolf habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming.
In contrast, Carroll's model analyzed a much larger area (all 12
western States and northern Mexico) in a less specific way. Carroll's
model used density and type of roads, human population density and
distribution, slope, and vegetative greenness as ``pseudo-habitat'' to
estimate relative ungulate density to predict associated wolf survival
and fecundity rates. The combination of the GIS model and wolf
population parameters were then used to develop estimates of habitat
theoretically suitable for wolf pack persistence. In addition, Carroll
predicted the potential effect of different levels of road and human
density in 2025 to suitable wolf habitat in the western United States.
We believe that the Carroll et al. (2006) model tended to be more
liberal in identifying suitable wolf habitat under current conditions
compared to Oakleaf model or our field observations indicated but it
provided a valuable relative measure across the western United States
upon which comparisons could be made. The Carroll model did not
incorporate livestock density into its calculations as the Oakleaf
model did. We believe that may in part explain why Carroll ranked more
habitat as potentially suitable than appeared to be realistic based
upon our observations of wolf pack persistence to date. Many of the
more isolated primary habitat patches that the Carroll model predicted
as currently suitable, were predicted as unsuitable by the year 2025,
indicating they were likely on the lower end of what ranked as suitable
habitat in that model. Because these types of areas were typically
small and isolated from the core population segments, we do not believe
they are currently suitable habitat based upon on our data on wolf pack
persistence for the past 10 years (Carroll et al. 2003).
Despite the huge differences in each model's analysis area, layers,
inputs, and assumptions, they had similar results and assumptions that
are directly related to the NRM wolf DPS. These models were extremely
valuable to us as we developed the DPS border and analyzed potentially
suitable and unsuitable wolf habitat within the NRM wolf DPS. Both
models predicted that most suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf DPS
was in northwestern Montana, central Idaho, and the GYA and in the area
currently occupied by the NRM wolf population. They also indicated that
these three areas were connected. However, northwest Montana and Idaho
were more connected to each other than the GYA, and collectively the
three cores areas were surrounded by large areas of unsuitable habitat.
Both models ranked areas as suitable habitat if they had
characteristics that suggested they might have a 50 percent or greater
chance of supporting wolf packs. Suitable wolf habitat in the NRM wolf
DPS was typically characterized by both models as public land with
mountainous forested habitat and having abundant year-round wild
ungulate populations, low road density, low numbers of domestic
livestock that are only present seasonally, few domestic sheep, low
agricultural use, and few people. Unsuitable wolf habitat was typically
just the opposite (i.e., private land, flat open prairie or desert, low
or seasonal wild ungulate populations, high road density, high numbers
of year-round domestic livestock including many domestic sheep, high
levels of agricultural use, and many people). We generally agree with
these criteria. A mix of these characteristics produced varying degrees
of suitability. The full spectrum runs from highly suitable (i.e., the
northern range of YNP) to highly unsuitable (i.e., a city or a sheep
ranch in eastern Montana) and every imaginable combination between the
two extremes.
These models are useful in understanding the relative proportions
and distributions of various habitat characteristics and their
relationships to wolf pack persistence rather than as predictors of
absolute acreages or areas that can actually be occupied by wolf packs.
Carroll et al. (2006) optimistically ranked 102,588 mi2 (265,703 km\2\)
and Oakleaf et al. (in press) ranked 65,725 mi\2\ (170,228 km\2\) of
suitable habitat in Montana, Idaho and Wyoming. We believe that these
models' assessments are reasonable and they generally support earlier
predictions about wolf habitat suitability in the NRM (Service 1980,
1987, 1994). We used their findings to make interpretations and
predictions about wolf pack distribution in relation to potentially
suitable habitat in the NRM wolf DPS.
In the NRM wolf DPS, the estimated amounts of potentially suitable
wolf habitat predicted by Carroll et al. (2006) in each State are--
40,924 mi\2\ (105,993 km\2\) in Montana; 31,856 mi\2\ (82,507 km\2\) in
Idaho; 29,808 mi\2\ (77,202 km\2\) in Wyoming; 2,556 mi\2\ (6,620
km\2\) in Oregon; 1,655 mi\2\ (4,286 km\2\) in Utah; and 297 mi\2\ (769
km\2\) in Washington. For perspective, a single wolf pack territory
normally averages 200-500 mi\2\ (518-1,295 km\2\). Thus, approximately
28 percent of the NRM wolf DPS would be ranked as suitable habitat in
accordance with the most liberal model available (Carroll et al. 2006).
We used the Carroll model to assess relative habitat suitability in the
entire NRM wolf DPS because the Oakleaf model only analyz