Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; 90-Day Finding on a Petition to List the Gunnison's Prairie Dog as Threatened or Endangered, 6241-6248 [E6-1630]
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[FR Doc. 06–1072 Filed 2–6–06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; 90-Day Finding on a
Petition to List the Gunnison’s Prairie
Dog as Threatened or Endangered
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Notice of 90-day petition
finding.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), announce a
90-day finding on a petition to list the
Gunnison’s prairie dog (Cynomys
gunnisoni) as threatened or endangered
under the Endangered Species Act of
1973, as amended (Act). We find that
the petition does not present substantial
scientific and commercial data
indicating that listing the Gunnison’s
prairie dog may be warranted.
Therefore, we will not be initiating a
formal status review to determine if
listing this species is warranted. We will
work with the States where information
is currently unavailable to develop
information that will assist in
determining and monitoring the status
of Gunnison’s prairie dog. Once those
results are available we will reevaluate
the status of Gunnison’s prairie dog.
DATES: The finding announced in this
document was made on January 30,
2006.
The petition, supporting
data, and comments will be available for
public inspection, by appointment,
during normal business hours at the
South Dakota Ecological Services Office,
420 South Garfield Avenue, Suite 400,
Pierre, South Dakota, 57501. Submit
new information, materials, comments
or questions concerning this taxon to
the Field Supervisor at the above
address.
ADDRESSES:
Pete
Gober, Field Supervisor, South Dakota
Ecological Services Office at the above
address (telephone 605–224–8693;
facsimile 605–224–9974).
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Background
Section 4(b)(3)(A) of the Act (16
U.S.C. 1531 et seq.), requires that we
make a finding on whether a petition to
list, delist, or reclassify a species
presents substantial scientific or
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commercial information indicating that
the petitioned action may be warranted.
We are to base this finding on
information provided in the petition
and other information that is readily
available to us (e.g., in our files). To the
maximum extent practicable, we are to
make this finding within 90 days of our
receipt of the petition, and publish our
notice of this finding promptly in the
Federal Register.
Our standard for substantial scientific
information within the Code of Federal
Regulations (CFR) with regard to a 90day petition finding is ‘‘that amount of
information that would lead a
reasonable person to believe that the
measure proposed in the petition may
be warranted’’ (50 CFR 424.14(b)). If we
find that substantial scientific
information was presented, we are
required to commence a review of the
status of the species.
In making this finding, we relied on
information provided by the petitioners
and information in our files, and
evaluated that information in
accordance with 50 CFR 424.14(b). Our
process of coming to a 90-day finding
under section 4(b)(3)(A) of the Act and
§ 424.14(b) of our regulations is limited
to a determination of whether the
information in the petition meets the
‘‘substantial scientific information’’
threshold.
We do not conduct additional
research to make a 90-day finding, nor
do we subject the petition to rigorous
critical review. Rather, as the Act and
regulations contemplate, in coming to a
90-day finding, we acknowledge the
petitioner’s sources and
characterizations of the information
unless we have specific information to
the contrary.
Our 90-day findings consider whether
the petition states a reasonable case for
listing on its face. Thus, our finding
expresses no view as to the ultimate
issue of whether the species should be
listed. We reach a conclusion on that
issue only after a more thorough review
of the species’ status.
Petition
On February 23, 2004, the Service
received a petition of the same date,
from Forest Guardians and 73 other
organizations and individuals (Forest
Guardians et al. 2004). This petition
requested that the Gunnison’s prairie
dog (Cynomys gunnisoni), found in
Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and
Utah, be listed as threatened or
endangered and that critical habitat be
designated for the species.
Action on this petition was precluded
by court orders and settlement
agreements for other listing actions that
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required nearly all of our listing funds
for fiscal year 2004. On July 29, 2004,
we received a 60-day notice of intent to
sue (Forest Guardians et al. 2004) for
failure to complete a finding. On
December 7, 2004, an amended
complaint for failure to complete a
finding for this and other species was
filed (Biodiversity Conservation
Alliance et al. 2004). We reached a
settlement agreement with the plaintiffs
for submittal to the Federal Register of
a 90-day finding for the Gunnison’s
prairie dog by January 26, 2006. This
notice constitutes our 90-day finding for
the petition to list the Gunnison’s
prairie dog.
Species Information
The Gunnison’s prairie dog is a
member of the Sciuridae family, which
includes squirrels, chipmunks,
marmots, and prairie dogs. Prairie dogs
constitute the genus Cynomys.
Taxonomists currently recognize 5
species of prairie dogs belonging to 2
subgenera, all in North America
(Goodwin 1995). The white-tailed
subgenus, Leucocrossuromys, includes
Utah (C. parvidens), white-tailed (C.
leucurus), and Gunnison’s prairie dogs
(Goodwin 1995). The black-tailed
subgenus, Cynomys, consists of Mexican
(C. mexicanus) and black-tailed (C.
ludovicianus) prairie dogs (Goodwin
1995). The number of chromosomes for
the Gunnison’s prairie dog (2n = 40) is
different from all other prairie dog
species (2n = 50), suggesting the species’
uniqueness and its early evolutionary
divergence from other prairie dog
species (Goodwin 1995; Pizzimenti
1975).
The Gunnison’s prairie dog has
sometimes been divided into 2
subspecies: C. g. gunnisoni and C. g.
zuniensis (Hollister 1916). The petition
addressed the species, with no
subspecies consideration. However, the
petitioners later requested that the
petition be considered to apply to both
the full species and either of the
subspecies (Rosmarino in litt. 2005).
The most recent published analyses do
not support subspecies designation
(Goodwin 1995, Pizzimenti 1975), and
this is position we currently hold.
Research on the issue of subspeciation
is ongoing (Hafner 2004; Hafner et al.
2005).
Gunnison’s prairie dog adults vary in
length from 309–373 millimeters (mm)
(12–15 inches (in)) and weigh 650–1200
grams (gm) (23–42 ounces (oz)), with
males averaging slightly larger than
females (Hall 1981; Pizzimenti and
Hoffman 1973). The dorsal color is
yellowish buff intermixed with blackish
hairs. The top of the head, sides of
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cheeks, and ‘‘eyebrows’’ are noticeably
darker than the dorsum (Hall 1981;
Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973). The
species differs from black-tailed prairie
dogs in having a much shorter and
lighter colored tail and from other
white-tailed species in having grayishwhite hairs in the distal half of the tail
rather than pure white (Hoogland 1995;
Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973).
The onset of reproduction in
Gunnison’s prairie dogs is somewhat
variable depending upon latitude,
elevation, and seasonal variation, but
most typically is April and May
(Hoogland 1998, 2001). Females will
breed as yearlings when resources are
abundant (Goodwin 1995; Hall 1981;
Haynie et al. 2003; Hoogland 1998;
Hoogland 2001; Pizzimenti and
Hoffman 1973). A maximum of one
litter is produced per year with a mean
litter size of 3.77 (Hoogland 2001).
Individuals live in family groups called
clans; and adjacent clans constitute a
colony (Fitzgerald and Lechleitner
1974). Clan members defend a home
territory of approximately 2.5 acres (1
hectare), but commonly forage outside
of home territory in the weakly
defended peripheral sections of
territories belonging to other clans
(Hoogland 1998, 1999).
Gunnison’s prairie dog potential
habitat includes level to gently sloping
grasslands and semi-desert and montane
shrublands, at elevations from 6,000–
12,000 feet (ft) (1,830–3,660 meters (m))
(Bailey 1932; Findley et al. 1975;
Fitzgerald et al. 1994; Pizzimenti and
Hoffman 1973; Wagner and Drickamer
2002). Grasses are the most important
food item, with forbs, sedges, and
shrubs also occasionally utilized
(Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973;
Shalaway and Slobodchikoff 1988).
Individuals hibernate for as long as 7
months (Ecke and Johnsonn 1952;
Fitzgerald and Lechleitner 1974).
The current distribution of the species
is generally centered on the ‘‘Four
Corners’’ region of northern Arizona,
southwestern Colorado, northwestern
New Mexico, and southeastern Utah
(Anderson et al. 1986; Bailey 1932; Hall
1981; Knowles 2002; Pizzimenti and
Hoffman 1973). There is some very
limited overlap between ranges for
Gunnison’s prairie dogs and black-tailed
prairie dogs in New Mexico (Goodwin
1995; Sager 1996), and between
Gunnison’s prairie dog and white-tailed
prairie dog in Colorado (Knowles 2002),
but we have no evidence that
interbreeding is occurring. Using
Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
datasets and known habitat
requirements, Seglund et al. (2005)
estimate that 27 percent of potential
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Gunnison’s prairie dog habitat occurs in
Arizona, 25 percent in Colorado, 45
percent in New Mexico, and 3 percent
in Utah. Rangewide, approximately 73
percent of potential habitat occurs on
tribal and private lands (Seglund et al.
2005). Significant portions of potential
habitat occur on tribal lands, especially
in Arizona and New Mexico. We
contacted 29 Tribes and Pueblos within
the Gunnison’s prairie dog range to
attain post-1961 status information. We
did not receive any formal responses
from the tribes; no information is
available regarding the status of the
species on tribal lands.
Of the documented range
contractions, the most significant has
occurred in Arizona. Gunnison’s prairie
dog was recorded in parts of 8 Arizona
counties in the early 20th century
(Wagner and Drickamer 2002). In 1961,
the species was documented in 5
counties (Bureau of Sport Fisheries and
Wildlife 1961). More recent studies have
observed occupied habitat in only the
four northernmost counties (Roemer
1997; Wagner and Drickamer 2002). We
are unable to determine what if any
contraction is attributable to more
recent population changes which would
assist us in determining whether the
species may be threatened.
The best available information
indicates that population densities of
Gunnison’s prairie dog colonies are
variable, depending on environmental
influences (including habitat, season,
disease, and precipitation), as well as
anthropogenic influences (such as
chemical control and recreational
shooting). Densities typically range from
2–23 individuals per acre (ac) (5–57 per
hectare (ha)) (Fitzgerald et al. 1994), and
are similar to densities in black-tailed
prairie dog colonies (Cully 1993), which
typically range from 2–18 individuals
per ac (5–45 per ha) (Fagerstone and
Ramey 1996; Hoogland 1995; King 1955;
Koford 1958). Knowles (2002) notes
historic densities for Gunnison’s prairie
dogs as high as 63 individuals per ac
(156 per ha), but concludes that overall,
they generally occur at lower densities
than black-tailed prairie dog. In the
available literature, prairie dog
population abundance is most often
discussed in terms of acres or hectares
of occupied habitat rather than in
numbers of individuals because of the
wide range of observed population
densities for the species, wide natural
population fluctuations (due to drought,
etc.) and the limited number of studies
that have determined actual numbers of
individuals in a population due to the
significant additional cost and effort
associated with doing so.
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We have several estimates of historic
and more recent Gunnison’s prairie dog
occupied habitat are available from the
four States within the species’ range
(Tables 1–3). These estimates span a
time period from 1916 to the present.
Different methodologies were used at
different times and in different locales
to derive the various estimates.
However, these estimates represent the
best available information and are
comparable for the purpose of
determining general population trends
on the scale of order-of-magnitude
changes. Methodologies have improved
in recent years, with the advent of tools
such as aerial survey, satellite imagery,
and GIS. Consequently, estimates that
utilize these tools can be expected to be
more accurate.
Only limited information is available
regarding State-wide and range-wide
historic estimates of occupied habitat.
More accurate information is available
regarding several smaller (more easily
delineated) sites that have been
monitored in recent years. All available
estimates of occupied habitat are
presented in the following paragraphs.
State-Wide Estimates
Information available regarding
historic estimates of Gunnison’s prairie
dog occupied habitat is based largely on
federal records from early poisoning
efforts. Oakes (2000) used field survey
and poisoning records from the Bureau
of Biological Survey (a predecessor of
the Service) to derive early estimates for
occupied habitat in Arizona and New
Mexico. Oakes (2000) estimated that in
1916, approximately 6.6 million ac (2.7
million ha) of Gunnison’s prairie dog
occupied habitat occurred in Arizona
and 11 million ac (4.4 million ha) in
New Mexico. Oakes (2000) postulated
that following poisoning efforts, there
were approximately 6 million ac (2.4
million ha) of occupied habitat in
Arizona and 9 million ac (3.6 million
ha) of occupied habitat in New Mexico
in 1921 (Table 1). No estimate of density
or population associated with the
habitat is available, due to the
previously-mentioned difficulty
associated with determining population
densities.
We are not aware of any literature
regarding historic estimates of occupied
Gunnison’s prairie dog habitat for
Colorado or Utah. We derived
approximate estimates in order to gain
some perspective on the extent of
historic decline. As noted previously,
the estimates of historically (i.e., 1916)
occupied habitat from Oakes (2000)
were based on federally-directed state
inventories and poisoning records.
Seglund et al. (2005) used GIS datasets
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that considered known habitat
requirements regarding elevation, slope,
and land cover to predict the potential
habitat available in each state. Using the
estimates of historically-occupied
habitat from Oakes (2000) for Arizona
and New Mexico and the relative
percentages of potential habitat
presented in Seglund et al. (2005), we
derived estimates of historicallyoccupied (circa 1916) habitat for
Colorado (6 million ac / 2.4 million ha)
and Utah (700,000 ac / 284,000 ha).
Accordingly, the range-wide estimate
for historic (circa 1916) Gunnison’s
prairie dog occupied habitat would be
approximately 24 million ac (9.7 million
ha) (Table 1).
We believe that these historic
estimates are reasonable but also
recognize that they are based on
assumptions which could greatly
influence the outcome of the estimate.
Historic declines which occurred over
the past 100 years do not provide an
appropriate context for evaluating
current threats to the species. These
historic estimates are of limited value in
determining the likely persistence of
this species at present. The evaluation
of whether or not a specific threat rises
to the level of threatening a species
should be based on ongoing and likely
future impacts.
In 1961, the Bureau of Sport Fisheries
and Wildlife (also a predecessor of the
Service) tabulated habitat estimates on a
county-by-county basis throughout the
range of all prairie dog species in the
western United States. This survey was
in response to concerns from within the
agency regarding possible adverse
impacts to prairie dogs from poisoning
(Oakes 2000). In State-wide summaries,
the agency estimated approximately
445,000 ac (180,000 ha) of Gunnison’s
prairie dog occupied habitat in Arizona,
116,000 ac (47,000 ha) in Colorado,
355,000 ac (144,000 ha) in New Mexico,
and 100,000 ac (41,000 ha) in Utah
(Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife
1961). The total range-wide estimate for
Gunnison’s prairie dog occupied habitat
in 1961 was approximately 1 million ac
(405,000 ha) (Table 1).
The estimates of historic habitat
compared to the 1961 data suggest that,
from 1916 to 1961, Gunnison’s prairie
dog habitat and thus populations
decreased by approximately 93 percent
in Arizona, 98 percent in Colorado, 97
percent in New Mexico, and 86 percent
in Utah, or by approximately 95 percent
range-wide. While the magnitude of the
habitat losses require a conclusion that
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overall populations declined as well,
this decline does not necessarily lead to
a conclusion that current populations
continue to decline.
All four States within the range of the
Gunnison’s prairie dog assert in their
Comprehensive Wildlife Conservation
Strategies that the species is at risk,
declining, and deserving of special
management consideration (Seglund et
al. 2005). These Strategies were
developed by the States in response to
Congressional funding and provide
guidance for future conservation efforts
between Federal, tribal, State, local, and
private entities. The strategies focus on
species in greatest need of conservation.
However, since less than one year has
elapsed since they were completed, an
evaluation of their effectiveness cannot
yet be made. Based upon the
information available in our files,
Colorado is the only state with a
Gunnison’s prairie dog population
estimate derived from a recent, Statewide field effort (Skiba, in litt. 2005).
Other recent State-wide estimates
appear to be based on extrapolations
(e.g., Bodenchuck (1981) for New
Mexico and Colorado Department of
Agriculture (1990) for Colorado), or are
minimum estimates obtained from
summing known, site-specific data (e.g.,
Knowles (2002) for New Mexico and
Utah, Seglund et al. (2005) for New
Mexico and Utah, and Van Pelt in litt.
(2005) for Arizona).
In Arizona, it is estimated that
occupied habitat on non-tribal lands
was approximately 100,000 ac (40,500
ha) in 2005 (Van Pelt in litt. 2005)
(Table 1). Approximately 50 percent of
potential habitat is on tribal lands in
Arizona; consequently, a current statewide estimate in Arizona is likely
substantially more than the 100,000 ac
(40,500 ha) reported by Van Pelt (in litt.
2005), although no comprehensive data
from tribal lands are available.
Occupied habitat on non-tribal lands
State-wide appears to have increased
from 10,000 ac (4,000 ha) in 1961
(Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife
1961) to 100,000 ac (40,500 ha) in 2005
Van Pelt (in litt. 2005). We have no data
regarding, recent population trends on
tribal lands State-wide. However, we are
unaware of any disproportionate
adverse effects to the species on tribal
lands during this interval. Thus, we
have assumed that the amount of habitat
on tribal lands remained constant from
1961 to 2005 (Table 1). This assumption
seems reasonable, particularly in light of
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the fact that occupied lands have
increased ten-fold on non-tribal lands.
The Colorado Department of
Agriculture (CDA 1990) solicited
questionnaire responses from farmers
and ranchers and thereafter extrapolated
an estimate of 1,553,000 ac of occupied
habitat for all 3 species of prairie dogs
found in Colorado. Based upon species
occurrence by county, Seglund et al.
(2005) derived a state-wide estimate
from the CDA (1990) data of 439,000 ac
(178,000 ha) of Gunnison’s prairie dog
occupied habitat in 1990 (Table 1).
However, other, more recent estimates
based on field work may provide the
best evidence of occupied habitat
(population) trends for this species in
recent years in Colorado. In 2005, the
Colorado Division of Wildlife estimated
174,000 ac (70,000 ha) of Gunnison’s
prairie dog occupied habitat State-wide,
based upon their own field surveys and
reports from field personnel from other
agencies (Skiba, in litt. 2005) (Table 1).
State-wide occupied habitat since 1961
appears to have remained stable or
increased somewhat, from 116,000 ac
(55,000 ha) in 1961 to 174,000 ac
(70,000 ha) in 2005.
In New Mexico, Bodenchuck (1981)
solicited questionnaire responses from
agricultural producers. Respondents
reported 107,574 ac (43,567 ha) of
Gunnison’s prairie dog occupied
habitat. Bodenchuck (1981) extrapolated
a State-wide total of 348,000 ac (141,000
ha) of occupied habitat for the species
(Table 1). Oakes (2000) questioned this
extrapolation because of possibly faulty
assumptions used to derive it. Knowles
(2002) estimated that 75,000 ac (30,000
ha) of occupied habitat existed in 1982
(Table 1). Seglund et al. (2005) reported
that New Mexico Game and Fish
utilized Digital Orthophoto Quarter
Quadrangles to estimate a minimum of
9,108 ac (3,689 ha) of occupied habitat
state-wide in 2004 (Table 1). State-wide
occupied habitat may have been in a
decreasing trend, from 355,000 ac
(144,000 ha) in 1961 to a minimum of
9,000 ac (4,000 ha) in 2004.
In Utah, Seglund et al. (2005) reported
that the Utah Division of Wildlife
estimated that the State had 22,007 ac
(8,906 ha) of occupied Gunnison’s
prairie dog habitat in 1968 (Table 1).
Knowles (2002) estimated a minimum of
3,678 ac (1,490 ha) of occupied habitat
State-wide (Table 1). The state-wide
trend in occupied habitat since 1961
appears to have been decreasing, from
100,000 ac (40,500 ha) in 1961 to 4,000
ac (2,000 ha) in 2002.
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TABLE 1.—STATE-WIDE OCCUPIED HABITAT ESTIMATES (IN ACRES) FOR GUNNISON’S PRAIRIE DOG
State
Recent
Trend, 1961
to present
∼535,000 ....................................................................................................
439,000 (CO DOA 1990) 174,224 (CO DOW 2005) .................................
348,000 (Bodenchuk 1981) 75,000 in 1982 (Knowles 2002) >9,108
(Seglund et al. 2005).
22,007 in 1968 (Seglund et al. 2005) >3,678 (Knowles 2002) .................
Increasing.
Increasing.
Decreasing?
1961
Arizona .............................................
Colorado ...........................................
New Mexico ......................................
445,000
115,650
354,905
Utah ..................................................
100,000
Total ..........................................
1,015,945
Range-Wide Estimates
Gunnison’s prairie dog populations in
all states within the species’ range have
declined significantly in a historic
sense, but may have been relatively
more stable in some States in recent
decades. Regardless of the absolute
accuracy of historic estimates of
occupied habitat for the individual
States, it is apparent that Gunnison’s
prairie dog occupied habitat has
declined range-wide (Table 1). Differing
survey and analytical methods, along
with unknown confidence intervals
prevents us from being able to compare
estimates through time and among
localities. Point estimates (Table 1) for
New Mexico (Seglund et al. 2005) and
for Utah (Knowles 2002) are estimated
minimums.
Site-Specific Estimates
In addition to State-wide and rangewide estimates, we also evaluated sitespecific estimates of occupied habitat,
and considered this information in our
Decreasing?
∼722,000 (assuming no change in the amount of occupied habitat on AZ
tribal lands since 1961).
conclusions regarding current
population trends. Site-specific
estimates of occupied habitat are
typically derived from field surveys
related to monitoring and/or research,
rather than extrapolation. The smaller
size of a study site versus a state-wide
also lends itself to more precise
assessment. Consequently site-specific
estimates are often more accurate than
state-wide estimates. Site-specific
estimates are also often more recent and
therefore provide additional insight into
current trends. However, an inherent
bias in evaluating prairie dog
population trends may exist because
dramatic declines or increases in
existing colonies may be more likely to
be reported than the establishment of
new populations in previously
uninhabited areas. In addition,
monitoring programs tend to focus more
on established sites than on identifying
new occupied sites.
All site-specific estimates that we are
aware of are listed in Table 2. As noted
in the following text, all site-specific
estimates, with the exception of Aubrey
Valley in Arizona, indicate declines in
occupied habitat due to plague
epizootics. In addition to State-wide and
site-specific estimates, there are several
sites that have been studied and
described in terms of numbers of
colonies. While these sites do not
provide precise data in terms of acres of
occupied habitat, they provide
additional insight into the likely extent
of impact from sylvatic plague
throughout the range of the Gunnison’s
prairie dog (Table 3). It should be noted
that for most sites described in Tables
2 and 3, estimates are not available from
the past year, so the current status of
these sites is not known. In addition, the
basis of the estimates vary, the relative
rigor of the estimates vary from
published papers to verbal estimates.
Notwithstanding the variance in
methodology and level of rigor it is
apparent that plague can result in
devastating population effects to
individual populations and colonies.
TABLE 2.—SITE-SPECIFIC OCCUPIED HABITAT ESTIMATES (IN ACRES) FOR GUNNISON’S PRAIRIE DOG
Site
Estimate
Aubrey Valley, AZ .........
......................................
Dilkon, AZ .....................
......................................
Currecanti Natl. Rec.
Area, CO.
Gunnison, Saguache,
Montrose Co., CO.
......................................
South Park, CO ............
915,000 in 1945 (Ecke
& Johnson 1952).
2,458,650 in 1916
(Oakes 2000).
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Catron & Socorro Co.,
NM.
Moreno Valley, NM .......
Estimate
......................................
Estimate
19,368 in 1990
29,653 in 1997
(Seglund et al. 2005).
(Winstead in litt
2002).
...................................... 8,650 in 1994 (Wagner
2002).
148 in 1980 (Rayor
100% mortality by 1981
1985).
(Rayor 1985).
...................................... 15,569 in 1980
(Capodice & Harrell
2003).
74,000 in 1948 (FitzNone known in 1977
gerald 1993).
(Fitzgerald 1993).
...................................... >12,000 in 1984 (Luce
2005).
11,000 in 1984 (Cully
>99% mortality by 1987
et al. 1997).
(Cully et al. 1997).
Estimate
Status
42,000 in 2005 (Van
Pelt, pers.comm.
2005).
43 in 2001 (Wagner
2002).
......................................
Increasing.
Decreasing.
770 in 2002 (Capodice
& Harrell 2003).
Decreasing.
42 in 2002 (CO DOW
2002).
>6,000 in 2005 (Luce
2005).
......................................
Decreasing.
Decreasing.
Decreasing.
Decreasing.
TABLE 3.—SITE-SPECIFIC ESTIMATES OF COLONY NUMBERS FOR GUNNISON’S PRAIRIE DOG
Site
Estimate
Estimate
Flagstaff, AZ .............................................
75 colonies in 2000 (Wagner &
Drickamer 2002).
8 colonies in 1994 (Turner 2001) ............
14 colonies in 2001 (Wagner &
Drickamer 2002).
3 colonies in 1996 (Turner 2001) ............
Petrified Forest NP, AZ ............................
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TABLE 3.—SITE-SPECIFIC ESTIMATES OF COLONY NUMBERS FOR GUNNISON’S PRAIRIE DOG—Continued
Site
Estimate
Estimate
Seligman, AZ ............................................
47 colonies in 1990 (Wagner &
Drickamer 2002).
1 colony in Aug., 1958 (Lechleitner et al.
1962).
625 colonies in 1966 (Fitzgerald 1970) ...
1 colony in 1980 (Barnes 1993) ..............
11 colonies in 2001 (Wagner &
Drickamer 2002).
100%
mortality
in
Sept.,
1959
(Lechleitner et al. 1962).
233 colonies in 1969 (Fitzgerald 1970) ...
100% mortality in 1981 (Barnes 1993) ....
Chubbs Park, CO .....................................
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Navajo Nation in NM ................................
Garfield Co., UT .......................................
The Dilkon area on the Navajo
Reservation in Arizona had 8,650 ac
(3,500 ha) of occupied habitat in 1994
and apparently decreased to 43 ac (17
ha) in 2001 (Wagner 2002) following a
plague epizootic (Table 2). Other sites in
Arizona, where only the number of
colonies were noted (Table 3) include:
8 colonies in Petrified Forest National
Park in 1994, with 5 colonies extirpated
following a plague epizootic in 1995
and 1996 (Turner 2001); 75 active
colonies in the Flagstaff area in 2000,
reduced to 14 active colonies in 2001
following a plague epizootic (Wagner
and Drickamer 2002); and 47 active
colonies in the Seligman area, covering
approximately 9,000 ac (3,500 ha) were
reduced to 11 active colonies in 2001
following a plague epizootic (Wagner
and Drickamer 2002).
In Colorado, a 148-ac (60-ha) colony
in Curecanti National Recreation Area
experienced 100 percent mortality
following a plague epizootic in 1981
(Rayor 1985) (Table 2). In South Park,
Colorado, there were an estimated
915,000 ac (371,000 ha) of occupied
habitat in 1945 (Ecke and Johnson 1952)
and 74,000 ac (30,000 ha) in 1948
(Fitzgerald 1993). Fitzgerald (1993)
could not locate any colonies in South
Park in 1977, but 42 ac (17 ha) of
occupied habitat were located in 2002
(Colorado Division of Wildlife 2002)
(Table 2). South Park experienced a
remarkable decrease in occupied habitat
from 1945 to 2002, due predominantly
to plague. Another site in Colorado
where only the number of colonies was
noted (Table 3), is a colony in Chubbs
Park, Chaffee County, which
experienced 100 percent mortality in
1959 following a plague epizootic
(Kartman et al. 1962 and Lechleitner et
al. 1962).
In Moreno Valley, New Mexico, Cully
(1991) estimated that there were 11,000
ac (4,500 ha) of occupied habitat in
1984; and in 1987, after two plague
epizootics, there was a significant
decrease, with greater than 99.5 percent
mortality (Cully et al. 1997) (Table 2).
Another site in New Mexico where only
the number of colonies was noted, is the
New Mexico portion of the Navajo
Nation (Table 3), where the number of
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known colonies dropped from 625 in
1966 to 233 in 1969 following repeated
epizootics (Fitzgerald 1970).
In Utah, a colony in Garfield County
experienced 100 percent mortality
following a plague epizootic in 1981
(Barnes 1993) (Table 3).
Threats Analysis
In the following narrative, we discuss
each of the major assertions made in the
petition, organized by the five listing
factors found in section 4(a)(1) of the
Act. A species may be determined to be
endangered or threatened if it meets the
definition specified in the Act pursuant
to an evaluation of the following five
threat factors: (A) the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence. In making this finding, we
evaluated whether impacts to the
Gunnison’s prairie dog presented in the
petition and other information readily
available in our files present substantial
information that listing may be
warranted. Our evaluation of these
factors is presented below.
A. Present of Threatened Destruction,
Modification, or Curtailment of the
Species’ Habitat or Range
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition asserts that habitat loss
and fragmentation has imperiled the
Gunnison’s prairie dog. The petitioner
has documented, through personal
observation, the loss of 745 ac (302 ha)
of occupied habitat due to municipal
development in Santa Fe, Albuquerque,
Taos, and Flagstaff. The petition
documents that poor rangeland
management (primarily via overgrazing)
has resulted in the proliferation of
noxious weeds, especially cheatgrass
(Bromus tectorum), that has in turn
affected native vegetation. The petition
asserts that loss of native vegetation may
diminish habitat suitability for
Gunnison’s prairie dog. The petition
notes that the proliferation of cheatgrass
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Decreasing.
Decreasing.
Decreasing.
Decreasing.
has resulted in the alteration of fire
ecology, and asserts that it has in turn
degraded prairie dog habitat. The
petition asserts that the transfer of
public lands (privatization) threatens
the species. The petition presents an
inventory of land parcels leased for oil
and gas exploration and development
and asserts that this activity threatens
the species. The petition asserts that
road mortality threatens the species.
The petition asserts that all factors
affecting the Gunnison’s prairie dog
result in isolation and fragmentation of
remnant colonies, and that these
smaller, isolated colonies are more
susceptible to local extirpation by other
factors such as poisoning and plague.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
Although municipal development
may have adverse impacts on some
Gunnison’s prairie dog populations at a
local scale, we do not have substantial
information that it causes range-wide
population declines. Seglund et al.
(2005) determined that urbanization
affects 577,438 ac (233,681 ha) within
the range of the species. This is less
than 2 percent of the potential habitat
within the range of the species. Wagner
(2002) noted that in Arizona, human
development undoubtedly impacts local
populations of Gunnison’s prairie dogs
near the few cities and agricultural areas
in northern Arizona, but the impact on
overall populations is probably quite
small. The petition did not present
substantial scientific information that
habitat loss and fragmentation is
threatening the species.
We are aware of reports that noxious
weeds increase in the presence of
overgrazing. However, based upon the
information in our files, the impact of
overgrazing on prairie dog populations
is contradictory. Some reports have
noted that species density is positively
correlated with the number of native
plants (Shalaway and Slobdchikoff
1988; Slobdichikoff et al. 1988). Other
reports have concluded that prairie dog
density is positively correlated with an
increase in grazing, which simulates the
shortgrass environment preferred by
prairie dogs (Fagerstone and Ramey
1996; Marsh 1984, Slobodchikoff et al.
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1988). The petition did not present
substantial scientific information that
poor rangeland management is
threatening the species.
We are aware that a relationship
exists between overgrazing, cheatgrass
proliferation, and fire frequency and
intensity. However, we have no
information in our files that addresses
any correlation between fire and
Gunnison’s prairie dog populations. The
petition does not present substantial
scientific information that fire is
threatening the Gunnison Prairie Dog.
We have no information in our files
that indicates that the transfer of public
lands (privatization) has any significant
influence on Gunnison’s prairie dog
populations and the petition does not
present substantial scientific
information that privatization is
threatening the Gunnison Prairie Dog.
We acknowledge that there are
numerous land parcels within the
Gunnison’s prairie dog range that are
leased for oil and gas development
(Seglund et al. 2005). However, no
information is available that quantifies
the amount of occupied habitat that is
affected. Menkens and Anderson (1985)
concluded in a study of white-tailed
prairie dogs that any impact from
seismic testing is negligible. The
petition does not present substantial
scientific information that oil and gas
development is threatening the
Gunnison Prairie Dog.
We acknowledge that roads are
related to some Gunnison’s prairie dog
mortality. However, there is no
information that indicates range-wide
impacts to the species from this factor
and the petition does not provide
substantial scientific information to
support this assertion.
We have significant information
available in our files indicating that
generally smaller, more isolated
populations are more vulnerable to
extirpation. In addition, isolation of
colonies may also reduce the chance of
recolonization after extirpation (Wagner
and Drickamer 2002). The literature on
prairie dogs and the effects of isolation
is inconclusive. Lomolino et al. (2003)
found that persistence of black-tailed
prairie dog towns increased
significantly with larger town size and
decreased isolation. However, Lomolino
et al. (2003) and other recent reports
(Cully and Williams 2001; Miller et al.
1993; Roach et al. 2001; Vosburgh 1996)
also indicate that isolation and
fragmentation may provide some
protection to prairie dogs from sylvatic
plague by lessening the likelihood of
disease transmission. Conversely, large
intercolony distances may not protect
towns if agents of plague transmission
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include highly mobile species such as
coyotes and raptors (Barnes 1982, 1993).
Because we do understand the
mechanics of plague transmission well,
we are unable to find that isolation and
fragmentation is wholly detrimental to
the species as it may contribute to
avoidance of plague transmission. The
petition does not provide substantial
scientific information to support an
assertion that small colony size in and
of itself in the absence of disease is
currently threatening the Gunnison
prairie dog.
Summary of Factor A
We have determined that information
in the petition and readily available in
our files does not constitute substantial
scientific information that any present
or threatened destruction, modification,
or curtailment of habitat is a threat to
Gunnison’s prairie dog such that listing
under the Act may be warranted.
However, more information on the
impacts of fragmentation and isolation
with regard to persistence of prairie dog
populations is needed.
B. Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition asserts that recreational
shooting of Gunnison’s prairie dogs
threatens the species through
population reduction, alteration of
behavior, and potential extirpation of
entire colonies. Citations are provided
regarding the impact of shooting on
prairie dogs, particularly black-tailed
prairie dogs.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
We are aware that recreational
shooting can reduce prairie dog
population density at specific sites
(Cully 1986; Knowles 2002; Miller et al.
1993; Vosburgh 1996; Vosburgh and
Irby 1998; Wagner 2002; Wagner and
Drickamer 2002), and acknowledge the
possibility that local extirpation may
have occurred in isolated circumstances
(Knowles 1988). However, no
information is available in the petition
or our files to support a correlation
between a range-wide decline of
Gunnison’s prairie dogs and recreational
shooting. Prairie dog colonies typically
experience increased population growth
rates following shooting and can recover
from very low numbers (Knowles 1988;
Reeve and Vosburgh, In press).
Summary of Factor B
We have determined that information
in the petition and readily available in
our files does not constitute substantial
scientific information that
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overutilization is a threat to Gunnison’s
prairie dog such that listing under the
Act may be warranted.
C. Disease or Predation
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition asserts that sylvatic
plague threatens the Gunnison’s prairie
dog. The petition cites sources that
report that plague is a non-native
disease that was first reported in the
species in 1932. It further cites sources
that report that the species has almost
a total lack of natural immunity, with
mortality rates at infected colonies
typically reaching 99 to 100 percent.
The petition states that plague occurs
throughout the range of the species and
cites reports of epizootics in each of the
states within the species’ range. Some of
the more significant epizootics cited by
the petition include: The Dilkon region
and Seligman region in Arizona;
Saguache County and the South Park
region in Colorado; Catron County and
Moreno Valley in New Mexico; and
Lisbon Valley and Tank Mesa in Utah.
The petition describes declines in
black-tailed prairie dog populations at
Rocky Mountain Arsenal National
Wildlife Refuge due to sylvatic plague.
Following a plague epizootic in 1988,
prairie dog populations declined by at
least 90 percent. During the next few
years, populations rebounded to
approximately half of the original
number before experiencing another
epizootic. After the epizootic,
populations again declined by at least
90 percent. This pattern has repeated
itself at this site through three
epizootics. Each time the maximum
population attained has only been
approximately half of the previous
maximum population. The petitioner
asserts that a similar pattern of decline
is likely for Gunnison’s prairie dog
colonies exposed to plague.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
Information in our files supports the
assertions made in the petition
regarding sylvatic plague (Barnes 1982;
Barnes 1993; Biggins and Kosoy 2001;
Center for Disease Control 1998; Cully
1989; Eskey and Hass 1940; Gage and
Kosoy 2005; Girard et al. 2004; Kartman
et al. 1966; Navajo Natural Heritage
Program 1996; Olsen 1981; Seglund et
al. 2005; Stapp et al. 2004; Witmer
2004). Quantitative data indicate that
plague has caused population declines
in recent years at many well-studied
sites throughout the range of Gunnison’s
prairie dog (Cully 1986; Cully 1989;
Cully 1997; Cully et al. 1997; Ecke and
Johnson 1952; Fitzgerald 1970;
Fitzgerald 1993; Fitzgerald and
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Lechleitner 1974; Girard et al. 2004;
Kartman et al. 1962; Lechleitner et al.
1962; Lechleitner et al. 1968; Rayor
1985; Turner 2001; Wagner 2002;
Wagner and Drickamer 2002). All of the
declines noted in Tables 2 and 3 are due
to plague epizootics. However, rangewide population trends may or may not
follow this pattern (Table 1). Beyond
absolute numbers, an additional
consideration when evaluating
Gunnison’s prairie dog populations is
the temporal fluctuation of occupied
versus unoccupied habitat caused by
periodic plague epizootics. We are
unaware of any information at the
landscape level that definitively
suggests range-wide population declines
caused by plague, although some reports
indicate significant amounts of recently
unoccupied habitat (Skiba, in litt. 2005
and Utah Division of Wildlife
Resources, in litt. 2005), and many
specific sites have experienced at least
temporary reductions to extirpation or
near extirpation (Tables 2 and 3).
Plague is an exotic disease foreign to
the evolutionary history of North
American species (Barnes 1982; Barnes
1993; Biggins and Kosoy 2001). Plague
was first detected in Gunnison’s prairie
dogs in the 1930s (Eskey and Hass 1940)
and has subsequently spread throughout
the range of the species (Center for
Disease Control 1998; Cully 1989;
Girard et al. 2004). Therefore, it has
been present within the species’ range
for only approximately 70 years,
allowing very little time for any
resistance to evolve (Biggins and Kosoy
2001). Once established in an area,
plague becomes persistent and
periodically erupts, with the potential to
eventually extirpate or nearly extirpate
entire colonies (Barnes 1982; Barnes
1993; Cully 1989; Cully 1993; Cully et
al. 1997; Fitzgerald 1993).
Studies indicate that Gunnison’s
prairie dog populations are more
susceptible to decline from sylvatic
plague than white-tailed prairie dog
populations, and are at least as, if not
more, susceptible than black-tailed
prairie dog populations (Antolin et al.
2002; Cully 1989; Cully and Williams
2001; Hubbard and Schmitt 1984;
Knowles 2002; Ruffner 1980; Torres
1973; Turner 2001). Gunnison’s prairie
dogs commonly forage outside of their
home territory, a characteristic that may
play a significant role in the
susceptibility of the species to plague.
The Gunnison’s prairie dog may be
more susceptible to plague than the
black-tailed prairie dog because of the
Gunnison’s less exclusive territorial
behavior, where relatively many prairie
dogs mix relatively freely throughout
adjacent territories and thereby
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contribute to the communicability of
plague. Additionally, plague is only
present throughout approximately 66
percent of the black-tailed prairie dog’s
range (US Fish and Wildlife Service
2000) in comparison to 100 percent of
the Gunnison’s prairie dog’s range
(Center for Disease Control 1998; Cully
1989, Girard et al. 2004). The
Gunnison’s prairie dog is likely more
susceptible to plague than the whitetailed prairie dog because the
Gunnison’s typically occurs at higher
densities and is less widely dispersed
on the landscape, allowing for more
frequent transmission of the disease
from one individual to another (Antolin
et al. 2002, Cully 1989; Cully and
Williams 2001; Turner 2001).
Many populations of Gunnison’s
prairie dogs have never been studied,
and for those we have no information on
their current population status or recent
trends. In addition, for some previously
studied sites we have no recent
information regarding the status of the
population. Tables 2 and 3 note declines
due to plague at numerous sites
throughout the range of the species For
example, occupied habitat in South
Park, Colorado was estimated at 915,000
ac (371,000 ha) in 1945, 74,000 ac
(30,000 ha) in 1948, and 42 ac (17 ha)
in 2002. This decline was largely due to
plague and affected a substantial portion
of the species’ extant occupied habitat
in Colorado (at least 15 percent). Partial
or complete recovery following
population reductions due to plague has
been reported at various sites for both
white-tailed and black-tailed prairie
dogs (Biggins and Kosoy 2001). In the
few sites where Gunnison’s prairie dog
populations have been monitored after
plague, only one population may have
increased after the plague outbreak, but
it is a very small fraction of pre-plague
abundance.
Summary of Factor C
We have determined that information
in the petition and readily available in
our files does not constitute substantial
scientific information that disease or
predation are threats to Gunnison’s
prairie dog such that listing under the
Act may be warranted. We recognize
that sylvatic plague has been and
continues to be the major mortality
factor for Gunnison’s prairie dog at
specific sites, but the impact that this
disease has had on the overall status of
the species, even at the State level,
remains unclear. More information on
the impacts of disease, specifically
sylvatic plague, with regard to
persistence of Gunnison’s prairie dog
populations is needed.
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D. Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition documents the State and
federal regulatory status of the
Gunnison’s prairie dog and asserts that
those regulations are inadequate and
constitute a threat to the species. Most
concerns relate to a lack of restrictions
with regard to chemical control and
recreational shooting. However,
information in our files indicates most
of the Western Association of Fish and
Wildlife Agencies (WAFWA) states have
already established shooting restrictions
on prairie dogs via state hunting
regulations, however such regulations
do not apply to tribal lands. The
petition notes that in Arizona and Utah
there is only a seasonal closure on
public lands; and in Colorado and New
Mexico, there is no season. The petition
also notes that none of the state
management plans developed in
response to a petition on the blacktailed prairie dog include any
conservation measures for Gunnison’s
prairie dogs. The petition further claims
that federal policies of various agencies
and departments allow chemical control
of the species.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
The current regulatory status with
regard to Gunnison’s prairie dogs is well
documented in various State and federal
statutes. However, the impacts resulting
from these regulations or lack thereof
are difficult to quantify. The petition
notes that none of the State management
plans developed in response to a
petition on the black-tailed prairie dog
(Colorado Division of Wildlife 2003;
New Mexico Black-tailed Prairie Dog
Working Group 2001; Van Pelt 1999)
include any conservation measures for
Gunnison’s prairie dogs. However, this
would be expected since these plans
address a different species and/or
habitat type. All four States discuss the
Gunnison’s prairie dog in their
Comprehensive Wildlife Conservation
Strategies (Seglund et al. 2005), and
found the species deserving of special
management consideration.
WAFWA has completed a
conservation assessment for the species
(Seglund et al. 2005) that describes
regulatory status, occupied habitat
estimates, limiting factors, and
conservation needs for the species. After
consideration of the contents of the
assessment, the WAFWA and its Prairie
Dog Conservation Team and Whitetailed and Gunnison’s Prairie Dog
Working Group concluded that just
active management and development of
a comprehensive conservation strategy
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for the species and its habitat are
needed to conserve the species.
Conservation planning efforts are
underway among state and federal
agencies for the Gunnison prairie dog
with a strategy due to be completed by
2006.
The range-wide assessment indicates
that BLM has incorporated Gunnison
prairie dog conservation into most land
use plans.
Summary of Factor D
Gaps in the regulatory mechanisms
applicable to threats discussed in the
analysis of the five factors are not
determinative, as we do not have
substantial scientific information that
the species may warrant listing due to
any of these potential threats, either
together or in isolation.
E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors
Affecting the Species’ Continued
Existence
Information Provided in the Petition
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The petition cites sources that
document early chemical control
(poisoning) efforts directed toward the
Gunnison’s prairie dog. These early
efforts were generally broad-scale and
federally directed. Competition with
livestock for forage was the most
common impetus for chemical control
of prairie dogs. The petition cites
sources that report that in Arizona, a
minimum of 2.3 million ac (935,000 ha)
of Gunnison’s prairie dog occupied
habitat were poisoned from 1915–1964.
In Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah, the
petition notes that control efforts were
not quantified by species. However, for
all prairie dog species from 1915 to
1964, the petition cites sources that
report 23.2 million ac (9.4 million ha)
poisoned in Colorado, 20.5 million ac
(8.3 million ha) poisoned in New
Mexico, and 2.7 million ac (1.1 million
ha) poisoned in Utah.
The petition asserts that drought may
have affected Gunnison’s prairie dogs. It
acknowledges that the effects of drought
on the species have not been examined
in the published scientific literature, but
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speculates that chemical control may be
more likely during periods of drought.
the Gunnison’s prairie dog such that
listing under the Act may be warranted.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
Information in our files supports the
assertions made in the petition
regarding dramatic declines in
Gunnison’s prairie dog occupied habitat
associated with early chemical control
efforts (Bailey 1932; Bell 1921; Ecke and
Johnson 1952; Hubbard and Schmitt
1984; Forrest 2002; Knowles 2002;
Longhurst 1944; Oakes 2000; Seglund et
al. 2005; Shriver 1965; Wagner 2002). In
the early 1900s, strychnine treated grain
was primarily used. In 1947, strychnine
began to be replaced with compound
1080, which was used until it was
rescinded in 1972 by Presidential
Executive Order No. 11643 (Hubbard
and Schmitt 1984). Since 1972, zinc
phosphide has most often been used.
Fewer chemical control efforts for the
species have been federally directed in
recent years and we are not aware of any
recent large-scale chemical control
programs. Consequently, the extent of
impacts to the species likely has not
continued to the same degree as in
earlier years. We have no information to
indicate that large scale poisoning is
ongoing on the federal land
management agencies. Information
provided by the BLM indicates that no
authorized poisoning is occurring on
BLM lands. Other than a recitation of
the effects of early chemical control
activities, the petition does not provide
substantial scientific information that
chemical control is a current threat to
the species, nor do we have information
in our files that supports such a
conclusion.
Drought may affect some Gunnison’s
prairie dog populations in some
circumstances, but no information
regarding a direct relationship between
drought and range-wide populations is
available.
Finding
Summary of Factor E
Substantial information is not
presented by the petition or available in
our files to indicate that other natural or
manmade factors, in particular chemical
control and drought, currently threaten
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We have reviewed the information
presented in the petition, and have
evaluated that information in relation to
information readily available in our
files. On the basis of our review, we find
that the petition does not present
substantial scientific information
indicating that listing the Gunnison’s
prairie dog species may be warranted
due to any of the five threat factors. As
noted previously under our discussion
of factor C, we recognize that sylvatic
plague has been and continues to be the
primary mortality factor for Gunnison’s
prairie dog, especially at specific sites,
but the impact that this disease has had
on the overall status of the species is
unclear. More information on the
impacts of disease, specifically sylvatic
plague, and on population status and
trends is needed. The Service had
already engaged the States in an effort
to collect status information on the
species, especially in areas where the
current status of Gunnison’s prairie dog
in not well known. Results from these
cooperative efforts should be available
within a year. Once those results are
available we will reevaluate the status of
Gunnison’s prairie dog.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited
herein is available upon request from
the Field supervisor (see ADDRESSES
section).
Author
The primary authors of this document
are staff at the South Dakota Ecological
Services Office (see ADDRESSES section).
Authority: The authority for this action is
the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).
Dated: January 30, 2006.
Marshall P. Jones, Jr.,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service.
[FR Doc. E6–1630 Filed 2–6–06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4310–55–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 71, Number 25 (Tuesday, February 7, 2006)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 6241-6248]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E6-1630]
=======================================================================
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; 90-Day Finding on
a Petition to List the Gunnison's Prairie Dog as Threatened or
Endangered
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Notice of 90-day petition finding.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), announce a
90-day finding on a petition to list the Gunnison's prairie dog
(Cynomys gunnisoni) as threatened or endangered under the Endangered
Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act). We find that the petition does
not present substantial scientific and commercial data indicating that
listing the Gunnison's prairie dog may be warranted. Therefore, we will
not be initiating a formal status review to determine if listing this
species is warranted. We will work with the States where information is
currently unavailable to develop information that will assist in
determining and monitoring the status of Gunnison's prairie dog. Once
those results are available we will reevaluate the status of Gunnison's
prairie dog.
DATES: The finding announced in this document was made on January 30,
2006.
ADDRESSES: The petition, supporting data, and comments will be
available for public inspection, by appointment, during normal business
hours at the South Dakota Ecological Services Office, 420 South
Garfield Avenue, Suite 400, Pierre, South Dakota, 57501. Submit new
information, materials, comments or questions concerning this taxon to
the Field Supervisor at the above address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Pete Gober, Field Supervisor, South
Dakota Ecological Services Office at the above address (telephone 605-
224-8693; facsimile 605-224-9974).
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Section 4(b)(3)(A) of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.), requires
that we make a finding on whether a petition to list, delist, or
reclassify a species presents substantial scientific or commercial
information indicating that the petitioned action may be warranted. We
are to base this finding on information provided in the petition and
other information that is readily available to us (e.g., in our files).
To the maximum extent practicable, we are to make this finding within
90 days of our receipt of the petition, and publish our notice of this
finding promptly in the Federal Register.
Our standard for substantial scientific information within the Code
of Federal Regulations (CFR) with regard to a 90-day petition finding
is ``that amount of information that would lead a reasonable person to
believe that the measure proposed in the petition may be warranted''
(50 CFR 424.14(b)). If we find that substantial scientific information
was presented, we are required to commence a review of the status of
the species.
In making this finding, we relied on information provided by the
petitioners and information in our files, and evaluated that
information in accordance with 50 CFR 424.14(b). Our process of coming
to a 90-day finding under section 4(b)(3)(A) of the Act and Sec.
424.14(b) of our regulations is limited to a determination of whether
the information in the petition meets the ``substantial scientific
information'' threshold.
We do not conduct additional research to make a 90-day finding, nor
do we subject the petition to rigorous critical review. Rather, as the
Act and regulations contemplate, in coming to a 90-day finding, we
acknowledge the petitioner's sources and characterizations of the
information unless we have specific information to the contrary.
Our 90-day findings consider whether the petition states a
reasonable case for listing on its face. Thus, our finding expresses no
view as to the ultimate issue of whether the species should be listed.
We reach a conclusion on that issue only after a more thorough review
of the species' status.
Petition
On February 23, 2004, the Service received a petition of the same
date, from Forest Guardians and 73 other organizations and individuals
(Forest Guardians et al. 2004). This petition requested that the
Gunnison's prairie dog (Cynomys gunnisoni), found in Arizona, Colorado,
New Mexico, and Utah, be listed as threatened or endangered and that
critical habitat be designated for the species.
Action on this petition was precluded by court orders and
settlement agreements for other listing actions that required nearly
all of our listing funds for fiscal year 2004. On July 29, 2004, we
received a 60-day notice of intent to sue (Forest Guardians et al.
2004) for failure to complete a finding. On December 7, 2004, an
amended complaint for failure to complete a finding for this and other
species was filed (Biodiversity Conservation Alliance et al. 2004). We
reached a settlement agreement with the plaintiffs for submittal to the
Federal Register of a 90-day finding for the Gunnison's prairie dog by
January 26, 2006. This notice constitutes our 90-day finding for the
petition to list the Gunnison's prairie dog.
Species Information
The Gunnison's prairie dog is a member of the Sciuridae family,
which includes squirrels, chipmunks, marmots, and prairie dogs. Prairie
dogs constitute the genus Cynomys. Taxonomists currently recognize 5
species of prairie dogs belonging to 2 subgenera, all in North America
(Goodwin 1995). The white-tailed subgenus, Leucocrossuromys, includes
Utah (C. parvidens), white-tailed (C. leucurus), and Gunnison's prairie
dogs (Goodwin 1995). The black-tailed subgenus, Cynomys, consists of
Mexican (C. mexicanus) and black-tailed (C. ludovicianus) prairie dogs
(Goodwin 1995). The number of chromosomes for the Gunnison's prairie
dog (2n = 40) is different from all other prairie dog species (2n =
50), suggesting the species' uniqueness and its early evolutionary
divergence from other prairie dog species (Goodwin 1995; Pizzimenti
1975).
The Gunnison's prairie dog has sometimes been divided into 2
subspecies: C. g. gunnisoni and C. g. zuniensis (Hollister 1916). The
petition addressed the species, with no subspecies consideration.
However, the petitioners later requested that the petition be
considered to apply to both the full species and either of the
subspecies (Rosmarino in litt. 2005). The most recent published
analyses do not support subspecies designation (Goodwin 1995,
Pizzimenti 1975), and this is position we currently hold. Research on
the issue of subspeciation is ongoing (Hafner 2004; Hafner et al.
2005).
Gunnison's prairie dog adults vary in length from 309-373
millimeters (mm) (12-15 inches (in)) and weigh 650-1200 grams (gm) (23-
42 ounces (oz)), with males averaging slightly larger than females
(Hall 1981; Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973). The dorsal color is yellowish
buff intermixed with blackish hairs. The top of the head, sides of
[[Page 6242]]
cheeks, and ``eyebrows'' are noticeably darker than the dorsum (Hall
1981; Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973). The species differs from black-
tailed prairie dogs in having a much shorter and lighter colored tail
and from other white-tailed species in having grayish-white hairs in
the distal half of the tail rather than pure white (Hoogland 1995;
Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973).
The onset of reproduction in Gunnison's prairie dogs is somewhat
variable depending upon latitude, elevation, and seasonal variation,
but most typically is April and May (Hoogland 1998, 2001). Females will
breed as yearlings when resources are abundant (Goodwin 1995; Hall
1981; Haynie et al. 2003; Hoogland 1998; Hoogland 2001; Pizzimenti and
Hoffman 1973). A maximum of one litter is produced per year with a mean
litter size of 3.77 (Hoogland 2001). Individuals live in family groups
called clans; and adjacent clans constitute a colony (Fitzgerald and
Lechleitner 1974). Clan members defend a home territory of
approximately 2.5 acres (1 hectare), but commonly forage outside of
home territory in the weakly defended peripheral sections of
territories belonging to other clans (Hoogland 1998, 1999).
Gunnison's prairie dog potential habitat includes level to gently
sloping grasslands and semi-desert and montane shrublands, at
elevations from 6,000-12,000 feet (ft) (1,830-3,660 meters (m)) (Bailey
1932; Findley et al. 1975; Fitzgerald et al. 1994; Pizzimenti and
Hoffman 1973; Wagner and Drickamer 2002). Grasses are the most
important food item, with forbs, sedges, and shrubs also occasionally
utilized (Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973; Shalaway and Slobodchikoff
1988). Individuals hibernate for as long as 7 months (Ecke and Johnsonn
1952; Fitzgerald and Lechleitner 1974).
The current distribution of the species is generally centered on
the ``Four Corners'' region of northern Arizona, southwestern Colorado,
northwestern New Mexico, and southeastern Utah (Anderson et al. 1986;
Bailey 1932; Hall 1981; Knowles 2002; Pizzimenti and Hoffman 1973).
There is some very limited overlap between ranges for Gunnison's
prairie dogs and black-tailed prairie dogs in New Mexico (Goodwin 1995;
Sager 1996), and between Gunnison's prairie dog and white-tailed
prairie dog in Colorado (Knowles 2002), but we have no evidence that
interbreeding is occurring. Using Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
datasets and known habitat requirements, Seglund et al. (2005) estimate
that 27 percent of potential Gunnison's prairie dog habitat occurs in
Arizona, 25 percent in Colorado, 45 percent in New Mexico, and 3
percent in Utah. Rangewide, approximately 73 percent of potential
habitat occurs on tribal and private lands (Seglund et al. 2005).
Significant portions of potential habitat occur on tribal lands,
especially in Arizona and New Mexico. We contacted 29 Tribes and
Pueblos within the Gunnison's prairie dog range to attain post-1961
status information. We did not receive any formal responses from the
tribes; no information is available regarding the status of the species
on tribal lands.
Of the documented range contractions, the most significant has
occurred in Arizona. Gunnison's prairie dog was recorded in parts of 8
Arizona counties in the early 20th century (Wagner and Drickamer 2002).
In 1961, the species was documented in 5 counties (Bureau of Sport
Fisheries and Wildlife 1961). More recent studies have observed
occupied habitat in only the four northernmost counties (Roemer 1997;
Wagner and Drickamer 2002). We are unable to determine what if any
contraction is attributable to more recent population changes which
would assist us in determining whether the species may be threatened.
The best available information indicates that population densities
of Gunnison's prairie dog colonies are variable, depending on
environmental influences (including habitat, season, disease, and
precipitation), as well as anthropogenic influences (such as chemical
control and recreational shooting). Densities typically range from 2-23
individuals per acre (ac) (5-57 per hectare (ha)) (Fitzgerald et al.
1994), and are similar to densities in black-tailed prairie dog
colonies (Cully 1993), which typically range from 2-18 individuals per
ac (5-45 per ha) (Fagerstone and Ramey 1996; Hoogland 1995; King 1955;
Koford 1958). Knowles (2002) notes historic densities for Gunnison's
prairie dogs as high as 63 individuals per ac (156 per ha), but
concludes that overall, they generally occur at lower densities than
black-tailed prairie dog. In the available literature, prairie dog
population abundance is most often discussed in terms of acres or
hectares of occupied habitat rather than in numbers of individuals
because of the wide range of observed population densities for the
species, wide natural population fluctuations (due to drought, etc.)
and the limited number of studies that have determined actual numbers
of individuals in a population due to the significant additional cost
and effort associated with doing so.
We have several estimates of historic and more recent Gunnison's
prairie dog occupied habitat are available from the four States within
the species' range (Tables 1-3). These estimates span a time period
from 1916 to the present. Different methodologies were used at
different times and in different locales to derive the various
estimates. However, these estimates represent the best available
information and are comparable for the purpose of determining general
population trends on the scale of order-of-magnitude changes.
Methodologies have improved in recent years, with the advent of tools
such as aerial survey, satellite imagery, and GIS. Consequently,
estimates that utilize these tools can be expected to be more accurate.
Only limited information is available regarding State-wide and
range-wide historic estimates of occupied habitat. More accurate
information is available regarding several smaller (more easily
delineated) sites that have been monitored in recent years. All
available estimates of occupied habitat are presented in the following
paragraphs.
State-Wide Estimates
Information available regarding historic estimates of Gunnison's
prairie dog occupied habitat is based largely on federal records from
early poisoning efforts. Oakes (2000) used field survey and poisoning
records from the Bureau of Biological Survey (a predecessor of the
Service) to derive early estimates for occupied habitat in Arizona and
New Mexico. Oakes (2000) estimated that in 1916, approximately 6.6
million ac (2.7 million ha) of Gunnison's prairie dog occupied habitat
occurred in Arizona and 11 million ac (4.4 million ha) in New Mexico.
Oakes (2000) postulated that following poisoning efforts, there were
approximately 6 million ac (2.4 million ha) of occupied habitat in
Arizona and 9 million ac (3.6 million ha) of occupied habitat in New
Mexico in 1921 (Table 1). No estimate of density or population
associated with the habitat is available, due to the previously-
mentioned difficulty associated with determining population densities.
We are not aware of any literature regarding historic estimates of
occupied Gunnison's prairie dog habitat for Colorado or Utah. We
derived approximate estimates in order to gain some perspective on the
extent of historic decline. As noted previously, the estimates of
historically (i.e., 1916) occupied habitat from Oakes (2000) were based
on federally-directed state inventories and poisoning records. Seglund
et al. (2005) used GIS datasets
[[Page 6243]]
that considered known habitat requirements regarding elevation, slope,
and land cover to predict the potential habitat available in each
state. Using the estimates of historically-occupied habitat from Oakes
(2000) for Arizona and New Mexico and the relative percentages of
potential habitat presented in Seglund et al. (2005), we derived
estimates of historically-occupied (circa 1916) habitat for Colorado (6
million ac / 2.4 million ha) and Utah (700,000 ac / 284,000 ha).
Accordingly, the range-wide estimate for historic (circa 1916)
Gunnison's prairie dog occupied habitat would be approximately 24
million ac (9.7 million ha) (Table 1).
We believe that these historic estimates are reasonable but also
recognize that they are based on assumptions which could greatly
influence the outcome of the estimate. Historic declines which occurred
over the past 100 years do not provide an appropriate context for
evaluating current threats to the species. These historic estimates are
of limited value in determining the likely persistence of this species
at present. The evaluation of whether or not a specific threat rises to
the level of threatening a species should be based on ongoing and
likely future impacts.
In 1961, the Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife (also a
predecessor of the Service) tabulated habitat estimates on a county-by-
county basis throughout the range of all prairie dog species in the
western United States. This survey was in response to concerns from
within the agency regarding possible adverse impacts to prairie dogs
from poisoning (Oakes 2000). In State-wide summaries, the agency
estimated approximately 445,000 ac (180,000 ha) of Gunnison's prairie
dog occupied habitat in Arizona, 116,000 ac (47,000 ha) in Colorado,
355,000 ac (144,000 ha) in New Mexico, and 100,000 ac (41,000 ha) in
Utah (Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife 1961). The total range-
wide estimate for Gunnison's prairie dog occupied habitat in 1961 was
approximately 1 million ac (405,000 ha) (Table 1).
The estimates of historic habitat compared to the 1961 data suggest
that, from 1916 to 1961, Gunnison's prairie dog habitat and thus
populations decreased by approximately 93 percent in Arizona, 98
percent in Colorado, 97 percent in New Mexico, and 86 percent in Utah,
or by approximately 95 percent range-wide. While the magnitude of the
habitat losses require a conclusion that overall populations declined
as well, this decline does not necessarily lead to a conclusion that
current populations continue to decline.
All four States within the range of the Gunnison's prairie dog
assert in their Comprehensive Wildlife Conservation Strategies that the
species is at risk, declining, and deserving of special management
consideration (Seglund et al. 2005). These Strategies were developed by
the States in response to Congressional funding and provide guidance
for future conservation efforts between Federal, tribal, State, local,
and private entities. The strategies focus on species in greatest need
of conservation. However, since less than one year has elapsed since
they were completed, an evaluation of their effectiveness cannot yet be
made. Based upon the information available in our files, Colorado is
the only state with a Gunnison's prairie dog population estimate
derived from a recent, State-wide field effort (Skiba, in litt. 2005).
Other recent State-wide estimates appear to be based on extrapolations
(e.g., Bodenchuck (1981) for New Mexico and Colorado Department of
Agriculture (1990) for Colorado), or are minimum estimates obtained
from summing known, site-specific data (e.g., Knowles (2002) for New
Mexico and Utah, Seglund et al. (2005) for New Mexico and Utah, and Van
Pelt in litt. (2005) for Arizona).
In Arizona, it is estimated that occupied habitat on non-tribal
lands was approximately 100,000 ac (40,500 ha) in 2005 (Van Pelt in
litt. 2005) (Table 1). Approximately 50 percent of potential habitat is
on tribal lands in Arizona; consequently, a current state-wide estimate
in Arizona is likely substantially more than the 100,000 ac (40,500 ha)
reported by Van Pelt (in litt. 2005), although no comprehensive data
from tribal lands are available. Occupied habitat on non-tribal lands
State-wide appears to have increased from 10,000 ac (4,000 ha) in 1961
(Bureau of Sport Fisheries and Wildlife 1961) to 100,000 ac (40,500 ha)
in 2005 Van Pelt (in litt. 2005). We have no data regarding, recent
population trends on tribal lands State-wide. However, we are unaware
of any disproportionate adverse effects to the species on tribal lands
during this interval. Thus, we have assumed that the amount of habitat
on tribal lands remained constant from 1961 to 2005 (Table 1). This
assumption seems reasonable, particularly in light of the fact that
occupied lands have increased ten-fold on non-tribal lands.
The Colorado Department of Agriculture (CDA 1990) solicited
questionnaire responses from farmers and ranchers and thereafter
extrapolated an estimate of 1,553,000 ac of occupied habitat for all 3
species of prairie dogs found in Colorado. Based upon species
occurrence by county, Seglund et al. (2005) derived a state-wide
estimate from the CDA (1990) data of 439,000 ac (178,000 ha) of
Gunnison's prairie dog occupied habitat in 1990 (Table 1). However,
other, more recent estimates based on field work may provide the best
evidence of occupied habitat (population) trends for this species in
recent years in Colorado. In 2005, the Colorado Division of Wildlife
estimated 174,000 ac (70,000 ha) of Gunnison's prairie dog occupied
habitat State-wide, based upon their own field surveys and reports from
field personnel from other agencies (Skiba, in litt. 2005) (Table 1).
State-wide occupied habitat since 1961 appears to have remained stable
or increased somewhat, from 116,000 ac (55,000 ha) in 1961 to 174,000
ac (70,000 ha) in 2005.
In New Mexico, Bodenchuck (1981) solicited questionnaire responses
from agricultural producers. Respondents reported 107,574 ac (43,567
ha) of Gunnison's prairie dog occupied habitat. Bodenchuck (1981)
extrapolated a State-wide total of 348,000 ac (141,000 ha) of occupied
habitat for the species (Table 1). Oakes (2000) questioned this
extrapolation because of possibly faulty assumptions used to derive it.
Knowles (2002) estimated that 75,000 ac (30,000 ha) of occupied habitat
existed in 1982 (Table 1). Seglund et al. (2005) reported that New
Mexico Game and Fish utilized Digital Orthophoto Quarter Quadrangles to
estimate a minimum of 9,108 ac (3,689 ha) of occupied habitat state-
wide in 2004 (Table 1). State-wide occupied habitat may have been in a
decreasing trend, from 355,000 ac (144,000 ha) in 1961 to a minimum of
9,000 ac (4,000 ha) in 2004.
In Utah, Seglund et al. (2005) reported that the Utah Division of
Wildlife estimated that the State had 22,007 ac (8,906 ha) of occupied
Gunnison's prairie dog habitat in 1968 (Table 1). Knowles (2002)
estimated a minimum of 3,678 ac (1,490 ha) of occupied habitat State-
wide (Table 1). The state-wide trend in occupied habitat since 1961
appears to have been decreasing, from 100,000 ac (40,500 ha) in 1961 to
4,000 ac (2,000 ha) in 2002.
[[Page 6244]]
Table 1.--State-Wide Occupied Habitat Estimates (in acres) for Gunnison's Prairie Dog
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State 1961 Recent Trend, 1961 to present
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arizona............................... 445,000 ~535,000..................... Increasing.
Colorado.............................. 115,650 439,000 (CO DOA 1990) 174,224 Increasing.
(CO DOW 2005).
New Mexico............................ 354,905 348,000 (Bodenchuk 1981) Decreasing?
75,000 in 1982 (Knowles
2002) >9,108 (Seglund et al.
2005).
Utah.................................. 100,000 22,007 in 1968 (Seglund et Decreasing?
al. 2005) >3,678 (Knowles
2002).
----------------
Total............................. 1,015,945 ~722,000 (assuming no change
in the amount of occupied
habitat on AZ tribal lands
since 1961).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Range-Wide Estimates
Gunnison's prairie dog populations in all states within the
species' range have declined significantly in a historic sense, but may
have been relatively more stable in some States in recent decades.
Regardless of the absolute accuracy of historic estimates of occupied
habitat for the individual States, it is apparent that Gunnison's
prairie dog occupied habitat has declined range-wide (Table 1).
Differing survey and analytical methods, along with unknown confidence
intervals prevents us from being able to compare estimates through time
and among localities. Point estimates (Table 1) for New Mexico (Seglund
et al. 2005) and for Utah (Knowles 2002) are estimated minimums.
Site-Specific Estimates
In addition to State-wide and range-wide estimates, we also
evaluated site-specific estimates of occupied habitat, and considered
this information in our conclusions regarding current population
trends. Site-specific estimates of occupied habitat are typically
derived from field surveys related to monitoring and/or research,
rather than extrapolation. The smaller size of a study site versus a
state-wide also lends itself to more precise assessment. Consequently
site-specific estimates are often more accurate than state-wide
estimates. Site-specific estimates are also often more recent and
therefore provide additional insight into current trends. However, an
inherent bias in evaluating prairie dog population trends may exist
because dramatic declines or increases in existing colonies may be more
likely to be reported than the establishment of new populations in
previously uninhabited areas. In addition, monitoring programs tend to
focus more on established sites than on identifying new occupied sites.
All site-specific estimates that we are aware of are listed in
Table 2. As noted in the following text, all site-specific estimates,
with the exception of Aubrey Valley in Arizona, indicate declines in
occupied habitat due to plague epizootics. In addition to State-wide
and site-specific estimates, there are several sites that have been
studied and described in terms of numbers of colonies. While these
sites do not provide precise data in terms of acres of occupied
habitat, they provide additional insight into the likely extent of
impact from sylvatic plague throughout the range of the Gunnison's
prairie dog (Table 3). It should be noted that for most sites described
in Tables 2 and 3, estimates are not available from the past year, so
the current status of these sites is not known. In addition, the basis
of the estimates vary, the relative rigor of the estimates vary from
published papers to verbal estimates. Notwithstanding the variance in
methodology and level of rigor it is apparent that plague can result in
devastating population effects to individual populations and colonies.
Table 2.--Site-Specific Occupied Habitat Estimates (in acres) for Gunnison's Prairie Dog
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Site Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Aubrey Valley, AZ.................. ...................... 19,368 in 1990 29,653 in 1997 42,000 in 2005 (Van Increasing.
(Seglund et al. (Winstead in litt Pelt, pers.comm.
2005). 2002). 2005).
Dilkon, AZ......................... ...................... ..................... 8,650 in 1994 (Wagner 43 in 2001 (Wagner Decreasing.
2002). 2002).
Currecanti Natl. Rec. Area, CO..... ...................... 148 in 1980 (Rayor 100% mortality by ..................... Decreasing.
1985). 1981 (Rayor 1985).
Gunnison, Saguache, Montrose Co., ...................... ..................... 15,569 in 1980 770 in 2002 (Capodice Decreasing.
CO. (Capodice & Harrell & Harrell 2003).
2003).
South Park, CO..................... 915,000 in 1945 (Ecke 74,000 in 1948 None known in 1977 42 in 2002 (CO DOW Decreasing.
& Johnson 1952). (Fitzgerald 1993). (Fitzgerald 1993). 2002).
Catron & Socorro Co., NM........... 2,458,650 in 1916 ..................... >12,000 in 1984 (Luce >6,000 in 2005 (Luce Decreasing.
(Oakes 2000). 2005). 2005).
Moreno Valley, NM.................. ...................... 11,000 in 1984 (Cully >99% mortality by ..................... Decreasing.
et al. 1997). 1987 (Cully et al.
1997).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 3.--Site-Specific Estimates of Colony Numbers for Gunnison's Prairie Dog
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Site Estimate Estimate Status
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Flagstaff, AZ....................... 75 colonies in 2000 14 colonies in 2001 Decreasing.
(Wagner & Drickamer (Wagner & Drickamer
2002). 2002).
Petrified Forest NP, AZ............. 8 colonies in 1994 3 colonies in 1996 Decreasing.
(Turner 2001). (Turner 2001).
[[Page 6245]]
Seligman, AZ........................ 47 colonies in 1990 11 colonies in 2001 Decreasing.
(Wagner & Drickamer (Wagner & Drickamer
2002). 2002).
Chubbs Park, CO..................... 1 colony in Aug., 1958 100% mortality in Decreasing.
(Lechleitner et al. Sept., 1959
1962). (Lechleitner et al.
1962).
Navajo Nation in NM................. 625 colonies in 1966 233 colonies in 1969 Decreasing.
(Fitzgerald 1970). (Fitzgerald 1970).
Garfield Co., UT.................... 1 colony in 1980 100% mortality in 1981 Decreasing.
(Barnes 1993). (Barnes 1993).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Dilkon area on the Navajo Reservation in Arizona had 8,650 ac
(3,500 ha) of occupied habitat in 1994 and apparently decreased to 43
ac (17 ha) in 2001 (Wagner 2002) following a plague epizootic (Table
2). Other sites in Arizona, where only the number of colonies were
noted (Table 3) include: 8 colonies in Petrified Forest National Park
in 1994, with 5 colonies extirpated following a plague epizootic in
1995 and 1996 (Turner 2001); 75 active colonies in the Flagstaff area
in 2000, reduced to 14 active colonies in 2001 following a plague
epizootic (Wagner and Drickamer 2002); and 47 active colonies in the
Seligman area, covering approximately 9,000 ac (3,500 ha) were reduced
to 11 active colonies in 2001 following a plague epizootic (Wagner and
Drickamer 2002).
In Colorado, a 148-ac (60-ha) colony in Curecanti National
Recreation Area experienced 100 percent mortality following a plague
epizootic in 1981 (Rayor 1985) (Table 2). In South Park, Colorado,
there were an estimated 915,000 ac (371,000 ha) of occupied habitat in
1945 (Ecke and Johnson 1952) and 74,000 ac (30,000 ha) in 1948
(Fitzgerald 1993). Fitzgerald (1993) could not locate any colonies in
South Park in 1977, but 42 ac (17 ha) of occupied habitat were located
in 2002 (Colorado Division of Wildlife 2002) (Table 2). South Park
experienced a remarkable decrease in occupied habitat from 1945 to
2002, due predominantly to plague. Another site in Colorado where only
the number of colonies was noted (Table 3), is a colony in Chubbs Park,
Chaffee County, which experienced 100 percent mortality in 1959
following a plague epizootic (Kartman et al. 1962 and Lechleitner et
al. 1962).
In Moreno Valley, New Mexico, Cully (1991) estimated that there
were 11,000 ac (4,500 ha) of occupied habitat in 1984; and in 1987,
after two plague epizootics, there was a significant decrease, with
greater than 99.5 percent mortality (Cully et al. 1997) (Table 2).
Another site in New Mexico where only the number of colonies was noted,
is the New Mexico portion of the Navajo Nation (Table 3), where the
number of known colonies dropped from 625 in 1966 to 233 in 1969
following repeated epizootics (Fitzgerald 1970).
In Utah, a colony in Garfield County experienced 100 percent
mortality following a plague epizootic in 1981 (Barnes 1993) (Table 3).
Threats Analysis
In the following narrative, we discuss each of the major assertions
made in the petition, organized by the five listing factors found in
section 4(a)(1) of the Act. A species may be determined to be
endangered or threatened if it meets the definition specified in the
Act pursuant to an evaluation of the following five threat factors: (A)
the present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued existence. In making this
finding, we evaluated whether impacts to the Gunnison's prairie dog
presented in the petition and other information readily available in
our files present substantial information that listing may be
warranted. Our evaluation of these factors is presented below.
A. Present of Threatened Destruction, Modification, or Curtailment of
the Species' Habitat or Range
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition asserts that habitat loss and fragmentation has
imperiled the Gunnison's prairie dog. The petitioner has documented,
through personal observation, the loss of 745 ac (302 ha) of occupied
habitat due to municipal development in Santa Fe, Albuquerque, Taos,
and Flagstaff. The petition documents that poor rangeland management
(primarily via overgrazing) has resulted in the proliferation of
noxious weeds, especially cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum), that has in
turn affected native vegetation. The petition asserts that loss of
native vegetation may diminish habitat suitability for Gunnison's
prairie dog. The petition notes that the proliferation of cheatgrass
has resulted in the alteration of fire ecology, and asserts that it has
in turn degraded prairie dog habitat. The petition asserts that the
transfer of public lands (privatization) threatens the species. The
petition presents an inventory of land parcels leased for oil and gas
exploration and development and asserts that this activity threatens
the species. The petition asserts that road mortality threatens the
species. The petition asserts that all factors affecting the Gunnison's
prairie dog result in isolation and fragmentation of remnant colonies,
and that these smaller, isolated colonies are more susceptible to local
extirpation by other factors such as poisoning and plague.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
Although municipal development may have adverse impacts on some
Gunnison's prairie dog populations at a local scale, we do not have
substantial information that it causes range-wide population declines.
Seglund et al. (2005) determined that urbanization affects 577,438 ac
(233,681 ha) within the range of the species. This is less than 2
percent of the potential habitat within the range of the species.
Wagner (2002) noted that in Arizona, human development undoubtedly
impacts local populations of Gunnison's prairie dogs near the few
cities and agricultural areas in northern Arizona, but the impact on
overall populations is probably quite small. The petition did not
present substantial scientific information that habitat loss and
fragmentation is threatening the species.
We are aware of reports that noxious weeds increase in the presence
of overgrazing. However, based upon the information in our files, the
impact of overgrazing on prairie dog populations is contradictory. Some
reports have noted that species density is positively correlated with
the number of native plants (Shalaway and Slobdchikoff 1988;
Slobdichikoff et al. 1988). Other reports have concluded that prairie
dog density is positively correlated with an increase in grazing, which
simulates the shortgrass environment preferred by prairie dogs
(Fagerstone and Ramey 1996; Marsh 1984, Slobodchikoff et al.
[[Page 6246]]
1988). The petition did not present substantial scientific information
that poor rangeland management is threatening the species.
We are aware that a relationship exists between overgrazing,
cheatgrass proliferation, and fire frequency and intensity. However, we
have no information in our files that addresses any correlation between
fire and Gunnison's prairie dog populations. The petition does not
present substantial scientific information that fire is threatening the
Gunnison Prairie Dog.
We have no information in our files that indicates that the
transfer of public lands (privatization) has any significant influence
on Gunnison's prairie dog populations and the petition does not present
substantial scientific information that privatization is threatening
the Gunnison Prairie Dog.
We acknowledge that there are numerous land parcels within the
Gunnison's prairie dog range that are leased for oil and gas
development (Seglund et al. 2005). However, no information is available
that quantifies the amount of occupied habitat that is affected.
Menkens and Anderson (1985) concluded in a study of white-tailed
prairie dogs that any impact from seismic testing is negligible. The
petition does not present substantial scientific information that oil
and gas development is threatening the Gunnison Prairie Dog.
We acknowledge that roads are related to some Gunnison's prairie
dog mortality. However, there is no information that indicates range-
wide impacts to the species from this factor and the petition does not
provide substantial scientific information to support this assertion.
We have significant information available in our files indicating
that generally smaller, more isolated populations are more vulnerable
to extirpation. In addition, isolation of colonies may also reduce the
chance of recolonization after extirpation (Wagner and Drickamer 2002).
The literature on prairie dogs and the effects of isolation is
inconclusive. Lomolino et al. (2003) found that persistence of black-
tailed prairie dog towns increased significantly with larger town size
and decreased isolation. However, Lomolino et al. (2003) and other
recent reports (Cully and Williams 2001; Miller et al. 1993; Roach et
al. 2001; Vosburgh 1996) also indicate that isolation and fragmentation
may provide some protection to prairie dogs from sylvatic plague by
lessening the likelihood of disease transmission. Conversely, large
intercolony distances may not protect towns if agents of plague
transmission include highly mobile species such as coyotes and raptors
(Barnes 1982, 1993). Because we do understand the mechanics of plague
transmission well, we are unable to find that isolation and
fragmentation is wholly detrimental to the species as it may contribute
to avoidance of plague transmission. The petition does not provide
substantial scientific information to support an assertion that small
colony size in and of itself in the absence of disease is currently
threatening the Gunnison prairie dog.
Summary of Factor A
We have determined that information in the petition and readily
available in our files does not constitute substantial scientific
information that any present or threatened destruction, modification,
or curtailment of habitat is a threat to Gunnison's prairie dog such
that listing under the Act may be warranted. However, more information
on the impacts of fragmentation and isolation with regard to
persistence of prairie dog populations is needed.
B. Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition asserts that recreational shooting of Gunnison's
prairie dogs threatens the species through population reduction,
alteration of behavior, and potential extirpation of entire colonies.
Citations are provided regarding the impact of shooting on prairie
dogs, particularly black-tailed prairie dogs.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
We are aware that recreational shooting can reduce prairie dog
population density at specific sites (Cully 1986; Knowles 2002; Miller
et al. 1993; Vosburgh 1996; Vosburgh and Irby 1998; Wagner 2002; Wagner
and Drickamer 2002), and acknowledge the possibility that local
extirpation may have occurred in isolated circumstances (Knowles 1988).
However, no information is available in the petition or our files to
support a correlation between a range-wide decline of Gunnison's
prairie dogs and recreational shooting. Prairie dog colonies typically
experience increased population growth rates following shooting and can
recover from very low numbers (Knowles 1988; Reeve and Vosburgh, In
press).
Summary of Factor B
We have determined that information in the petition and readily
available in our files does not constitute substantial scientific
information that overutilization is a threat to Gunnison's prairie dog
such that listing under the Act may be warranted.
C. Disease or Predation
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition asserts that sylvatic plague threatens the Gunnison's
prairie dog. The petition cites sources that report that plague is a
non-native disease that was first reported in the species in 1932. It
further cites sources that report that the species has almost a total
lack of natural immunity, with mortality rates at infected colonies
typically reaching 99 to 100 percent. The petition states that plague
occurs throughout the range of the species and cites reports of
epizootics in each of the states within the species' range. Some of the
more significant epizootics cited by the petition include: The Dilkon
region and Seligman region in Arizona; Saguache County and the South
Park region in Colorado; Catron County and Moreno Valley in New Mexico;
and Lisbon Valley and Tank Mesa in Utah.
The petition describes declines in black-tailed prairie dog
populations at Rocky Mountain Arsenal National Wildlife Refuge due to
sylvatic plague. Following a plague epizootic in 1988, prairie dog
populations declined by at least 90 percent. During the next few years,
populations rebounded to approximately half of the original number
before experiencing another epizootic. After the epizootic, populations
again declined by at least 90 percent. This pattern has repeated itself
at this site through three epizootics. Each time the maximum population
attained has only been approximately half of the previous maximum
population. The petitioner asserts that a similar pattern of decline is
likely for Gunnison's prairie dog colonies exposed to plague.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
Information in our files supports the assertions made in the
petition regarding sylvatic plague (Barnes 1982; Barnes 1993; Biggins
and Kosoy 2001; Center for Disease Control 1998; Cully 1989; Eskey and
Hass 1940; Gage and Kosoy 2005; Girard et al. 2004; Kartman et al.
1966; Navajo Natural Heritage Program 1996; Olsen 1981; Seglund et al.
2005; Stapp et al. 2004; Witmer 2004). Quantitative data indicate that
plague has caused population declines in recent years at many well-
studied sites throughout the range of Gunnison's prairie dog (Cully
1986; Cully 1989; Cully 1997; Cully et al. 1997; Ecke and Johnson 1952;
Fitzgerald 1970; Fitzgerald 1993; Fitzgerald and
[[Page 6247]]
Lechleitner 1974; Girard et al. 2004; Kartman et al. 1962; Lechleitner
et al. 1962; Lechleitner et al. 1968; Rayor 1985; Turner 2001; Wagner
2002; Wagner and Drickamer 2002). All of the declines noted in Tables 2
and 3 are due to plague epizootics. However, range-wide population
trends may or may not follow this pattern (Table 1). Beyond absolute
numbers, an additional consideration when evaluating Gunnison's prairie
dog populations is the temporal fluctuation of occupied versus
unoccupied habitat caused by periodic plague epizootics. We are unaware
of any information at the landscape level that definitively suggests
range-wide population declines caused by plague, although some reports
indicate significant amounts of recently unoccupied habitat (Skiba, in
litt. 2005 and Utah Division of Wildlife Resources, in litt. 2005), and
many specific sites have experienced at least temporary reductions to
extirpation or near extirpation (Tables 2 and 3).
Plague is an exotic disease foreign to the evolutionary history of
North American species (Barnes 1982; Barnes 1993; Biggins and Kosoy
2001). Plague was first detected in Gunnison's prairie dogs in the
1930s (Eskey and Hass 1940) and has subsequently spread throughout the
range of the species (Center for Disease Control 1998; Cully 1989;
Girard et al. 2004). Therefore, it has been present within the species'
range for only approximately 70 years, allowing very little time for
any resistance to evolve (Biggins and Kosoy 2001). Once established in
an area, plague becomes persistent and periodically erupts, with the
potential to eventually extirpate or nearly extirpate entire colonies
(Barnes 1982; Barnes 1993; Cully 1989; Cully 1993; Cully et al. 1997;
Fitzgerald 1993).
Studies indicate that Gunnison's prairie dog populations are more
susceptible to decline from sylvatic plague than white-tailed prairie
dog populations, and are at least as, if not more, susceptible than
black-tailed prairie dog populations (Antolin et al. 2002; Cully 1989;
Cully and Williams 2001; Hubbard and Schmitt 1984; Knowles 2002;
Ruffner 1980; Torres 1973; Turner 2001). Gunnison's prairie dogs
commonly forage outside of their home territory, a characteristic that
may play a significant role in the susceptibility of the species to
plague. The Gunnison's prairie dog may be more susceptible to plague
than the black-tailed prairie dog because of the Gunnison's less
exclusive territorial behavior, where relatively many prairie dogs mix
relatively freely throughout adjacent territories and thereby
contribute to the communicability of plague. Additionally, plague is
only present throughout approximately 66 percent of the black-tailed
prairie dog's range (US Fish and Wildlife Service 2000) in comparison
to 100 percent of the Gunnison's prairie dog's range (Center for
Disease Control 1998; Cully 1989, Girard et al. 2004). The Gunnison's
prairie dog is likely more susceptible to plague than the white-tailed
prairie dog because the Gunnison's typically occurs at higher densities
and is less widely dispersed on the landscape, allowing for more
frequent transmission of the disease from one individual to another
(Antolin et al. 2002, Cully 1989; Cully and Williams 2001; Turner
2001).
Many populations of Gunnison's prairie dogs have never been
studied, and for those we have no information on their current
population status or recent trends. In addition, for some previously
studied sites we have no recent information regarding the status of the
population. Tables 2 and 3 note declines due to plague at numerous
sites throughout the range of the species For example, occupied habitat
in South Park, Colorado was estimated at 915,000 ac (371,000 ha) in
1945, 74,000 ac (30,000 ha) in 1948, and 42 ac (17 ha) in 2002. This
decline was largely due to plague and affected a substantial portion of
the species' extant occupied habitat in Colorado (at least 15 percent).
Partial or complete recovery following population reductions due to
plague has been reported at various sites for both white-tailed and
black-tailed prairie dogs (Biggins and Kosoy 2001). In the few sites
where Gunnison's prairie dog populations have been monitored after
plague, only one population may have increased after the plague
outbreak, but it is a very small fraction of pre-plague abundance.
Summary of Factor C
We have determined that information in the petition and readily
available in our files does not constitute substantial scientific
information that disease or predation are threats to Gunnison's prairie
dog such that listing under the Act may be warranted. We recognize that
sylvatic plague has been and continues to be the major mortality factor
for Gunnison's prairie dog at specific sites, but the impact that this
disease has had on the overall status of the species, even at the State
level, remains unclear. More information on the impacts of disease,
specifically sylvatic plague, with regard to persistence of Gunnison's
prairie dog populations is needed.
D. Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition documents the State and federal regulatory status of
the Gunnison's prairie dog and asserts that those regulations are
inadequate and constitute a threat to the species. Most concerns relate
to a lack of restrictions with regard to chemical control and
recreational shooting. However, information in our files indicates most
of the Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies (WAFWA) states
have already established shooting restrictions on prairie dogs via
state hunting regulations, however such regulations do not apply to
tribal lands. The petition notes that in Arizona and Utah there is only
a seasonal closure on public lands; and in Colorado and New Mexico,
there is no season. The petition also notes that none of the state
management plans developed in response to a petition on the black-
tailed prairie dog include any conservation measures for Gunnison's
prairie dogs. The petition further claims that federal policies of
various agencies and departments allow chemical control of the species.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
The current regulatory status with regard to Gunnison's prairie
dogs is well documented in various State and federal statutes. However,
the impacts resulting from these regulations or lack thereof are
difficult to quantify. The petition notes that none of the State
management plans developed in response to a petition on the black-
tailed prairie dog (Colorado Division of Wildlife 2003; New Mexico
Black-tailed Prairie Dog Working Group 2001; Van Pelt 1999) include any
conservation measures for Gunnison's prairie dogs. However, this would
be expected since these plans address a different species and/or
habitat type. All four States discuss the Gunnison's prairie dog in
their Comprehensive Wildlife Conservation Strategies (Seglund et al.
2005), and found the species deserving of special management
consideration.
WAFWA has completed a conservation assessment for the species
(Seglund et al. 2005) that describes regulatory status, occupied
habitat estimates, limiting factors, and conservation needs for the
species. After consideration of the contents of the assessment, the
WAFWA and its Prairie Dog Conservation Team and White-tailed and
Gunnison's Prairie Dog Working Group concluded that just active
management and development of a comprehensive conservation strategy
[[Page 6248]]
for the species and its habitat are needed to conserve the species.
Conservation planning efforts are underway among state and federal
agencies for the Gunnison prairie dog with a strategy due to be
completed by 2006.
The range-wide assessment indicates that BLM has incorporated
Gunnison prairie dog conservation into most land use plans.
Summary of Factor D
Gaps in the regulatory mechanisms applicable to threats discussed
in the analysis of the five factors are not determinative, as we do not
have substantial scientific information that the species may warrant
listing due to any of these potential threats, either together or in
isolation.
E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors Affecting the Species' Continued
Existence
Information Provided in the Petition
The petition cites sources that document early chemical control
(poisoning) efforts directed toward the Gunnison's prairie dog. These
early efforts were generally broad-scale and federally directed.
Competition with livestock for forage was the most common impetus for
chemical control of prairie dogs. The petition cites sources that
report that in Arizona, a minimum of 2.3 million ac (935,000 ha) of
Gunnison's prairie dog occupied habitat were poisoned from 1915-1964.
In Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah, the petition notes that control
efforts were not quantified by species. However, for all prairie dog
species from 1915 to 1964, the petition cites sources that report 23.2
million ac (9.4 million ha) poisoned in Colorado, 20.5 million ac (8.3
million ha) poisoned in New Mexico, and 2.7 million ac (1.1 million ha)
poisoned in Utah.
The petition asserts that drought may have affected Gunnison's
prairie dogs. It acknowledges that the effects of drought on the
species have not been examined in the published scientific literature,
but speculates that chemical control may be more likely during periods
of drought.
Evaluation of Information in the Petition
Information in our files supports the assertions made in the
petition regarding dramatic declines in Gunnison's prairie dog occupied
habitat associated with early chemical control efforts (Bailey 1932;
Bell 1921; Ecke and Johnson 1952; Hubbard and Schmitt 1984; Forrest
2002; Knowles 2002; Longhurst 1944; Oakes 2000; Seglund et al. 2005;
Shriver 1965; Wagner 2002). In the early 1900s, strychnine treated
grain was primarily used. In 1947, strychnine began to be replaced with
compound 1080, which was used until it was rescinded in 1972 by
Presidential Executive Order No. 11643 (Hubbard and Schmitt 1984).
Since 1972, zinc phosphide has most often been used. Fewer chemical
control efforts for the species have been federally directed in recent
years and we are not aware of any recent large-scale chemical control
programs. Consequently, the extent of impacts to the species likely has
not continued to the same degree as in earlier years. We have no
information to indicate that large scale poisoning is ongoing on the
federal land management agencies. Information provided by the BLM
indicates that no authorized poisoning is occurring on BLM lands. Other
than a recitation of the effects of early chemical control activities,
the petition does not provide substantial scientific information that
chemical control is a current threat to the species, nor do we have
information in our files that supports such a conclusion.
Drought may affect some Gunnison's prairie dog populations in some
circumstances, but no information regarding a direct relationship
between drought and range-wide populations is available.
Summary of Factor E
Substantial information is not presented by the petition or
available in our files to indicate that other natural or manmade
factors, in particular chemical control and drought, currently threaten
the Gunnison's prairie dog such that listing under the Act may be
warranted.
Finding
We have reviewed the information presented in the petition, and
have evaluated that information in relation to information readily
available in our files. On the basis of our review, we find that the
petition does not present substantial scientific information indicating
that listing the Gunnison's prairie dog species may be warranted due to
any of the five threat factors. As noted previously under our
discussion of factor C, we recognize that sylvatic plague has been and
continues to be the primary mortality factor for Gunnison's prairie
dog, especially at specific sites, but the impact that this disease has
had on the overall status of the species is unclear. More information
on the impacts of disease, specifically sylvatic plague, and on
population status and trends is needed. The Service had already engaged
the States in an effort to collect status information on the species,
especially in areas where the current status of Gunnison's prairie dog
in not well known. Results from these cooperative efforts should be
available within a year. Once those results are available we will
reevaluate the status of Gunnison's prairie dog.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited herein is available upon
request from the Field supervisor (see ADDRESSES section).
Author
The primary authors of this document are staff at the South Dakota
Ecological Services Office (see ADDRESSES section).
Authority: The authority for this action is the Endangered
Species Act of 1973, as amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).
Dated: January 30, 2006.
Marshall P. Jones, Jr.,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. E6-1630 Filed 2-6-06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4310-55-P