Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal Programs, 4383-4384 [E6-963]

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Estimated Number of Respondents: 4,000. Burden on the Public: 2,000 hours. Dated: January 20, 2006. Suzanne H. Plimpton, Reports Clearance Officer, National Science Foundation. [FR Doc. 06–712 Filed 1–25–06; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 7555–01–M OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal Programs Office of Management and Budget. ACTION: Revisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A–94. AGENCY: SUMMARY: The Office of Management and Budget revised Circular A–94 in 1992. The revised Circular specified certain discount rates to be updated annually when the interest rate and inflation assumptions used to prepare the budget of the United States Government were changed. These discount rates are found in Appendix C of the revised Circular. The updated discount rates are shown below. The discount rates in Appendix C are to be used for cost-effectiveness analysis, including lease-purchase analysis, as specified in the revised Circular. They do not apply to regulatory analysis. DATES: The revised discount rates are effective immediately and will be in effect through January 2007. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Robert B. Anderson, Office of Economic Policy, Office of Management and Budget, (202) 395–3381. James D. Foster, Associate Director for Economic Policy, Office of Management and Budget. Appendix C—Discount Rates for CostEffectiveness, Lease Purchase, and Related Analyses Revised January 2006. Effective Dates. This appendix is updated annually around the time of the President’s budget submission to Congress. This version of the appendix is valid through the end of January 2007. A copy of the updated appendix can be obtained in electronic form through the OMB home page at https:// www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/ E:\FR\FM\26JAN1.SGM 26JAN1 4384 Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 17 / Thursday, January 26, 2006 / Notices a94_appx-c.html, the text of the main body of the Circular is found at https:// www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/ a094.html, and a table of past years’ rates is located at https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/ circulars/a094/dischist-2006.pdf. Updates of the appendix are also available upon request from OMB’s Office of Economic Policy (202– 395–3381). Nominal Discount Rates. A forecast of nominal or market interest rates for 2006 based on the economic assumptions from the 2007 Budget are presented below. These nominal rates are to be used for discounting nominal flows, which are often encountered in lease-purchase analysis. NOMINAL INTEREST RATES ON TREASURY NOTES AND BONDS OF SPECIFIED MATURITIES [In percent] 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.3 5.2 Real Discount Rates. A forecast of real interest rates from which the inflation premium has been removed and based on the economic assumptions from the 2007 Budget is presented below. These real rates are to be used for discounting real (constant-dollar) flows, as often required in cost-effectiveness analysis. REAL INTEREST RATES ON TREASURY NOTES AND BONDS OF SPECIFIED MATURITIES [In percent] 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 Analyses of programs with terms different from those presented above may use a linear interpolation. For example, a four-year project can be evaluated with a rate equal to the average of the three-year and five-year rates. Programs with durations longer than 30 years may use the 30-year interest rate. [FR Doc. 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[Federal Register Volume 71, Number 17 (Thursday, January 26, 2006)]
[Notices]
[Pages 4383-4384]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E6-963]


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OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET


Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal 
Programs

AGENCY: Office of Management and Budget.

ACTION: Revisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A-94.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: The Office of Management and Budget revised Circular A-94 in 
1992. The revised Circular specified certain discount rates to be 
updated annually when the interest rate and inflation assumptions used 
to prepare the budget of the United States Government were changed. 
These discount rates are found in Appendix C of the revised Circular. 
The updated discount rates are shown below. The discount rates in 
Appendix C are to be used for cost-effectiveness analysis, including 
lease-purchase analysis, as specified in the revised Circular. They do 
not apply to regulatory analysis.

DATES: The revised discount rates are effective immediately and will be 
in effect through January 2007.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Robert B. Anderson, Office of Economic 
Policy, Office of Management and Budget, (202) 395-3381.

James D. Foster,
Associate Director for Economic Policy, Office of Management and 
Budget.

Appendix C--Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness, Lease Purchase, and 
Related Analyses

Revised January 2006.

    Effective Dates. This appendix is updated annually around the 
time of the President's budget submission to Congress. This version 
of the appendix is valid through the end of January 2007. A copy of 
the updated appendix can be obtained in electronic form through the 
OMB home page at https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/

[[Page 4384]]

a94--appx-c.html, the text of the main body of the Circular is found 
at https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/a094.html, and a 
table of past years' rates is located at https://www.whitehouse.gov/
omb/circulars/a094/dischist-2006.pdf. Updates of the appendix are 
also available upon request from OMB's Office of Economic Policy 
(202-395-3381).
    Nominal Discount Rates. A forecast of nominal or market interest 
rates for 2006 based on the economic assumptions from the 2007 
Budget are presented below. These nominal rates are to be used for 
discounting nominal flows, which are often encountered in lease-
purchase analysis.

                   Nominal Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities
                                                  [In percent]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      3-year             5-year             7-year            10-year            20-year            30-year
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            4.7                4.8                4.9                5.0                5.3                5.2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Real Discount Rates. A forecast of real interest rates from 
which the inflation premium has been removed and based on the 
economic assumptions from the 2007 Budget is presented below. These 
real rates are to be used for discounting real (constant-dollar) 
flows, as often required in cost-effectiveness analysis.

                     Real Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities
                                                  [In percent]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      3-year             5-year             7-year            10-year            20-year            30-year
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            2.5                2.6                2.7                2.8                3.0                3.0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Analyses of programs with terms different from those presented 
above may use a linear interpolation. For example, a four-year 
project can be evaluated with a rate equal to the average of the 
three-year and five-year rates. Programs with durations longer than 
30 years may use the 30-year interest rate.

 [FR Doc. E6-963 Filed 1-25-06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3110-01-P