Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard Requirements for 2006, 77351-77363 [05-24610]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 80
[EPA–OAR–2005–0161; FRL 8016–9]
Regulation of Fuels and Fuel
Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard
Requirements for 2006
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: EPA is proposing to interpret
and clarify the 2006 default standard
applicable under the Renewable Fuel
Program set forth in the Energy Policy
Act of 2005. The Act requires that 2.78
volume percent of gasoline sold or
dispensed to consumers in the U.S. in
2006 be renewable fuel if EPA does not
promulgate comprehensive regulations
to implement the Renewable Fuel
Program by August 8, 2006. Given the
short timeframe available and the need
to provide certainty to the regulated
community, the Agency is proposing a
limited set of regulations for the default
standard for 2006 that will provide for
collective compliance by refiners,
blenders, and importers to meet the 2.78
volume percent requirement, with
compliance determined by looking at
the national pool of gasoline sold in
2006. The Agency will develop and
promulgate the comprehensive program
subsequent to this action.
DATES: Comments: Comments must be
received on or before January 30, 2006.
Hearings: If EPA receives a request
from a person wishing to speak at a
public hearing by January 17, 2006, a
public hearing will be held on January
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30, 2006. If a public hearing is
requested, it will be held at 10 a.m. at
the EPA Office Building, 2000
Traverwood, Ann Arbor, MI 48105, or at
an alternate site nearby. To request to
speak at a public hearing, send a request
to the contact in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. OAR–2005–
0161, by one of the following methods:
• www.regulations.gov: Follow the
on-line instructions for submitting
comments.
• E-mail: macallister.julia@epa.gov.
• Fax: (734) 214–4816.
• Mail: U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, EPA West (Air
Docket), 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW.,
Room B108, Mail Code 6102T,
Washington, DC 20460, Attention
Docket ID No. OAR–2005–0161. Please
include a total of 2 copies.
• Hand Delivery: EPA Docket Center,
EPA/DC, EPA West, Room B102, 1301
Constitution Ave., NW., Washington,
DC. Such deliveries are only accepted
during the Docket’s normal hours of
operation, and special arrangements
should be made for deliveries of boxed
information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to
Docket ID No. OAR–2005–0161. EPA’s
policy is that all comments received
will be included in the public docket
without change and may be made
available online at https://
www.regulations.gov, including any
personal information provided, unless
the comment includes information
claimed to be Confidential Business
Information (CBI) or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise
protected through www.regulations.gov
or e-mail. The www.regulations.gov Web
site is an ‘‘anonymous access’’ system,
which means EPA will not know your
identity or contact information unless
you provide it in the body of your
comment. If you send an e-mail
comment directly to EPA without going
through www.regulations.gov your email address will be automatically
captured and included as part of the
comment that is placed in the public
docket and made available on the
Internet. If you submit an electronic
comment, EPA recommends that you
include your name and other contact
information in the body of your
comment and with any disk or CD–ROM
you submit. If EPA cannot read your
comment due to technical difficulties
and cannot contact you for clarification,
EPA may not be able to consider your
comment. Electronic files should avoid
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the use of special characters, any form
of encryption, and be free of any defects
or viruses.
Docket: All documents in the docket
are listed in the www.regulations.gov
index. Although listed in the index,
some information is not publicly
available, e.g., CBI or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Certain other material, such as
copyrighted material, will be publicly
available only in hard copy. Publicly
available docket materials are available
either electronically in https://
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the EPA Docket Center, EPA/DC, EPA
West, Room B102, 1301 Constitution
Ave., NW., Washington, DC. This
Docket Facility is open from 8:30 a.m.
to 4:30 p.m., Monday through Friday,
excluding legal holidays. The Docket
telephone number is (202) 566–1742.
The telephone number for the Public
Reading Room is (202) 566–1744.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Julia
MacAllister, U.S. EPA, National Vehicle
and Fuel Emissions Laboratory, 2000
Traverwood, Ann Arbor, MI 48105;
Telephone (734) 214–4131, FAX (734)
214–4816, E-mail
macallister.julia@epa.gov.
We are
proposing a limited set of regulations to
interpret and clarify the default
renewable fuel standard for 2006 that
will go into effect pursuant to the
Energy Policy Act of 2005. In the ‘‘Rules
and Regulations’’ section of the Federal
Register, we are issuing these
regulations as a direct final rule without
prior proposal because we view this as
a noncontroversial action and anticipate
no adverse comment. We have
explained our reasons for this action in
the preamble to the direct final rule. If
we receive no adverse comment, we will
not take further action on this proposed
rule. If EPA receives adverse comment
on one or more distinct sections of this
proposal we will publish a timely
withdrawal in the Federal Register
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
NAICS 1
codes
Category
Industry .............................................................................
324110
SIC 2 codes
2911
indicating which provisions of the
direct final rule will become effective
and which provisions are being
withdrawn due to adverse comment.
Any distinct section of this proposal for
which we do not receive adverse
comment will become effective on the
date set out in the direct final rule,
notwithstanding any adverse comment
on any other distinct section of today’s
proposal. We will not institute a second
comment period on this action. Any
parties interested in commenting must
do so at this time.
I. General Information
A. Does This Action Apply to Me?
Entities potentially affected by this
proposed action include those involved
with the production, distribution and
sale of gasoline motor fuel or renewable
fuels such as ethanol and biodiesel.
Regulated categories and entities
include:
Examples of potentially regulated entities
Petroleum Refiners, Importers.
1 North
American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
2 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system code.
This table is not intended to be
exhaustive, but provides a guide for
readers regarding entities likely to be
regulated by this action. This table lists
the types of entities that EPA is now
aware could potentially be affected by
this proposed action. Other types of
entities not listed in the table could also
be affected. To decide whether your
organization might be affected if this
proposed action is finalized, you should
carefully examine today’s notice and the
existing regulations in 40 CFR part 80.
If you have any questions regarding the
applicability of this action to a
particular entity, consult the persons
listed in the preceding FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section.
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B. What Should I Consider as I Prepare
My Comments for EPA?
1. Submitting CBI. Do not submit this
information to EPA through https://
www.regulations.gov or e-mail. Clearly
mark the part or all of the information
that you claim to be CBI. For CBI
information in a disk or CD ROM that
you mail to EPA, mark the outside of the
disk or CD ROM as CBI and then
identify electronically within the disk or
CD ROM the specific information that is
claimed as CBI). In addition to one
complete version of the comment that
includes information claimed as CBI, a
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copy of the comment that does not
contain the information claimed as CBI
must be submitted for inclusion in the
public docket. Information so marked
will not be disclosed except in
accordance with procedures set forth in
40 CFR part 2.
2. Tips for Preparing Your Comments.
When submitting comments, remember
to:
• Identify the rulemaking by docket
number and other identifying
information (subject heading, Federal
Register date and page number).
• Follow directions—The agency may
ask you to respond to specific questions
or organize comments by referencing a
Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) part
or section number.
• Explain why you agree or disagree;
suggest alternatives and substitute
language for your requested changes.
• Describe any assumptions and
provide any technical information and/
or data that you used.
• If you estimate potential costs or
burdens, explain how you arrived at
your estimate in sufficient detail to
allow for it to be reproduced.
• Provide specific examples to
illustrate your concerns, and suggest
alternatives.
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• Explain your views as clearly as
possible, avoiding the use of profanity
or personal threats.
• Make sure to submit your
comments by the comment period
deadline identified.
3. Docket Copying Costs. A reasonable
fee may be charged by EPA for copying
docket materials, as provided in 40 CFR
part 2.
Table of Contents
I. Overview
A. What Is Proposed for 2006?
B. Why Is EPA Taking This Action?
C. When Will EPA Take Action for 2007
and Beyond?
II. Statutory Requirements for the Renewable
Fuel Standard Program
A. What Is the Renewable Fuels Standard
Program?
B. What Is the Default Standard for 2006?
C. What Happens if EPA Does Not
Promulgate Default Regulations for 2006?
III. Collective Renewable Fuel Use and the
Default Standard
A. Liability Under the Default Standard
1. Who should be liable?
2. What is collective liability?
B. Why We Believe That the Default
Standard Will Be Met Collectively
IV. Our Proposed Program for 2006
A. Liable Parties
B. How Would Compliance Be
Determined?
1. Activities required of liable parties
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2. Renewable fuels accounting for
compliance purposes
3. EPA determination of collective
compliance with the default standard
C. No Role for Credit Trading
V. Public Participation
VI. Administrative Requirements
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), as
Amended by the Small Business
Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of
1996 (SBREFA), 5 U.S.C. 601 et. seq
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
and Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
I. National Technology Transfer
Advancement Act
VII. Legal Authority
I. Overview
Section 1501 of the Energy Policy Act
of 2005 (Energy Act or the Act)
amended the Clean Air Act by adding a
new provision establishing a national
renewable fuel program (also commonly
known as the Renewable Fuel Standard
program, or RFS program). This program
is designed to significantly increase the
volume of renewable fuels that are
blended into gasoline, starting with
calendar year 2006. The Act calls on
EPA to issue implementing regulations
by August 8, 2006, and provides that if
EPA has not adopted such regulations
by that date then 2.78 percent of the
gasoline sold or dispensed to consumers
for calendar year 2006 must be
renewable fuel.
EPA does not believe that it can meet
the August, 2006, statutory deadline.
The issues that need to be resolved in
adopting regulations to establish the
comprehensive compliance and credit
trading program are complex, making it
important for EPA to receive input from
the various stakeholders. This effort will
require significant amounts of time and
effort. In addition, a comprehensive set
of regulations implementing the RFS
would constitute a major rulemaking
effort, which typically requires a
significant amount of analysis of
important issues such as emissions
inventory impacts, costs, feasibility, and
benefits. This work cannot be completed
in the context of a final rulemaking by
August, 2006, which must be preceded
by a notice and comment process. At the
same time, it is critical that industry be
informed of how to demonstrate
compliance prior to August, 2006, since
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the program defined by the Act begins
in January 2006. The default provisions
in the Act are not self explanatory,
neither identifying the responsible
parties nor the method by which they
must demonstrate compliance. EPA is
therefore proposing a limited set of
regulations that would interpret and
clarify the statutory default provision
for 2006. The rule would provide
certainty to the parties involved as to
their responsibilities for 2006, and will
help to provide a smooth transition to
the long-term RFS program. This section
summarizes the regulatory approach we
propose taking for 2006.
A. What Is Proposed for 2006?
The Energy Policy Act of 2005
anticipated the possibility that a full
RFS program might not be promulgated
by the start of 2006, and so provided a
default standard applicable to 2006
only. The default standard specifies that
2.78 volume percent of gasoline sold or
dispensed to consumers in the U.S. in
calendar year 2006 must be renewable
fuel. The default standard is applicable
if the Agency does not promulgate
regulations to implement the full RFS
program.
The Agency proposes to interpret the
default standard for 2006 with
regulations identifying the liable parties
as refiners, importers, and blenders.
Compliance with the default standard,
however, would be determined on a
collective, rather than an individual,
basis. Under this approach, refiners,
blenders, and importers would together
be responsible for meeting the default
2.78 percent standard, and compliance
with this standard would be calculated
over the pool of gasoline sold to
consumers. An individual refiner,
blender, or importer would not be
responsible for meeting the 2.78 percent
standard for the specific gasoline it
produces. The Agency would determine
compliance following 2006 using data
on gasoline and renewable fuel
consumption available from the Energy
Information Administration,
supplemented by other readily available
information. If we determine that the
default standard has not been met in
2006 on this collective basis, any deficit
would be carried forward and applied as
an adjustment to the standard for 2007.
The regulations implementing the
default standard for 2006 would not
include any provisions for credit
generation or trading, given the
collective nature of the obligation.
B. Why Is EPA Taking This Action?
The rulemaking required to
implement the full RFS program,
including both program design and the
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various analyses necessary, will require
a substantial effort involving many
stakeholders. For instance, it will
require the Agency to undertake an
analysis of small business impacts
under the Small Business Regulatory
Enforcement Flexibility Act (SBREFA),
provide public notice through a
proposed rule and an opportunity for
comment including an opportunity for a
public hearing, a Regulatory Impact
Analysis, and ultimately produce a final
rule. This process cannot occur by the
time the RFS program begins in January
2006, nor does EPA anticipate that it
can be completed by the one year
deadline set in the Act. Therefore, we
believe the default standard of 2.78
percent will apply to calendar year
2006.
However, the default standard
provided in the Act will be difficult for
the regulated community to interpret
and implement without additional
guidance from the Agency. Although the
Act provided that the default standard
of 2.78 percent would apply in 2006 in
the event that the Agency did not
promulgate regulations implementing
the full renewable fuels program, the
default standard provision does not
specify the liable parties and the
specific nature of their obligation. It also
does not discuss compliance
mechanisms, reporting requirements, or
credit trading. The resulting uncertainty
associated with the default standard
will create confusion and risks a
problematic initial implementation of
the RFS program. In the extreme,
allowing the default standard to go into
effect without EPA guidance could
result in significant disruptions in the
gasoline and renewable fuel production,
blending, and distribution systems.
The goal of today’s action is to
provide certainty to parties involved in
the production and distribution of
gasoline and renewable fuels regarding
the Agency’s approach to determining
compliance with the default standard
for 2006. Today’s action proposes a
compliance mechanism that is simple
and straightforward to implement,
explains that the default standard would
be applied on a collective basis, and can
be finalized expeditiously.
In addition to meeting the need for
clarity in the limited timeframe
available, we believe that the collective
approach to compliance for 2006 is
reasonable given our expectation that
the default standard would be met on a
collective basis in 2006 even without
imposition of any RFS obligations. Not
only has the U.S. Department of
Agriculture projected total ethanol
production for 2006 to be above 4.0
billion gallons, but the Renewable Fuel
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Association has indicated that total
ethanol production capacity already
exceeds 4.1 billion gallons and that
additional production capacity
currently under construction exceeds
1.2 billion gallons. Production of
biodiesel and cellulosic ethanol, as well
as imports of ethanol, increase these
estimates even further. It’s clear that
capacity in 2006 will be adequate to
produce the renewable fuel needed to
meet the 2.78 percent default standard.
In addition, sustained high gasoline
prices, state bans on MTBE, and
continued gasoline demand growth in
the face of limited refining capacity all
support our conclusion that the default
standard for 2006 will be met on a
collective basis based on market forces
alone. Section III.B provides more
details regarding these projections. In
the unlikely event that the default
standard is not met on a collective basis
for 2006, a proposed deficit carryover
provision would allow us to make up
for any shortfall by adjusting the
applicable standard in 2007
commensurately.
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C. When Will EPA Take Action for 2007
and Beyond?
The default standard of 2.78 percent
provided in the Act applies exclusively
to calendar year 2006, and the collective
compliance approach we are proposing
in today’s action would likewise apply
only to 2006. For 2007 and beyond, the
Agency will not only need to determine
and publish the applicable renewable
fuel standard for each year, but will also
need to specifically identify liable
parties, lay out the compliance program
including recordkeeping and reporting
requirements, and delineate all elements
of the credit trading program including
how credits are generated, how they can
be transferred, and how they can be
used for compliance purposes. All these
and many other issues impacting the
full RFS program will be addressed in
a subsequent Agency action and are not
discussed in today’s notice of proposed
rulemaking (NPRM).
II. Statutory Requirements for the
Renewable Fuel Standard Program
This section describes the Act’s
provision regarding the long-term RFS
program, and the default standard that
goes into effect automatically in the
event that the Agency does not
promulgate regulations before August 8,
2006 implementing the long-term
program. It also describes the problems
that may occur if the Agency does not
clarify such things as liable parties,
compliance mechanisms, and the role of
credit trading under the default
standard.
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A. What Is the Renewable Fuels
Standard Program?
Starting with 2013, EPA is required to
establish the applicable national volume
which must require at least the same
overall volume percentage of renewable
fuel as was required in 2012.
In order to ensure the use of the
renewable fuel volume specified for
each year, the Agency must set a
percentage standard for each year
representing the percentage of gasoline
sold or introduced into commerce
which must be renewable fuel. The
standard is to be set based on the
renewable fuel volumes shown in Table
II.A–1 and gasoline volume projections
provided by the Energy Information
Administration (EIA). The standard for
each year must be published in the
Federal Register by November 30 of the
previous year.
Renewable fuels are defined in the
Act primarily on the basis of the
feedstock. In general, renewable fuels
must be produced from plant or animal
products or wastes, as opposed to fossil
fuel sources. The Act specifically
identifies several types of motor vehicle
fuels as being encompassed by the
definition, including cellulosic biomass
ethanol, waste-derived ethanol, biogas,
and biodiesel.
The percentage standard is applicable
to refineries, blenders, and/or importers,
as appropriate. The percentage standard
must be adjusted such that redundant
obligations are avoided, and must take
into account the fact that small
refineries are exempted from the
program through 20111. For liable
parties, the RFS standard must be met
on an annual averaging basis and does
not apply on a per-gallon basis.
The Act requires the Agency to
promulgate a credit trading program for
the RFS program. The credit trading
program will serve two purposes. First,
it will allow parties who are liable for
the standard to comply through the
purchase of credits if they cannot or do
not wish to blend renewable fuels into
gasoline themselves. Second, it will
permit renewable fuels that are not
blended into gasoline, such as biodiesel
and biogas, to participate in the RFS
program. The Agency must also
determine who can generate credits and
under what conditions, how credits may
be transferred from one party to another,
and in certain cases the appropriate
value of credits from different types of
renewable fuel.
The Agency envisions promulgation
of facility registration, recordkeeping
and reporting requirements,
enforcement provisions, and various
fuel tracking mechanisms to implement
the program. These provisions will
enable the credit trading program to
function properly and will ensure
adequate bases for Agency enforcement
efforts.
The Act also contains several other
provisions that could affect the
comprehensive RFS program. For
instance, the Energy Information
Administration (EIA) is required to
determine whether there is a continuing
pattern of less than 25 percent of the
renewable fuel pool being used in either
summer or winter periods. If so, then
EPA is required to promulgate
regulations establishing a requirement
for such minimum seasonal use of
renewable fuel. The Act also provides
for several kinds of waivers, including
one for the initial year of the program
in which the Department of Energy
(DOE) may recommend that EPA waive
the RFS program in whole or in part.
Another general waiver provision
authorizes EPA to waive the program in
whole or in part in response to a
petition by a state or states.
Thus, the long-term RFS program
envisioned in the Act presents many
complex and varied implementation
issues. There are a large number of
parties that could potentially be affected
by the program, including the parties in
the gasoline and renewable fuels
production and distribution systems.
Credit generation, trading and use will
be an integral aspect of the program, and
this credit program presents many
unique issues to address, as most of the
1 Regulatory provisions promulgated by the
Agency must also contain provisions allowing
exempted small refineries to opt into the RFS
program.
Section 1501 of the Energy Policy Act
of 2005 (the Act) describes the
renewable fuel program, also known as
the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS)
program. This provision was added to
the Clean Air Act as Section 211(o), and
requires EPA to establish a program to
ensure that U.S. gasoline contains
specific volumes of renewable fuel for
each calendar year 2006 through 2012,
as shown in Table II.A–1 below.
TABLE II.A–1.—APPLICABLE VOLUMES
OF RENEWABLE FUEL UNDER THE RFS
Calendar year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
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4.0
4.7
5.4
6.1
6.8
7.4
7.5
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blending and use of renewable fuels
occurs by parties separate and distinct
from the gasoline producers. Limited
discussions with stakeholders have
served to highlight the complexity.
Because of the many disparate interests
involved and the large potential impacts
of the program, EPA wants to make sure
that development of the long-term RFS
program is done thoughtfully and with
broad stakeholder involvement. In
addition, significant actions such as this
require us to perform analyses of cost,
feasibility, emission inventory impacts,
air quality, and impacts on small
businesses. Consequently, EPA does not
believe that it can meet the August 8,
2006 statutory deadline to issue final
comprehensive regulations
implementing the full program.
B. What Is the Default Standard for
2006?
If EPA fails to publish final
regulations establishing the full RFS
program by August 8, 2006, Section
211(o)(2)(a)(iv) of the amended Clean
Air Act provides that ‘‘* * * the
percentage of renewable fuel in gasoline
sold or dispensed to consumers in the
United States, on a volume basis, shall
be 2.78 percent for calendar year 2006.’’
However, the provision provides no
details on how this requirement is to be
implemented.
For instance, the default standard
provision does not identify what parties
are subject to this statutory requirement.
There is a large network of refiners,
importers, blenders, distributors, and
retailers who arguably could be held
responsible to meet this requirement.
The statutory language also does not
indicate whether the default standard is
to be applied to each gallon of gasoline
sold or dispensed in 2006, if it is to
represent the annual average renewable
fuel content for the gasoline sold or
dispensed by each responsible party, or
if instead it is to be an annual average
for all parties acting collectively in the
fuel production and distribution system.
Another aspect of the statutory
language regarding the default standard
that makes its implementation
problematic is the absence of any
explicit discussion of credit trading.
Since producers of gasoline are
generally not directly involved in the
blending of renewable fuels, credit
trading will be a critical component of
the comprehensive RFS program.
Without credit trading, if each party was
individually liable to meet the default
standard for their own gasoline, then a
liable party would need to ensure that
the gasoline it produces actually
contains a minimum of 2.78 percent
renewable fuel. This would be
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inconsistent with the direction provided
in the Act for the long-term RFS
program.
Finally, both the default standard and
the annual standard to be met under the
long-term program are expressed in the
statute in terms of percent renewable
fuel in gasoline. Although the definition
of renewable fuel includes biodiesel,
this particular renewable fuel is not
blended into gasoline. While the longterm program will allow for biodiesel
integration in the program through
credit trading, the default standard
provision does not specify the manner
in which use of biodiesel is to be
counted towards compliance. However,
for the purposes of this rule we believe
it is appropriate to include biodiesel in
the pool of renewable fuel used to
determine compliance with the default
standard.
C. What Happens if EPA Does Not
Promulgate Default Regulations for
2006?
The statutory language regarding the
default standard for 2006 is ambiguous
and problematic in several respects. As
a result, starting in January 2006 there
could be a great deal of uncertainty
among parties whose business involves
gasoline or renewable fuels if the
Agency does not provide clarity. These
parties will not know whether they are
liable for the default standard, and if
they are liable how to comply with it.
The concern over potential individual
liability and the lack of a credit trading
program could lead some parties to
attempt to procure and blend renewable
fuels themselves, when under normal
circumstances the logistics and
economics of doing so would make such
activities prohibitive. Others might
attempt to ensure that every gallon of
gasoline contains at least 2.78 percent
renewable fuel. Still others could ignore
the requirement entirely in the absence
of explicit descriptions of how the
Agency would enforce it. All of these
activities could significantly disrupt the
supply and distribution system,
potentially resulting in local supply
shortages and/or price spikes, and yet
provide no assurance that the desired
amount of renewable fuel will be
blended into gasoline.
Due to these concerns, the Agency has
determined that it would be in the
public interest, and would further the
goals of the Act, to issue regulations
interpreting and clarifying liability, the
mechanism of compliance, and the role
of credit trading under the 2006 default
standard.
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III. Collective Renewable Fuel Use and
the Default Standard
This section describes our reasons for
believing that a collective compliance
approach is a reasonable interpretation
of the default standard for the RFS
program. We also describe our reasons
for believing that the default standard of
2.78 percent will be met in 2006 despite
the absence of an RFS standard
applicable to individual parties in the
fuel production and distribution system.
A. Liability Under the Default Standard
1. Who should be liable?
EPA proposes to identify parties who
produce or import gasoline as the
parties responsible for implementing the
renewable fuel standard for 2006,
including refiners, blenders, and
importers, with an exemption for
refiners that own only small refineries.
The default provision itself is
ambiguous with respect to liable parties,
and could be interpreted as placing
ultimate responsibility on a variety of
parties in the gasoline production and
distribution system, including the
retailers who dispense gasoline to
consumers. With respect to the longterm renewable fuel program, Congress
directed EPA to establish regulations
that make the renewable fuel obligation
applicable to ‘‘refineries, blenders and
importers, as appropriate,’’ [see Clean
Air Act Section 211(o)(2)(A)(iii)(I)], with
an exemption until 2011 for ‘‘small
refineries’’ [see Clean Air Act Section
211(o)(9)(A)(i)]. Our proposed
interpretation of the default standard for
2006 is consistent with these statutory
provisions for the long-term renewable
fuel program.
EPA believes that refiners, blenders
and importers are best positioned to
ensure that an appropriate amount of
renewable fuel is added to gasoline. Our
proposed regulation identifies blenders
as a subset of refiners, consistent with
our regulatory definition of ‘‘refiner’’ at
40 CFR 80.2(i).2 In addition, EPA
believes that retailers are not in the best
position to guarantee the renewable fuel
content of the gasoline they sell, and
placing this responsibility on the many
thousands of retailers, many of whom
are small businesses, would likely be
very burdensome for them and
economically disruptive.
2. What is collective liability?
EPA also proposes that the default
provision for 2006 be interpreted as
imposing a collective obligation on the
2 Parties whose only activity involves adding
oxygenates to gasoline would not be considered
refiners under this definition.
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regulated parties. This means that if the
average volume percent of renewable
fuel used in 2006 meets or exceeds 2.78
percent, then the standard is satisfied
for all responsible parties, regardless of
their individual efforts towards that
goal. In light of the fact that industry on
average will very likely use more than
2.78 percent renewable fuel in 2006
based solely on market forces (see
further discussion below), EPA does not
believe that it is necessary or
appropriate to interpret the default
standard for 2006 as imposing any
greater degree of individual
responsibility for liable parties. Such a
system would require complex credit
trading, recordkeeping, and reporting
provisions that are not consistent with
a default standard that Congress
envisioned going into effect without a
detailed regulatory program.
EPA is confident that its proposed
approach will achieve the statutory
objective of ensuring that 2.78 percent
of gasoline sold in the United States in
2006 will be renewable fuel, and it will
do so in an efficient manner that
minimizes costs to industry and
consumers. In the unlikely event that
EPA’s projections of renewable fuel use
in 2006 prove inaccurate and the default
standard is not met, EPA proposes that
the volume obligation for industry in
2007 be adjusted to reflect any volume
deficit represented by the difference
between the actual renewable fuel
volume percentage in 2006 and 2.78
percent. This effectively means that if
there is a deficit in renewable fuel use
in 2006, the applicable percent standard
for 2007 could be higher than it would
otherwise be. This deficit carryover
provision is similar in concept to the
provision required for the long-term
renewable-fuel program, to allow
individuals that cannot satisfy their
renewable fuel obligation in a given year
to fulfill any deficit in a subsequent
year. See Clean Air Act (CAA) Section
211(o)(5)(D).
Thus under today’s proposed
approach to compliance with the default
standard, individual parties would still
be considered to be in compliance even
if they themselves blended little or no
renewables, so long as the 2.78 percent
requirement is met collectively
nationwide in 2006. The carryover of
any volume deficit will ensure that
compliance with the default standard is
ultimately achieved.
A recent projection of the total
gasoline consumption volume for 2006
is 141.6 billion gallons.3 With this
gasoline volume, 3.94 billion gallons of
renewable fuel would need to be
consumed in order for the default
standard of 2.78 percent to be met. For
simplicity we have focused in this
section on our reasons for believing that
a least 4.0 billion gallons of renewable
fuel will be sold in 2006.
Of all the renewable fuels that may
play a role in meeting the default
standard in 2006, ethanol is by far
expected to represent the largest
fraction. Therefore, our reasons for
3 EIA
Short-Term Energy Outlook, October 2005.
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B. Why We Believe That the Default
Standard Will Be Met Collectively
In proposing a collective compliance
approach to meeting the default
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standard in 2006, we are doing so with
the expectation that normal business
practices will actually result in the
default standard being met. While we
are also proposing a deficit carryover
provision to address the possibility of a
failure to meet the default standard in
2006, we have high confidence that
such a provision would not have to be
used. This section provides our reasons
for believing that the default standard of
2.78 percent will be met in 2006
through existing market forces.
Although the full RFS program
specifies that EPA should set a
percentage standard designed to ensure
use of a renewable volume of at least 4.0
billion gallons, the provision describing
the default standard directly sets the
percentage as 2.78 percent and makes
no reference to this volume. As a result,
the actual volume of renewable fuel
used in gasoline in 2006 could be
greater than or less than 4.0 billion
gallons when the default standard of
2.78 percent is met. This potential result
is illustrated in Figure III.B–1, where the
shaded region represents cases in which
the default standard of 2.78 percent has
been met.
believing that at least 4.0 billion gallons
of renewable fuel will be blended into
gasoline in 2006 are based primarily on
expectations regarding the production
and sale of ethanol. Biodiesel volumes
are also quickly rising and serve to
provide added assurance that the
default standard will be met in 2006.
The recent excise tax credit for biodiesel
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and its value as a lubricity agent in
ultra-low sulfur diesel also add to the
attractiveness of biodiesel.
There are a variety of sources of
information strongly suggesting that
ethanol volumes will exceed 4.0 billion
gallons in 2006. These include recent
production trends, evaluations of
expanding ethanol production capacity,
and analyses of future demand. Each of
these information sources is discussed
in this section.
77357
For instance, recent trends indicate
that fuel-grade ethanol consumption has
steadily increased since it was first
introduced into the gasoline market in
the early 1980s. The most recent
consumption levels are shown in Figure
III.B–2.
FIGURE III.B–2: RECENT ETHANOL CONSUMPTION VOLUMES
2002 and 2004. But ethanol use has
increased steadily over the last five
years in other RFG areas and in
conventional gasoline as well for
reasons not associated with MTBE bans.
We believe that these increases in
ethanol use are due primarily to the
beneficial economics of blending
ethanol into gasoline as gasoline prices
have risen. If the market forces that led
to the rising demand for ethanol over
the last several years continue into the
future, ethanol consumption could
easily reach 4.0 billion gallons in 2006.5
In addition to ethanol consumption
trends, import trends also suggest that
the supply of ethanol will increase into
2006. According to EIA, imports of
ethanol increased significantly in 2004,
totaling nearly 150 million gallons.6
This volume represents a more than tenfold increase from each of the previous
two years.
Biodiesel production has also risen
significantly in the last several years,
and further supports our belief that total
renewable fuel volumes in 2006 will
exceed 4.0 billion gallons. Figure III.B–
3 shows the volumes of biodiesel
production in the U.S. in recent years.
4 The Energy Act contains a provision requiring
the Agency to promulgate regulations eliminating
the oxygen mandate for RFG by May 5, 2006.
5 Data from EIA’s Monthly Energy Review
indicates that ethanol production in the first half of
2005 was 6.8% higher than the same period in
2004. Extrapolated through 2006, this trend would
result in just over 4.0 billion gallons produced in
2006.
6 Petroleum Supply Annual 2004, vol. 2. Table
20.
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Some of the recent growth in ethanol
consumption appears to have resulted
from state bans on the use of the
gasoline additive methyl tertiary butyl
ether (MTBE). For areas required to use
reformulated gasoline (RFG), ethanol
often represents the most cost-efficient
alternative to MTBE to meet the current
RFG oxygen mandate.4 State bans on
MTBE went into effect in 2004 for
California, New York, and Connecticut,
where approximately one-third of all
RFG is sold. The amount of ethanol sold
in these three states increased by
approximately 1 billion gallons between
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If the trends shown in Figure III.B–3
continue into 2006, there could be as
much as 35 million gallons of biodiesel
produced. If the ethanol import volumes
of 150 million gallons per year continue
into 2006, then an additional total of
nearly 0.2 billion gallons of renewable
fuel may be consumed in the U.S. in
2006 in addition to the ethanol
production estimates. Thus the total
projected volume of renewable fuel
consumed in 2006 would be about 4.2
billion gallons instead of the 4.0 billion
gallons we estimated above.
An evaluation of expanding ethanol
production capacity also points towards
2006 ethanol volumes easily exceeding
4 billion gallons. For instance, Table
III.B–1 shows data from the Renewable
Fuels Association for existing and
underway ethanol production capacity
in the U.S. for the past several years.7
TABLE III.B.—U.S. ETHANOL PRODUCTION CAPACITY
Number of production plants
Existing
72
81
89
Existing
15
16
21
3,101
3,644
4,159
Underway
598
754
1,249
The average new ethanol plant or
plant expansion takes about 14 months
to complete, though the time required
can range from a few months to over
two years.8 Based on target construction
completion dates in Ethanol Producer
Magazine, we estimate that, of the 1,249
mgpy of production capacity underway
as of October of 2005, 232 mgpy will be
online by the end of 2005. At least
another 895 mgpy will be online
sometime in 2006. However, accounting
for the fact that different facilities will
come online at different points
throughout 2006, the total annual
increase in capacity will be roughly 352
mgpy. The total amount of ethanol
production capacity for 2006 is thus
expected to be 4,743 mgpy. Actual
ethanol production has historically been
a very large fraction of production
capacity as demand increased, generally
exceeding ninety percent. As a result
these figures strongly suggest that
production in 2006 is very likely to be
greater than 4 billion gallons.
Two other analyses support our
expectation that 2006 ethanol
production volumes will exceed 4
billion gallons. The EIA made its own
projections of ethanol production in
2006 using its National Energy
Modeling System, an annual forecasting
tool.9 In addition to evaluating various
versions of the RFS program prior to
enactment of the Energy Policy Act of
2005, the EIA also modeled a case in
which no RFS program existed. In that
event, EIA projected that total annual
ethanol consumption in 2006 would be
4.6 billion gallons.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture
has also made projections of ethanol
production under a scenario in which
no RFS program is assumed. Their most
recent ‘‘Baseline Projections’’ apply to
all years between 2006 and 2014, and
are based on an analysis of the major
forces and uncertainties affecting future
agricultural markets.10 This analysis
included such factors as trade, farm
income, food prices, weather,
international developments, and other
macroeconomic conditions affecting the
production of corn and other crops used
for the production of ethanol. In
association with this analysis, total
ethanol production in 2006 was
projected to be 4.18 billion gallons.
Again, considering ethanol imports and
biodiesel production, actual renewable
7 2003 source: Ethanol Industry Outlook 2004,
RFA, February 2004. 2004 source: Ethanol Industry
Outlook 2005, RFA, February 2005. 2005 source:
‘‘U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production Capacity’’,
Renewable Fuels Association. Update September
2005. https://www.ethanolrfa/eth_prod_fnc.html.
8 ‘‘Ethanol Plant Construction’’, Ethanol Producer
Magazine, October 2005. Page 30.
9 ‘‘Renewable Fuels Legislation Impact Analysis’’,
Energy Information Administration, July 2005.
https://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/jeffords/.
10 ‘‘USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections to
2014,’’ February 2005 (OCE–2005–1).
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2003 (December) .............................................................................................
2004 (December) .............................................................................................
2005 (October) .................................................................................................
Underway
Production capacity
(million gal per year)
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fuel consumption could be as high as
4.4 billion gallons in this scenario.
There are other important, though less
quantitative, indicators of growth in the
ethanol industry. For instance, in
response to increasing trading volume,
the Chicago Board of Trade recently
announced that it is expanding the
number of ethanol futures contracts
available.11 Also, the New York
Mercantile Exchange will now offer a
New York Harbor ethanol blendstock
(RBOB) gasoline futures contract that
will replace the MTBE-blended gasoline
based contract.
In addition to simple volume
projections from past years, we also
believe that ethanol production will
exceed 4 billion gallons in 2006 due to
the favorable economics currently
associated with it. Historically the 51¢/
gal federal excise tax credit and various
state and local credits have provided
sufficient economic incentive to
overcome the higher production costs of
ethanol compared to the production
costs of the gasoline it displaces. As a
result, demand for ethanol has steadily
increased over the years, aided by the
RFG oxy mandate and state MTBE bans.
However, the increase in crude oil
prices in recent years has dramatically
increased the production cost of
gasoline. Although the price of natural
gas used in ethanol production has also
risen in recent years, ethanol production
costs have remained relatively stable in
comparison to gasoline and thus the
economic incentive to blend ethanol
into gasoline has risen significantly. A
similar incentive also now exists for
biodiesel in the wake of its recently
enacted excise tax subsidy. As long as
crude prices remain high, this incentive
to blend ethanol and biodiesel into
conventional fuels is anticipated to
continue. Other factors that have
historically been important such as
octane, and even the RFG oxygen
mandate, are expected to be much less
important in 2006. Ethanol’s value
simply as a extender for gasoline
volume is sufficient to keep demand
high. Also, with refineries operating at
or near capacity and the demand for
gasoline increasing in the U.S., the
phaseout of MTBE could result in a
potential reduction of gasoline volume.
We expect that many refiners will use
ethanol to replace the lost octane and
volume associated with the phaseout of
MTBE.
As a result of these favorable
economics, despite the removal of the
oxy mandate for RFG as required by the
Act, we do not anticipate any overall
11 Renewable Fuel News, Hart Energy Publishing.
Sept. 26, 2005. Page 4.
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16:39 Dec 29, 2005
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reduction in demand for ethanol next
year. The Act provides for immediate
elimination in California of the statutory
requirement for oxygen in RFG, and 270
days after enactment for the rest of the
country.12 Although the elimination of
the oxygen requirement has the
potential to reduce ethanol use in some
RFG areas, given the strong economic
incentive to blend ethanol, its use is
expected to rise in others, offsetting any
impact. State-mandated ethanol
requirements will only solidify this
conclusion. Currently, three states
mandate the use of ethanol in all
gasoline through a state renewable fuels
standard: Minnesota, Hawaii, and
Montana. Other states may follow in the
future—currently state legislators in
Illinois, Missouri and Michigan have
been discussing introducing similar
legislation in those states.
IV. Our Proposed Program for 2006
For calendar year 2006, we are
proposing a collective approach to
compliance that implements the default
2.78 percent standard. This section
describes our proposed 2006 program in
detail, including our proposed
definition of liable parties under the
standard and our proposed mechanism
for addressing any potential failure to
meet the 2.78 percent collectively.
A. Liable Parties
For calendar year 2006, the Act states
that if EPA fails to issue comprehensive
regulations establishing the renewable
fuel program then ‘‘the percentage of
renewable fuel in gasoline sold or
dispensed to consumers in the United
States on a volume basis, shall be 2.78
percent for calendar year 2006.’’ The
default standard goes into effect
independently; that is, no regulations
are required to implement the default
standard. EPA believes, however, that
regulations are nevertheless necessary to
clarify how the standard is to be
interpreted and implemented.
While the Act provides that the
renewable fuel obligation determined
pursuant to the long-term RFS program
shall ‘‘be applicable to refineries,
blenders, and importers, as
appropriate,’’ the Act does not provide
this level of specificity for the default
RFS standard for 2006. We are
proposing that compliance with the
default standard be determined based
12 Although the Act provides for the elimination
of oxygen from RFG, EPA is still required to revise
the appropriate sections of the CFR to allow RFG
without oxygen to be sold. For purposes of this
analysis, we are assuming that such regulatory
revision would occur no later than March, 2006 for
California, and by May, 2006 (i.e., by 270 days from
enactment) for the rest of the U.S. We expect to put
out a rule in early 2006 adressing this issue.
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77359
on the efforts of the collective refining,
importing and blending industries.
Small refineries would be excluded
from liability in the 2006 collective
compliance determination. However,
since the statutory language regarding
the default standard indicates that
compliance should be based on gasoline
sold or dispensed to consumers in the
United States, the gasoline produced by
small refiners as well as the ethanol
used in gasoline produced by small
refineries would be counted in
performing the compliance calculations.
The regulations would provide that
refiners, blenders and importers have
collectively met the standard if the
volume of renewable fuels used in
gasoline sold in the U.S. in calendar
year 2006 is equal to or greater than 2.78
percent. Thus if the standard is
achieved collectively, then every
individual refiner, blender or importer
will be in compliance with the standard.
This means that an individual refiner
may use less than 2.78 percent in the
gasoline it refines, imports or blends,
but would not be in violation of the
standard as long as the 2.78 percent is
met or exceeded in the aggregate by all
parties in these industries. If the 2.78
percent default standard is not met
collectively, then our proposed
regulations would provide for a deficit
carryover to 2007 that would apply
collectively to all liable parties in 2007.
There would be no other consequence
for collective failure to meet the 2.78
percent standard in 2006.
B. How Would Compliance Be
Determined?
This section describes the activities
that would be required of liable parties
under the default standard, the types of
renewable fuels that would be counted,
and the mechanism through which the
Agency will determine compliance with
the default standard for 2006.
1. Activities Required of Liable Parties
For the collective compliance
determination, EPA will calculate the
actual volume percent of renewable fuel
for 2006 using gasoline and ethanol
consumption volumes reported by EIA
for 2006, supplemented by readily
available information on consumption
volumes for other renewable fuels.
Thus, individual refiners, importers and
blenders will not be required to
demonstrate compliance with the
default standard. EPA will evaluate
whether the default standard has been
met collectively by use of readily
available information. Individual
companies will not be required to keep
records of volumes of ethanol purchased
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for purposes of compliance with this
rule.
2. Renewable Fuels Accounting for
Compliance Purposes
Under our proposed regulations, EPA
would calculate the total volume of
renewable fuel to account for all ethanol
and non-ethanol renewable fuels used
in motor fuel in 2006, including ethanol
made from cellulosic or waste
feedstocks and biodiesel. We would use
information on the volumes of these
renewable fuels that can be obtained
from available sources. We propose that
one gallon of cellulosic biomass or
waste-derived ethanol count as 2.5
gallons of renewable fuel, following the
prescription in Section 211(o)(4) of the
Clean Air Act as amended by the Energy
Policy Act of 2005.
Although the statutory language
regarding the default standard indicates
that compliance should be based on
renewable fuel in gasoline, we believe
that biodiesel should also be included
even though it is not blended into
gasoline. Not only is biodiesel included
within the definition of renewable fuel,
but in the context of the long-term RFS
program biodiesel can be counted as a
component of the renewable fuel pool
for use in compliance calculations even
though the RFS standard is also based
on the percentage use of renewable fuel
in gasoline. We further propose that one
gallon of biodiesel be counted as one
gallon of renewable fuel in the context
of 2006 compliance with the default
standard. We will revisit the credit
3. EPA Determination of Collective
Compliance With the Default Standard
We are proposing that the default
standard has been met if the volume
percent of renewable fuel used in
gasoline sold in the U.S. in 2006 is
collectively greater than or equal to 2.78
percent. While small refineries are not
considered liable parties under the
collective compliance approach, we
would include the volume of gasoline
produced by small refineries as well as
the amount of ethanol used in such
gasoline in determining whether the
2.78 percent default standard has been
met. We believe that including volumes
of gasoline and ethanol from small
refiners is consistent with the plain
language of the default standard, which
calls for 2.78 percent renewable fuel in
‘‘gasoline sold or dispensed to
consumers.’’
We propose to primarily use data
published by EIA in determining
compliance with the default standard.
We have identified the Monthly Energy
Review as the most appropriate
source.13 Ethanol is available in Table
10.1,14 while gasoline volumes are
available under ‘‘Product Supplied’’ in
Table 3.4. Volumes of other renewable
fuels that may not be available through
EIA publications will be estimated
based on information from other readily
available and reliable sources.
If the default standard has been met
on a collective basis, all refiners,
importers and blenders would be
deemed to be in compliance whether or
not they individually used 2.78 percent
ethanol in gasoline. If the default
standard has not been met on a
collective basis, we propose that an
appropriate volume of renewable fuel be
carried forward to the 2007 volume
obligation which would then be
implemented and enforced under the
full RFS rule. The additional renewable
fuel that is carried forward is termed the
‘‘deficit carryover’’. In such an instance,
no individual refiner, blender or
importer is held liable for the default
2006 standard not being met. Rather, the
RFS standard for 2007 would be
adjusted to account for any deficit
carryover.
Today’s rule would provide that a
deficit carryover will be required if the
2.78 percent standard is not met. The
size of the deficit would be determined
with respect to the 2.78 percent default
standard. As a result, the minimum
necessary volume of renewable fuel
consumed in 2006 and the size of any
deficit carryover volume will be
dependent upon the volume of gasoline
consumed. The following examples
illustrate how the standard would work,
and how the deficit carryover would be
calculated.
(A) RENEWABLE VOLUME PERCENT IS GREATER THAN 2.78%:
136.8 bill gal
3.90 bill gal
Actual renewable volume/actual gasoline volume = 3.9/136.8 = 2.85%
Standard has been met; no deficit carryover to 2007
Actual 2006 gasoline volume:
Actual 2006 renewable volume:
Calculated percent:
Result:
(B) RENEWABLE VOLUME PERCENT IS LESS THAN 2.78%:
139.8 bill gal
3.8 bill gal
Actual renewable volume/actual gasoline volume = 3.8/139.8 = 2.72%
Standard has not been met. Amount of renewable fuel needed to achieve 2.78%: (2.78%–2.72%)
× (actual gasoline used) = 0.06% × 139.8 bill gallon = 0.08 billion gallons. The 0.08 billion gallons is added to the RFS goal for 2007, resulting in a modified goal of 4.78 billion gal/yr of renewable fuel.
Actual 2006 gasoline volume:
Actual 2006 renewable volume:
Calculated percent:
Result:
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value of biodiesel and other renewable
fuels in the context of the
comprehensive rulemaking
implementing the full RFS program, and
our approach in this rulemaking is not
intended to establish a precedent for our
decision there.
Although the Act requires EPA to
publish the standard applicable to 2007
by November 30, 2006, the data on
actual gasoline and renewable fuel
volumes consumed in all of 2006 will
not be available at that time. As a result,
the addition of any deficit carryover to
2007, if one is necessary, could occur no
sooner than early 2007. Under these
circumstances, we expect that we would
adjust the 2007 standard to account for
a carryover from 2006, if necessary, at
such time as the data for 2006 are
available and in a manner consistent
with the regulations that will apply to
2007.
13 The Monthly Energy Review for March 2007 is
expected to contain data through December 2006.
14 Fuel ethanol consumption in trillion Btu must
be converted into gallons using the higher heating
value of 3.539 million Btu per barrel, per Table A1.
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C. No Role for Credit Trading
The Act provides for the regulations
implementing the long term RFS to
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allow for credit generation and trading,
and we will develop a credit trading
program under the full RFS program
rule. Today’s rule allows for the
industry to comply with the default
standard on a collective basis, providing
no basis for setting up an individual
credit generation and trading program,
as will be done for the long term RFS
program. For the default standard in
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2006, companies do not have an
individual standard to meet, so there is
no basis for determining that they have
done more or less than is required of
them individually, which is the basis for
generating or needing credits. Therefore,
under today’s rule, individual
companies that exceed the 2.78 percent
default standard do not generate credits,
and there are no credits to trade or sell
to other companies. Also, no credits are
generated that can be used toward
compliance with RFS requirements after
2006.
V. Public Participation
We request comments on all aspects
of this proposal. The comment period
for this proposed rule will end 30 days
after publication in the Federal
Register.
If you would like to speak at a public
hearing on this proposed rule, please
contact us within 15 days of publication
of the proposal in the Federal Register,
as described above in DATES. If a request
to speak at a public hearing is received,
we will hold the hearing on the 30th
day after publication of the proposal in
the Federal Register. An announcement
of the public hearing will be made on
our Web site at https://www.epa.gov/
otaq/renewablefuel.htm. The public
hearing would start at 10 a.m. local time
at the EPA Office Building, 2000
Traverwood, Ann Arbor, MI 48105, or at
an alternate site nearby.
To contact us for updated information
about the possibility of a public hearing,
please see the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section.
If you would like to present testimony
at a public hearing, we ask that you
notify the contact person listed above at
least ten days beforehand. You should
estimate the time you will need for your
presentation and identify any needed
audio/visual equipment. We suggest
that you bring copies of your statement
or other material for the EPA panel and
the audience. It would also be helpful
if you send us a copy of your statement
or other materials before the hearing.
We will arrange for a written
transcript of the hearing and keep the
official record of the hearing open for 30
days to allow for the public to
supplement the record. You may make
arrangements for copies of the transcript
directly with the court reporter.
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VI. Administrative Requirements
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
Under Executive Order 12866, [58 FR
51735 (October 4, 1993)] the Agency
must determine whether the regulatory
action is ‘‘significant’’ and therefore
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subject to OMB review and the
requirements of the Executive Order.
The Order defines ‘‘significant
regulatory action’’ as one that is likely
to result in a rule that may:
(1) Have an annual effect on the
economy of $100 million or more or
adversely affect in a material way the
economy, a sector of the economy,
productivity, competition, jobs, the
environment, public health or safety, or
State, local, or tribal governments or
communities;
(2) create a serious inconsistency or
otherwise interfere with an action taken
or planned by another agency;
(3) materially alter the budgetary
impact of entitlements, grants, user fees,
or loan programs or the rights and
obligations of recipients thereof; or
(4) raise novel legal or policy issues
arising out of legal mandates, the
President’s priorities, or the principles
set forth in the Executive Order.’’
It has been determined that this rule
will not have an annual effect on the
economy of $100 million or more, and
that it is not otherwise a ‘‘significant
regulatory action’’ under the terms of
Executive Order 12866 and is therefore
not subject to OMB review. EPA has
estimated that renewable fuel use in
2006 will be sufficient to meet the
default standard of 2.78 percent.
Therefore, individual refiners, blenders,
and importers are already on track to
meet rule obligations through normal
market-driven incentives.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act
This action does not impose an
information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction
Act, 44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq. There would
not be a burden on liable parties
because the Agency would determine
compliance immediately following 2006
using data on gasoline and renewable
fuel consumption available from the
Energy Information Administration and
other information that may be readily
available.
Burden means the total time, effort, or
financial resources expended by persons
to generate, maintain, retain, or disclose
or provide information to or for a
Federal agency. This includes the time
needed to review instructions; develop,
acquire, install, and utilize technology
and systems for the purposes of
collecting, validating, and verifying
information, processing and
maintaining information, and disclosing
and providing information; adjust the
existing ways to comply with any
previously applicable instructions and
requirements; train personnel to be able
to respond to a collection of
information; search data sources;
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77361
complete and review the collection of
information; and transmit or otherwise
disclose the information.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), as
Amended by the Small Business
Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of
1996 (SBREFA), 5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
generally requires an agency to prepare
a regulatory flexibility analysis of any
rule subject to notice and comment
rulemaking requirements under the
Administrative Procedure Act or any
other statute unless the agency certifies
that the rule will not have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small entities. Small entities
include small businesses, small
organizations, and small governmental
jurisdictions.
For purposes of assessing the impacts
of today’s rule on small entities, small
entity is defined as: (1) A small business
as defined by the Small Business
Administration’s (SBA) regulations at 13
CFR 121.201; (2) a small governmental
jurisdiction that is a government of a
city, county, town, school district or
special district with a population of less
than 50,000; and (3) a small
organization that is any not-for-profit
enterprise which is independently
owned and operated and is not
dominant in its field.
After considering the economic
impacts of today’s proposed rule on
small entities, I certify that this action
will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities. EPA proposes that the default
provision for 2006 be interpreted as
imposing a collective obligation on the
regulated parties. This means that if the
average volume percent of renewable
fuel used in 2006 meets or exceeds 2.78
percent, then the standard is satisfied
for all responsible parties, regardless of
their individual efforts towards that
goal. In light of the fact that refiners,
blenders, and importers would together
be responsible for meeting the default
2.78 percent standard and industry on
average will very likely use more than
2.78 percent renewable fuel in 2006
based solely on market forces, there will
be no significant economic impact on
small entities. No individual refiner,
blender, or importer would be
responsible for establishing compliance
with the default standard for the
specific gasoline it produces in 2006,
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and any deficit carryover to 2007 would
be minimal if there is one at all. We
continue to be interested in the
potential impacts of our proposed rules
on small entities and welcome
comments on issues related to such
impacts. We continue to be interested in
the potential impacts of the proposed
rule on small entities and welcome
comments on issues related to such
impacts.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Title II of the Unfunded Mandates
Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA), Public
Law 104–4, establishes requirements for
Federal agencies to assess the effects of
their regulatory actions on State, local,
and tribal governments and the private
sector. Under section 202 of the UMRA,
EPA generally must prepare a written
statement, including a cost-benefit
analysis, for proposed and final rules
with ‘‘Federal mandates’’ that may
result in expenditures to State, local,
and tribal governments, in the aggregate,
or to the private sector, of $100 million
or more in any one year. Before
promulgating an EPA rule for which a
written statement is needed, section 205
of the UMRA generally requires EPA to
identify and consider a reasonable
number of regulatory alternatives and
adopt the least costly, most costeffective or least burdensome alternative
that achieves the objectives of the rule.
The provisions of section 205 do not
apply when they are inconsistent with
applicable law. Moreover, section 205
allows EPA to adopt an alternative other
than the least costly, most cost-effective
or least burdensome alternative if the
Administrator publishes with the final
rule an explanation why that alternative
was not adopted.
Before EPA establishes any regulatory
requirements that may significantly or
uniquely affect small governments,
including tribal governments, it must
have developed under section 203 of the
UMRA a small government agency plan.
The plan must provide for notifying
potentially affected small governments,
enabling officials of affected small
governments to have meaningful and
timely input in the development of EPA
regulatory proposals with significant
Federal intergovernmental mandates,
and informing, educating, and advising
small governments on compliance with
the regulatory requirements.
This rule contains no federal
mandates for State, local, or tribal
governments as defined by the
provisions of Title II of the UMRA. The
rule imposes no enforceable duties on
any of these governmental entities.
Nothing in the rule would significantly
or uniquely affect small governments.
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EPA has determined that this rule
does not contain a federal mandate that
may result in expenditures of $100
million or more for the private sector in
any one year. EPA has estimated that
renewable fuel use in 2006 will be
sufficient to meet the default standard of
2.78 percent. Therefore, individual
refiners, blenders, and importers are
already on track to meet rule obligations
through normal market-driven
incentives. Thus, today’s rule is not
subject to the requirements of sections
202 and 205 of the UMRA.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
Executive Order 13132, entitled
‘‘Federalism’’ (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999), requires EPA to develop an
accountable process to ensure
‘‘meaningful and timely input by State
and local officials in the development of
regulatory policies that have federalism
implications.’’ ‘‘Policies that have
federalism implications’’ is defined in
the Executive Order to include
regulations that have ‘‘substantial direct
effects on the States, on the relationship
between the National Government and
the States, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government.’’
This proposed rule does not have
federalism implications. It will not have
substantial direct effects on the States,
on the relationship between the
National Government and the States, or
on the distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government, as specified in
Executive Order 13132. The rule reflects
a nationwide program that does not
impose directives specific to any
particular State or region. Thus,
Executive Order 13132 does not apply
to this rule.
any individual party. Thus, Executive
Order 13175 does not apply to this rule.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
and Safety Risks
Executive Order 13045: ‘‘Protection of
Children from Environmental health
Risks and Safety Risks’’ (62 FR 19885,
April 23, 1997) applies to any rule that:
(1) Is determined to be ‘‘economically
significant’’ as defined under Executive
Order 12866, and (2) concerns an
environmental health or safety risk that
EPA has reason to believe may have a
disproportionate effect on children. If
the regulatory action meets both criteria,
the Agency must evaluate the
environmental health or safety effects of
the planned rule on children, and
explain why the planned regulation is
preferable to other potentially effective
and reasonably feasible alternatives
considered by the Agency.
EPA interprets Executive Order 13045
as applying only to those regulatory
actions that are based on health or safety
risks, such that the analysis required
under section 5–501 of the Order has
the potential to influence the regulation.
This proposal is not subject to Executive
Order 13045 because it is not
economically significant and is not
based on health or safety risks.
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
This rule is not a ‘‘significant energy
action’’ as defined in Executive Order
13211, ‘‘Actions Concerning Regulations
That Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use’’ (66 FR 28355 (May
22, 2001)) because it is not likely to
have a significant adverse effect on the
supply, distribution, or use of energy.
We believe that the normal practices of
liable parties will result in the default
RFS standard being met collectively.
Executive Order 13175, entitled
‘‘Consultation and Coordination with
Indian Tribal Governments’’ (65 FR
67249, November 6, 2000), requires EPA
to develop an accountable process to
ensure ‘‘meaningful and timely input by
tribal officials in the development of
regulatory policies that have tribal
implications.’’
This proposed rule does not have
tribal implications as specified in
Executive Order 13175. This rule would
be implemented at the Federal level and
collectively apply to refiners, blenders,
and importers. EPA expects these
entities to meet the standards on a
collective basis in 2006 even without
imposition of any RFS obligations on
I. National Technology Transfer
Advancement Act
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (‘‘NTTAA’’), Public Law
104–113, 12(d) (15 U.S.C. 272 note)
directs EPA to use voluntary consensus
standards in its regulatory activities
unless to do so would be inconsistent
with applicable law or otherwise
impractical. Voluntary consensus
standards are technical standards (e.g.,
materials specifications, test methods,
sampling procedures, and business
practices) that are developed or adopted
by voluntary consensus standards
bodies. The NTTAA directs EPA to
provide Congress, through OMB,
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explanations when the Agency decides
not to use available and applicable
voluntary consensus standards.
This proposed rulemaking does not
involve technical standards. Therefore,
EPA is not considering the use of any
voluntary consensus standards.
VII. Legal Authority
Statutory authority for the rules
proposed today can be found in 42
U.S.C. 7401–7671q.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 80
Environmental protection, Fuel
additives, Gasoline, Imports, Reporting
and recordkeeping requirements.
Dated: December 22, 2005.
Stephen L. Johnson,
Administrator.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, we propose to amend part 80
of title 40 of the Code of Federal
Regulations to read as follows:
PART 80—REGULATION OF FUELS
AND FUEL ADDITIVES
1. The authority citation for part 80
continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7414, 7545, and
7601(a).
2. Subpart K is added to read as
follows:
Subpart K—Renewable Fuel Standard
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§ 80.1100 How is the statutory default
requirement for 2006 implemented?
(a) Definitions. (1) Renewable fuel. (i)
Renewable fuel means motor vehicle
fuel that is used to replace or reduce the
quantity of fossil fuel present in a fuel
mixture used to operate a motor vehicle,
and which
(A) Is produced from grain, starch, oil
seeds, vegetable, animal, or fish
materials including fats, greases, and
oils, sugarcane, sugar beets, sugar
components, tobacco, potatoes, or other
biomass, or
(B) Is natural gas produced from a
biogas source, including a landfill,
sewage waste treatment plant, feedlot,
or other place where decaying organic
material is found.
(ii) The term ‘‘renewable fuel’’
includes cellulosic biomass ethanol,
waste derived ethanol, biodiesel, and
any blending components derived from
renewable fuel.
(2) Cellulosic biomass ethanol means
ethanol derived from any lignocellulosic
or hemicellulosic matter that is
available on a renewable or recurring
basis, including dedicated energy crops
and trees, wood and wood residues,
plants, grasses, agricultural residues,
fibers, animal wastes and other waste
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materials, and municipal solid waste.
The term also includes any ethanol
produced in facilities where animal
wastes or other waste materials are
digested or otherwise used to displace
90 percent or more of the fossil fuel
normally used in the production of
ethanol.
(3) Waste derived ethanol means
ethanol derived from animal wastes,
including poultry fats and poultry
wastes, and other waste materials, or
municipal solid waste.
(4) Small refinery means a refinery for
which the average aggregate daily crude
oil throughput for a calendar year (as
determined by dividing the aggregate
throughput for the calendar year by the
number of days in the calendar year)
does not exceed 75,000 barrels.
(5) Biodiesel means a diesel fuel
substitute produced from nonpetroleum
renewable resources that meets the
registration requirements for fuels and
fuel additives established by the
Environmental Protection Agency under
section 211 of the Clean Air Act. It
includes biodiesel derived from animal
wastes (including poultry fats and
poultry wastes) and other waste
materials, or biodiesel derived from
municipal solid waste and sludges and
oils derived from wastewater and the
treatment of wastewater.
(b) Renewable Fuel Standard for 2006.
The percentage of renewable fuel in the
total volume of gasoline sold or
dispensed to consumers in 2006 in the
United States shall be a minimum of
2.78 percent on an annual average
volume basis.
(c) Responsible parties. Parties
collectively responsible for attainment
of the standard in paragraph (b) of this
section are refiners (including blenders)
and importers of gasoline. However, a
party that is a refiner only because he
owns or operates a small refinery is
exempt from this responsibility.
(d) EPA determination of attainment.
EPA will determine after the close of
2006 whether or not the requirement in
paragraph (b) of this section has been
met. EPA will base this determination
on information routinely published by
the Energy Information Administration
on the annual domestic volume of
gasoline sold or dispensed to U.S.
consumers and of ethanol produced for
use in such gasoline, supplemented by
readily available information
concerning the use in motor fuel of
other renewable fuels such as cellulosic
biomass ethanol, waste derived ethanol,
biodiesel, and other non-ethanol
renewable fuels.
(1) The renewable fuel volume will
equal the sum of all renewable fuel
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77363
volumes used in motor fuel, provided
that:
(i) One gallon of cellulosic biomass
ethanol or waste derived ethanol shall
be considered to be the equivalent of 2.5
gallons of renewable fuel; and
(ii) Only the renewable fuel portion of
blending components derived from
renewable fuel shall be counted towards
the renewable fuel volume.
(2) If the nationwide average volume
percent of renewable fuel in gasoline in
2006 is equal to or greater than the
standard in paragraph (b) of this section,
the standard has been met.
(e) Consequence of nonattainment in
2006. In the event that EPA determines
that the requirement in paragraph (b) of
this section has not been attained in
2006, a deficit carryover volume shall be
added to the renewable fuel volume
obligation for 2007 for use in calculating
the standard applicable to gasoline in
2007.
(1) The deficit carryover volume shall
be calculated as follows:
DC = Vgas · (Rs¥Ra)
Where:
DC = Deficit carryover in gallons of
renewable fuel
Vgas = Volume of gasoline sold or
dispensed to U.S. consumers in
2006, in gallons
Rs = 0.0278
Ra = Ratio of renewable fuel volume
divided by total gasoline volume
determined in accordance with
paragraph (d)(2) of this section.
(2) There shall be no other
consequence of failure to attain the
standard in paragraph (b) of this section
in 2006 for any of the parties in
paragraph (c) of this section.
[FR Doc. 05–24610 Filed 12–29–05; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 180
[EPA–HQ–OPP–2005–0518; FRL–7752–1]
Hexythiazox; Proposed Pesticide
Tolerance
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: This document proposes to
establish tolerances for combined
residues of hexythiazox (trans-5-(4chlorophenyl)-N-cyclohexyl-4-methyl-2oxothiazolidine-3-carboxamide) and its
metabolites containing the (4chlorophenyl)-4-methyl-2-oxo-3-
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 70, Number 250 (Friday, December 30, 2005)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 77351-77363]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 05-24610]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 80
[EPA-OAR-2005-0161; FRL 8016-9]
Regulation of Fuels and Fuel Additives: Renewable Fuel Standard
Requirements for 2006
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: EPA is proposing to interpret and clarify the 2006 default
standard applicable under the Renewable Fuel Program set forth in the
Energy Policy Act of 2005. The Act requires that 2.78 volume percent of
gasoline sold or dispensed to consumers in the U.S. in 2006 be
renewable fuel if EPA does not promulgate comprehensive regulations to
implement the Renewable Fuel Program by August 8, 2006. Given the short
timeframe available and the need to provide certainty to the regulated
community, the Agency is proposing a limited set of regulations for the
default standard for 2006 that will provide for collective compliance
by refiners, blenders, and importers to meet the 2.78 volume percent
requirement, with compliance determined by looking at the national pool
of gasoline sold in 2006. The Agency will develop and promulgate the
comprehensive program subsequent to this action.
DATES: Comments: Comments must be received on or before January 30,
2006.
Hearings: If EPA receives a request from a person wishing to speak
at a public hearing by January 17, 2006, a public hearing will be held
on January 30, 2006. If a public hearing is requested, it will be held
at 10 a.m. at the EPA Office Building, 2000 Traverwood, Ann Arbor, MI
48105, or at an alternate site nearby. To request to speak at a public
hearing, send a request to the contact in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. OAR-2005-
0161, by one of the following methods:
www.regulations.gov: Follow the on-line instructions for
submitting comments.
E-mail: macallister.julia@epa.gov.
Fax: (734) 214-4816.
Mail: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, EPA West (Air
Docket), 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW., Room B108, Mail Code 6102T,
Washington, DC 20460, Attention Docket ID No. OAR-2005-0161. Please
include a total of 2 copies.
Hand Delivery: EPA Docket Center, EPA/DC, EPA West, Room
B102, 1301 Constitution Ave., NW., Washington, DC. Such deliveries are
only accepted during the Docket's normal hours of operation, and
special arrangements should be made for deliveries of boxed
information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to Docket ID No. OAR-2005-0161.
EPA's policy is that all comments received will be included in the
public docket without change and may be made available online at http:/
/www.regulations.gov, including any personal information provided,
unless the comment includes information claimed to be Confidential
Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Do not submit information that you consider to
be CBI or otherwise protected through www.regulations.gov or e-mail.
The www.regulations.gov Web site is an ``anonymous access'' system,
which means EPA will not know your identity or contact information
unless you provide it in the body of your comment. If you send an e-
mail comment directly to EPA without going through www.regulations.gov
your e-mail address will be automatically captured and included as part
of the comment that is placed in the public docket and made available
on the Internet. If you submit an electronic comment, EPA recommends
that you include your name and other contact information in the body of
your comment and with any disk or CD-ROM you submit. If EPA cannot read
your comment due to technical difficulties and cannot contact you for
clarification, EPA may not be able to consider your comment. Electronic
files should avoid
[[Page 77352]]
the use of special characters, any form of encryption, and be free of
any defects or viruses.
Docket: All documents in the docket are listed in the
www.regulations.gov index. Although listed in the index, some
information is not publicly available, e.g., CBI or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Certain other material, such
as copyrighted material, will be publicly available only in hard copy.
Publicly available docket materials are available either electronically
in https://www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at the EPA Docket Center,
EPA/DC, EPA West, Room B102, 1301 Constitution Ave., NW., Washington,
DC. This Docket Facility is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday
through Friday, excluding legal holidays. The Docket telephone number
is (202) 566-1742. The telephone number for the Public Reading Room is
(202) 566-1744.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Julia MacAllister, U.S. EPA, National
Vehicle and Fuel Emissions Laboratory, 2000 Traverwood, Ann Arbor, MI
48105; Telephone (734) 214-4131, FAX (734) 214-4816, E-mail
macallister.julia@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: We are proposing a limited set of
regulations to interpret and clarify the default renewable fuel
standard for 2006 that will go into effect pursuant to the Energy
Policy Act of 2005. In the ``Rules and Regulations'' section of the
Federal Register, we are issuing these regulations as a direct final
rule without prior proposal because we view this as a noncontroversial
action and anticipate no adverse comment. We have explained our reasons
for this action in the preamble to the direct final rule. If we receive
no adverse comment, we will not take further action on this proposed
rule. If EPA receives adverse comment on one or more distinct sections
of this proposal we will publish a timely withdrawal in the Federal
Register indicating which provisions of the direct final rule will
become effective and which provisions are being withdrawn due to
adverse comment. Any distinct section of this proposal for which we do
not receive adverse comment will become effective on the date set out
in the direct final rule, notwithstanding any adverse comment on any
other distinct section of today's proposal. We will not institute a
second comment period on this action. Any parties interested in
commenting must do so at this time.
I. General Information
A. Does This Action Apply to Me?
Entities potentially affected by this proposed action include those
involved with the production, distribution and sale of gasoline motor
fuel or renewable fuels such as ethanol and biodiesel. Regulated
categories and entities include:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NAICS \1\ SIC \2\ Examples of potentially regulated
Category codes codes entities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Industry...................................... 324110 2911 Petroleum Refiners, Importers.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
\2\ Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system code.
This table is not intended to be exhaustive, but provides a guide
for readers regarding entities likely to be regulated by this action.
This table lists the types of entities that EPA is now aware could
potentially be affected by this proposed action. Other types of
entities not listed in the table could also be affected. To decide
whether your organization might be affected if this proposed action is
finalized, you should carefully examine today's notice and the existing
regulations in 40 CFR part 80. If you have any questions regarding the
applicability of this action to a particular entity, consult the
persons listed in the preceding FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
B. What Should I Consider as I Prepare My Comments for EPA?
1. Submitting CBI. Do not submit this information to EPA through
https://www.regulations.gov or e-mail. Clearly mark the part or all of
the information that you claim to be CBI. For CBI information in a disk
or CD ROM that you mail to EPA, mark the outside of the disk or CD ROM
as CBI and then identify electronically within the disk or CD ROM the
specific information that is claimed as CBI). In addition to one
complete version of the comment that includes information claimed as
CBI, a copy of the comment that does not contain the information
claimed as CBI must be submitted for inclusion in the public docket.
Information so marked will not be disclosed except in accordance with
procedures set forth in 40 CFR part 2.
2. Tips for Preparing Your Comments. When submitting comments,
remember to:
Identify the rulemaking by docket number and other
identifying information (subject heading, Federal Register date and
page number).
Follow directions--The agency may ask you to respond to
specific questions or organize comments by referencing a Code of
Federal Regulations (CFR) part or section number.
Explain why you agree or disagree; suggest alternatives
and substitute language for your requested changes.
Describe any assumptions and provide any technical
information and/or data that you used.
If you estimate potential costs or burdens, explain how
you arrived at your estimate in sufficient detail to allow for it to be
reproduced.
Provide specific examples to illustrate your concerns, and
suggest alternatives.
Explain your views as clearly as possible, avoiding the
use of profanity or personal threats.
Make sure to submit your comments by the comment period
deadline identified.
3. Docket Copying Costs. A reasonable fee may be charged by EPA for
copying docket materials, as provided in 40 CFR part 2.
Table of Contents
I. Overview
A. What Is Proposed for 2006?
B. Why Is EPA Taking This Action?
C. When Will EPA Take Action for 2007 and Beyond?
II. Statutory Requirements for the Renewable Fuel Standard Program
A. What Is the Renewable Fuels Standard Program?
B. What Is the Default Standard for 2006?
C. What Happens if EPA Does Not Promulgate Default Regulations
for 2006?
III. Collective Renewable Fuel Use and the Default Standard
A. Liability Under the Default Standard
1. Who should be liable?
2. What is collective liability?
B. Why We Believe That the Default Standard Will Be Met
Collectively
IV. Our Proposed Program for 2006
A. Liable Parties
B. How Would Compliance Be Determined?
1. Activities required of liable parties
[[Page 77353]]
2. Renewable fuels accounting for compliance purposes
3. EPA determination of collective compliance with the default
standard
C. No Role for Credit Trading
V. Public Participation
VI. Administrative Requirements
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), as Amended by the Small
Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of 1996 (SBREFA), 5
U.S.C. 601 et. seq
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With
Indian Tribal Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From
Environmental Health and Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use
I. National Technology Transfer Advancement Act
VII. Legal Authority
I. Overview
Section 1501 of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (Energy Act or the
Act) amended the Clean Air Act by adding a new provision establishing a
national renewable fuel program (also commonly known as the Renewable
Fuel Standard program, or RFS program). This program is designed to
significantly increase the volume of renewable fuels that are blended
into gasoline, starting with calendar year 2006. The Act calls on EPA
to issue implementing regulations by August 8, 2006, and provides that
if EPA has not adopted such regulations by that date then 2.78 percent
of the gasoline sold or dispensed to consumers for calendar year 2006
must be renewable fuel.
EPA does not believe that it can meet the August, 2006, statutory
deadline. The issues that need to be resolved in adopting regulations
to establish the comprehensive compliance and credit trading program
are complex, making it important for EPA to receive input from the
various stakeholders. This effort will require significant amounts of
time and effort. In addition, a comprehensive set of regulations
implementing the RFS would constitute a major rulemaking effort, which
typically requires a significant amount of analysis of important issues
such as emissions inventory impacts, costs, feasibility, and benefits.
This work cannot be completed in the context of a final rulemaking by
August, 2006, which must be preceded by a notice and comment process.
At the same time, it is critical that industry be informed of how to
demonstrate compliance prior to August, 2006, since the program defined
by the Act begins in January 2006. The default provisions in the Act
are not self explanatory, neither identifying the responsible parties
nor the method by which they must demonstrate compliance. EPA is
therefore proposing a limited set of regulations that would interpret
and clarify the statutory default provision for 2006. The rule would
provide certainty to the parties involved as to their responsibilities
for 2006, and will help to provide a smooth transition to the long-term
RFS program. This section summarizes the regulatory approach we propose
taking for 2006.
A. What Is Proposed for 2006?
The Energy Policy Act of 2005 anticipated the possibility that a
full RFS program might not be promulgated by the start of 2006, and so
provided a default standard applicable to 2006 only. The default
standard specifies that 2.78 volume percent of gasoline sold or
dispensed to consumers in the U.S. in calendar year 2006 must be
renewable fuel. The default standard is applicable if the Agency does
not promulgate regulations to implement the full RFS program.
The Agency proposes to interpret the default standard for 2006 with
regulations identifying the liable parties as refiners, importers, and
blenders. Compliance with the default standard, however, would be
determined on a collective, rather than an individual, basis. Under
this approach, refiners, blenders, and importers would together be
responsible for meeting the default 2.78 percent standard, and
compliance with this standard would be calculated over the pool of
gasoline sold to consumers. An individual refiner, blender, or importer
would not be responsible for meeting the 2.78 percent standard for the
specific gasoline it produces. The Agency would determine compliance
following 2006 using data on gasoline and renewable fuel consumption
available from the Energy Information Administration, supplemented by
other readily available information. If we determine that the default
standard has not been met in 2006 on this collective basis, any deficit
would be carried forward and applied as an adjustment to the standard
for 2007. The regulations implementing the default standard for 2006
would not include any provisions for credit generation or trading,
given the collective nature of the obligation.
B. Why Is EPA Taking This Action?
The rulemaking required to implement the full RFS program,
including both program design and the various analyses necessary, will
require a substantial effort involving many stakeholders. For instance,
it will require the Agency to undertake an analysis of small business
impacts under the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Flexibility Act
(SBREFA), provide public notice through a proposed rule and an
opportunity for comment including an opportunity for a public hearing,
a Regulatory Impact Analysis, and ultimately produce a final rule. This
process cannot occur by the time the RFS program begins in January
2006, nor does EPA anticipate that it can be completed by the one year
deadline set in the Act. Therefore, we believe the default standard of
2.78 percent will apply to calendar year 2006.
However, the default standard provided in the Act will be difficult
for the regulated community to interpret and implement without
additional guidance from the Agency. Although the Act provided that the
default standard of 2.78 percent would apply in 2006 in the event that
the Agency did not promulgate regulations implementing the full
renewable fuels program, the default standard provision does not
specify the liable parties and the specific nature of their obligation.
It also does not discuss compliance mechanisms, reporting requirements,
or credit trading. The resulting uncertainty associated with the
default standard will create confusion and risks a problematic initial
implementation of the RFS program. In the extreme, allowing the default
standard to go into effect without EPA guidance could result in
significant disruptions in the gasoline and renewable fuel production,
blending, and distribution systems.
The goal of today's action is to provide certainty to parties
involved in the production and distribution of gasoline and renewable
fuels regarding the Agency's approach to determining compliance with
the default standard for 2006. Today's action proposes a compliance
mechanism that is simple and straightforward to implement, explains
that the default standard would be applied on a collective basis, and
can be finalized expeditiously.
In addition to meeting the need for clarity in the limited
timeframe available, we believe that the collective approach to
compliance for 2006 is reasonable given our expectation that the
default standard would be met on a collective basis in 2006 even
without imposition of any RFS obligations. Not only has the U.S.
Department of Agriculture projected total ethanol production for 2006
to be above 4.0 billion gallons, but the Renewable Fuel
[[Page 77354]]
Association has indicated that total ethanol production capacity
already exceeds 4.1 billion gallons and that additional production
capacity currently under construction exceeds 1.2 billion gallons.
Production of biodiesel and cellulosic ethanol, as well as imports of
ethanol, increase these estimates even further. It's clear that
capacity in 2006 will be adequate to produce the renewable fuel needed
to meet the 2.78 percent default standard. In addition, sustained high
gasoline prices, state bans on MTBE, and continued gasoline demand
growth in the face of limited refining capacity all support our
conclusion that the default standard for 2006 will be met on a
collective basis based on market forces alone. Section III.B provides
more details regarding these projections. In the unlikely event that
the default standard is not met on a collective basis for 2006, a
proposed deficit carryover provision would allow us to make up for any
shortfall by adjusting the applicable standard in 2007 commensurately.
C. When Will EPA Take Action for 2007 and Beyond?
The default standard of 2.78 percent provided in the Act applies
exclusively to calendar year 2006, and the collective compliance
approach we are proposing in today's action would likewise apply only
to 2006. For 2007 and beyond, the Agency will not only need to
determine and publish the applicable renewable fuel standard for each
year, but will also need to specifically identify liable parties, lay
out the compliance program including recordkeeping and reporting
requirements, and delineate all elements of the credit trading program
including how credits are generated, how they can be transferred, and
how they can be used for compliance purposes. All these and many other
issues impacting the full RFS program will be addressed in a subsequent
Agency action and are not discussed in today's notice of proposed
rulemaking (NPRM).
II. Statutory Requirements for the Renewable Fuel Standard Program
This section describes the Act's provision regarding the long-term
RFS program, and the default standard that goes into effect
automatically in the event that the Agency does not promulgate
regulations before August 8, 2006 implementing the long-term program.
It also describes the problems that may occur if the Agency does not
clarify such things as liable parties, compliance mechanisms, and the
role of credit trading under the default standard.
A. What Is the Renewable Fuels Standard Program?
Section 1501 of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (the Act) describes
the renewable fuel program, also known as the Renewable Fuel Standard
(RFS) program. This provision was added to the Clean Air Act as Section
211(o), and requires EPA to establish a program to ensure that U.S.
gasoline contains specific volumes of renewable fuel for each calendar
year 2006 through 2012, as shown in Table II.A-1 below.
Table II.A-1.--Applicable Volumes of Renewable Fuel Under the RFS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Calendar year Billion gallons
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2006...................................... 4.0
2007...................................... 4.7
2008...................................... 5.4
2009...................................... 6.1
2010...................................... 6.8
2011...................................... 7.4
2012...................................... 7.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Starting with 2013, EPA is required to establish the applicable
national volume which must require at least the same overall volume
percentage of renewable fuel as was required in 2012.
In order to ensure the use of the renewable fuel volume specified
for each year, the Agency must set a percentage standard for each year
representing the percentage of gasoline sold or introduced into
commerce which must be renewable fuel. The standard is to be set based
on the renewable fuel volumes shown in Table II.A-1 and gasoline volume
projections provided by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
The standard for each year must be published in the Federal Register by
November 30 of the previous year.
Renewable fuels are defined in the Act primarily on the basis of
the feedstock. In general, renewable fuels must be produced from plant
or animal products or wastes, as opposed to fossil fuel sources. The
Act specifically identifies several types of motor vehicle fuels as
being encompassed by the definition, including cellulosic biomass
ethanol, waste-derived ethanol, biogas, and biodiesel.
The percentage standard is applicable to refineries, blenders, and/
or importers, as appropriate. The percentage standard must be adjusted
such that redundant obligations are avoided, and must take into account
the fact that small refineries are exempted from the program through
2011\1\. For liable parties, the RFS standard must be met on an annual
averaging basis and does not apply on a per-gallon basis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Regulatory provisions promulgated by the Agency must also
contain provisions allowing exempted small refineries to opt into
the RFS program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Act requires the Agency to promulgate a credit trading program
for the RFS program. The credit trading program will serve two
purposes. First, it will allow parties who are liable for the standard
to comply through the purchase of credits if they cannot or do not wish
to blend renewable fuels into gasoline themselves. Second, it will
permit renewable fuels that are not blended into gasoline, such as
biodiesel and biogas, to participate in the RFS program. The Agency
must also determine who can generate credits and under what conditions,
how credits may be transferred from one party to another, and in
certain cases the appropriate value of credits from different types of
renewable fuel.
The Agency envisions promulgation of facility registration,
recordkeeping and reporting requirements, enforcement provisions, and
various fuel tracking mechanisms to implement the program. These
provisions will enable the credit trading program to function properly
and will ensure adequate bases for Agency enforcement efforts.
The Act also contains several other provisions that could affect
the comprehensive RFS program. For instance, the Energy Information
Administration (EIA) is required to determine whether there is a
continuing pattern of less than 25 percent of the renewable fuel pool
being used in either summer or winter periods. If so, then EPA is
required to promulgate regulations establishing a requirement for such
minimum seasonal use of renewable fuel. The Act also provides for
several kinds of waivers, including one for the initial year of the
program in which the Department of Energy (DOE) may recommend that EPA
waive the RFS program in whole or in part. Another general waiver
provision authorizes EPA to waive the program in whole or in part in
response to a petition by a state or states.
Thus, the long-term RFS program envisioned in the Act presents many
complex and varied implementation issues. There are a large number of
parties that could potentially be affected by the program, including
the parties in the gasoline and renewable fuels production and
distribution systems. Credit generation, trading and use will be an
integral aspect of the program, and this credit program presents many
unique issues to address, as most of the
[[Page 77355]]
blending and use of renewable fuels occurs by parties separate and
distinct from the gasoline producers. Limited discussions with
stakeholders have served to highlight the complexity. Because of the
many disparate interests involved and the large potential impacts of
the program, EPA wants to make sure that development of the long-term
RFS program is done thoughtfully and with broad stakeholder
involvement. In addition, significant actions such as this require us
to perform analyses of cost, feasibility, emission inventory impacts,
air quality, and impacts on small businesses. Consequently, EPA does
not believe that it can meet the August 8, 2006 statutory deadline to
issue final comprehensive regulations implementing the full program.
B. What Is the Default Standard for 2006?
If EPA fails to publish final regulations establishing the full RFS
program by August 8, 2006, Section 211(o)(2)(a)(iv) of the amended
Clean Air Act provides that ``* * * the percentage of renewable fuel in
gasoline sold or dispensed to consumers in the United States, on a
volume basis, shall be 2.78 percent for calendar year 2006.'' However,
the provision provides no details on how this requirement is to be
implemented.
For instance, the default standard provision does not identify what
parties are subject to this statutory requirement. There is a large
network of refiners, importers, blenders, distributors, and retailers
who arguably could be held responsible to meet this requirement. The
statutory language also does not indicate whether the default standard
is to be applied to each gallon of gasoline sold or dispensed in 2006,
if it is to represent the annual average renewable fuel content for the
gasoline sold or dispensed by each responsible party, or if instead it
is to be an annual average for all parties acting collectively in the
fuel production and distribution system.
Another aspect of the statutory language regarding the default
standard that makes its implementation problematic is the absence of
any explicit discussion of credit trading. Since producers of gasoline
are generally not directly involved in the blending of renewable fuels,
credit trading will be a critical component of the comprehensive RFS
program. Without credit trading, if each party was individually liable
to meet the default standard for their own gasoline, then a liable
party would need to ensure that the gasoline it produces actually
contains a minimum of 2.78 percent renewable fuel. This would be
inconsistent with the direction provided in the Act for the long-term
RFS program.
Finally, both the default standard and the annual standard to be
met under the long-term program are expressed in the statute in terms
of percent renewable fuel in gasoline. Although the definition of
renewable fuel includes biodiesel, this particular renewable fuel is
not blended into gasoline. While the long-term program will allow for
biodiesel integration in the program through credit trading, the
default standard provision does not specify the manner in which use of
biodiesel is to be counted towards compliance. However, for the
purposes of this rule we believe it is appropriate to include biodiesel
in the pool of renewable fuel used to determine compliance with the
default standard.
C. What Happens if EPA Does Not Promulgate Default Regulations for
2006?
The statutory language regarding the default standard for 2006 is
ambiguous and problematic in several respects. As a result, starting in
January 2006 there could be a great deal of uncertainty among parties
whose business involves gasoline or renewable fuels if the Agency does
not provide clarity. These parties will not know whether they are
liable for the default standard, and if they are liable how to comply
with it. The concern over potential individual liability and the lack
of a credit trading program could lead some parties to attempt to
procure and blend renewable fuels themselves, when under normal
circumstances the logistics and economics of doing so would make such
activities prohibitive. Others might attempt to ensure that every
gallon of gasoline contains at least 2.78 percent renewable fuel. Still
others could ignore the requirement entirely in the absence of explicit
descriptions of how the Agency would enforce it. All of these
activities could significantly disrupt the supply and distribution
system, potentially resulting in local supply shortages and/or price
spikes, and yet provide no assurance that the desired amount of
renewable fuel will be blended into gasoline.
Due to these concerns, the Agency has determined that it would be
in the public interest, and would further the goals of the Act, to
issue regulations interpreting and clarifying liability, the mechanism
of compliance, and the role of credit trading under the 2006 default
standard.
III. Collective Renewable Fuel Use and the Default Standard
This section describes our reasons for believing that a collective
compliance approach is a reasonable interpretation of the default
standard for the RFS program. We also describe our reasons for
believing that the default standard of 2.78 percent will be met in 2006
despite the absence of an RFS standard applicable to individual parties
in the fuel production and distribution system.
A. Liability Under the Default Standard
1. Who should be liable?
EPA proposes to identify parties who produce or import gasoline as
the parties responsible for implementing the renewable fuel standard
for 2006, including refiners, blenders, and importers, with an
exemption for refiners that own only small refineries. The default
provision itself is ambiguous with respect to liable parties, and could
be interpreted as placing ultimate responsibility on a variety of
parties in the gasoline production and distribution system, including
the retailers who dispense gasoline to consumers. With respect to the
long-term renewable fuel program, Congress directed EPA to establish
regulations that make the renewable fuel obligation applicable to
``refineries, blenders and importers, as appropriate,'' [see Clean Air
Act Section 211(o)(2)(A)(iii)(I)], with an exemption until 2011 for
``small refineries'' [see Clean Air Act Section 211(o)(9)(A)(i)]. Our
proposed interpretation of the default standard for 2006 is consistent
with these statutory provisions for the long-term renewable fuel
program.
EPA believes that refiners, blenders and importers are best
positioned to ensure that an appropriate amount of renewable fuel is
added to gasoline. Our proposed regulation identifies blenders as a
subset of refiners, consistent with our regulatory definition of
``refiner'' at 40 CFR 80.2(i).\2\ In addition, EPA believes that
retailers are not in the best position to guarantee the renewable fuel
content of the gasoline they sell, and placing this responsibility on
the many thousands of retailers, many of whom are small businesses,
would likely be very burdensome for them and economically disruptive.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ Parties whose only activity involves adding oxygenates to
gasoline would not be considered refiners under this definition.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. What is collective liability?
EPA also proposes that the default provision for 2006 be
interpreted as imposing a collective obligation on the
[[Page 77356]]
regulated parties. This means that if the average volume percent of
renewable fuel used in 2006 meets or exceeds 2.78 percent, then the
standard is satisfied for all responsible parties, regardless of their
individual efforts towards that goal. In light of the fact that
industry on average will very likely use more than 2.78 percent
renewable fuel in 2006 based solely on market forces (see further
discussion below), EPA does not believe that it is necessary or
appropriate to interpret the default standard for 2006 as imposing any
greater degree of individual responsibility for liable parties. Such a
system would require complex credit trading, recordkeeping, and
reporting provisions that are not consistent with a default standard
that Congress envisioned going into effect without a detailed
regulatory program.
EPA is confident that its proposed approach will achieve the
statutory objective of ensuring that 2.78 percent of gasoline sold in
the United States in 2006 will be renewable fuel, and it will do so in
an efficient manner that minimizes costs to industry and consumers. In
the unlikely event that EPA's projections of renewable fuel use in 2006
prove inaccurate and the default standard is not met, EPA proposes that
the volume obligation for industry in 2007 be adjusted to reflect any
volume deficit represented by the difference between the actual
renewable fuel volume percentage in 2006 and 2.78 percent. This
effectively means that if there is a deficit in renewable fuel use in
2006, the applicable percent standard for 2007 could be higher than it
would otherwise be. This deficit carryover provision is similar in
concept to the provision required for the long-term renewable-fuel
program, to allow individuals that cannot satisfy their renewable fuel
obligation in a given year to fulfill any deficit in a subsequent year.
See Clean Air Act (CAA) Section 211(o)(5)(D).
Thus under today's proposed approach to compliance with the default
standard, individual parties would still be considered to be in
compliance even if they themselves blended little or no renewables, so
long as the 2.78 percent requirement is met collectively nationwide in
2006. The carryover of any volume deficit will ensure that compliance
with the default standard is ultimately achieved.
B. Why We Believe That the Default Standard Will Be Met Collectively
In proposing a collective compliance approach to meeting the
default standard in 2006, we are doing so with the expectation that
normal business practices will actually result in the default standard
being met. While we are also proposing a deficit carryover provision to
address the possibility of a failure to meet the default standard in
2006, we have high confidence that such a provision would not have to
be used. This section provides our reasons for believing that the
default standard of 2.78 percent will be met in 2006 through existing
market forces.
Although the full RFS program specifies that EPA should set a
percentage standard designed to ensure use of a renewable volume of at
least 4.0 billion gallons, the provision describing the default
standard directly sets the percentage as 2.78 percent and makes no
reference to this volume. As a result, the actual volume of renewable
fuel used in gasoline in 2006 could be greater than or less than 4.0
billion gallons when the default standard of 2.78 percent is met. This
potential result is illustrated in Figure III.B-1, where the shaded
region represents cases in which the default standard of 2.78 percent
has been met.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP30DE05.143
A recent projection of the total gasoline consumption volume for
2006 is 141.6 billion gallons.\3\ With this gasoline volume, 3.94
billion gallons of renewable fuel would need to be consumed in order
for the default standard of 2.78 percent to be met. For simplicity we
have focused in this section on our reasons for believing that a least
4.0 billion gallons of renewable fuel will be sold in 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, October 2005.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Of all the renewable fuels that may play a role in meeting the
default standard in 2006, ethanol is by far expected to represent the
largest fraction. Therefore, our reasons for believing that at least
4.0 billion gallons of renewable fuel will be blended into gasoline in
2006 are based primarily on expectations regarding the production and
sale of ethanol. Biodiesel volumes are also quickly rising and serve to
provide added assurance that the default standard will be met in 2006.
The recent excise tax credit for biodiesel
[[Page 77357]]
and its value as a lubricity agent in ultra-low sulfur diesel also add
to the attractiveness of biodiesel.
There are a variety of sources of information strongly suggesting
that ethanol volumes will exceed 4.0 billion
gallons in 2006. These include recent production trends, evaluations of
expanding ethanol production capacity, and analyses of future demand.
Each of these information sources is discussed in this section.
For instance, recent trends indicate that fuel-grade ethanol
consumption has steadily increased since it was first introduced into
the gasoline market in the early 1980s. The most recent consumption
levels are shown in Figure III.B-2.
Figure III.B-2: Recent Ethanol Consumption Volumes
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP30DE05.144
Some of the recent growth in ethanol consumption appears to have
resulted from state bans on the use of the gasoline additive methyl
tertiary butyl ether (MTBE). For areas required to use reformulated
gasoline (RFG), ethanol often represents the most cost-efficient
alternative to MTBE to meet the current RFG oxygen mandate.\4\ State
bans on MTBE went into effect in 2004 for California, New York, and
Connecticut, where approximately one-third of all RFG is sold. The
amount of ethanol sold in these three states increased by approximately
1 billion gallons between 2002 and 2004. But ethanol use has increased
steadily over the last five years in other RFG areas and in
conventional gasoline as well for reasons not associated with MTBE
bans. We believe that these increases in ethanol use are due primarily
to the beneficial economics of blending ethanol into gasoline as
gasoline prices have risen. If the market forces that led to the rising
demand for ethanol over the last several years continue into the
future, ethanol consumption could easily reach 4.0 billion gallons in
2006.\5\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ The Energy Act contains a provision requiring the Agency to
promulgate regulations eliminating the oxygen mandate for RFG by May
5, 2006.
\5\ Data from EIA's Monthly Energy Review indicates that ethanol
production in the first half of 2005 was 6.8% higher than the same
period in 2004. Extrapolated through 2006, this trend would result
in just over 4.0 billion gallons produced in 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to ethanol consumption trends, import trends also
suggest that the supply of ethanol will increase into 2006. According
to EIA, imports of ethanol increased significantly in 2004, totaling
nearly 150 million gallons.\6\ This volume represents a more than ten-
fold increase from each of the previous two years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ Petroleum Supply Annual 2004, vol. 2. Table 20.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Biodiesel production has also risen significantly in the last
several years, and further supports our belief that total renewable
fuel volumes in 2006 will exceed 4.0 billion gallons. Figure III.B-3
shows the volumes of biodiesel production in the U.S. in recent years.
[[Page 77358]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP30DE05.145
If the trends shown in Figure III.B-3 continue into 2006, there
could be as much as 35 million gallons of biodiesel produced. If the
ethanol import volumes of 150 million gallons per year continue into
2006, then an additional total of nearly 0.2 billion gallons of
renewable fuel may be consumed in the U.S. in 2006 in addition to the
ethanol production estimates. Thus the total projected volume of
renewable fuel consumed in 2006 would be about 4.2 billion gallons
instead of the 4.0 billion gallons we estimated above.
An evaluation of expanding ethanol production capacity also points
towards 2006 ethanol volumes easily exceeding 4 billion gallons. For
instance, Table III.B-1 shows data from the Renewable Fuels Association
for existing and underway ethanol production capacity in the U.S. for
the past several years.\7\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ 2003 source: Ethanol Industry Outlook 2004, RFA, February
2004. 2004 source: Ethanol Industry Outlook 2005, RFA, February
2005. 2005 source: ``U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production Capacity'',
Renewable Fuels Association. Update September 2005. https://
www.ethanolrfa/eth--prod--fnc.html.
Table III.B.--U.S. Ethanol Production Capacity
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number of production plants Production capacity (million
-------------------------------- gal per year)
-------------------------------
Existing Underway Existing Underway
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 (December)................................. 72 15 3,101 598
2004 (December)................................. 81 16 3,644 754
2005 (October).................................. 89 21 4,159 1,249
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The average new ethanol plant or plant expansion takes about 14
months to complete, though the time required can range from a few
months to over two years.\8\ Based on target construction completion
dates in Ethanol Producer Magazine, we estimate that, of the 1,249 mgpy
of production capacity underway as of October of 2005, 232 mgpy will be
online by the end of 2005. At least another 895 mgpy will be online
sometime in 2006. However, accounting for the fact that different
facilities will come online at different points throughout 2006, the
total annual increase in capacity will be roughly 352 mgpy. The total
amount of ethanol production capacity for 2006 is thus expected to be
4,743 mgpy. Actual ethanol production has historically been a very
large fraction of production capacity as demand increased, generally
exceeding ninety percent. As a result these figures strongly suggest
that production in 2006 is very likely to be greater than 4 billion
gallons.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\8\ ``Ethanol Plant Construction'', Ethanol Producer Magazine,
October 2005. Page 30.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Two other analyses support our expectation that 2006 ethanol
production volumes will exceed 4 billion gallons. The EIA made its own
projections of ethanol production in 2006 using its National Energy
Modeling System, an annual forecasting tool.\9\ In addition to
evaluating various versions of the RFS program prior to enactment of
the Energy Policy Act of 2005, the EIA also modeled a case in which no
RFS program existed. In that event, EIA projected that total annual
ethanol consumption in 2006 would be 4.6 billion gallons.
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\9\ ``Renewable Fuels Legislation Impact Analysis'', Energy
Information Administration, July 2005. https://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/
servicerpt/jeffords/.
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The U.S. Department of Agriculture has also made projections of
ethanol production under a scenario in which no RFS program is assumed.
Their most recent ``Baseline Projections'' apply to all years between
2006 and 2014, and are based on an analysis of the major forces and
uncertainties affecting future agricultural markets.\10\ This analysis
included such factors as trade, farm income, food prices, weather,
international developments, and other macroeconomic conditions
affecting the production of corn and other crops used for the
production of ethanol. In association with this analysis, total ethanol
production in 2006 was projected to be 4.18 billion gallons. Again,
considering ethanol imports and biodiesel production, actual renewable
[[Page 77359]]
fuel consumption could be as high as 4.4 billion gallons in this
scenario.
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\10\ ``USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections to 2014,''
February 2005 (OCE-2005-1).
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There are other important, though less quantitative, indicators of
growth in the ethanol industry. For instance, in response to increasing
trading volume, the Chicago Board of Trade recently announced that it
is expanding the number of ethanol futures contracts available.\11\
Also, the New York Mercantile Exchange will now offer a New York Harbor
ethanol blendstock (RBOB) gasoline futures contract that will replace
the MTBE-blended gasoline based contract.
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\11\ Renewable Fuel News, Hart Energy Publishing. Sept. 26,
2005. Page 4.
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In addition to simple volume projections from past years, we also
believe that ethanol production will exceed 4 billion gallons in 2006
due to the favorable economics currently associated with it.
Historically the 51[cent]/gal federal excise tax credit and various
state and local credits have provided sufficient economic incentive to
overcome the higher production costs of ethanol compared to the
production costs of the gasoline it displaces. As a result, demand for
ethanol has steadily increased over the years, aided by the RFG oxy
mandate and state MTBE bans. However, the increase in crude oil prices
in recent years has dramatically increased the production cost of
gasoline. Although the price of natural gas used in ethanol production
has also risen in recent years, ethanol production costs have remained
relatively stable in comparison to gasoline and thus the economic
incentive to blend ethanol into gasoline has risen significantly. A
similar incentive also now exists for biodiesel in the wake of its
recently enacted excise tax subsidy. As long as crude prices remain
high, this incentive to blend ethanol and biodiesel into conventional
fuels is anticipated to continue. Other factors that have historically
been important such as octane, and even the RFG oxygen mandate, are
expected to be much less important in 2006. Ethanol's value simply as a
extender for gasoline volume is sufficient to keep demand high. Also,
with refineries operating at or near capacity and the demand for
gasoline increasing in the U.S., the phaseout of MTBE could result in a
potential reduction of gasoline volume. We expect that many refiners
will use ethanol to replace the lost octane and volume associated with
the phaseout of MTBE.
As a result of these favorable economics, despite the removal of
the oxy mandate for RFG as required by the Act, we do not anticipate
any overall reduction in demand for ethanol next year. The Act provides
for immediate elimination in California of the statutory requirement
for oxygen in RFG, and 270 days after enactment for the rest of the
country.\12\ Although the elimination of the oxygen requirement has the
potential to reduce ethanol use in some RFG areas, given the strong
economic incentive to blend ethanol, its use is expected to rise in
others, offsetting any impact. State-mandated ethanol requirements will
only solidify this conclusion. Currently, three states mandate the use
of ethanol in all gasoline through a state renewable fuels standard:
Minnesota, Hawaii, and Montana. Other states may follow in the future--
currently state legislators in Illinois, Missouri and Michigan have
been discussing introducing similar legislation in those states.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\12\ Although the Act provides for the elimination of oxygen
from RFG, EPA is still required to revise the appropriate sections
of the CFR to allow RFG without oxygen to be sold. For purposes of
this analysis, we are assuming that such regulatory revision would
occur no later than March, 2006 for California, and by May, 2006
(i.e., by 270 days from enactment) for the rest of the U.S. We
expect to put out a rule in early 2006 adressing this issue.
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IV. Our Proposed Program for 2006
For calendar year 2006, we are proposing a collective approach to
compliance that implements the default 2.78 percent standard. This
section describes our proposed 2006 program in detail, including our
proposed definition of liable parties under the standard and our
proposed mechanism for addressing any potential failure to meet the
2.78 percent collectively.
A. Liable Parties
For calendar year 2006, the Act states that if EPA fails to issue
comprehensive regulations establishing the renewable fuel program then
``the percentage of renewable fuel in gasoline sold or dispensed to
consumers in the United States on a volume basis, shall be 2.78 percent
for calendar year 2006.'' The default standard goes into effect
independently; that is, no regulations are required to implement the
default standard. EPA believes, however, that regulations are
nevertheless necessary to clarify how the standard is to be interpreted
and implemented.
While the Act provides that the renewable fuel obligation
determined pursuant to the long-term RFS program shall ``be applicable
to refineries, blenders, and importers, as appropriate,'' the Act does
not provide this level of specificity for the default RFS standard for
2006. We are proposing that compliance with the default standard be
determined based on the efforts of the collective refining, importing
and blending industries. Small refineries would be excluded from
liability in the 2006 collective compliance determination. However,
since the statutory language regarding the default standard indicates
that compliance should be based on gasoline sold or dispensed to
consumers in the United States, the gasoline produced by small refiners
as well as the ethanol used in gasoline produced by small refineries
would be counted in performing the compliance calculations.
The regulations would provide that refiners, blenders and importers
have collectively met the standard if the volume of renewable fuels
used in gasoline sold in the U.S. in calendar year 2006 is equal to or
greater than 2.78 percent. Thus if the standard is achieved
collectively, then every individual refiner, blender or importer will
be in compliance with the standard. This means that an individual
refiner may use less than 2.78 percent in the gasoline it refines,
imports or blends, but would not be in violation of the standard as
long as the 2.78 percent is met or exceeded in the aggregate by all
parties in these industries. If the 2.78 percent default standard is
not met collectively, then our proposed regulations would provide for a
deficit carryover to 2007 that would apply collectively to all liable
parties in 2007. There would be no other consequence for collective
failure to meet the 2.78 percent standard in 2006.
B. How Would Compliance Be Determined?
This section describes the activities that would be required of
liable parties under the default standard, the types of renewable fuels
that would be counted, and the mechanism through which the Agency will
determine compliance with the default standard for 2006.
1. Activities Required of Liable Parties
For the collective compliance determination, EPA will calculate the
actual volume percent of renewable fuel for 2006 using gasoline and
ethanol consumption volumes reported by EIA for 2006, supplemented by
readily available information on consumption volumes for other
renewable fuels. Thus, individual refiners, importers and blenders will
not be required to demonstrate compliance with the default standard.
EPA will evaluate whether the default standard has been met
collectively by use of readily available information. Individual
companies will not be required to keep records of volumes of ethanol
purchased
[[Page 77360]]
for purposes of compliance with this rule.
2. Renewable Fuels Accounting for Compliance Purposes
Under our proposed regulations, EPA would calculate the total
volume of renewable fuel to account for all ethanol and non-ethanol
renewable fuels used in motor fuel in 2006, including ethanol made from
cellulosic or waste feedstocks and biodiesel. We would use information
on the volumes of these renewable fuels that can be obtained from
available sources. We propose that one gallon of cellulosic biomass or
waste-derived ethanol count as 2.5 gallons of renewable fuel, following
the prescription in Section 211(o)(4) of the Clean Air Act as amended
by the Energy Policy Act of 2005.
Although the statutory language regarding the default standard
indicates that compliance should be based on renewable fuel in
gasoline, we believe that biodiesel should also be included even though
it is not blended into gasoline. Not only is biodiesel included within
the definition of renewable fuel, but in the context of the long-term
RFS program biodiesel can be counted as a component of the renewable
fuel pool for use in compliance calculations even though the RFS
standard is also based on the percentage use of renewable fuel in
gasoline. We further propose that one gallon of biodiesel be counted as
one gallon of renewable fuel in the context of 2006 compliance with the
default standard. We will revisit the credit value of biodiesel and
other renewable fuels in the context of the comprehensive rulemaking
implementing the full RFS program, and our approach in this rulemaking
is not intended to establish a precedent for our decision there.
3. EPA Determination of Collective Compliance With the Default Standard
We are proposing that the default standard has been met if the
volume percent of renewable fuel used in gasoline sold in the U.S. in
2006 is collectively greater than or equal to 2.78 percent. While small
refineries are not considered liable parties under the collective
compliance approach, we would include the volume of gasoline produced
by small refineries as well as the amount of ethanol used in such
gasoline in determining whether the 2.78 percent default standard has
been met. We believe that including volumes of gasoline and ethanol
from small refiners is consistent with the plain language of the
default standard, which calls for 2.78 percent renewable fuel in
``gasoline sold or dispensed to consumers.''
We propose to primarily use data published by EIA in determining
compliance with the default standard. We have identified the Monthly
Energy Review as the most appropriate source.\13\ Ethanol is available
in Table 10.1,\14\ while gasoline volumes are available under ``Product
Supplied'' in Table 3.4. Volumes of other renewable fuels that may not
be available through EIA publications will be estimated based on
information from other readily available and reliable sources.
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\13\ The Monthly Energy Review for March 2007 is expected to
contain data through December 2006.
\14\ Fuel ethanol consumption in trillion Btu must be converted
into gallons using the higher heating value of 3.539 million Btu per
barrel, per Table A1.
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If the default standard has been met on a collective basis, all
refiners, importers and blenders would be deemed to be in compliance
whether or not they individually used 2.78 percent ethanol in gasoline.
If the default standard has not been met on a collective basis, we
propose that an appropriate volume of renewable fuel be carried forward
to the 2007 volume obligation which would then be implemented and
enforced under the full RFS rule. The additional renewable fuel that is
carried forward is termed the ``deficit carryover''. In such an
instance, no individual refiner, blender or importer is held liable for
the default 2006 standard not being met. Rather, the RFS standard for
2007 would be adjusted to account for any deficit carryover.
Today's rule would provide that a deficit carryover will be
required if the 2.78 percent standard is not met. The size of the
deficit would be determined with respect to the 2.78 percent default
standard. As a result, the minimum necessary volume of renewable fuel
consumed in 2006 and the size of any deficit carryover volume will be
dependent upon the volume of gasoline consumed. The following examples
illustrate how the standard would work, and how the deficit carryover
would be calculated.
(A) Renewable volume percent is greater than 2.78%:
Actual 2006 gasoline volume: 136.8 bill gal
Actual 2006 renewable volume: 3.90 bill gal
Calculated percent: Actual renewable
volume/actual
gasoline volume =
3.9/136.8 = 2.85%
Result: Standard has been
met; no deficit
carryover to 2007
(B) Renewable volume percent is less than 2.78%:
Actual 2006 gasoline volume: 139.8 bill gal
Actual 2006 renewable volume: 3.8 bill gal
Calculated percent: Actual renewable
volume/actual
gasoline volume =
3.8/139.8 = 2.72%
Result: Standard has not
been met. Amount of
renewable fuel
needed to achieve
2.78%: (2.78%-
2.72%) x (actual
gasoline used) =
0.06% x 139.8 bill
gallon = 0.08
billion gallons.
The 0.08 billion
gallons is added to
the RFS goal for
2007, resulting in
a modified goal of
4.78 billion gal/yr
of renewable fuel.
Although the Act requires EPA to publish the standard applicable to
2007 by November 30, 2006, the data on actual gasoline and renewable
fuel volumes consumed in all of 2006 will not be available at that
time. As a result, the addition of any deficit carryover to 2007, if
one is necessary, could occur no sooner than early 2007. Under these
circumstances, we expect that we would adjust the 2007 standard to
account for a carryover from 2006, if necessary, at such time as the
data for 2006 are available and in a manner consistent with the
regulations that will apply to 2007.
C. No Role for Credit Trading
The Act provides for the regulations implementing the long term RFS
to allow for credit generation and trading, and we will develop a
credit trading program under the full RFS program rule. Today's rule
allows for the industry to comply with the default standard on a
collective basis, providing no basis for setting up an individual
credit generation and trading program, as will be done for the long
term RFS program. For the default standard in
[[Page 77361]]
2006, companies do not have an individual standard to meet, so there is
no basis for determining that they have done more or less than is
required of them individually, which is the basis for generating or
needing credits. Therefore, under today's rule, individual companies
that exceed the 2.78 percent default standard do not generate credits,
and there are no credits to trade or sell to other companies. Also, no
credits are generated that can be used toward compliance with RFS
requirements after 2006.
V. Public Participation
We request comments on all aspects of this proposal. The comment
period for this proposed rule will end 30 days after publication in the
Federal Register.
If you would like to speak at a public hearing on this proposed
rule, please contact us within 15 days of publication of the proposal
in the Federal