Notice of Availability of Draft Report for Comment: “Estimating Loss-of-Coolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the Elicitation Process,” NUREG-1829, 57901-57903 [05-19790]

Download as PDF Federal Register / Vol. 70, No. 191 / Tuesday, October 4, 2005 / Notices T2B3, 11545 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852–2738. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mohammad S. Saba, telephone (301) 415–7608; e-mail mss@nrc.gov of the Office of Nuclear Material Safety and Safeguards, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC 20555– 0001. Conduct of the Meeting Leon S. Malmud, M.D., will chair the meeting. Dr. Malmud will conduct the meeting in a manner that will facilitate the orderly conduct of business. The following procedures apply to public participation in the meeting: 1. Persons who wish to provide a written statement should submit a reproducible copy to Mohammad S. Saba, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Mail Stop T8F03, Washington, DC 20555. Alternatively, an e-mail can be submitted to mss@nrc.gov. Submittals must be postmarked or emailed by October 3, 2005 and must pertain to the topics on the agenda for the meeting. 2. Questions from members of the public will be permitted during the meeting, at the discretion of the Chairman. 3. The transcript and written comments will be available for inspection on NRC’s Web site (www.nrc.gov) and at the NRC Public Document Room, 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852–2738, telephone (800) 397–4209, on or about January 26, 2006. This meeting will be held in accordance with the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended (primarily Section 161a); the Federal Advisory Committee Act (5 U.S.C. App); and the Commission’s regulations in Title 10, U.S. Code of Federal Regulations, Part 7. 4. Attendees are requested to notify Mohammad S. Saba at (301) 415–7608 of their planned attendance if special services, such as for the hearing impaired, are necessary. Dated at Rockville, Maryland, this 29th day of September, 2005. For the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Andrew L. Bates, Advisory Committee Management Officer. [FR Doc. 05–19791 Filed 10–3–05; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 7590–01–P NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Sunshine Act Meetings Weeks of October 3, 10, 17, 24, 31, November 7, 2005. DATE: VerDate Aug<31>2005 16:55 Oct 03, 2005 Jkt 205001 Commissioners’ Conference Room, 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, Maryland STATUS: Public and Closed. MATTERS TO BE CONSIDERED: PLACE: Week of October 3, 2005 There are no meetings scheduled for the Week of October 3, 2005. Week of October 10, 2005—Tentative There are no meetings scheduled for the Week of October 10, 2005. Week of October 17, 2005—Tentative Tuesday, October 18, 2005 9:30 a.m.—Briefing on Decommissioning Activities and Status (Public Meeting) This meeting will be webcast live at the Web address—https://www.nrc.gov. 57901 aks@nrc.gov. 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[FR Doc. 05–19920 Filed 9–30–05; 9:58 am] BILLING CODE 7590–01–M Week of October 24, 2005—Tentative Wednesday, October 26, 2005 1:30 p.m. Discussion of Security Issues (Closed-Ex. 1) Thursday, October 27, 2005 10 a.m. Discussion of Security Issues (Closed-Ex. 1) Week of October 31, 2005—Tentative Tuesday, November 1, 2005 9:30 a.m.—Briefing on Implementation of Davis-Besse Lessons Learned Task Force (DBLLTF) Recommendations (Public Meeting) This meeting will be webcast live at the Web address—https://www.nrc.gov. Week of November 7, 2005—Tentative There are no meetings scheduled for the Week of November 7, 2005. The schedule for Commission meetings is subject to change on short notice. To verify the status of meetings call (recording)—(301) 415–1292. Contact person for more information: Michelle Schroll, (301) 415–1662. * * * * * The NRC Commission Meeting Schedule can be found on the Internet at: https://www.nrc.gov/what-we-do/ policy-making/schedule.html. * * * * * The NRC provides reasonable accommodation to individuals with disabilities where appropriate. If you need a reasonable accommodation to participate in these public meetings, or need this meeting notice or the transcript or other information from the public meetings in another format (e.g. braile, large print), please notify the NRC’s Disability Program Coordinator, August Spector, at 301–415–7080, TDD: 301–415–2100, or by e-mail at PO 00000 Frm 00049 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Notice of Availability of Draft Report for Comment: ‘‘Estimating Loss-ofCoolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the Elicitation Process,’’ NUREG–1829 Nuclear Regulatory Commission. ACTION: Notice of availability and request for comments. AGENCY: Written comments must be provided by November 30, 2005. Background: In support of an effort to develop a risk-informed revision of the emergency core cooling system (ECCS) requirements for commercial nuclear power plants, estimates of loss-ofcoolant accident (LOCA) frequencies have been developed which will enable redefinition of the design-basis break size for these requirements. These LOCA frequency estimates have been developed using an expert elicitation process by consolidating service history data and insights from probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) studies with knowledge of plant design, operation, and material performance. This expert elicitation to develop LOCA frequency estimates is described in draft NUREG– 1829, ‘‘Estimating Loss-of-Coolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the Elicitation Process’’ (June 2005). The ECCS requirements in the United States are contained in 10 CFR 50.46, Appendix K to Part 50, and General Design Criterion (GDC) 35. Specifically, ECCS design, reliability, and operating requirements exist to ensure that the system can successfully mitigate postulated LOCAs. Consideration of an DATES: E:\FR\FM\04OCN1.SGM 04OCN1 57902 Federal Register / Vol. 70, No. 191 / Tuesday, October 4, 2005 / Notices instantaneous break with a flow rate equivalent to a double-ended guillotine break (DEGB) of the largest primary piping system in the plant generally provides the limiting condition in the required 10 CFR Part 50, Appendix K analysis. However, the DEGB is widely recognized as an extremely unlikely event, so NRC staff is performing a riskinformed revision of the design-basis break size requirements. A central consideration in selecting a risk-informed design basis break size is an evaluation of the LOCA frequency as a function of break size. The most recent NRC-sponsored study of pipe break failure frequencies is contained in NUREG/CR–5750 (Poloski, 1999). Unfortunately, these estimates are not sufficient for design basis break size selection because they do not address all current passive-system degradation concerns (e.g., primary water stress corrosion cracking) and they do not discriminate among breaks having effective diameters greater than 6 inches. There have been two approaches traditionally used to estimate LOCA frequencies and their relationship to pipe size: (i) Estimates based on statistical analysis of service experience data and (ii) PFM analysis of specific postulated failure mechanisms. Neither approach is fully suitable for evaluating LOCA event frequencies due to the rarity of these events and the modeling complexity. This study used an expert elicitation process, which is well- recognized for quantifying phenomenological knowledge when data or modeling approaches are insufficient. Elicitation responses from a panel of 12 experts determined individual LOCA frequency estimates for the 5th percentile, median, mean and 95th percentile of the frequency distribution for each of six LOCA categories. Group estimates were determined by aggregating the individual estimates using the geometric mean of the individual estimates for each frequency parameter (i.e., median, mean, 5th and 95th percentiles). Group variability was estimated by calculating 95% confidence bounds for each of the group frequency parameters. A number of sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the effects on the quantitative results from variation of the assumptions, structure and techniques of the baseline analysis procedure. Solicitation of Comments: The NRC seeks comments on the report and is especially interested in comments on the following questions: 1. Is the structure of the expert elicitation process appropriate for the stated problem and goals of the study? 2. Are the assumptions and methodology of the analysis framework used to process the panel responses appropriate and reasonable? Are they consistent with the type of information provided by the expert panel and the goals of the study? 3. Is the geometric mean aggregation methodology appropriate for the panel responses and the study goals? Should other aggregation methodologies be considered and what are their advantages and disadvantages? Comment Period: The NRC will consider all written comments received before November 30, 2005. To facilitate the comment process the NRC will conduct a workshop on October 31, 2005, to be held in room O4B6 at NRC Headquarters, 11545 Rockville Pike, Rockville, Maryland. In the workshop, the staff will provide an overview of the report and address clarification of items identified by the public. A preliminary agenda is attached. A separate notice will be published in the Federal Register announcing the public workshop. Comments received after November 30, 2005, will be considered if time permits. Comments should be addressed to the contact listed below. Availability: An electronic version of the report and the accompanying experts’ raw data files, are available electronically at https://www.nrc.gov/ reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/staff/ sr1829/ and through the NRC’s Electronic Reading Room at https:// www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/adams.html. From the latter site, you can access the NRC’s Agencywide Document Access and Management System (ADAMS), which provides text and image files of NRC’s public documents. The ADAMS accession numbers for the documents related to this notice are: Document title ADAMS accession No. File format NUREG–1829 ..................................................................................................................................... BWR Non-piping Raw Data for NUREG–1829 .................................................................................. BWR Piping Raw Data for NUREG–1829 ......................................................................................... PWR Non-piping Raw Data for NUREG–1829 .................................................................................. PWR Piping Raw Data for NUREG–1829 ......................................................................................... ML051520574 ML051580341 ML051580344 ML051580346 ML051580347 Adobe Acrobat Document. Microsoft Excel Worksheet. Microsoft Excel Worksheet. Microsoft Excel Worksheet. Microsoft Excel Worksheet. If you do not have access to ADAMS or if there are problems in accessing the documents located in ADAMS, contact the NRC Public Document Room (PDR) Reference staff at 1–800–397–4209, 301– 415–4737, or by e-mail to pdr@nrc.gov. These documents may also be viewed electronically on the public computers located at the NRC’s PDR, O1F21, One White Flint North, 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852. The PDR reproduction contractor will copy documents for a fee. facsimile number: (301) 415–5074, email cag2@nrc.gov. Dated at Rockville, Maryland, this 19th day of September 2005. Attachment—Preliminary Agenda Public Workshop on Draft Report for Comment: ‘‘Estimating Loss-of-Coolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the Elicitation Process,’’ NUREG–1829 October 31, 2005—9 a.m.–12 p.m., Room O–4B6 Dr. Charles A. Greene, Mail Stop T10E10, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 11545 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852, telephone (301) 415–6177, FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: VerDate Aug<31>2005 16:55 Oct 03, 2005 Jkt 205001 PO 00000 For the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Andrea Lee, Acting Branch Chief, Materials Engineering Branch, Division of Engineering Technology, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research. Preliminary Agenda 9 a.m.–9:15 a.m.—Introduction 9:15 a.m.–9:45 a.m.—Overview of NUREG–1829 Frm 00050 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 E:\FR\FM\04OCN1.SGM 04OCN1 Federal Register / Vol. 70, No. 191 / Tuesday, October 4, 2005 / Notices 9:45 a.m.–10:15 a.m.—Discussion of clarification of items identified by the public 10:15 a.m.–10:30 a.m.—Break 10:30 a.m.–12 noon—Clarification of items identified by the audience 12 noon—Adjourn • Brenda Aguilar, OPM Desk Officer, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, Office of Management and Budget, New Executive Office Building NW., Room 10235, Washington, DC 20503. [FR Doc. 05–19790 Filed 10–3–05; 8:45 am] Madeline Gonzalez, (202) 606–2838; fax (202) 606–4264; or e-mail payperformance-policy@opm.gov. BILLING CODE 7590–01–P Submission for OMB Review; Comment Request for Extension of an Expiring Information Collection: Establishment Information Form, Wage Data Collection Form, Wage Data Collection Continuation Form DD 1918, DD 1919, and DD 1919C Office of Personnel Management. ACTION: Notice. AGENCY: Office of Personnel Management. Linda M. Springer, Director. [FR Doc. 05–19903 Filed 10–3–05; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 6325–39–P Under the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–13, May 22, 1995), the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) has submitted to the Office of Management and Budget a request for extension of three previously-approved information collection forms for which approval will soon expire. The Establishment Information Form, the Wage Data Collection Form, and the Wage Data Collection Continuation Form are wage survey forms developed by OPM for use by the Department of Defense to establish prevailing wage rates for Federal Wage System employees. The Department of Defense contacts approximately 21,200 businesses annually to determine the level of wages paid by private enterprise establishments for representative jobs common to both private industry and the Federal Government. Each survey collection requires 1–4 hours of respondent burden, resulting in a total yearly burden of approximately 75,800 hours. For copies of this proposal, contact Mary Beth Smith-Toomey on (202) 606– 8358, fax (202) 418–3251, or e-mail mbtoomey@opm.gov. Please include a mailing address with your request. DATES: Submit comments on or before November 3, 2005. ADDRESSES: Send or deliver comments to: • Donald J. Winstead, Deputy Associate Director for Pay and Performance Policy, Office of Personnel Management, Room 7H31, 1900 E Street, NW., Washington, DC 20415– 8200; fax (202) 606–4264; or e-mail payperformance-policy@opm.gov; and SUMMARY: 16:55 Oct 03, 2005 OPM published notice of its intention to request an extension of the information collection wage survey forms in the Federal Register on May 24, 2005 (70 FR 29809). OPM received no comments. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: OFFICE OF PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT VerDate Aug<31>2005 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jkt 205001 Excepted Service Office of Personnel Management. AGENCY: Notice. SUMMARY: This gives notice of OPM decisions granting authority to make appointments under Schedules A, B, and C in the excepted service as required by 5 CFR 6.6 and 213.103. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Quasette Crowner, Chief, Executive Resources Group, Center for Leadership and Executive Resources Policy, Division for Strategic Human Resources Policy, by phone, 202–606–8046. Appearing in the listing below are the individual authorities established under Schedules A, B, and C between August 1, 2005, and August 31, 2005. Future notices will be published on the fourth Tuesday of each month, or as soon as possible thereafter. A consolidated listing of all authorities as of June 30 is published each year. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Schedule A No Schedule A appointments were approved for August 2005. Schedule B No Schedule B appointments were approved for August 2005. Schedule C The following Schedule C appointments were approved during August 2005: PO 00000 Frm 00051 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 Executive Office of Council on Environmental Quality EQGS00018 Associate Director for Congressional Affairs to the Chairman (Council on Environmental Quality). Effective August 25, 2005. Office of Management and Budget BOGS00041 Deputy Press Secretary to the Associate Director, Strategic Planning and Communications. Effective August 02, 2005. Office of Science and Technology Policy TSGS60037 Deputy Chief of Staff to the Chief of Staff. Effective August 23, 2005. TSGS60034 Public Affairs Specialist to the Chief of Staff and General Counsel. Effective August 25, 2005. Section 213.3304 Department of State DSGS60981 Staff Assistant to the Under Secretary for Arms Control and Security Affairs. Effective August 05, 2005. DSGS60986 Senior Advisor to the Under Secretary for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs. Effective August 12, 2005. OFFICE OF PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT ACTION: Section 213.3303 the President 57903 Section 213.3305 Department of the Treasury DYGS60414 Executive Assistant to the Deputy Secretary of the Treasury. Effective August 05, 2005. DYGS00461 Senior Advisor to the Assistant Secretary (Tax Policy). Effective August 23, 2005. Section 213.3306 Department of the Defense DDGS16886 Public Affairs Specialist to the Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Public Affairs. Effective August 10, 2005. DDGS16887 Special Assistant to the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics). Effective August 30, 2005. Section 213.3307 Department of the Army DWGS60082 Personal Confidential Assistant to the Under Secretary of the Army. Effective August 12, 2005. Section 213.3310 Department of Justice DJGS00251 Director of Advance to the Chief of Staff. Effective August 05, 2005. DJGS00339 Special Assistant to the Attorney General. Effective August 05, 2005. DJGS00370 Confidential Assistant to the Attorney General. Effective August 05, 2005. E:\FR\FM\04OCN1.SGM 04OCN1

Agencies

[Federal Register Volume 70, Number 191 (Tuesday, October 4, 2005)]
[Notices]
[Pages 57901-57903]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 05-19790]


-----------------------------------------------------------------------

NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION


Notice of Availability of Draft Report for Comment: ``Estimating 
Loss-of-Coolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the Elicitation 
Process,'' NUREG-1829

AGENCY: Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

ACTION: Notice of availability and request for comments.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

DATES: Written comments must be provided by November 30, 2005.
    Background: In support of an effort to develop a risk-informed 
revision of the emergency core cooling system (ECCS) requirements for 
commercial nuclear power plants, estimates of loss-of-coolant accident 
(LOCA) frequencies have been developed which will enable redefinition 
of the design-basis break size for these requirements. These LOCA 
frequency estimates have been developed using an expert elicitation 
process by consolidating service history data and insights from 
probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) studies with knowledge of plant 
design, operation, and material performance. This expert elicitation to 
develop LOCA frequency estimates is described in draft NUREG-1829, 
``Estimating Loss-of-Coolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the 
Elicitation Process'' (June 2005).
    The ECCS requirements in the United States are contained in 10 CFR 
50.46, Appendix K to Part 50, and General Design Criterion (GDC) 35. 
Specifically, ECCS design, reliability, and operating requirements 
exist to ensure that the system can successfully mitigate postulated 
LOCAs. Consideration of an

[[Page 57902]]

instantaneous break with a flow rate equivalent to a double-ended 
guillotine break (DEGB) of the largest primary piping system in the 
plant generally provides the limiting condition in the required 10 CFR 
Part 50, Appendix K analysis. However, the DEGB is widely recognized as 
an extremely unlikely event, so NRC staff is performing a risk-informed 
revision of the design-basis break size requirements.
    A central consideration in selecting a risk-informed design basis 
break size is an evaluation of the LOCA frequency as a function of 
break size. The most recent NRC-sponsored study of pipe break failure 
frequencies is contained in NUREG/CR-5750 (Poloski, 1999). 
Unfortunately, these estimates are not sufficient for design basis 
break size selection because they do not address all current passive-
system degradation concerns (e.g., primary water stress corrosion 
cracking) and they do not discriminate among breaks having effective 
diameters greater than 6 inches.
    There have been two approaches traditionally used to estimate LOCA 
frequencies and their relationship to pipe size: (i) Estimates based on 
statistical analysis of service experience data and (ii) PFM analysis 
of specific postulated failure mechanisms. Neither approach is fully 
suitable for evaluating LOCA event frequencies due to the rarity of 
these events and the modeling complexity. This study used an expert 
elicitation process, which is well-recognized for quantifying 
phenomenological knowledge when data or modeling approaches are 
insufficient. Elicitation responses from a panel of 12 experts 
determined individual LOCA frequency estimates for the 5th percentile, 
median, mean and 95th percentile of the frequency distribution for each 
of six LOCA categories. Group estimates were determined by aggregating 
the individual estimates using the geometric mean of the individual 
estimates for each frequency parameter (i.e., median, mean, 5th and 
95th percentiles). Group variability was estimated by calculating 95% 
confidence bounds for each of the group frequency parameters. A number 
of sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the effects on the 
quantitative results from variation of the assumptions, structure and 
techniques of the baseline analysis procedure.
    Solicitation of Comments: The NRC seeks comments on the report and 
is especially interested in comments on the following questions:
    1. Is the structure of the expert elicitation process appropriate 
for the stated problem and goals of the study?
    2. Are the assumptions and methodology of the analysis framework 
used to process the panel responses appropriate and reasonable? Are 
they consistent with the type of information provided by the expert 
panel and the goals of the study?
    3. Is the geometric mean aggregation methodology appropriate for 
the panel responses and the study goals? Should other aggregation 
methodologies be considered and what are their advantages and 
disadvantages?
    Comment Period: The NRC will consider all written comments received 
before November 30, 2005. To facilitate the comment process the NRC 
will conduct a workshop on October 31, 2005, to be held in room O4B6 at 
NRC Headquarters, 11545 Rockville Pike, Rockville, Maryland. In the 
workshop, the staff will provide an overview of the report and address 
clarification of items identified by the public. A preliminary agenda 
is attached. A separate notice will be published in the Federal 
Register announcing the public workshop. Comments received after 
November 30, 2005, will be considered if time permits. Comments should 
be addressed to the contact listed below.
    Availability: An electronic version of the report and the 
accompanying experts' raw data files, are available electronically at 
https://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/staff/sr1829/ and 
through the NRC's Electronic Reading Room at https://www.nrc.gov/
reading-rm/adams.html. From the latter site, you can access the NRC's 
Agencywide Document Access and Management System (ADAMS), which 
provides text and image files of NRC's public documents. The ADAMS 
accession numbers for the documents related to this notice are:

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Document title                   ADAMS accession No.                      File format
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NUREG-1829............................  ML051520574                   Adobe Acrobat Document.
BWR Non-piping Raw Data for NUREG-1829  ML051580341                   Microsoft Excel Worksheet.
BWR Piping Raw Data for NUREG-1829....  ML051580344                   Microsoft Excel Worksheet.
PWR Non-piping Raw Data for NUREG-1829  ML051580346                   Microsoft Excel Worksheet.
PWR Piping Raw Data for NUREG-1829....  ML051580347                   Microsoft Excel Worksheet.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    If you do not have access to ADAMS or if there are problems in 
accessing the documents located in ADAMS, contact the NRC Public 
Document Room (PDR) Reference staff at 1-800-397-4209, 301-415-4737, or 
by e-mail to pdr@nrc.gov.
    These documents may also be viewed electronically on the public 
computers located at the NRC's PDR, O1F21, One White Flint North, 11555 
Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852. The PDR reproduction contractor 
will copy documents for a fee.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Dr. Charles A. Greene, Mail Stop 
T10E10, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 11545 Rockville Pike, 
Rockville, MD 20852, telephone (301) 415-6177, facsimile number: (301) 
415-5074, e-mail cag2@nrc.gov.

    Dated at Rockville, Maryland, this 19th day of September 2005.

    For the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
Andrea Lee,
Acting Branch Chief, Materials Engineering Branch, Division of 
Engineering Technology, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research.

Attachment--Preliminary Agenda

Public Workshop on Draft Report for Comment: ``Estimating Loss-of-
Coolant Accident (LOCA) Frequencies Through the Elicitation Process,'' 
NUREG-1829

October 31, 2005--9 a.m.-12 p.m., Room O-4B6
Preliminary Agenda
9 a.m.-9:15 a.m.--Introduction
9:15 a.m.-9:45 a.m.--Overview of NUREG-1829

[[Page 57903]]

9:45 a.m.-10:15 a.m.--Discussion of clarification of items identified 
by the public
10:15 a.m.-10:30 a.m.--Break
10:30 a.m.-12 noon--Clarification of items identified by the audience
12 noon--Adjourn

[FR Doc. 05-19790 Filed 10-3-05; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 7590-01-P
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