Marketing Order Regulating the Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced in the Far West; Salable Quantities and Allotment Percentages for the 2005-2006 Marketing Year, 14969-14974 [05-5812]
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14969
Rules and Regulations
Federal Register
Vol. 70, No. 56
Thursday, March 24, 2005
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DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 985
[Docket No. FV05–985–1 FR]
Marketing Order Regulating the
Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced in
the Far West; Salable Quantities and
Allotment Percentages for the 2005–
2006 Marketing Year
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: This rule establishes the
quantity of spearmint oil produced in
the Far West, by class, that handlers
may purchase from, or handle for,
producers during the 2005–2006
marketing year, which begins on June 1,
2005. This rule establishes salable
quantities and allotment percentages for
Class 1 (Scotch) spearmint oil of
677,409 pounds and 35 percent,
respectively, and for Class 3 (Native)
spearmint oil of 867,958 pounds and 40
percent, respectively. The Spearmint Oil
Administrative Committee (Committee),
the agency responsible for local
administration of the marketing order
for spearmint oil produced in the Far
West, recommended these limitations
for the purpose of avoiding extreme
fluctuations in supplies and prices to
help maintain stability in the spearmint
oil market.
EFFECTIVE DATE: June 1, 2005, through
May 31, 2006.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Susan M. Hiller, Northwest Marketing
Field Office, Fruit and Vegetable
Programs, AMS, USDA, 1220 SW Third
Avenue, Suite 385, Portland, Oregon
97204; telephone: (503) 326–2724; Fax:
(503) 326–7440; or George Kelhart,
Technical Advisor, Marketing Order
Administration Branch, Fruit and
Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, 1400
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Independence Avenue, SW., STOP
0237, Washington, DC 20250–0237;
telephone: (202) 720–2491; Fax: (202)
720–8938.
Small businesses may request
information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Jay Guerber,
Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington,
DC 20250–0237; Telephone (202) 720–
2491, Fax: (202) 720–8938, or e-mail:
Jay.Guerber@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This final
rule is issued under Marketing Order
No. 985 (7 CFR part 985), as amended,
regulating the handling of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West (Washington,
Idaho, Oregon, and designated parts of
Nevada and Utah), hereinafter referred
to as the ‘‘order.’’ This order is effective
under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7
U.S.C. 601–674), hereinafter referred to
as the ‘‘Act.’’
The Department of Agriculture
(USDA) is issuing this rule in
conformance with Executive Order
12866.
This final rule has been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform. Under the marketing
order now in effect, salable quantities
and allotment percentages may be
established for classes of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West. This rule
establishes the quantity of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West, by class,
which may be purchased from or
handled for producers by handlers
during the 2005–2006 marketing year,
which begins on June 1, 2005. This rule
will not preempt any State or local laws,
regulations, or policies, unless they
present an irreconcilable conflict with
this rule.
The Act provides that administrative
proceedings must be exhausted before
parties may file suit in court. Under
section 608c(15)(A) of the Act, any
handler subject to an order may file
with USDA a petition stating that the
order, any provision of the order, or any
obligation imposed in connection with
the order is not in accordance with law
and request a modification of the order
or to be exempted therefrom. Such
handler is afforded the opportunity for
a hearing on the petition. After the
hearing USDA would rule on the
petition. The Act provides that the
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district court of the United States in any
district in which the handler is an
inhabitant, or has his or her principal
place of business, has jurisdiction to
review USDA’s ruling on the petition,
provided an action is filed not later than
20 days after the date of the entry of the
ruling.
Pursuant to authority in §§ 985.50,
985.51, and 985.52 of the order, the
Committee, with seven of its eight
members present, met on October 6,
2004, and recommended salable
quantities and allotment percentages for
both classes of oil for the 2005–2006
marketing year. The Committee
unanimously recommended the
establishment of a salable quantity and
allotment percentage for Scotch
spearmint oil of 677,409 pounds and 35
percent, respectively. For Native
spearmint oil, the Committee
unanimously recommended the
establishment of a salable quantity and
allotment percentage of 867,958 pounds
and 40 percent, respectively.
This final rule limits the amount of
spearmint oil that handlers may
purchase from, or handle for, producers
during the 2005–2006 marketing year,
which begins on June 1, 2005. Salable
quantities and allotment percentages
have been placed into effect each season
since the order’s inception in 1980.
The U.S. production of Scotch
spearmint oil is concentrated in the Far
West, which includes Washington,
Idaho, and Oregon and a portion of
Nevada and Utah. Scotch spearmint oil
is also produced in the Midwest states
of Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as
well as in the States of Montana, South
Dakota, North Dakota, and Minnesota.
The production area covered by the
marketing order currently accounts for
approximately 68 percent of the annual
U.S. sales of Scotch spearmint oil.
When the order became effective in
1980, the Far West had 72 percent of the
world’s sales of Scotch spearmint oil.
While the Far West is still the leading
producer of Scotch spearmint oil, its
share of world sales is now estimated to
be about 36 percent. This loss in world
sales for the Far West region is directly
attributed to the increase in global
production. Other factors that have
played a significant role include the
overall quality of the imported oil and
technological advances that allow for
more blending of lower quality oils.
Such factors have provided the
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Committee with challenges in
accurately predicting trade demand for
Scotch oil. This, in turn, has made it
difficult to balance available supplies
with demand and to achieve the
Committee’s overall goal of stabilizing
producer and market prices.
The marketing order has continued to
contribute to price and general market
stabilization for Far West producers.
The Committee, as well as spearmint oil
producers and handlers attending the
October 6, 2004, meeting estimated that
the 2004 producer price of Scotch oil
would maintain an average of $10.00
per pound. However, this producer
price is below the cost of production for
most producers as indicated in a study
from the Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service (WSU),
which estimates production costs to be
between $13.50 and $15.00 per pound.
This low level of producer returns has
caused a reduction in acreage. When the
order became effective in 1980, the Far
West region had 9,702 acres of Scotch
spearmint. The acreage of Scotch
spearmint for the 2004–2005 marketing
year has decreased to 4,771 acres. Based
on this acreage, the Committee estimates
that production for the 2004–2005
marketing year will be about 635,508
pounds.
The Committee recommended the
2005–2006 Scotch spearmint oil salable
quantity (677,409 pounds) and
allotment percentage (35 percent)
utilizing sales estimates for 2005–2006
Scotch oil as provided by several of the
industry’s handlers, as well as historical
and current Scotch oil sales levels. The
Committee is estimating that about
650,000 pounds of Scotch spearmint oil,
on average, may be sold during the
2005–2006 marketing year. When
considered in conjunction with the
estimated carry in of 351,427 pounds of
oil on June 1, 2005, the recommended
salable quantity of 677,409 pounds
results in a total available supply of
Scotch spearmint oil during the 2005–
2006 marketing year of about 1,028,836
pounds.
The recommendation for the 2005–
2006 Scotch spearmint oil volume
regulation is consistent with the
Committee’s stated intent of keeping
adequate supplies available at all times,
while attempting to stabilize prices at a
level adequate to sustain the producers.
Furthermore, the recommendation takes
into consideration the industry’s desire
to compete with less expensive oil
produced outside the regulated area.
Although Native spearmint oil
producers are facing market conditions
similar to those affecting the Scotch
spearmint oil market, the market share
is quite different. Over 90 percent of the
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U.S. production of Native spearmint is
produced within the Far West
production area. Also, most of the
world’s supply of Native spearmint is
produced in the U.S.
The supply and demand
characteristics of the Native spearmint
oil market, combined with the
stabilizing impact of the marketing
order, have kept the price relatively
steady, between $9.10 and $9.30 per
pound over the last five years. The
Committee considers this level too low
for the majority of producers to
maintain viability. The WSU study
referenced earlier indicates that the cost
of producing Native spearmint oil
ranges from $10.26 to $10.92 per pound.
Similar to Scotch, the low level of
producer returns has also caused a
reduction in Native spearmint acreage.
When the order became effective in
1980, the Far West region had 12,153
acres of Native spearmint. The acreage
of Native spearmint for the 2004–2005
marketing year has decreased to 4,804
acres. Based on this acreage, the
Committee estimates that production for
the 2004–2005 marketing year will be
about 701,372 pounds.
The Committee recommended the
2005–2006 Native spearmint oil salable
quantity (867,958 pounds) and
allotment percentage (40 percent)
utilizing sales estimates for 2005–2006
Native oil as provided by several of the
industry’s handlers, as well as historical
and current Native oil sales levels. The
Committee is estimating that about
945,000 pounds of Native spearmint oil,
on average, may be sold during the
2005–2006 marketing year. When
considered in conjunction with the
estimated carry-in of 60,000 pounds of
oil on June 1, 2005, the recommended
salable quantity of 867,958 pounds
results in a total available supply of
Native spearmint oil during the 2005–
2006 marketing year of about 927,958
pounds.
The Committee’s method of
calculating the Native spearmint oil
salable quantity and allotment
percentage continues to primarily
utilize information on price and
available supply as they are affected by
the estimated trade demand. The
Committee’s stated intent is to make
adequate supplies available to meet
market needs and improve producer
prices.
The Committee believes that the order
has contributed extensively to the
stabilization of producer prices, which
prior to 1980 experienced wide
fluctuations from year to year.
According to the National Agricultural
Statistics Service, for example, the
average price paid for both classes of
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spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the
period between 1968 and 1980. Prices
since the order’s inception have
generally stabilized at about $9.85 per
pound for Native spearmint oil and at
about $12.93 per pound for Scotch
spearmint oil. However, the current
prices for both classes of oil are below
the average due to several factors,
including the general uncertainty being
experienced through the U.S. economy
and the continuing overall weak farm
situation, as well as an abundant global
supply of spearmint oil. As noted
earlier,—although lower than what
producers believe to be viable—prices
currently appear to be stable at about
$9.50 for both classes of oil.
The Committee based its
recommendation for the proposed
salable quantity and allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint
oil for the 2005–2006 marketing year on
the information discussed above, as well
as the data outlined below.
(1) Class 1 (Scotch) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1,
2005—351,427 pounds. This figure is
the difference between the estimated
2004–2005 marketing year trade
demand of 620,000 pounds and the
2004–2005 marketing year total
available supply of 971,427 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the
2005–2006 marketing year—650,000
pounds. This figure is based on input
from producers at five Scotch spearmint
oil production area meetings held in
September 2004, as well as estimates
provided by handlers and other meeting
participants at the October 6, 2004,
meeting. The average estimated trade
demand provided at the five production
area meetings was 620,867 pounds,
whereas the average handler trade
demand ranged from 600,000 to 650,000
pounds. The average of sales over the
last five years was 761,142 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required from the
2005–2006 marketing year production—
298,573 pounds. This figure is the
difference between the estimated 2005–
2006 marketing year trade demand
(650,000 pounds) and the estimated
carry-in on June 1, 2005 (351,427
pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for
the 2005–2006 marketing year—
1,935,455 pounds. This figure
represents a one-percent increase over
the revised 2004–2005 total allotment
base. This figure is generally revised
each year on June 1 due to producer
base being lost due to the bona fide
effort production provisions of
§ 985.53(e). The revision is usually
minimal.
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(E) Computed allotment percentage—
15.4 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required
salable quantity by the total estimated
allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment
percentage—35 percent. This
recommendation is based on the
Committee’s determination that a
decrease from the current season’s
allotment percentage of 40 percent to
the computed 15.4 percent would not
adequately supply the potential 2005–
2006 market.
(G) The Committee’s recommended
salable quantity—677,409 pounds. This
figure is the product of the
recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the
2005–2006 marketing year—1,028,836
pounds. This figure is the sum of the
2005–2006 recommended salable
quantity (677,409 pounds) and the
estimated carry-in on June 1, 2005
(351,427 pounds).
(2) Class 3 (Native) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1,
2005—60,000 pounds. This figure is the
difference between the estimated 2004–
2005 marketing year trade demand of
1,063,438 pounds and the revised 2004–
2005 marketing year total available
supply of 1,123,438 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the
2005–2006 marketing year—945,000
pounds. This figure is based on input
from producers at the five Native
spearmint oil production area meetings
held in September 2004, as well as
estimates provided by handlers and
other meeting participants at the
October 6, 2004, meeting. The average
estimated trade demand provided at the
five production area meetings was
957,000 pounds, whereas the average
handler estimate was 945,000 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required from the
2005–2006 marketing year production—
885,000 pounds. This figure is the
difference between the estimated 2005–
2006 marketing year trade demand
(945,000 pounds) and the estimated
carry-in on June 1, 2005 (60,000
pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for
the 2005–2006 marketing year—
2,169,894 pounds. This figure
represents a one percent increase over
the revised 2004–2005 total allotment
base. This figure is generally revised
each year on June 1 due to producer
base being lost due to the bona fide
effort production provisions of
§ 985.53(e). The revision is usually
minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage—
40.8 percent. This percentage is
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computed by dividing the required
salable quantity by the total estimated
allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment
percentage—40 percent. This is the
Committee’s recommendation based on
the computed allotment percentage, the
average of the computed allotment
percentage figures from the five
production area meetings (40.6 percent),
and input from producers and handlers
at the October 6, 2004, meeting.
(G) The Committee’s recommended
salable quantity—867,958 pounds. This
figure is the product of the
recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the
2005–2006 marketing year—927,958
pounds. This figure is the sum of the
2005–2006 recommended salable
quantity (867,958 pounds) and the
estimated carry-in on June 1, 2005
(60,000 pounds).
The salable quantity is the total
quantity of each class of spearmint oil,
which handlers may purchase from, or
handle on behalf of producers during a
marketing year. Each producer is
allotted a share of the salable quantity
by applying the allotment percentage to
the producer’s allotment base for the
applicable class of spearmint oil.
The Committee’s recommended
Scotch and Native spearmint oil salable
quantities and allotment percentages of
677,409 pounds and 35 percent and
867,958 and 40 percent, respectively,
are based on the Committee’s goal of
maintaining market stability by avoiding
extreme fluctuations in supplies and
prices and the anticipated supply and
trade demand during the 2005–2006
marketing year. The salable quantities
are not expected to cause a shortage of
spearmint oil supplies. Any
unanticipated or additional market
demand for spearmint oil, which may
develop during the marketing year, can
be satisfied by an increase in the salable
quantities. Both Scotch and Native
spearmint oil producers who produce
more than their annual allotments
during the 2005–2006 marketing year
may transfer such excess spearmint oil
to a producer with spearmint oil
production less than his or her annual
allotment or put it into the reserve pool
until November 1, 2005.
This regulation is similar to
regulations issued in prior seasons.
Costs to producers and handlers
resulting from this rule are expected to
be offset by the benefits derived from a
stable market and improved returns. In
conjunction with the issuance of this
final rule, USDA has reviewed the
Committee’s marketing policy statement
for the 2005–2006 marketing year. The
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14971
Committee’s marketing policy
statement, a requirement whenever the
Committee recommends volume
regulations, fully meets the intent of
§ 985.50 of the order. During its
discussion of potential 2005–2006
salable quantities and allotment
percentages, the Committee considered:
(1) The estimated quantity of salable oil
of each class held by producers and
handlers; (2) the estimated demand for
each class of oil; (3) prospective
production of each class of oil; (4) total
of allotment bases of each class of oil for
the current marketing year and the
estimated total of allotment bases of
each class for the ensuing marketing
year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of
oil, including prices for each class of oil;
and (7) general market conditions for
each class of oil, including whether the
estimated season average price to
producers is likely to exceed parity.
Conformity with the USDA’s
‘‘Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders’’ has
also been reviewed and confirmed.
The establishment of these salable
quantities and allotment percentages
will allow for anticipated market needs.
In determining anticipated market
needs, consideration by the Committee
was given to historical sales, as well as
changes and trends in production and
demand. This rule also provides
producers with information on the
amount of spearmint oil that should be
produced for the 2005–2006 season in
order to meet anticipated market
demand.
Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in
the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), the
Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS)
has considered the economic impact of
this rule on small entities. Accordingly,
AMS has prepared this final regulatory
flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit
regulatory actions to the scale of
business subject to such actions in order
that small businesses will not be unduly
or disproportionately burdened.
Marketing orders issued pursuant to the
Act, and the rules issued thereunder, are
unique in that they are brought about
through group action of essentially
small entities acting on their own
behalf. Thus, both statutes have small
entity orientation and compatibility.
There are eight spearmint oil handlers
subject to regulation under the order,
and approximately 59 producers of
Class 1 (Scotch) spearmint oil and
approximately 91 producers of Class 3
(Native) spearmint oil in the regulated
production area. Small agricultural
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service firms are defined by the Small
Business Administration (SBA) (13 CFR
121.201) as those having annual receipts
of less than $5,000,000, and small
agricultural producers are defined as
those whose annual receipts are less
than $750,000.
Based on the SBA’s definition of
small entities, the Committee estimates
that 2 of the 8 handlers regulated by the
order could be considered small
entities. Most of the handlers are large
corporations involved in the
international trading of essential oils
and the products of essential oils. In
addition, the Committee estimates that
19 of the 59 Scotch spearmint oil
producers and 21 of the 91 Native
spearmint oil producers could be
classified as small entities under the
SBA definition. Thus, a majority of
handlers and producers of Far West
spearmint oil may not be classified as
small entities.
The Far West spearmint oil industry
is characterized by producers whose
farming operations generally involve
more than one commodity, and whose
income from farming operations is not
exclusively dependent on the
production of spearmint oil. A typical
spearmint oil-producing operation has
enough acreage for rotation such that
the total acreage required to produce the
crop is about one-third spearmint and
two-thirds rotational crops. Thus, the
typical spearmint oil producer has to
have considerably more acreage than is
planted to spearmint during any given
season. Crop rotation is an essential
cultural practice in the production of
spearmint oil for weed, insect, and
disease control. To remain economically
viable with the added costs associated
with spearmint oil production, most
spearmint oil-producing farms fall into
the SBA category of large businesses.
Small spearmint oil producers
generally are not as extensively
diversified as larger ones and as such
are more at risk from market
fluctuations. Such small producers
generally need to market their entire
annual crop and do not have the luxury
of having other crops to cushion seasons
with poor spearmint oil returns.
Conversely, large diversified producers
have the potential to endure one or
more seasons of poor spearmint oil
markets because income from alternate
crops could support the operation for a
period of time. Being reasonably assured
of a stable price and market provides
small producing entities with the ability
to maintain proper cash flow and to
meet annual expenses. Thus, the market
and price stability provided by the order
potentially benefit the small producer
more than such provisions benefit large
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producers. Even though a majority of
handlers and producers of spearmint oil
may not be classified as small entities,
the volume control feature of this order
has small entity orientation.
This final rule establishes the quantity
of spearmint oil produced in the Far
West, by class that handlers may
purchase from, or handle for, producers
during the 2005–2006 marketing year.
The Committee recommended this rule
to help maintain stability in the
spearmint oil market by avoiding
extreme fluctuations in supplies and
prices. Establishing quantities to be
purchased or handled during the
marketing year through volume
regulations allows producers to plan
their spearmint planting and harvesting
to meet expected market needs. The
provisions of §§ 985.50, 985.51, and
985.52 of the order authorize this rule.
Instability in the spearmint oil subsector of the mint industry is much
more likely to originate on the supply
side than the demand side. Fluctuations
in yield and acreage planted from
season-to-season tend to be larger than
fluctuations in the amount purchased by
buyers. Demand for spearmint oil tends
to be relatively stable from year-to-year.
The demand for spearmint oil is
expected to grow slowly for the
foreseeable future because the demand
for consumer products that use
spearmint oil will likely expand slowly,
in line with population growth.
Demand for spearmint oil at the farm
level is derived from retail demand for
spearmint-flavored products such as
chewing gum, toothpaste, and
mouthwash. The manufacturers of these
products are by far the largest users of
mint oil. However, spearmint flavoring
is generally a very minor component of
the products in which it is used, so
changes in the raw product price have
no impact on retail prices for those
goods.
Spearmint oil production tends to be
cyclical. Years of large production, with
demand remaining reasonably stable,
have led to periods in which large
producer stocks of unsold spearmint oil
have depressed producer prices for a
number of years. Shortages and high
prices may follow in subsequent years,
as producers respond to price signals by
cutting back production.
The significant variability is
illustrated by the fact that the coefficient
of variation (a standard measure of
variability; ‘‘CV’’) of Far West spearmint
oil production from 1980 through 2003
was about 0.24. The CV for spearmint
oil grower prices was about 0.14, well
below the CV for production. This
provides an indication of the price
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stabilizing impact of the marketing
order.
Production in the shortest marketing
years was about 49 percent of the 24year average (1.875 million pounds from
1980 through 2003) and the largest crop
was approximately 166 percent of the
24-year average. A key consequence is
that in years of oversupply and low
prices the season average producer price
of spearmint oil is below the average
cost of production (as measured by the
Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service.)
The wide fluctuations in supply and
prices that result from this cycle, which
was even more pronounced before the
creation of the marketing order, can
create liquidity problems for some
producers. The marketing order was
designed to reduce the price impacts of
the cyclical swings in production.
However, producers have been less able
to weather these cycles in recent years
because of the decline in prices of many
of the alternative crops they grow. As
noted earlier, almost all spearmint oil
producers diversify by growing other
crops.
In an effort to stabilize prices, the
spearmint oil industry uses the volume
control mechanisms authorized under
the order. This authority allows the
Committee to recommend a salable
quantity and allotment percentage for
each class of oil for the upcoming
marketing year. The salable quantity for
each class of oil is the total volume of
oil that producers may sell during the
marketing year. The allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint
oil is derived by dividing the salable
quantity by the total allotment base.
Each producer is then issued an
annual allotment certificate, in pounds,
for the applicable class of oil, which is
calculated by multiplying the
producer’s allotment base by the
applicable allotment percentage. This is
the amount of oil for the applicable
class that the producer can sell.
By November 1 of each year, the
Committee identifies any oil that
individual producers have produced
above the volume specified on their
annual allotment certificates. This
excess oil is placed in a reserve pool
administered by the Committee.
There is a reserve pool for each class
of oil that may not be sold during the
current marketing year unless USDA
approves a Committee recommendation
to make a portion of the pool available.
However, limited quantities of reserve
oil are typically sold to fill deficiencies.
A deficiency occurs when on-farm
production is less than a producer’s
allotment. In that case, a producer’s own
reserve oil can be sold to fill that
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deficiency. Excess production (higher
than the producer’s allotment) can be
sold to fill other producers’ deficiencies.
In any given year, the total available
supply of spearmint oil is composed of
current production plus carry-over
stocks from the previous crop. The
Committee seeks to maintain market
stability by balancing supply and
demand, and to close the marketing year
with an appropriate level of carryout. If
the industry has production in excess of
the salable quantity, then the reserve
pool absorbs the surplus quantity of
spearmint oil, which goes unsold during
that year, unless the oil is needed for
unanticipated sales.
Under its provisions, the order may
attempt to stabilize prices by (1) limiting
supply and establishing reserves in high
production years, thus minimizing the
price-depressing effect that excess
producer stocks have on unsold
spearmint oil, and (2) ensuring that
stocks are available in short supply
years when prices would otherwise
increase dramatically. The reserve pool
stocks grown in large production years
are drawn down in short crop years.
An econometric model was used to
assess the impact that volume control
has on the prices producers receive for
their commodity. Without volume
control, spearmint oil markets would
likely be over-supplied, resulting in low
producer prices and a large volume of
oil stored and carried over to the next
crop year. The model estimates how
much lower producer prices would
likely be in the absence of volume
controls.
The Committee estimated the
available supply during the 2004–2005
marketing year for both classes of oil at
2,094,865 pounds, and that the expected
carry-in will be 411,427 pounds.
Therefore, with volume control, sales by
producers for the 2005–2006 marketing
year would be limited to 1,545,367
pounds (the recommended salable
quantity for both classes of spearmint
oil).
The recommended salable
percentages, upon which 2005–2006
producer allotments are based, are 35
percent for Scotch and 40 percent for
Native. Without volume controls,
producers would not be limited to these
allotment levels, and could produce and
sell additional spearmint. The
econometric model estimated a $1.60
decline in the season average producer
price per pound (from both classes of
spearmint oil) resulting from the higher
quantities that would be produced and
marketed without volume control. The
Far West producer price for both classes
of spearmint oil was $9.50 for 2003,
which is below the average of $11.26 for
VerDate jul<14>2003
15:02 Mar 23, 2005
Jkt 205001
the period of 1980 through 2003, based
on National Agricultural Statistics
Service data. The surplus situation for
the spearmint oil market that would
exist without volume controls in 2005–
2006 also would likely dampen
prospects for improved producer prices
in future years because of the buildup
in stocks.
The use of volume controls allows the
industry to fully supply spearmint oil
markets while avoiding the negative
consequences of over-supplying these
markets. The use of volume controls is
believed to have little or no effect on
consumer prices of products containing
spearmint oil and will not result in
fewer retail sales of such products.
The Committee discussed alternatives
to the recommendations contained in
this rule for both classes of spearmint
oil. The Committee discussed and
rejected the idea of recommending that
there not be any volume regulation for
Scotch spearmint oil because of the
severe price-depressing effects that
would occur without volume control.
The Committee also considered
various alternative levels of volume
control for Scotch spearmint oil,
including leaving the percentage the
same as the current season, increasing
the percentage to a less restrictive level,
or decreasing the percentage. After
considerable discussion the Committee
unanimously supported decreasing the
percentage to 35 percent.
The Committee discussed and
rejected the idea of recommending that
there not be any volume regulation for
Native spearmint oil. The immediate
result would be to put an excessive
amount of Native reserve pool oil on the
market causing depressed prices at the
producer level. With the current price
for Native spearmint oil lower than the
10-year average, and sales below the 5year average, the Committee, after
considerable discussion, determined
that 867,958 pounds and 40 percent
would be the most effective salable
quantity and allotment percentage,
respectively, for the 2005–2006
marketing year.
As noted earlier, the Committee’s
recommendation to establish salable
quantities and allotment percentages for
both classes of spearmint oil was made
after careful consideration of all
available information, including: (1) The
estimated quantity of salable oil of each
class held by producers and handlers;
(2) the estimated demand for each class
of oil; (3) the prospective production of
each class of oil; (4) the total of
allotment bases of each class of oil for
the current marketing year and the
estimated total of allotment bases of
each class for the ensuing marketing
PO 00000
Frm 00005
Fmt 4700
Sfmt 4700
14973
year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of
oil, including prices for each class of oil;
and (7) general market conditions for
each class of oil, including whether the
estimated season average price to
producers is likely to exceed parity.
Based on its review, the Committee
believes that the salable quantity and
allotment percentage levels
recommended would achieve the
objectives sought.
Without any regulations in effect, the
Committee believes the industry would
return to the pronounced cyclical price
patterns that occurred prior to the order,
and that prices in 2005–2006 would
decline substantially below current
levels.
As stated earlier, the Committee
believes that the order has contributed
extensively to the stabilization of
producer prices, which prior to 1980
experienced wide fluctuations from
year-to-year. National Agricultural
Statistics Service records show that the
average price paid for both classes of
spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the
period between 1968 and 1980. Prices
have been consistently more stable since
the marketing order’s inception in 1980,
with an average price (1980–2003) of
$12.93 per pound for Scotch spearmint
oil and $9.85 per pound for Native
spearmint oil.
During the period of 1998 through
2003, however, large production and
carry-in inventories have contributed to
prices below the 24-year average,
despite the Committee’s efforts to
balance available supplies with
demand. Prices have ranged from $8.00
to $11.00 per pound for Scotch
spearmint oil and between $9.10 and
$10.00 per pound for Native spearmint
oil.
According to the Committee, the
recommended salable quantities and
allotment percentages are expected to
achieve the goals of market and price
stability.
As previously stated, annual salable
quantities and allotment percentages
have been issued for both classes of
spearmint oil since the order’s
inception. Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements have remained the same
for each year of regulation. These
requirements have been approved by the
Office of Management and Budget under
OMB Control No. 0581–0065.
Accordingly, this rule will not impose
any additional reporting or
recordkeeping requirements on either
small or large spearmint oil producers
and handlers. All reports and forms
associated with this program are
reviewed periodically in order to avoid
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Federal Register / Vol. 70, No. 56 / Thursday, March 24, 2005 / Rules and Regulations
unnecessary and duplicative
information collection by industry and
public sector agencies. The USDA has
not identified any relevant Federal rules
that duplicate, overlap, or conflict with
this rule.
The Committee’s meeting was widely
publicized throughout the spearmint oil
industry and all interested persons were
invited to attend the meeting and
participate in Committee deliberations
on all issues. Like all Committee
meetings, the October 6, 2004, meeting
was a public meeting and all entities,
both large and small, were able to
express views on this issue. Finally,
interested persons are invited to submit
information on the regulatory and
informational impacts of this action on
small businesses.
A proposed rule concerning this
action was published in the Federal
Register on January 12, 2005 (70 FR
2027). Copies of the rule were provided
to Committee staff, which in turn made
it available to spearmint oil producers,
handlers, and other interested persons.
Finally, the rule was made available
through the Internet by the Office of the
Federal Register and USDA. A 30-day
comment period ending February 11,
2005, was provided to allow interested
persons to respond to the proposal. No
comments were received.
A small business guide on complying
with fruit, vegetable, and specialty crop
marketing agreements and orders may
be viewed at: https://www.ams.usda.gov/
fv/moab.html. Any questions about the
compliance guide should be sent to Jay
Guerber at the previously mentioned
address in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section.
After consideration of all relevant
matter presented, including the
information and recommendation
submitted by the Committee and other
available information, it is hereby found
that this rule, as hereinafter set forth
will tend to effectuate the declared
policy of the Act.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 985
Marketing agreements, Oils and fats,
Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Spearmint oil.
I For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, 7 CFR part 985 is amended as
follows:
PART 985—MARKETING ORDER
REGULATING THE HANDLING OF
SPEARMINT OIL PRODUCED IN THE
FAR WEST
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part
985 continues to read as follows:
I
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674.
VerDate jul<14>2003
15:02 Mar 23, 2005
Jkt 205001
2. A new § 985.224 is added to read as
follows:
I
(Note: This section will not appear in the
Code of Federal Regulations.)
§ 985.224 Salable quantities and allotment
percentages—2005–2006 marketing year.
The salable quantity and allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint
oil during the marketing year beginning
on June 1, 2005, shall be as follows:
(a) Class 1 (Scotch) oil—a salable
quantity of 677,409 pounds and an
allotment percentage of 35 percent.
(b) Class 3 (Native) oil—a salable
quantity of 867,958 pounds and an
allotment percentage of 40 percent.
Dated: March 18, 2005.
Kenneth C. Clayton,
Acting Administrator, Agricultural Marketing
Service.
[FR Doc. 05–5812 Filed 3–23–05; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 1160
[Docket No. DA–04–04]
Fluid Milk Promotion Order
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: This final rule amends the
Fluid Milk Promotion Order (Order) by
modifying the terms of membership of
the Fluid Milk Promotion Board
(Board). The amendment requires that
any change in a fluid milk processor
member’s employer or change in
ownership of the fluid milk processor
who the member represents would
disqualify that member. The member
would continue to serve on the Board
for a period of up to six months until
a successor was appointed. In addition,
a public member to the Board who
changes employment, gains
employment with a new employer, or
ceases to continue in the same business
would be disqualified in a manner
similar to a fluid milk processor
member. The amendments ensure that
the Board is able to equitably represent
fluid milk processing constituents and
the public interest through the National
Fluid Milk Processor Promotion
Program.
EFFECTIVE DATE: May 1, 2005.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
David R. Jamison, USDA/AMS/Dairy
Programs, Promotion and Research
Branch, Stop 0233—Room 2958–S, 1400
PO 00000
Frm 00006
Fmt 4700
Sfmt 4700
Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20250–0233, (202) 720–
6961, David.Jamison2@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This final
rule has been determined to be not
significant for purposes of Executive
Order 12866 and, therefore, has not
been reviewed by the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB).
This final rule has been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform and is not intended to
have a retroactive effect. This final rule
would not preempt any State or local
laws, regulations, or policies unless they
present an irreconcilable conflict with
this rule.
The Fluid Milk Promotion Act of 1990
(Act), as amended, authorizes the Order.
The Act provides that administrative
proceedings must be exhausted before
parties may file suit in court. Under
section 1999K of the Act, any person
subject to the Order may file with the
Secretary a petition stating that the
Order, any provision of the Order, or
any obligation imposed in connection
with the Order is not in accordance with
the law and request a modification of
the Order or to be exempted from the
Order. A person subject to an Order is
afforded the opportunity for a hearing
on the petition. After a hearing, the
Secretary would rule on the petition.
The Act provides that the district court
of the United States in any district in
which the person is an inhabitant, or
has his principal place of business, has
jurisdiction to review the Secretary’s
ruling on the petition, provided a
complaint is filed not later than 20 days
after the date of the entry of the ruling.
Regulatory Flexibility Act and
Paperwork Reduction Act
In accordance with the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.), the
Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS)
has considered the economic impact of
this action on small entities and has
certified that this final rule will not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.
Small businesses in the fluid milk
processing industry have been defined
by the Small Business Administration as
those processors employing not more
than 500 employees. For purposes of
determining a processor’s size, if the
plant is part of a larger company
operating multiple plants that
collectively exceed the 500-employee
limit, the plant will be considered a
large business even if the local plant has
fewer than 500 employees. As of
February 2005, there were
approximately 100 fluid milk processors
subject to the provisions of the Order.
Most of these processors are considered
E:\FR\FM\24MRR1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 70, Number 56 (Thursday, March 24, 2005)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 14969-14974]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 05-5812]
========================================================================
Rules and Regulations
Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains regulatory documents
having general applicability and legal effect, most of which are keyed
to and codified in the Code of Federal Regulations, which is published
under 50 titles pursuant to 44 U.S.C. 1510.
The Code of Federal Regulations is sold by the Superintendent of Documents.
Prices of new books are listed in the first FEDERAL REGISTER issue of each
week.
========================================================================
Federal Register / Vol. 70, No. 56 / Thursday, March 24, 2005 / Rules
and Regulations
[[Page 14969]]
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 985
[Docket No. FV05-985-1 FR]
Marketing Order Regulating the Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced
in the Far West; Salable Quantities and Allotment Percentages for the
2005-2006 Marketing Year
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This rule establishes the quantity of spearmint oil produced
in the Far West, by class, that handlers may purchase from, or handle
for, producers during the 2005-2006 marketing year, which begins on
June 1, 2005. This rule establishes salable quantities and allotment
percentages for Class 1 (Scotch) spearmint oil of 677,409 pounds and 35
percent, respectively, and for Class 3 (Native) spearmint oil of
867,958 pounds and 40 percent, respectively. The Spearmint Oil
Administrative Committee (Committee), the agency responsible for local
administration of the marketing order for spearmint oil produced in the
Far West, recommended these limitations for the purpose of avoiding
extreme fluctuations in supplies and prices to help maintain stability
in the spearmint oil market.
EFFECTIVE DATE: June 1, 2005, through May 31, 2006.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Susan M. Hiller, Northwest Marketing
Field Office, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, 1220 SW Third
Avenue, Suite 385, Portland, Oregon 97204; telephone: (503) 326-2724;
Fax: (503) 326-7440; or George Kelhart, Technical Advisor, Marketing
Order Administration Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA,
1400 Independence Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237;
telephone: (202) 720-2491; Fax: (202) 720-8938.
Small businesses may request information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Jay Guerber, Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; Telephone (202) 720-
2491, Fax: (202) 720-8938, or e-mail: Jay.Guerber@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This final rule is issued under Marketing
Order No. 985 (7 CFR part 985), as amended, regulating the handling of
spearmint oil produced in the Far West (Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and
designated parts of Nevada and Utah), hereinafter referred to as the
``order.'' This order is effective under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), hereinafter
referred to as the ``Act.''
The Department of Agriculture (USDA) is issuing this rule in
conformance with Executive Order 12866.
This final rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988,
Civil Justice Reform. Under the marketing order now in effect, salable
quantities and allotment percentages may be established for classes of
spearmint oil produced in the Far West. This rule establishes the
quantity of spearmint oil produced in the Far West, by class, which may
be purchased from or handled for producers by handlers during the 2005-
2006 marketing year, which begins on June 1, 2005. This rule will not
preempt any State or local laws, regulations, or policies, unless they
present an irreconcilable conflict with this rule.
The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the
Act, any handler subject to an order may file with USDA a petition
stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any obligation
imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance with law and
request a modification of the order or to be exempted therefrom. Such
handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the petition.
After the hearing USDA would rule on the petition. The Act provides
that the district court of the United States in any district in which
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or her principal place of
business, has jurisdiction to review USDA's ruling on the petition,
provided an action is filed not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
Pursuant to authority in Sec. Sec. 985.50, 985.51, and 985.52 of
the order, the Committee, with seven of its eight members present, met
on October 6, 2004, and recommended salable quantities and allotment
percentages for both classes of oil for the 2005-2006 marketing year.
The Committee unanimously recommended the establishment of a salable
quantity and allotment percentage for Scotch spearmint oil of 677,409
pounds and 35 percent, respectively. For Native spearmint oil, the
Committee unanimously recommended the establishment of a salable
quantity and allotment percentage of 867,958 pounds and 40 percent,
respectively.
This final rule limits the amount of spearmint oil that handlers
may purchase from, or handle for, producers during the 2005-2006
marketing year, which begins on June 1, 2005. Salable quantities and
allotment percentages have been placed into effect each season since
the order's inception in 1980.
The U.S. production of Scotch spearmint oil is concentrated in the
Far West, which includes Washington, Idaho, and Oregon and a portion of
Nevada and Utah. Scotch spearmint oil is also produced in the Midwest
states of Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as well as in the States of
Montana, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Minnesota. The production area
covered by the marketing order currently accounts for approximately 68
percent of the annual U.S. sales of Scotch spearmint oil.
When the order became effective in 1980, the Far West had 72
percent of the world's sales of Scotch spearmint oil. While the Far
West is still the leading producer of Scotch spearmint oil, its share
of world sales is now estimated to be about 36 percent. This loss in
world sales for the Far West region is directly attributed to the
increase in global production. Other factors that have played a
significant role include the overall quality of the imported oil and
technological advances that allow for more blending of lower quality
oils. Such factors have provided the
[[Page 14970]]
Committee with challenges in accurately predicting trade demand for
Scotch oil. This, in turn, has made it difficult to balance available
supplies with demand and to achieve the Committee's overall goal of
stabilizing producer and market prices.
The marketing order has continued to contribute to price and
general market stabilization for Far West producers. The Committee, as
well as spearmint oil producers and handlers attending the October 6,
2004, meeting estimated that the 2004 producer price of Scotch oil
would maintain an average of $10.00 per pound. However, this producer
price is below the cost of production for most producers as indicated
in a study from the Washington State University Cooperative Extension
Service (WSU), which estimates production costs to be between $13.50
and $15.00 per pound.
This low level of producer returns has caused a reduction in
acreage. When the order became effective in 1980, the Far West region
had 9,702 acres of Scotch spearmint. The acreage of Scotch spearmint
for the 2004-2005 marketing year has decreased to 4,771 acres. Based on
this acreage, the Committee estimates that production for the 2004-2005
marketing year will be about 635,508 pounds.
The Committee recommended the 2005-2006 Scotch spearmint oil
salable quantity (677,409 pounds) and allotment percentage (35 percent)
utilizing sales estimates for 2005-2006 Scotch oil as provided by
several of the industry's handlers, as well as historical and current
Scotch oil sales levels. The Committee is estimating that about 650,000
pounds of Scotch spearmint oil, on average, may be sold during the
2005-2006 marketing year. When considered in conjunction with the
estimated carry in of 351,427 pounds of oil on June 1, 2005, the
recommended salable quantity of 677,409 pounds results in a total
available supply of Scotch spearmint oil during the 2005-2006 marketing
year of about 1,028,836 pounds.
The recommendation for the 2005-2006 Scotch spearmint oil volume
regulation is consistent with the Committee's stated intent of keeping
adequate supplies available at all times, while attempting to stabilize
prices at a level adequate to sustain the producers. Furthermore, the
recommendation takes into consideration the industry's desire to
compete with less expensive oil produced outside the regulated area.
Although Native spearmint oil producers are facing market
conditions similar to those affecting the Scotch spearmint oil market,
the market share is quite different. Over 90 percent of the U.S.
production of Native spearmint is produced within the Far West
production area. Also, most of the world's supply of Native spearmint
is produced in the U.S.
The supply and demand characteristics of the Native spearmint oil
market, combined with the stabilizing impact of the marketing order,
have kept the price relatively steady, between $9.10 and $9.30 per
pound over the last five years. The Committee considers this level too
low for the majority of producers to maintain viability. The WSU study
referenced earlier indicates that the cost of producing Native
spearmint oil ranges from $10.26 to $10.92 per pound.
Similar to Scotch, the low level of producer returns has also
caused a reduction in Native spearmint acreage. When the order became
effective in 1980, the Far West region had 12,153 acres of Native
spearmint. The acreage of Native spearmint for the 2004-2005 marketing
year has decreased to 4,804 acres. Based on this acreage, the Committee
estimates that production for the 2004-2005 marketing year will be
about 701,372 pounds.
The Committee recommended the 2005-2006 Native spearmint oil
salable quantity (867,958 pounds) and allotment percentage (40 percent)
utilizing sales estimates for 2005-2006 Native oil as provided by
several of the industry's handlers, as well as historical and current
Native oil sales levels. The Committee is estimating that about 945,000
pounds of Native spearmint oil, on average, may be sold during the
2005-2006 marketing year. When considered in conjunction with the
estimated carry-in of 60,000 pounds of oil on June 1, 2005, the
recommended salable quantity of 867,958 pounds results in a total
available supply of Native spearmint oil during the 2005-2006 marketing
year of about 927,958 pounds.
The Committee's method of calculating the Native spearmint oil
salable quantity and allotment percentage continues to primarily
utilize information on price and available supply as they are affected
by the estimated trade demand. The Committee's stated intent is to make
adequate supplies available to meet market needs and improve producer
prices.
The Committee believes that the order has contributed extensively
to the stabilization of producer prices, which prior to 1980
experienced wide fluctuations from year to year. According to the
National Agricultural Statistics Service, for example, the average
price paid for both classes of spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the period between 1968 and 1980.
Prices since the order's inception have generally stabilized at about
$9.85 per pound for Native spearmint oil and at about $12.93 per pound
for Scotch spearmint oil. However, the current prices for both classes
of oil are below the average due to several factors, including the
general uncertainty being experienced through the U.S. economy and the
continuing overall weak farm situation, as well as an abundant global
supply of spearmint oil. As noted earlier,--although lower than what
producers believe to be viable--prices currently appear to be stable at
about $9.50 for both classes of oil.
The Committee based its recommendation for the proposed salable
quantity and allotment percentage for each class of spearmint oil for
the 2005-2006 marketing year on the information discussed above, as
well as the data outlined below.
(1) Class 1 (Scotch) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1, 2005--351,427 pounds. This figure
is the difference between the estimated 2004-2005 marketing year trade
demand of 620,000 pounds and the 2004-2005 marketing year total
available supply of 971,427 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the 2005-2006 marketing year--
650,000 pounds. This figure is based on input from producers at five
Scotch spearmint oil production area meetings held in September 2004,
as well as estimates provided by handlers and other meeting
participants at the October 6, 2004, meeting. The average estimated
trade demand provided at the five production area meetings was 620,867
pounds, whereas the average handler trade demand ranged from 600,000 to
650,000 pounds. The average of sales over the last five years was
761,142 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required from the 2005-2006 marketing year
production--298,573 pounds. This figure is the difference between the
estimated 2005-2006 marketing year trade demand (650,000 pounds) and
the estimated carry-in on June 1, 2005 (351,427 pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for the 2005-2006 marketing
year--1,935,455 pounds. This figure represents a one-percent increase
over the revised 2004-2005 total allotment base. This figure is
generally revised each year on June 1 due to producer base being lost
due to the bona fide effort production provisions of Sec. 985.53(e).
The revision is usually minimal.
[[Page 14971]]
(E) Computed allotment percentage--15.4 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required salable quantity by the total
estimated allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment percentage--35 percent. This
recommendation is based on the Committee's determination that a
decrease from the current season's allotment percentage of 40 percent
to the computed 15.4 percent would not adequately supply the potential
2005-2006 market.
(G) The Committee's recommended salable quantity--677,409 pounds.
This figure is the product of the recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the 2005-2006 marketing year--
1,028,836 pounds. This figure is the sum of the 2005-2006 recommended
salable quantity (677,409 pounds) and the estimated carry-in on June 1,
2005 (351,427 pounds).
(2) Class 3 (Native) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1, 2005--60,000 pounds. This figure
is the difference between the estimated 2004-2005 marketing year trade
demand of 1,063,438 pounds and the revised 2004-2005 marketing year
total available supply of 1,123,438 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the 2005-2006 marketing year--
945,000 pounds. This figure is based on input from producers at the
five Native spearmint oil production area meetings held in September
2004, as well as estimates provided by handlers and other meeting
participants at the October 6, 2004, meeting. The average estimated
trade demand provided at the five production area meetings was 957,000
pounds, whereas the average handler estimate was 945,000 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required from the 2005-2006 marketing year
production--885,000 pounds. This figure is the difference between the
estimated 2005-2006 marketing year trade demand (945,000 pounds) and
the estimated carry-in on June 1, 2005 (60,000 pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for the 2005-2006 marketing
year--2,169,894 pounds. This figure represents a one percent increase
over the revised 2004-2005 total allotment base. This figure is
generally revised each year on June 1 due to producer base being lost
due to the bona fide effort production provisions of Sec. 985.53(e).
The revision is usually minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage--40.8 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required salable quantity by the total
estimated allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment percentage--40 percent. This is the
Committee's recommendation based on the computed allotment percentage,
the average of the computed allotment percentage figures from the five
production area meetings (40.6 percent), and input from producers and
handlers at the October 6, 2004, meeting.
(G) The Committee's recommended salable quantity--867,958 pounds.
This figure is the product of the recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the 2005-2006 marketing year--
927,958 pounds. This figure is the sum of the 2005-2006 recommended
salable quantity (867,958 pounds) and the estimated carry-in on June 1,
2005 (60,000 pounds).
The salable quantity is the total quantity of each class of
spearmint oil, which handlers may purchase from, or handle on behalf of
producers during a marketing year. Each producer is allotted a share of
the salable quantity by applying the allotment percentage to the
producer's allotment base for the applicable class of spearmint oil.
The Committee's recommended Scotch and Native spearmint oil salable
quantities and allotment percentages of 677,409 pounds and 35 percent
and 867,958 and 40 percent, respectively, are based on the Committee's
goal of maintaining market stability by avoiding extreme fluctuations
in supplies and prices and the anticipated supply and trade demand
during the 2005-2006 marketing year. The salable quantities are not
expected to cause a shortage of spearmint oil supplies. Any
unanticipated or additional market demand for spearmint oil, which may
develop during the marketing year, can be satisfied by an increase in
the salable quantities. Both Scotch and Native spearmint oil producers
who produce more than their annual allotments during the 2005-2006
marketing year may transfer such excess spearmint oil to a producer
with spearmint oil production less than his or her annual allotment or
put it into the reserve pool until November 1, 2005.
This regulation is similar to regulations issued in prior seasons.
Costs to producers and handlers resulting from this rule are expected
to be offset by the benefits derived from a stable market and improved
returns. In conjunction with the issuance of this final rule, USDA has
reviewed the Committee's marketing policy statement for the 2005-2006
marketing year. The Committee's marketing policy statement, a
requirement whenever the Committee recommends volume regulations, fully
meets the intent of Sec. 985.50 of the order. During its discussion of
potential 2005-2006 salable quantities and allotment percentages, the
Committee considered: (1) The estimated quantity of salable oil of each
class held by producers and handlers; (2) the estimated demand for each
class of oil; (3) prospective production of each class of oil; (4)
total of allotment bases of each class of oil for the current marketing
year and the estimated total of allotment bases of each class for the
ensuing marketing year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by class, in
storage; (6) producer prices of oil, including prices for each class of
oil; and (7) general market conditions for each class of oil, including
whether the estimated season average price to producers is likely to
exceed parity. Conformity with the USDA's ``Guidelines for Fruit,
Vegetable, and Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' has also been reviewed
and confirmed.
The establishment of these salable quantities and allotment
percentages will allow for anticipated market needs. In determining
anticipated market needs, consideration by the Committee was given to
historical sales, as well as changes and trends in production and
demand. This rule also provides producers with information on the
amount of spearmint oil that should be produced for the 2005-2006
season in order to meet anticipated market demand.
Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (RFA), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) has considered the
economic impact of this rule on small entities. Accordingly, AMS has
prepared this final regulatory flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of
business subject to such actions in order that small businesses will
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued
pursuant to the Act, and the rules issued thereunder, are unique in
that they are brought about through group action of essentially small
entities acting on their own behalf. Thus, both statutes have small
entity orientation and compatibility.
There are eight spearmint oil handlers subject to regulation under
the order, and approximately 59 producers of Class 1 (Scotch) spearmint
oil and approximately 91 producers of Class 3 (Native) spearmint oil in
the regulated production area. Small agricultural
[[Page 14972]]
service firms are defined by the Small Business Administration (SBA)
(13 CFR 121.201) as those having annual receipts of less than
$5,000,000, and small agricultural producers are defined as those whose
annual receipts are less than $750,000.
Based on the SBA's definition of small entities, the Committee
estimates that 2 of the 8 handlers regulated by the order could be
considered small entities. Most of the handlers are large corporations
involved in the international trading of essential oils and the
products of essential oils. In addition, the Committee estimates that
19 of the 59 Scotch spearmint oil producers and 21 of the 91 Native
spearmint oil producers could be classified as small entities under the
SBA definition. Thus, a majority of handlers and producers of Far West
spearmint oil may not be classified as small entities.
The Far West spearmint oil industry is characterized by producers
whose farming operations generally involve more than one commodity, and
whose income from farming operations is not exclusively dependent on
the production of spearmint oil. A typical spearmint oil-producing
operation has enough acreage for rotation such that the total acreage
required to produce the crop is about one-third spearmint and two-
thirds rotational crops. Thus, the typical spearmint oil producer has
to have considerably more acreage than is planted to spearmint during
any given season. Crop rotation is an essential cultural practice in
the production of spearmint oil for weed, insect, and disease control.
To remain economically viable with the added costs associated with
spearmint oil production, most spearmint oil-producing farms fall into
the SBA category of large businesses.
Small spearmint oil producers generally are not as extensively
diversified as larger ones and as such are more at risk from market
fluctuations. Such small producers generally need to market their
entire annual crop and do not have the luxury of having other crops to
cushion seasons with poor spearmint oil returns. Conversely, large
diversified producers have the potential to endure one or more seasons
of poor spearmint oil markets because income from alternate crops could
support the operation for a period of time. Being reasonably assured of
a stable price and market provides small producing entities with the
ability to maintain proper cash flow and to meet annual expenses. Thus,
the market and price stability provided by the order potentially
benefit the small producer more than such provisions benefit large
producers. Even though a majority of handlers and producers of
spearmint oil may not be classified as small entities, the volume
control feature of this order has small entity orientation.
This final rule establishes the quantity of spearmint oil produced
in the Far West, by class that handlers may purchase from, or handle
for, producers during the 2005-2006 marketing year. The Committee
recommended this rule to help maintain stability in the spearmint oil
market by avoiding extreme fluctuations in supplies and prices.
Establishing quantities to be purchased or handled during the marketing
year through volume regulations allows producers to plan their
spearmint planting and harvesting to meet expected market needs. The
provisions of Sec. Sec. 985.50, 985.51, and 985.52 of the order
authorize this rule.
Instability in the spearmint oil sub-sector of the mint industry is
much more likely to originate on the supply side than the demand side.
Fluctuations in yield and acreage planted from season-to-season tend to
be larger than fluctuations in the amount purchased by buyers. Demand
for spearmint oil tends to be relatively stable from year-to-year. The
demand for spearmint oil is expected to grow slowly for the foreseeable
future because the demand for consumer products that use spearmint oil
will likely expand slowly, in line with population growth.
Demand for spearmint oil at the farm level is derived from retail
demand for spearmint-flavored products such as chewing gum, toothpaste,
and mouthwash. The manufacturers of these products are by far the
largest users of mint oil. However, spearmint flavoring is generally a
very minor component of the products in which it is used, so changes in
the raw product price have no impact on retail prices for those goods.
Spearmint oil production tends to be cyclical. Years of large
production, with demand remaining reasonably stable, have led to
periods in which large producer stocks of unsold spearmint oil have
depressed producer prices for a number of years. Shortages and high
prices may follow in subsequent years, as producers respond to price
signals by cutting back production.
The significant variability is illustrated by the fact that the
coefficient of variation (a standard measure of variability; ``CV'') of
Far West spearmint oil production from 1980 through 2003 was about
0.24. The CV for spearmint oil grower prices was about 0.14, well below
the CV for production. This provides an indication of the price
stabilizing impact of the marketing order.
Production in the shortest marketing years was about 49 percent of
the 24-year average (1.875 million pounds from 1980 through 2003) and
the largest crop was approximately 166 percent of the 24-year average.
A key consequence is that in years of oversupply and low prices the
season average producer price of spearmint oil is below the average
cost of production (as measured by the Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service.)
The wide fluctuations in supply and prices that result from this
cycle, which was even more pronounced before the creation of the
marketing order, can create liquidity problems for some producers. The
marketing order was designed to reduce the price impacts of the
cyclical swings in production. However, producers have been less able
to weather these cycles in recent years because of the decline in
prices of many of the alternative crops they grow. As noted earlier,
almost all spearmint oil producers diversify by growing other crops.
In an effort to stabilize prices, the spearmint oil industry uses
the volume control mechanisms authorized under the order. This
authority allows the Committee to recommend a salable quantity and
allotment percentage for each class of oil for the upcoming marketing
year. The salable quantity for each class of oil is the total volume of
oil that producers may sell during the marketing year. The allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint oil is derived by dividing the
salable quantity by the total allotment base.
Each producer is then issued an annual allotment certificate, in
pounds, for the applicable class of oil, which is calculated by
multiplying the producer's allotment base by the applicable allotment
percentage. This is the amount of oil for the applicable class that the
producer can sell.
By November 1 of each year, the Committee identifies any oil that
individual producers have produced above the volume specified on their
annual allotment certificates. This excess oil is placed in a reserve
pool administered by the Committee.
There is a reserve pool for each class of oil that may not be sold
during the current marketing year unless USDA approves a Committee
recommendation to make a portion of the pool available. However,
limited quantities of reserve oil are typically sold to fill
deficiencies. A deficiency occurs when on-farm production is less than
a producer's allotment. In that case, a producer's own reserve oil can
be sold to fill that
[[Page 14973]]
deficiency. Excess production (higher than the producer's allotment)
can be sold to fill other producers' deficiencies.
In any given year, the total available supply of spearmint oil is
composed of current production plus carry-over stocks from the previous
crop. The Committee seeks to maintain market stability by balancing
supply and demand, and to close the marketing year with an appropriate
level of carryout. If the industry has production in excess of the
salable quantity, then the reserve pool absorbs the surplus quantity of
spearmint oil, which goes unsold during that year, unless the oil is
needed for unanticipated sales.
Under its provisions, the order may attempt to stabilize prices by
(1) limiting supply and establishing reserves in high production years,
thus minimizing the price-depressing effect that excess producer stocks
have on unsold spearmint oil, and (2) ensuring that stocks are
available in short supply years when prices would otherwise increase
dramatically. The reserve pool stocks grown in large production years
are drawn down in short crop years.
An econometric model was used to assess the impact that volume
control has on the prices producers receive for their commodity.
Without volume control, spearmint oil markets would likely be over-
supplied, resulting in low producer prices and a large volume of oil
stored and carried over to the next crop year. The model estimates how
much lower producer prices would likely be in the absence of volume
controls.
The Committee estimated the available supply during the 2004-2005
marketing year for both classes of oil at 2,094,865 pounds, and that
the expected carry-in will be 411,427 pounds. Therefore, with volume
control, sales by producers for the 2005-2006 marketing year would be
limited to 1,545,367 pounds (the recommended salable quantity for both
classes of spearmint oil).
The recommended salable percentages, upon which 2005-2006 producer
allotments are based, are 35 percent for Scotch and 40 percent for
Native. Without volume controls, producers would not be limited to
these allotment levels, and could produce and sell additional
spearmint. The econometric model estimated a $1.60 decline in the
season average producer price per pound (from both classes of spearmint
oil) resulting from the higher quantities that would be produced and
marketed without volume control. The Far West producer price for both
classes of spearmint oil was $9.50 for 2003, which is below the average
of $11.26 for the period of 1980 through 2003, based on National
Agricultural Statistics Service data. The surplus situation for the
spearmint oil market that would exist without volume controls in 2005-
2006 also would likely dampen prospects for improved producer prices in
future years because of the buildup in stocks.
The use of volume controls allows the industry to fully supply
spearmint oil markets while avoiding the negative consequences of over-
supplying these markets. The use of volume controls is believed to have
little or no effect on consumer prices of products containing spearmint
oil and will not result in fewer retail sales of such products.
The Committee discussed alternatives to the recommendations
contained in this rule for both classes of spearmint oil. The Committee
discussed and rejected the idea of recommending that there not be any
volume regulation for Scotch spearmint oil because of the severe price-
depressing effects that would occur without volume control.
The Committee also considered various alternative levels of volume
control for Scotch spearmint oil, including leaving the percentage the
same as the current season, increasing the percentage to a less
restrictive level, or decreasing the percentage. After considerable
discussion the Committee unanimously supported decreasing the
percentage to 35 percent.
The Committee discussed and rejected the idea of recommending that
there not be any volume regulation for Native spearmint oil. The
immediate result would be to put an excessive amount of Native reserve
pool oil on the market causing depressed prices at the producer level.
With the current price for Native spearmint oil lower than the 10-year
average, and sales below the 5-year average, the Committee, after
considerable discussion, determined that 867,958 pounds and 40 percent
would be the most effective salable quantity and allotment percentage,
respectively, for the 2005-2006 marketing year.
As noted earlier, the Committee's recommendation to establish
salable quantities and allotment percentages for both classes of
spearmint oil was made after careful consideration of all available
information, including: (1) The estimated quantity of salable oil of
each class held by producers and handlers; (2) the estimated demand for
each class of oil; (3) the prospective production of each class of oil;
(4) the total of allotment bases of each class of oil for the current
marketing year and the estimated total of allotment bases of each class
for the ensuing marketing year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of oil, including prices for
each class of oil; and (7) general market conditions for each class of
oil, including whether the estimated season average price to producers
is likely to exceed parity. Based on its review, the Committee believes
that the salable quantity and allotment percentage levels recommended
would achieve the objectives sought.
Without any regulations in effect, the Committee believes the
industry would return to the pronounced cyclical price patterns that
occurred prior to the order, and that prices in 2005-2006 would decline
substantially below current levels.
As stated earlier, the Committee believes that the order has
contributed extensively to the stabilization of producer prices, which
prior to 1980 experienced wide fluctuations from year-to-year. National
Agricultural Statistics Service records show that the average price
paid for both classes of spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per pound to
$11.10 per pound during the period between 1968 and 1980. Prices have
been consistently more stable since the marketing order's inception in
1980, with an average price (1980-2003) of $12.93 per pound for Scotch
spearmint oil and $9.85 per pound for Native spearmint oil.
During the period of 1998 through 2003, however, large production
and carry-in inventories have contributed to prices below the 24-year
average, despite the Committee's efforts to balance available supplies
with demand. Prices have ranged from $8.00 to $11.00 per pound for
Scotch spearmint oil and between $9.10 and $10.00 per pound for Native
spearmint oil.
According to the Committee, the recommended salable quantities and
allotment percentages are expected to achieve the goals of market and
price stability.
As previously stated, annual salable quantities and allotment
percentages have been issued for both classes of spearmint oil since
the order's inception. Reporting and recordkeeping requirements have
remained the same for each year of regulation. These requirements have
been approved by the Office of Management and Budget under OMB Control
No. 0581-0065. Accordingly, this rule will not impose any additional
reporting or recordkeeping requirements on either small or large
spearmint oil producers and handlers. All reports and forms associated
with this program are reviewed periodically in order to avoid
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unnecessary and duplicative information collection by industry and
public sector agencies. The USDA has not identified any relevant
Federal rules that duplicate, overlap, or conflict with this rule.
The Committee's meeting was widely publicized throughout the
spearmint oil industry and all interested persons were invited to
attend the meeting and participate in Committee deliberations on all
issues. Like all Committee meetings, the October 6, 2004, meeting was a
public meeting and all entities, both large and small, were able to
express views on this issue. Finally, interested persons are invited to
submit information on the regulatory and informational impacts of this
action on small businesses.
A proposed rule concerning this action was published in the Federal
Register on January 12, 2005 (70 FR 2027). Copies of the rule were
provided to Committee staff, which in turn made it available to
spearmint oil producers, handlers, and other interested persons.
Finally, the rule was made available through the Internet by the Office
of the Federal Register and USDA. A 30-day comment period ending
February 11, 2005, was provided to allow interested persons to respond
to the proposal. No comments were received.
A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: http:/
/www.ams.usda.gov/fv/moab.html. Any questions about the compliance
guide should be sent to Jay Guerber at the previously mentioned address
in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
After consideration of all relevant matter presented, including the
information and recommendation submitted by the Committee and other
available information, it is hereby found that this rule, as
hereinafter set forth will tend to effectuate the declared policy of
the Act.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 985
Marketing agreements, Oils and fats, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Spearmint oil.
0
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR part 985 is amended as
follows:
PART 985--MARKETING ORDER REGULATING THE HANDLING OF SPEARMINT OIL
PRODUCED IN THE FAR WEST
0
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part 985 continues to read as
follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.
0
2. A new Sec. 985.224 is added to read as follows:
(Note: This section will not appear in the Code of Federal
Regulations.)
Sec. 985.224 Salable quantities and allotment percentages--2005-2006
marketing year.
The salable quantity and allotment percentage for each class of
spearmint oil during the marketing year beginning on June 1, 2005,
shall be as follows:
(a) Class 1 (Scotch) oil--a salable quantity of 677,409 pounds and
an allotment percentage of 35 percent.
(b) Class 3 (Native) oil--a salable quantity of 867,958 pounds and
an allotment percentage of 40 percent.
Dated: March 18, 2005.
Kenneth C. Clayton,
Acting Administrator, Agricultural Marketing Service.
[FR Doc. 05-5812 Filed 3-23-05; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410-02-P